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  • Nigerians (55%) Advocate For The Removal Of Emergency Rule During Elections

    Abuja, Nigeria. August 26th, 2014 – Latest Election poll results released by NOIPolls Limited have revealed that 55% of adult Nigerians surveyed are of the opinion that the emergency rule imposed on three states in the North-East region should be lifted during the 2015 elections. This stance was mainly advocated by by a high majority (72%) of repondents from the North-East zone (which has states including Borno, Yobe and Adamawa under emergency rule); however, the slight majority across all the Southern regions feel the emergency rule should still prevail. Findings also revealed that the majority (40%) of respondents interviewed believe it will be “somewhat safe” for INEC to conduct elections in states under the emergency rule. Further assessment on the anticipated level of security during the 2015 elections revealed that Nigerians (68%) expect noting less than a“very secure” vicinity during this period, however a fair proportion of respondents from the North-East zone (22%) anticipate an insecure vicinity during the 2015 election. Moreover, the majority of adult Nigerians (79%) have faith in the ability of the Nigerian security agencies to preserve law and order during the 2015 elections. These were some of the key findings from the Countdown to the 2015 Election Poll conducted in the week of August 18th 2014. Brief Background As preparations heat up ahead of the 2015 general elections, insecurity prior to and during the election period continues to be a critical issue of debate. Governor Babatunde Fashola of Lagos State recently stated during a courtesy visit by the students from the Royal College of Defence Studies, United Kingdom, that the level of insecurity in the nation is a threat to free, fair and credible elections and this may impede the ability and the desire of Nigerians to make a selection in the 2015 general elections.[1] In line with this the Federal Government reaffirmed its commitment to overcoming the current security challenges facing the nation before the 2015 general elections.[2] Still in the bid to tackle the current security challenges facing the nation, the Acting Inspector-General of Police, Mr. Suleiman Abba, recently assured Nigerians at the decoration of eight newly promoted officers, that the police would lead other agencies in ensuring a peaceful conduct of 2015 elections. This highlights the need for more proactive methods to combat insecurity in Nigeria to ensure the long term safety and security of the masses and nation, as well as to prevent fraud and violence especially during the 2015 general elections.[3] Against this background, NOIPolls conducted its Countdown to the 2015 Election poll to seek the views of Nigerians regarding security issues during the 2015 general elections. This is the fifth in the series of election polls conducted by NOIPolls (the first one was conducted in April 2013) and the fourth in the series of bi-monthly polls that will be conducted as Nigeria counts down to the elections in 2015. Key Findings Respondents to the poll were asked five specific questions. In order to guage the expectations of Nigerians on the degree of safety in their vicinity during the 2015 elections, respondents were asked: How secure do you expect your locality to be during the 2015 general election? Findings revealed that 68% of the respondents expect their neighborhoods to be“very secure” during the 2015 general elections. This is followed by 24% of the respondents who expect it to be “somewhat secure”. Also, 7% expect their locality to be insecure, while 1%indicated their vicinity will not be secure at all during the 2015 general election. Geo-political zone analysis shows that the South-East zone has the highest proportion of respondents (80%) who expect their area to be “very secure” while the North-East zone accounted for the highest proportion of respondents who expect it to be “somewhat secure” and “not secure” with 33% and 22% respectively. 81% of the respondents aged 61 years and above expect their locality to be “very secure” during the 2015 general elections. [1]http://www.vanguardngr.com/2014/06/insecurity-threat-2015-polls-fashola/#sthash.8GCmHxCd.dpuf [2]http://www.dailytimes.com.ng/article/security-challenges-will-be-over-2015-elections-omeri [3]http://www.informationng.com/2014/08/police-will-lead-other-agencies-to-ensure-2015-poll-says-acting-ig.html To assess the views of Nigerians concerning the state of emergency in the North-East region, respondents were asked: Do you think the emergency rule existing in some Northern states should be lifted during the February 2015 elections? 55% of adult Nigerians indicated that the emergency rule should be lifted during the 2015 elections while 45%indicated that it should not be lifted. The slight majority across all the Southern regions think the emergency rule imposed in some North-Eastern states should be maintained even during the election period. The reverse is the case for the Northern regions where majority think the emergency rule should be lifted during the elections, except for the North-Central zone where there was a tie as to whether the emergency rule should be lifted or not. It is pertinent to note that respondents from the North-East region (which currently have some states under emergency rule due to terrorist activities) feel strongly that the emergency rule should be lifted during the 2015 general election as indicated by a clear majority (72%). A higher proportion of respondents aged 61 years (76%) and above think the emergency rule should be lifted, while there was an equal split in the stance of respondents aged between 18 – 21 years as 50% each think the emergency rule should and should not be lifted. Subsequently respondents were asked: In your opinion, how safe would it be for INEC to conduct elections in states under emergency rule? Majority (40%) of the respondents interviewed believe it would be “somewhat safe” for INEC to conduct elections in states under the emergency rule. 27% of the respondents believe it would be “very safe”; another 27%believe it would not be safe, while 6% of the respondents believe it would not be safe at all. Rating according to geo-political zone indicates that the North-East zone has the highest (37%)percentage of respondents who are of the opinion that it would be “very safe” for INEC to conduct elections in states under emergency rule. The North-West zone has the highest (48%)proportion of respondents who stated it would be “somewhat safe”, the South-South zone has the highest (39%) ratio of respondents who think it will not be safe, while the South-West zone accounted for the largest proportion of respondents (10%) who stated it will not be safe at all to conduct elections in states under emergency rule. Finally respondents were asked: How confident are you in the ability of the Nigerian security agencies in maintaining law and order during the 2015 elections? Findings revealed that the majority of Nigerians (79%: 37%+42%) are confident in the ability of the security agencies to maintain law and order during the 2015 elections. On the contrary, 21% of the respondents surveyed reported that they are not confident that the security agencies can maintain law and order during the 2015 elections. Findings from the geo-political zones revealed that the South-East zone has the greatest number of respondents (85%) who are confident in the ability of the Nigerian security agencies to maintain law and order during 2015 election, while the North-West zone has the highest proportion of respondents (27%) who are doubtful in the ability of the security agencies to maintain law and order during the 2015 election. Likewise, respondents aged 61 years and above (91%) are more confident in the ability of the Nigerian security agencies to preserve law and order during the 2015 election. In conclusion, the recent poll results have revealed that 68% of the respondents expect their neighborhoods to be very secure during the 2015 general elections with the South-East zone accounting for the highest proportion (80%) of this group. More findings revealed that 55% of adult Nigerians think the emergency rule imposed in some Northern states should be lifted during the 2015 elections. This stance was mostly influenced by respondents from the North-East region (which currently have some states under emergency rule due to terrorists activities) who feel strongly that the emergency rule should be lifted during the 2015 general election as indicated by a clear majority (72%). Furthermore, majority (40%) of the respondents interviewed believe it would be “somewhat safe” for INEC to conduct elections in states under the emergency rule and the majority (79%: 37%+42%) are confident in the ability of the security agencies to maintain law and order during the 2015 elections. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in the week of August 18th to 22nd 2014. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com

  • Final Approval Rating Marks Lowest Rating For President Goodluck Jonathan In 2015

    Abuja, Nigeria. June 4th, 2015– Latest governance poll results released by NOIPolls for the month of May 2015 revealed that 42 percent of Nigerians surveyed approved of President Jonathan’s job performance. This rating represents the last rating for Goodluck Jonathan as President of the Federal Republic of Nigeria and also the lowest (the same as April 2013) since NOIPolls started its monthly approval rating in January 2013. It also shows a further 7-points decline revealing a constant drop in his performance rating since February 2015. The general decline in the approval rating of the president is seen across 5 geo-political zones with the North-West zone accounting for the greatest decline by 18-points when compared to April 2015. This substantial decline in the President’s approval rating could be as result of the high expectations of Nigerians of the incoming government administration and the changes that will accompany it. This decline may also have been as a result of the recorded fuel scarcity and nationwide strike by major petroleum marketers which peaked in the month of May 2015. Further findings disclosed that Nigerians recognize the performance of the President in Health, Education, Agriculture & Food Security, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy; which all received an average rating (3) in the month of May 2015. Conversely, his performance in Job Creation, Power, Economy and Security was given a rating of 1 which signifies a poor performance. An evaluation of the state of power in Nigeria revealed that power supply to Nigerian households worsened over the past one month as reported by 65 percent of respondents that were surveyed. This represents the worst power rating since NOIPolls commenced its power rating in January 2013; even as the Ministry of power confirmed that Nigeria’s power generation hit an “all-time low”; as power generation crashes to 1,327MW in May 2015.[1] The Ministry of Power also reported that most key power plants in the country were all shut down at some point within this period as a result of pipeline vandalism; while also pointing out the additional effect of the strike action by The Petroleum and Natural Gas Senior Staff Association of Nigeria, PENGASSAN, and the Nigeria Union of Petroleum and Natural Gas Workers, NUPENG, branch of the Nigerian Petroleum Development Corporation, NPDC, within the period in view.[2] In addition, only 17 percent of the respondents acknowledged an improvement in power supply in May 2015.These are some of the key findings from the Governance Snap Poll conducted in the week of May 25th 2015. These results represent the fifth in the 2015 monthly series of governance polls (and the last approval rating of President Goodluck Jonathan) conducted by NOIPolls to gauge the opinions and perceptions of Nigerians regardingthe approval rating of the President, the performance of the President on key elements of his transformation agenda, and thestate of power supply in the country. Respondents to the poll were asked three specific questions. The first sought to assess the opinion of Nigerians on the performance of President Goodluck Jonathan over the past 1 month. Respondents were asked: Do you approve or disapprove of the job performance of President Jonathan in the past 1 month?The outcome revealed that a total of 42 percent of Nigerians surveyed approved of President Jonathan’s job performance in May 2015. On the other hand, a total of 41 percent of the respondents disapproved of his job performance in May 2015, whereas 17 percent of the respondents were neutral as they neither approved nor disapproved of the president’s job performance. An assessment of the President’s job performance by geo-political zone revealed that the South-East zone (70 percent) accounted for the largest proportion of respondents who approved of the President’s job performance and this mostly impacted the overall rating of President Jonathan. The North-West zone (58 percent) accounted for the greater fraction of respondents who disapproved of the president’s job performance. In addition, the North-East zone accounted for the largest proportion of respondents who were neutral with 22 percent. A three-month trend evaluation (March to May 2015) of the President’s performance by geo-political zone was characterized by continuous decline in the approval rating of the president across 5 geo-political zones hence, an overall decline in his overall approval rating within this period. Also, the North-West zone had the highest decline by 18-points in the approval rating of the President when compared to March 2015. This substantial decline in the President’s approval rating could be as result of the high expectation of Nigerians of the new government and the changes that will accompany it. This decline may also have been as a result of the fuel scarcity and strike by major petroleum marketers that peaked in the month of May 2015. Further monthly trend evaluation of the President’s approval rating depicts a significant 7-points decline when compared to April 2015. The President’s rating has illustrated a continuous decrease since February 2015 and it is also observed that the President’s rating from this current poll is 2-points below that of May 2013. The average performance rating for President Goodluck Jonathan over a 29 months period is recorded at 53.3 percent and this current rating is 11.3-points below the average. To gauge the performance of the president on pertinent elements of his transformation agenda, respondents were asked: On a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 is very poor and 5 is excellent, how would you rate the performance of President Jonathan in the following areas? (1) Job Creation (2) Power (3) Economy (4) Health (5) Education (6) Agriculture & Food Security (7) Transportation (8) Foreign Policy & Diplomacy and (9) Security. The result shows that Nigerians recognize the performance of the President in Health, Education, Agriculture & Food Security, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy as it was rated average (3) in the month of May 2015. On the contrary, his performance in Job Creation, Power, Economy and Security was given a rating of 1 which signifies a poor performance. Trend analysis revealed that the President’s performance rating on Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy has maintained an average ranking (3) since January 2014. However, the President’s performance rating on Job Creation, Power and Security has remained very poor (1) since January 2015. Finally, to find out the state of power supply to Nigerian households over the past month, respondents were asked: How would you describe power supply in your area in the last 1 month? Power supply to Nigerian households worsened over the past one month as reported by 65 percent of respondents surveyed, thereby representing the worst power rating since NOIPolls commenced its power rating in January 2013. On the contrary, only 17 percent of respondents acknowledged experiencing an improvement in power supply while 18 percent stated that there is no difference at all in power supply in May 2015. An assessment of the state of power by geo-political zone revealed that the South-East zone (29 percent) accounted for the largest proportion of respondents who experienced improved power supply, while the South-South zone (34 percent) accounted for the largest proportion of Nigerians who reported there was no difference at all. The North-West zone (73 percent) accounted for the greater share of respondents who claimed that power supply worsened within the last one month. Monthly trend analysis shows a further decline of 3-points in power supply in May 2015. This result also represents a huge 25-points decline when compared to May 2014. This current result is the lowest power rating over 29 months. The average power rating over a 29 months period is recorded at 35.9 percent and this current rating is 18.9-points below the average. In conclusion, about 4 in 10 (42 percent) Nigerians surveyed approved of the President’s performance, 41 percent disapproved of his performance, while 17 percent of the respondents remained neutral, as they neither approved nor disapproved of his performance. Furthermore, Nigerians acknowledged the performance of the President in Health, Education, Agriculture & Food Security, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy with an average (3) rating in the month of May 2015. However, his performance in Job Creation, Power, Economy and Security was given a rating of 1, signifying a poor performance. Finally, power supply to Nigerian households worsened over the past one month as described by 65 percent of adult Nigerians surveyed. This represents the worst power rating recorded by NOIPolls since commencing power supply rating in January 2013. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in the week of May 25th 2015. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa, works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA). We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1] http://www.premiumtimesng.com/news/headlines/183687-nigerias-energy-crisis-worsens-only-5-of-23-power-plants-functional-nerc.html [2] http://www.vanguardngr.com/2015/05/pengassan-nupeng-on-strike-over-rights-to-oil-leases/

  • Countdown to 2015 Elections: Candidacy Viability Poll

    Abuja, Nigeria. October 21st, 2014 – The latest Countdown to the 2015 Elections Poll conducted by NOIPolls looked at the viability of potential candidates for the Presidency in the 2015 elections. Candidate viability is based on two key factors: a) Familiarity: This measures how well known the potential candidate is to the general public. b) Net Favourability Position: This measures the overall public perception/opinion of the candidate and must be positive. The candidate viability of each potential candidate was measured by cross analysing their familiarity with their net public perception (Positive opinions minus Negative opinions). Key top line results revealed the following three potential candidates are considered to be the most viable: President Jonathan has the best overall familiarity rating at 99% and net positive favourability at +25, Governor Babatunde Fashola of Lagos comes in second with a familiarity of 94% and net favourability of +8. He also comes tops among other potential APC candidates and Governor Rochas Okorocha of Imo State comes in third with a familiarity rating of 88% and net favourability of 0. The results also indicated that an effective Public Relations plan is needed to push borderline candidates to positive net favourability positions to enhance their candidate viability. These potential candidates are former military Head of State; Retired Major General Muhammed Buhari, survey results show that though he is well known (96%) he suffers a setback with a slightly negative favourability rating (-2). Others are Governor Adams Oshiomole of Edo with slightly negative favourability of (-5) in spite of his high familiarity (92%)and, Governor Rabiu Kwankwaso of Kano State (-7) with a familiarity of 85%. These represent some of the key results for the fifth poll in the ‘Countdown to 2015 Elections’ by NOIPolls Limited. Brief Background In the build-up to the 2015 elections, the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) has adopted President Goodluck Jonathan as its sole consensus candidate for the Presidency though the President has not formally declared his intent at present[1]. In addition, several notable APC candidates such as Alhaji Atiku Abubakar and Retired Major General Muhammed Buhari have declared their intent to run for Presidency while there are on-going moves within the party to broker a compromise[2] in the build up towards the party’s primaries scheduled for December 2nd, 2014. As political parties conduct primaries to select their candidates for the various levels of government for the 2015 elections, it is important to select viable candidates that have the best potential to subsequently win. The viability of a candidate during an election is mostly based on two (2) factors; 1) Voters must be familiar with the candidate and; 2) Have an overall positive impression of the candidate. Candidates might become better known during their campaigns but those who are better known prior to campaigns clearly do not have to work as hard as candidates who are not well known. Conversely, some candidates may be well known but not well liked by the public; they might find it harder to improve their image during a campaign compared to those that are not well known. NOIPolls conducted its latest Countdown to the 2015 Elections Poll with a focus on potential candidates in the 2015 Presidential Elections; the candidate viability of each potential candidate was measured by cross analysing their familiarity among members of the general public with their net positive perception. TheCountdown to the 2015 Elections Polls are conducted bi-Monthly by NOIPolls and the current result release is 5th in the 2014 series. Results on Candidate Viability For this survey, Seventeen (17) candidates were used and belong to the various political parties. The figure below shows the viability of the 17 candidates in a 4 X 4 matrix that shows the net favourability i.e. the net of positive and negative opinions about them versus their familiarity. The four quadrants are interpreted as follows: 1. The top right quadrant: Candidates that fall in this quadrant have a positive net favourability which implies they are well liked. In addition, they are also high in terms of familiarity and therefore well known. These are the most viable candidates for the election 2. The top left quadrant: Candidates in this quadrant have a positive net favourability but are not well known. They are only known by a few people but those few have very high opinions of them. 3. The bottom left quadrant: Candidates that fall in this quadrant are not well known and have a negativenet favourability implying a negative public perception. Their key challenge is to improve their visibility and public opinion so they can be considered viable candidates 4. The bottom right quadrant: Candidates that fall here are high in terms of familiarity indicating they are well known. However, they also have a negative net favourability showing the public has a net negative opinion about them. For these candidates, the key is to work on their public perception through a strong and effective reputation management team. [1] Jonathan thanks PDP for adopting him Presidential candidate – Premium Times, September 21st 2014 [2] APC moves to broker compromise on Presidential Primary – This Day Newspaper, 7th October 2014 President Goodluck Jonathan of the PDP currently has the best candidate viability among all potential candidates for the 2015 Presidential Elections because of his high familiarity score (99%) and high net favourability (+25). Furthermore, Governor Babatunde Fashola of Lagos State currently has the best candidate viability among potential APC candidates for the 2015 Presidential elections due to his high familiarity score(94%) and positive net favorability (+8). The only other candidate that falls in the right upper quadrant with the two aforementioned is Governor Rochas Okorocha of Imo State and similarly of the APC with a familiarity score of 88% and net favourability of 0. Another potential APC flag bearer is former military Head of State; Retired Major General Muhammed Buhari. Survey results show that though he is well known (96%) he has a slightly negative favourability rating (-2). Other APC members with slightly negative favourability in spite of their high familiarity include Governor Adams Oshiomole of Edo State (-5) and Governor Rabiu Kwankwaso of Kano State (-7). Their slightly negative rating simply implies that a slightly larger proportion of Nigerians have a negative impression about these candidates compared to those that have a positive impression. To become viable candidates, the key is to address this by improving their public image before the elections and address potentially negative notions about their candidacy that might be influencing Nigerians’ perception about them. Strategic planning and a well-orchestrated public relations campaign should be sufficient to move these candidates into net positive favourability among Nigerians. Potential candidates that have the lowest favourability rating while being highly popular are Vice President Namadi Sambo of the PDP with a net favourability rating of -34 and former Vice President Alhaji Atiku Abubakar of the APC with a net rating of -30. This very negative rating for the current Vice President Sambo needs to improve to compliment the President’s net positive favourability rating. Results also indicate that Alhaji Atiku Abubakar is as popular as President Goodluck Jonathan (98% familiarity versus 99% familiarity)however suffers a setback of a net negative favourability of -30 as a result of a poor public perception. The candidate with the least familiarity score is Sam Nda-Isaiah of the APC (51%). However, it’s interesting to note that though the proportion of those that have a positive opinion of him is the lowest (8%) among all these potential candidates Sam Nda-Isaiah also has the lowest proportion of people that have a negative opinion about him (31%) therefore he does not have the lowest net favorability score overall. In addition, some of the candidates at the bottom of the table have previously contested for the Presidency under different parties. These candidates such as Dele Momodu, Patrick Utomi and Chris Okotie have a high percentage of people that do not have an opinion of them i.e. they neither had a positive or negative opinion about them even though they were familiar with them. The net favorability and familiarity scores of the potential candidates are shown in the table below: Conclusion The net favourability of potential candidates is determined by the public’s positive and negative opinions about that candidate; therefore a positive rating shows a larger proportion have a positive opinion than those with a negative opinion. Among all potential candidates only 2 candidates had positive net favourability scores; President Goodluck Jonathan of the PDP (+25) and Governor Babatunde Fashola of the APC (+8). In addition, Governor Rochas Okorocha also of the APC had a net score of 0 indicating an equal proportion had positive and negative views about him. The other candidates had negative net favourability scores and need to improve their public image and expel negative notions about their candidacy. A summary of the top three viable candidates disaggregated by geo-political zones is given as follows: To obtain the full report with charts and tables for all 17 candidates further disaggregated by geo-political zones, please click here. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted from 13th to 14th October 2014. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com

  • 4 in 10 Voters Observed That The April 11th Elections Were Poorly Conducted (Compared with March 28t

    Abuja, Nigeria. April 28th, 2015 – Latest snap poll results released by NOIPolls Limited revealed that the larger proportion of Nigerian voters (39 percent: 29+10) believe the April 11th elections were poorly conducted compared to the March 28th elections. This perception may have been stimulated by the reports of violence, manipulations, allegations of massive rigging and falsification of results which led to cancellations, hence, inconclusive polls in some states in the South-East region (Imo and Abia states) and Taraba state in North-East region, during the gubernatorial and state house of assembly elections.[1] Nevertheless, the vast majority of voters reported that the April 11th gubernatorial/state elections were free and fair. This was regardless of gender, age and geo-political zones; though the South-East zone accounted for the highest proportion of voters (22 percent) who claimed the elections were not free and fair. Additionally, a higher proportion of Nigerians (79 percent) who voted in the April 11th elections, rated security as good in their various localities during the elections. Furthermore, findings revealed that almost all the respondents (92 percent) who voted in the gubernatorial/state house of assembly election also voted in the presidential/senatorial election; and of this proportion, majority (56 percent: 22+34) reported that the functionality of the card reader was better in the April 11th elections than the March 28th elections. Similarly 53 percent (21+32) of voters considered the punctuality of INEC staff to be better than the March 28th general elections and this also applies to the expertise of INEC staff, as the larger proportion (54 percent: 20+34) of the respondents reported it to be better than the March 28th elections. Finally, while poll results suggests improvement and rectification of lapses experienced during the March 28th elections; (as suggested by voters in a post presidential election poll conducted by NOIPolls) where majority of the voters suggested that INEC should improve on the card readers) overall, voters gave a poor rating on the general conduct of the April 11th elections in comparison to the March 28th elections. These are the key findings from the April 11th Gubernatorial and State House of Assembly Post Elections poll conducted in the week of April 20th 2015. Brief Background About 6, 050 candidates contested the gubernatorial and the state house of assembly elections which held 11th April, 2015 across 29 states in Nigeria, according to the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC). Out of the 6,050 contestants, 760 candidates contested for the governorship positions while 5,290 candidates contested for the State House of Assembly positions. The Governorship election did not hold in Edo, Anambra, Ondo, Ekiti, Bayelsa, Osun and the Federal Capital Territory (FCT), Abuja, according to INEC.[2] The March 28, 2015 presidential and National Assembly elections were greeted with some challenges such as the late arrival of electoral materials and INEC staff at some polling units, as well as the malfunctioning of the Smart Card Readers (SCR) in some polling units. The commission showed its readiness to resolve those technical glitches, prevent and reduce all the election risks to the barest minimum with a zero tolerance for electoral offenders. Against this background, NOIPolls conducted a -gubernatorial and the state house of assembly post-election poll to gauge the satisfaction of voters on the general conduct of the elections, as well as security within their localities during the period. The poll also sought to compare critical attributes of the just concluded gubernatorial and the State House of Assembly elections with the Presidential and National Assembly elections. Survey Findings Respondents to the poll were asked six specific questions; the first question served as a screening question where respondents were asked if they voted in the April 11th 2015. Respondents who voted in the April 11th 2015 elections were allowed to continue the survey while respondents who did not vote had their interviews terminated at this point. It is worth noting that more interviews were terminated during the course of this survey when compared to the general elections of March 28. This could be as a result of the fact that 29 out of 36 states participated in the gubernatorial/state house of assembly elections. Subsequently, respondents who voted were further asked: In your opinion, do you think that the 2015 April 11th gubernatorial / state house of assembly elections were free and fair? The larger proportion of voters (89 percent) reported that the elections were free and fair. It is also worthy to note that some international observers such as ECOWAS, EU, UN and UNHCR also shared the same view with Nigerians on the transparency of the elections. While 11 percent claimed the elections were not free and fair; this is mostly true for the South-East zone (22 percent). These results in comparison to the post general election poll conducted by NOIPolls in the week of March 30th 2015 revealed that more voters (94 percent) declared the general election as free and fair compared with the gubernatorial / state house of assembly elections.[3] Respondents were also asked: How would you generally rate security in your locality during the April 11th gubernatorial/state house of assembly elections? Responses to this question revealed that a higher proportion of Nigerians (79 percent) who voted in the April 11th elections rated security in their various localities as good during the elections. This corresponds with the NOIPolls post presidential election poll which revealed that 81 percent of Nigerians were satisfied with the state of security in their locality during the presidential election. On the contrary, 10 percent of the voters gave a poor rating, while 11 percent asserted that the state of security was fair. Respondents who voted in the April 11th elections were further asked: Did you vote in the 2015 March 28th presidential elections? The outcome indicates that almost all the respondents (92 percent) who voted in the gubernatorial/state house of assembly election also voted in the presidential/senatorial election; only 8 percent did not vote. Furthermore, respondents who voted in both elections (92 percent of the total) were asked: How would you compare the 2015 April 11th gubernatorial/state house of assembly elections to the 2015 March 28th presidential elections? The findings revealed that most Nigerians (39: 29+10 percent) are of the opinion that the April 11th elections were poorly conducted when compared to the March 28th elections. This is closely followed by respondents (34 percent) who think that both elections were practically the same in all aspects. On the other hand, 27 (8+19) percent believe that the April 11th elections were better than the March 28th elections. Analysis by gender revealed that voters between the age-groups 26 – 35 and 46 – 60 years accounted for the largest proportion of respondents (41 percent each) who reported that the April 11th election were poorly conducted when compared to the presidential elections. Inversely, respondents who reported that the April 11th elections were much better than the March 28th elections were mostly aged between 18 – 25 years (38 percent). In addition, voters who indicated that both elections were the same were mostly aged 61 years and above (69 percent). Finally, respondents who voted in both elections (92 percent of the total) were asked: Compared to March 28th presidential elections, how would you rate the following during the April 11th gubernatorial/state house of assembly elections: a) functionality of card reader, b) punctuality of INEC Officials, c) expertise of INEC staff? Responses revealed that majority (56 percent: 22+34) of the respondents who voted in both elections reported that the functionality of the card reader was better in the April 11th elections than the March 28th elections; where 34 percent believe it was much better and 22 percent who believe it was excellent in the April 11th compared with March 28th. This is followed by 31 percent who believe it was the same in both elections. This therefore suggests an improvement in this attribute with rectification of lapses experienced during the March 28th elections; as suggested by voters in a post presidential election poll conducted by NOIPOlls; where majority of the voters suggested that INEC should improve on the card reader during the April 11th election. With regards to the punctuality of INEC officials during the April 11th election, the majority 53 percent (21+32) believe it was better than March 28th election, followed by 36 percent who reported it was the same as the March 28th election. Similarly, the majority of voters (54 percent: 20+34) reported that the expertise of INEC staff during the April 11th election was better than the March 28th, followed by 37 percent who reported there was no difference in this attribute from the March 28th elections. These findings therefore suggest improvement in all three attributes from the March 28th presidential election. In conclusion, the poll revealed that almost 8 in 10 Nigerians described the April 11th elections as free and fair. Also, a large proportion of voters (79 percent) rated security in their various localities as good during the April 11th elections. Furthermore, almost all the respondents (92 percent) who voted in the gubernatorial/state house of assembly election also voted in the presidential/senatorial election; and of this proportion, the majority (39 (29+10) percent) are of the view that the April 11th elections were poorly conducted when compared with the March 28th elections. Finally, the larger share of respondents (34 percent) observed that the April 11th elections were much better than the March 28th elections in terms of the functionality of the card reader. Likewise, most Nigerians 53 percent (21+32) who voted in the April 11th elections considered the punctuality of INEC staff to be better in the April 11th elections than in the March 28th general elections and this also applies to the expertise of INEC staff as the largest proportion (54 percent: 20+34) of the respondents reported it to be better than the March 28th elections. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in the week of 20th April 2015. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa, works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA). We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1] http://www.news24.com.ng/Elections/News/INEC-declares-Imo-governorship-election-inconclusive-20150413 [2] http://inecnigeria.org/ [3] http://www.noi-polls.com/root/index.php?pid=314&ptid=1&parentid=12

  • 2011 Elections, Free and Fair?

    In the countdown to 2011 general elections, both President Goodluck Jonathan and the INEC chairman – Professor Attahiru Jega have assured Nigerians that the polls will be credible and that the people’s vote will count. In continuation of its electoral surveys, NOI Polls asked Nigerians what they think about some of the candidates’ bids to for the presidency. Respondents were asked the question ‘Do you think that the 2011 general elections will be free and fair?’. 74% replied in the affirmative, 12% said ‘NO’ and 14% answered ‘Don’t Know’. Nigerians’ Views on Selected 2011 Presidential Aspirants In the run up to the 2011 presidential elections, several prominent Nigerians have formally declared their intention to run for the highest office in the land. In continuation of its electoral surveys, NOI Polls asked Nigerians what they think about some of the candidates’ bids to for the presidency. Ibrahim Babangida While nearly all of those quizzed (97%) are aware that Ibrahim Babangida has declared his intention to run for the 2011 presidential elections, only 27% think he should run for office. When asked why they think he should run for office, 76% of those who think he should run said that it is within his rights as a Nigerian, 9% said that he is a good man and 8% said that they believe he is competent enough to be president. Of the 69% who think he should not run, 19% cited his reputation as being poor, 19% said that they dislike him, 17% said that he is corrupt and another 17% said that they want a new generation of leaders. Atiku Abubakar Awareness of Atiku Abubakar’s presidential aspirations is also high at 90%, however only 27% of respondents think that he should run while 70% believe he shouldn’t run for president. The highest proportion of those who believe that he should run (87%) say that it his right to do so. On the other hand, the highest proportion (21%) of those who think Atiku should not run maintain this stance based on their view that he is corrupt. 19% do not like him, 18% think he has a bad reputation while another 18% think he cannot provide the positive changes needed in Nigeria. Nuhu Ribadu 86% of respondents are aware of Ribadu’s intention to run for the 2011 presidential elections. Just over half of Nigerians (55%) think that he should run, while 41% think he shouldn’t run. 54% of those who think Ribadu should run for president say it is his right while 13% justify his candidacy citing that he is a good man. 10% of those supporting Ribadu’s decision to run do so as a result of their view that he represents a new generation of Nigerian leaders. The majority of those who think that Ribadu should not run (59%) cite his inexperience as their reason, while 13% generally dislike him. Survey Results This survey shows that Nigerians’ awareness of the presidential candidates in the forthcoming elections is generally high. The poll also highlights the opinions held by Nigerians about different candidates. Finally, the poll underscores the fact that Nigerians are generally optimistic about the 2011 general elections. Survey Methods Respondents for the snap poll were randomly selected from a database of phone owning Nigerians aged 15 and above, compiled by NOI Polls. 1,008 people took part in the telephone interviews from the 20th to 23rd of September, 2010. For a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points. The margin of error reflects the influence of data weighting. In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.

  • Democracy Day Special 2012

    June 4, 2012. Exactly a year ago, on May 29th 2011, Dr Goodluck Ebele Azikiwe Jonathan took the oath of office as the President and Commander-in-Chief of the Federal Republic of Nigeria. In his inaugural speech, President Jonathan declared, “The leadership we have pledged is decidedly transformative. The transformation will be achieved in all the critical sectors, by harnessing the creative energies of our people. We must grow the economy, create jobs, and generate enduring happiness for our people. I have great confidence in the ability of Nigerians to transform this country.” One year later, the approval and performance of the President and his administration have been attended with mixed reactions. On one hand, there are supporters who believe President Jonathan is a good man and has good intentions for the country, but lacks the ability and will to follow through with his policies and plans. There are others who suggest that one of his major achievements as a leader has been his ability to successfully broker and maintain peace in the Niger Delta region – based on the amnesty deal initiated by his predecessor. On the other hand, there are also sceptics who believe the President’s leadership so far has been abysmal; criticising his government’s purported lacklustre approach at responding to the country’s security challenges, particularly the Boko Haram insurgency, which has led to the untimely death of hundreds of innocent Nigerians, as well as citing his alleged lack of true commitment at tackling the country’s corruption burden. Against this background, NOI Polls Limited, an Abuja based opinion research and knowledge management organisation, recently conducted a snap poll to gauge the opinions of Nigerians regarding the performance of the President Jonathan and his administration, and his approval rating, after 1 year in office. Methodology The opinion poll was conducted between May 23rd and 25th, 2012. It involved 1,033 nationwide telephone interviews of randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, and representing the six geopolitical zones in the country. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a plus or minus 5% margin of error, of what they would have been if the entire population had been surveyed. The margin of error reflects the influence of data weighting and question wording, while practical difficulties in conducting surveys may introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls. The questionnaire was designed in English and the survey was conducted in English, Hausa, Yoruba, Ibo, and Pidgin, to ensure coverage of relevant geographical and demographic groups. Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS) software was used for data entry and analysis. Descriptive statistics, mainly frequencies and percentage distribution, charts (pie and bar) and cross tabulations were used in data analysis. Demographic Distribution of Respondents From the total sample size of 2000 respondents, 1033 completed telephone interviews were conducted. From the completed interviews, 64% of the respondents were males and 36%, females. Furthermore, majority of the respondents (48% and 38%) were within the age categories of 36-44 and 27-35 respectively, while 8%, 5% and 1% were within the categories of 18-26, 45-60 and 61+ years respectively. In addition, majority (19%) of respondents were professional workers while 17% classified themselves as government workers/civil servants. An equal proportion (15%) classified themselves as business men/women and artisans, while 9% and 8% were students and Youth Corpers respectively. 7% of the respondents were unemployed while 6% were self-employed/traders. Table I. Demographic Distribution of the Sample Variable Response Frequency Percentage % Gender Male Female 664 368 64 36 Age Category 18 – 26 27 – 35 36 – 44 45 – 60 61 and Above 79 388 498 55 6 8 38 48 5 1 Occupation Govt. Worker/Civil Servant Professional Worker Business Man/Woman Farmer/Agric. Worker Artisan Unemployed Student Religious Leader/Missionary Youth Corper Self Employed/Trader Others 171 193 158 23 152 76 92 8 83 57 15 17 19 15 2 15 7 9 1 8 6 1 Findings Opinion about the performance of the present administration Respondents were asked their opinions about the performance of the present administration since its inauguration on May 29th 2011 to date. Majority of the entire respondents (37%) rated the administration’s performance as average, while 31% said they had performed well. 17% said they had performed poorly, while 10% said they had performed very well. Only 5% said the present administration has performed very poor. Furthermore, in comparing within gender, the survey revealed that majority of both male (40%) and female (36%) respondents rate the performance of the administration as average; while 30% and 31% of male and female respondents, respectively, said the administration had performed well. In comparing within age category, majority of respondents between the ages of 18-26 (37%) and 27-35 (34%) said administration had performed well, while 41% and 49% of respondents between the age category of 36-44 and 45-60 respectively, rated the performance as average. Overall, the poll result shows that a higher proportion of Nigerians rated the administration’s performance more positively (41%), than those that rated the administration negatively (22%). Table II. Performance Rating of the Present Administration Category Responses Performed Very Well Performed Well Performed Averagely Performed Poorly Performed Very Poorly By Gender Male 10% 31% 36% 18% 5% Female 10% 30% 40% 17% 3% By Age Category 18-26 13% 37% 34% 15% 1% 27-35 12% 34% 32% 19% 3% 36-44 8% 28% 41% 17% 6% 45-60 5% 27% 49% 15% 4% 61+ 50% 0% 50% 0% 0% Total 10% 31% 37% 17% 5% Approval of the Performance of President Goodluck Jonathan Apart from rating the performance of the administration, respondents were also asked whether or not they approve the performance of President Goodluck Jonathan since his official swearing in a year ago, on May 29th2011. Interestingly, more than 5 in 10 Nigerians (54%) said they approve of the President’s performance, while about 2 in 10 Nigerians (20%) disapproved his performance. An equal proportion (11%) said they strongly approve and neither approve nor disapprove of his performance. Only 4% of the respondents said they strongly disapprove. In addition, when analysed by gender and age category, the poll results clearly affirmed that the majority of both male and female respondents and across all the age categories approve the performance of President Goodluck Jonathan. On average, more than 6 in 10 Nigerians (65%) say they approve and strongly approve his performance; while about 2 in 10 Nigerians (24%) say they disapprove and strongly disapprove his performance. It is important to note that this current 65% approval represents a 14% decline from the previous 79% approval, which the President was rated in 2010 (while serving as Acting President), as presented in NOI’s 4th National Poll (Nov. 2010). Table III. Approval of President Goodluck Jonathan since May 29th 2011 Category Responses Strongly Approve Approve Neither Approve nor Disapprove Disapprove Strongly Disapprove By Gender Male 11% 54% 11% 20% 4% Female 11% 55% 12% 19% 3% By Age Category 18-26 14% 52% 14% 16% 4% 27-35 12% 52% 13% 20% 3% 36-44 9% 56% 9% 21% 5% 45-60 11% 53% 16% 20% 0% 61+ 17% 33% 0% 33% 17% Total 11% 54% 11% 20% 4% Rating the Performance of President Goodluck Jonathan on a 10-point Scale In other to throw more light on the level of approval or disapproval of the president’s performance, respondents were further asked to score the performance of President Goodluck Jonathan on a 10-point scale. Interestingly, majority of the respondents (23%) scored the president’s performance a 5/10 mark, while 14%, 13% and 12% scored his performance 4/10, 6/10 and 7/10 respectively. Also, 9%, 8% and 7% scored him, 8/10, 1/10 and 3/10 respectively. The least proportion was 4% of respondents who scored his performance 9/10. On average, almost 5 in 10 Nigerians (48%) scored the president’s performance, since May 29th 2011, between 5 and 7 on a 10-point scale. The Most Important Issue the Administration Should Address in the Next 3 Years Lastly, respondents were asked to comment on the most important issue(s) that President Goodluck Jonathan’s administration needs to address within the next 3 years. An overwhelming majority (37%) were of the opinion that the administration needs to address the security challenges facing the country. This is followed by the need to resolve the massive unemployment situation (20%), improving electricity supply (12%) and education (8%). An equal but small proportion of respondents (3%) suggested the eradication of corruption and the boosting of agriculture; while only 2% mentioned the need to strengthen the economy, address food crisis, reduce poverty, enhance good governance and improved transportation. It would be recalled that in the NOI’s 4th National Poll, released in November 2010, the four most important issues that Nigerians wanted the government to address at the time were – Electricity (19%), Job Creation (12%), Corruption (10%), and Education (10%). However, the recent poll has shown that the current insecurity challenges (37%) facing the country, particularly the Boko Haram menace, has taken the spotlight of issues that Nigerians critically want President Goodluck Jonathan’s administration to address; although it is still followed by job creation, electricity and education. Conclusion and Policy Recommendations In conclusion, the results from this poll have shown that while President Jonathan’s administration is mainly considered to have performed averagely, the President on his own still enjoys some level of positive approval from Nigerians (65%) in terms of his performance. Although this approval rating marks a decline from the 79% positive approval he enjoyed in 2010 (while serving as Acting President). The analysis also revealed that while this rating cuts across gender and age categories; almost 5 in 10 Nigerians (48%) scored the President performance between five and seven on a 10-point scale. In addition, Security, Job creation, Electricity Supply and Education featured as the most important policy priority of Nigerians at the moment. Consequently, several important policy recommendations emerged from this special Democracy Day Poll. Firstly, President Goodluck Jonathan should realise that although his administration is currently ranked average and Nigerians approve of his performance; notwithstanding, his approval rating is on the decline. Therefore he needs to double his efforts and focus on critical areas that would have far-reaching implications on the lives of Nigerians; else his current approval rating may continue to experience further decline. Secondly, the administration urgently needs to tackle the security challenges facing the country, particularly the Boko Haram menace. It would be recalled that an August 2011 Snap Poll conducted by NOI Polls suggested the combination of effective force and dialogue as a means of tackling the Boko Haram menace. There also needs to be adequate investment in modern infrastructure and intelligence equipment for policing, as well as effective training and retraining of security personnel at all levels. Thirdly, the administration needs to focus its policy on stimulating a more friendly business environment, in order to attract both local and foreign investors, who would in turn create jobs for the teeming mass of unemployed youths. The need for this is highlighted by the increasing rate of crime, militancy, and youth restiveness that has previously been linked to the level of unemployment in the country. Although the YouWinscheme for encouraging budding entrepreneurs is quite laudable; nonetheless, the high rate of unemployment in the country makes the scheme appear like “a drop in the ocean” to resolving the unemployment challenge. Therefore, sectors such as agriculture, manufacturing and the creative industry (Nollywood and Music) ought to be promoted with the right policies and funding, because of their enormous potentials for wealth generation and job creation. In addition the administration needs to further strengthen its commitment towards improving the provision of electricity supply in the country. For instance, 12 to 18 hours availability of electricity supply would impact positively on the economy and significantly assist in job creation. Also, it is important for the administration to show more commitment to the fight against corruption; not just in words, but also in action; by ensuring that cases of corruption are followed through to their logical conclusion, and those found guilty are made to squarely face the wrath of the law, commensurate to their offences.

  • 9 in 10 Registered Voters Look Forward to voting in the 2015 Elections

    Abuja, Nigeria. April 23, 2013 –Latest weekly poll results released by NOI Polls have revealed that about 9 in 10 registered voters in Nigeria (90%) have indicated readiness to vote in the 2015 elections. The results further revealed that most Nigerians view the forthcoming elections as an opportunity to elect a good leader and to exercise their voting right; while those who expressed unwillingness to vote attribute it to the perception that their vote will not count. These were a few of the key findings from the Countdown to the 2015 elections poll conducted in the week of April 15th2013. This month of April officially marks 2 years to the 2015 elections. As Nigeria prepares for the next general elections in 2015, there have been lots of political activities gradually building up to 2015. These include debates in the political sphere on who should or should not fly the presidential flag for the ruling political party in the next presidential elections and media reports on the merger of 3 major opposition parties to form the All Progressives Congress (APC), with a view to wrestle power from the ruling PDP. Previous elections in Nigeria have been characterised with high levels of voter apathy, which has been blamed on election fraud and violence amongst other reasons. Against this background, NOI Polls has conducted this latest poll as the first in the “Countdown to the 2015 elections” series. We will officially start the Elections Polls (Countdown to 2015) in collaboration with Gallup in Q4 2013. The poll asked people five specific questions to respondents. The first question sought to establish the expectations of Nigerians about the 2015 elections. Respondents were asked: Are you looking forward to the 2015 elections? Nationwide results show that the overwhelming majority (91%) answered affirmatively indicating they are indeed looking forward to the 2015 elections while 9% responded negatively. Analyzing results in more detail highlights some interesting facts. In general, more male respondents are looking forward to the elections when compared to female respondents. Also, the South-West has the highest proportion of respondents (13%) who indicated that they are not looking forward to the elections; while the South-East has the highest proportion of respondents (97%) looking forward to the 2015 elections. Respondents were subsequently asked: Are you presently a registered voter? Overall, the majority of respondents and by a considerable margin (84%) indicated that they are presently registered voters, while 16% answered “No”. This result indicating a high proportion of registered voters corroborates the findings of an election poll conducted by NOI Polls in April 2011, where 94% of voters confirmed that they had registered to vote in the 2011 elections. It is pertinent to note, again, that more male than female respondents are registered voters, highlighting the political consciousness of males versus their female counterparts. Also looking across geo-political zones, the results show that the North-West has the highest percentage of people that are not currently registered (21%) followed by the South-West (18%) and North-Central (17%). Conversely, the South-East has the highest proportion of registered voters (89%), followed by the South-South (88%) and North-East (86%). In furtherance, respondents who are not presently registered voters (16% of the total) were asked a follow-up question: Do you plan to register in time for the 2015 elections?Interestingly, the majority (76%) responded affirmatively, confirming that they plan to register before the elections, while 24% responded negatively. When responses are analysed in more detail, the South-South geo-political zone has the highest percentage (32%) of respondents who indicated that they do not have plans to register before the elections, followed by the North-West (28%) and South-East (25%) In a similar pattern as with previous questions, the results show that, in general, females are less likely to vote when compared to males. Also, the South-West has the highest proportion of respondents (16%) who stated that they would not vote in the election, followed by the North-West and North-Central (both with 10%). Furthermore, the North-East geo-political zone (97%) has the highest proportion of respondents who have indicated willingness to vote in the 2015 elections; followed by the South-East zone (95%). Finally, all respondents were asked for the reason why they would vote versus the reason why they would not vote. Firstly, respondents that indicated their willingness to vote were asked the following: Why would you vote in the 2015? The main reason why respondents would vote in the 2015 elections is “To elect a good leader” (42%), followed by “To exercise my right to vote” (38%). Other reasons include: “To vote for a change of government (8%), “To vote for my candidate” (7%) and “To vote for good governance”. Interestingly, the result of a similar poll conducted in April 2011 shows that 98% of respondents registered to exercise their right to vote. When results are analysed in more detail, significant discrepancies can be observed. More female than male respondents mentioned that they want “To elect a good leader”. Also, the North-Central geo-political zone (56%) has the largest proportion of respondents that mentioned “To elect a good leader”, while the North-East has the highest proportion of respondents who stated – “To exercise my right to vote”. The North-Central also has the highest proportion of respondents (14%) who want “To vote for a change of government”. Next respondents that stated their unwillingness to vote were asked the following: Why wouldn’t you vote in the 2015 elections? Overall, the majority (45%) said they were not willing to vote because they perceive “My vote does not count”. Other reasons mentioned for not voting are: “Politicians promise and fail” (16%), “No change in governance” (11%), “There still is corruption in government” (8%), “Lack of credible electioneering system” (9%) and “I may not be available”. More male than female respondents think “My vote does not count” while the North Central has the highest proportion of respondents (67%) who share the same view. In conclusion, these poll results indicate that the majority of Nigerians who are of voting age are looking forward to the 2015 elections, and have also expressed readiness to vote. These current results corroborate the findings of a similar poll conducted by NOI Polls in April 2011, where 94% of Nigerians expressed readiness to vote in the 2011 elections. However, from the results of this current poll, the main reasons why people want to vote are because they want to elect a good leader and exercise their right to vote. Conversely, the main reason mentioned by respondents who indicated unwilling to vote is that they do not think their votes would count. It is curious to note that while the South-East geo-political zone has the highest proportion of respondents who are looking forward to the 2015 elections (97%) and are presently registered (89%); the South-West zone, which is often considered the most politically aware region of the country, has the highest proportion of respondents that are unwilling to vote (16%) and are not looking forward to the elections (13%). These results support recent findings from a survey initiated by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Friedrich–Ebert-Stiftung, a German non-governmental organisation, where the main reason respondents gave for not voting is that they believe that votes do not count in Nigeria. As the country prepares for the 2015 elections, INEC, the media and the Federal government have a collective responsibility to help give Nigerians a positive perception about the 2015 elections. Information NOI Polls would like to inform our audience that we are currently building a network of panelists and political analysts who may be interested in participating in our open-house sessions to provide much needed political insights and commentary on our poll results. If you are interested, kindly send your contacts to editor@noi-polls.com. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted from April 15th to 16th 2013. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,001 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 4%. NOI Polls Limited is Nigeria’s leading opinion polling and research organisation, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOI Polls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOI Polls be acknowledged as author whenever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOI Polls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOI Polls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOI Polls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com

  • Confidence in Judiciary

    Abuja, Nigeria. December 8, 2010 – Findings from the NOI Snap Poll for November show that the Nigerian public thinks very highly of the judicial arm of government. 81% of respondents in the survey responded in the affirmative when asked if they have confidence in the judiciary. The finding is coming in the wake of recent tribunal rulings in several states, which either replaced sitting governors with opposition candidates or ordered fresh elections. Survey Methods Respondents for the snap poll were randomly selected from a database of phone-owning Nigerians aged 15 and above, compiled by NOI Polls. 1,012 people took part in the telephone interviews from the 15th to 17th of November 2010. For a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points. The margin of error reflects the influence of data weighting. In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.

  • August 2010 Snap Poll: should Goodluck run, confidence in INEC

    Goodluck Jonathan and the 2011 Presidential Elections Despite growing speculation about whether President Goodluck Jonathan will run for President in the upcoming 2011 presidential elections, the president is still yet to declare his intentions. However, various interest groups have sprung up pledging their support if Jonathan decides to run, while others insist that the zoning formula within his own ruling party should prevent him from running for President. A recent survey conducted by NOI Polls shows that the majority (81%) of Nigerians believe that Jonathan should run for President. The highest proportion of respondents who think that Jonathan should run for President was from the South-East (89%) and lowest proportion was from the North-West (62%) Future Elections and the Emergence of Presidential Candidates in Nigeria The results of this poll support the findings of a previous poll conducted by NOI Polls in April 2010 which found that Nigerians were largely unsupportive of the application of a Zoning Formula in selecting Presidential candidates. To the question ‘Do you think/agree that there should be a zoning formula for the emergence of Presidential candidates in Nigeria?’, more than 6 in 10 (63%) respondents answered ‘No’. 33% responded in the affirmative while 4% either didn’t know or refused to answer the question. Competence is more important…….. Rather than zoning, Nigerians consider other factors to be more significant when choosing the country’s president. In response to the question ‘What do you consider to be the most important criteria that should be applied in choosing/selecting the Nigerian President?’, 38% of respondents answered ‘perceived competence’. Also considered to be important by respondents is the level of education of the candidates (22%) and election manifesto/promises (20%). Ethnicity was considered the least significant factor (2% of respondents), while religion polled just 7% amongst the respondents. Attahiru Jega, INEC and Nigerians’ Hopes for the 2011 Elections On June 8th 2010, President Goodluck Jonathan nominated Professor Attahiru Muhammadu Jega as the new chairman of the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC). Jega’s nomination was generally lauded by both opposition and pro-establishment parties as he is largely regarded as a man of integrity capable of effective leadership of the INEC. Nonetheless, concerns still remain regarding the conduct of the upcoming 2011 elections and the implementation of reforms in the electoral process. In a recent survey conducted by NOI Polls, 80% of Nigerians said that they were aware of Attahiru Jega’s appointment as INEC chairman. In addition, his appointment has boosted most respondents’ confidence in INEC’s capacity to conduct credible elections, with 73% responding ‘Yes’ to the question ‘Does the change in leadership make you more confident or less confident in INEC’s ability to conduct free and fair elections?’. Voting Intentions The survey also asked respondents whether they intended to vote in the 2011 elections. Just under 9 in 10 of those quizzed (87%) said ‘Yes’ with only 9% responding ‘No’ to the question. Reasons for not voting Of the 9% who said they no plans to vote in the 2011 elections, the majority (52%) said they were not interested in politics while 25% (1 in 4) said they believe that their votes will not count. The remaining 12% and 11% were concerned about the security during the elections and said they do not believe in the credibility of the candidates, respectively. Survey Methods Respondents for the snap polls were randomly selected from a database of phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 and above, compiled by NOI Polls. 1024 people took part in the telephone interviews from the 23rd and 25th of August, 2010. For a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.

  • First Job Approval Rating for President Muhammadu Buhari (First 30 Days in Office) Recorded at 70 Pe

    Abuja, Nigeria. July 9th, 2015– Latest governance poll results released by NOIPolls, for the job approval rating of President Muhammadu Buhari over the past one month revealed that 70 percent of the respondents approve of President Muhammadu’s job performance. Nigerians in this category mentioned reasons such as security has improved (20 percent), he hasgood intentions (16 percent), and stability ofelectricity (15 percent) among others.This result represents the first rating for President Muhammadu Buhari as Presdient of the Federal Republic. On the other hand only 12 percent of respondents disapproved of his performance over 30 days attributing it to reasons such as; nothing has changed yet and it is too early to evaluate. The high approval ratings indicate a high level of positive perception adult Nigerians have in the new President. In addition, the deterioriating power situation in the country seem to have improved by a whopping 27 points up to 44 percent (June 2015) from 17 percent (May 2015) as Nigerians claimed to have experienced more improvement in the month of June 2015. By contrast, only 17 percent of respondents acknowledged there is no improvement while 22 percent stated that there is no difference at all in power supply in June 2015. These are some of the key findings from the Governance Snap Poll conducted in the week of June 29th 2015. Brief Background Nigerians are of high expectations from the new administration and the changes that will go with it. This was revealed when NOIPolls Limited in partnership with BusinessDay Media conducted a Democracy Day Special Poll which indicated that Nigerians would like the new government to mainly focus on ‘Power’ (55 percent), ‘Security’ (41 percent) and ‘Education’ (34 percent) among other sectors; in order to inprove the general wellbing of citizens and the nation as a whole.[1] The inaugural speech of President Mohammadu Buhari could rightly be described as remarkable and very promising as the President laid out a very powerful agenda for his administration. Nonetheless, its success within the next four years would be determined by its ability to capture all of the key areas Nigerians expect the President to mostly focus on. Against this background, NOIPolls conducted the first approval rating for President Muhammadu Buhari’job performance during his first 30 Days in Office as the President of Federal Republic of Nigeria. The poll was conducted by NOIPolls to gauge the opinions and perceptions of Nigerians regardingthe approval rating of the President (First 30 Days in office)and the current state of power supply in the country. Respondents to the poll were asked two specific questions. The first sought to assess the opinion of Nigerians on the performance of President Muhammadu Buhari after 30 days in office. Respondents were asked: Do you approve or disapprove of the job performance of President Muhammadu Buhari in the past 1 month?The outcome revealed that 70 percent of Nigerians surveyed approved of President Muhammadu’s job performance in June 2015 (First 30 Days in office). On the contrary, 12 percent of the respondents disapproved, whereas 18 percent of the respondents were neutral as they neither approved nor disapproved of the President’s job performance. An assessment of the President’s job performance by geo-political zone showed that the North-East zone (87 percent) accounted for the largest proportion of respondents who approved of the President’s job performance. The South-East zone (22 percent) accounted for the greater portion of respondents who disapproved of the President’s job performance. In addition, the South-South zone accounted for the largest fraction of respondents who were neutral with 26 percent. When asked for reasons for approving the President’s performance after 30 days in office, 20 percent of the respondents mentioned that security had improved, 16 percent thoughthe hasgood intentions, and 15 percent mentioned the current stability ofelectricity. Of those that disapproved the President, 73 percent stated that nothing has changed yet, whilst 15 percent thought it is too early to evaluate among others as their reasons for disapproving president’s performance. It is worthy to note that, the analysis of approval rating of the job performance of Nigerian Presidents from 2007-2015 (first 30 days in office) reveals that Late President Yar’Adua has the highest ranking at 82 percent followed by President Good luck Jonathan (78 percent), while the Incumbent president (President Muhammadu) starts with 70 percent. The state of power supply to Nigerian households over the past one month was also measured, respondents were asked: How would you describe a power supply in your area in the last 1 month? Power supply to Nigerian households improved over the past one month as reported by 44 percent of the repondents surveyed. On the contrary, only 17 percent of respondents acknowledged there is no improvement in power supply while 22 percent stated that there is no difference at all in power supply in June 2015. Evaluation of the state of power by geo-political zone revealed that the Norh-East zone (52 percent) accounted for the largest proportion of respondents who experienced improved power supply, while the South-East zone (52 percent) has the larger number of Nigerians who reported there was no difference at all, whereas, South-South zone (52 percent) accounted for the greater portion of respondents who claimed that power supply worsened within the last one month. The monthly trend evaluation revealed 27-point increase in power supply in June 2015 which signifies the highest power rating since January, 2015. In conclusion, about 7 in 10 (70 percent) Nigerians surveyed approve of President Muhammadu’s job performance in June 2015 (First 30 Days in Office). On the other hand, a total of 12 percent of the respondents disapproved of his job performance, whereas 18 percent of the respondents were neutral as they neither approved nor disapproved of the President’s job performance. Further analysis revealed that respondents mentioned that Security has improved (20 percent), he hasgood intentions and he is good so far (16 percent), and stability ofelectricity (15 percent) among others as reasons for approving President’s performance after 30 days in office. In addition, power supply to Nigerian households improved over the past one month as recounted by 44 percent. On the other hand, 17 percent of respondents agreed there is no improvement while 22 percent confirmed there is no difference at all in power supply in June 2015. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in the week of June 29th 2015. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa. We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1] http://www.noi-polls.com/root/index.php?pid=328&ptid=1&parentid=12

  • 6 in 10 Nigerians agree that Nigeria has fared better as a nation

    Abuja, Nigeria. February 8, 2013 – Latest weekly poll results released by NOI Polls Limited have revealed that about 6 in 10 Nigerians agree that the country has fared better as a united nation, instead of being separate. The results also indicate that 48 percent of Nigerians think the planned 100 year celebration of Nigeria in 2014 is justified. These were two key findings from the centenary polls done in the week of February 4th 2013. According to media reports, Tuesday February 5th 2013 marked the flagging-off of Nigeria’s year-long Centenary celebration at the Banquet Hall of the State House by President Goodluck Jonathan. While delivering his address, the President expressed his appreciation to eminent Nigerians and corporate organisations who have actively participated towards making the launch of the Centenary celebration a success. It was against this background that NOI Polls, Nigeria’s leading opinion polling organisation, sought to gauge the awareness of Nigerians regarding the country’s Centenary and their opinions on the planned celebrations. Respondents to the poll were asked five specific questions. The first question sought to establish awareness regarding Nigeria’s forthcoming Centenary. Respondents were asked: Are you aware that Nigeria would be 100 years as nation in 2014? The results indicate that almost 7 in 10 Nigerians (69%) said they were aware that Nigeria would be 100 years in 2014; while 31% of respondents stated that they were not aware. Respondents who were aware that Nigeria would be 100 years in 2014 were further asked about their awareness of the planned celebration: Are you aware of the year-long centenary celebration to mark the amalgamation of Nigeria? of the 69% of respondents who were aware that Nigeria will be 100 in 2014, a further majority (68%) were aware of the planned celebration, while 32% were not aware. The third question sought the opinions of Nigerians regarding the need for the planned centenary celebration. Respondents were asked: Do you agree or disagree that 100 years celebration of the amalgamation of Nigeria is justified? The results indicate that majority (48%) of the respondents agree that the celebration is justified, followed by 31% that disagree. Also, 11% of the respondents are neutral, while 5% each strongly agree and strongly disagree. When responses from the third question were further analysed across geo-political zones, the analyses shows that the South-East zone has the greatest proportion of respondents (75%) that agree the centenary celebration is justified; while the North East has the largest percentage of respondents (62%) who disagree with the celebration. Generally, the results indicate that 53% of Nigerians are of the opinion that the centenary celebration is justified. Next, respondents were asked the following question: Do you think Nigeria has achieved the vision of the founding fathers after its first 100 years? The overwhelming majority (72%) responded negatively, stating they did not think Nigeria has achieved the vision of its founding fathers in the first 100 years. Furthermore, 26% answered “Yes” to the question while 2% stated they did not know or refused to answer the question. This finding highlights earlier findings from the company’s 2012 independence poll, where 88% of the respondents thought that the current vision of the country is not the same as it was in 1960. Please visit www.noi-polls.com for results of the Independence Day Poll. Finally, given the mixed opinions that have trailed the issue of Lord Lugard’s amalgamation of the Northern and Southern protectorates to form one single nation called Nigeria; respondents were asked the following question:Do you agree with the opinion that Nigeria would have fared better if it had remained two separate protectorates? Majority (61%) of the respondents answered “No”, indicating that they disagree that Nigeria would have fare better if the country had remained two separate protectorates. Also, 37% responded “Yes” to the question, while 2% said they do not know or refused to answer. The results indicate that at least 6 in 10 Nigerians (61%) are of the opinion that it was a right decision by Lord Lugard to amalgamate the Northern and Southern protectorates, and that Nigeria has fared better by remaining one nation. Furthermore, when the data was cross-tabulated and the responses analysed across the geo-political zones, it is clearly observed that the only region that had a significantly different opinion regarding the amalgamation is the South-East zone, where majority (63%) of the respondents seemed to hold the view that Nigeria would have fared better if it had remained two separate protectorates. In conclusion, the results of this current poll have clearly indicated that most Nigerians are aware that the country will mark 100 years of amalgamation in 2014, and they consider this worth celebrating. Also, despite the fact that most Nigerians (72%) do not think that Nigeria has achieved the vision of its founding fathers; yet the majority of those polled (61%) are still of the opinion that Nigeria has fared better as one united indivisible nation instead of remaining two separate protectorates. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted on February 5th to 7th 2013. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 720 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 4%. NOI Polls Limited is Nigeria’s leading opinion polling and research organisation, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com

  • Almost 3 in 10 Nigerians suggest Dialogue with the Boko Haram Sect

    Abuja, Nigeria. April 9, 2013 – Latest weekly poll results released by NOI Polls Limited has revealed that almost 3 in 10 Nigerians (26%) suggest the Federal Government should dialogue with Boko Haram while only 1 in 10 Nigerians suggest amnesty as a way forward. Additionally, almost 3 in 10 Nigerians do not feel safe while 6 in 10 Nigerians believe the Federal Government is able to provide security for the Nation. These are the key findings from the security of the nation poll conducted in the week of April 1st 2013. From media reports, in 2013 about 250 people have been killed so far in related attacks, bombings and killings alleged to be committed by members of the Boko Haram sect. Recent bombing of the motor park in Kano and attacks in Niger, Borno and Yobe states leaving behind several casualties, loss of lives and properties, have renewed social commentary on what can be done to stem the spate of attacks and solve the security problem in Northern Nigeria. Additionally, the continued kidnapping of Nigerian citizens across the Federation and request for ransom has heightened the need for safety of lives. Against this background, NOI Polls conducted a snap poll to ascertain the views of Nigerians regarding the state of security in the nation. Respondents to the poll were asked five specific questions. The first question sought to gauge the perception of Nigerians about their personal safety: How would you describe your personal safety? Though the majority of Nigerians (60%: 53% +7%) have a positive view of personal safety (“Feel safe” and “Feel very safe”), almost 3 in 10 Nigerians (28%:24% +4%) claim they feel unsafe. 12% of Nigerians feel neither safe or unsafe. Additionally, when results are analysed across geo-political zones, key highlights show the South-East has the highest proportion of respondents (45%) that “Feel unsafe”; while the South-West has the highest percentage (69%) of people that “Feel safe”. This can be assumed to be the concerted efforts of the Lagos State Government to fight crime through state intervention programs with the Police (Lagos State Security Trust Fund), whilst for the South East, the continued menace of kidnappings have citizens worried for their personal safety. The second question sought to determine the perceptions of Nigerians regarding the role of the Federal Government in providing security. Respondents were asked: To what extent do you agree or disagree that the Federal Government is able to provide security for Nigerians? In response, overall the majority64% (58%+6%) agree that the Federal Government is able to provide security for Nigerians while 23%(20% +3%) disagree on this. Results analysed according to geo-political zones show the majority of respondents in the North-West agree that the FG is able to provide security (76% in total). The South-South (31%) and South-East (30%) have the highest proportion of respondents who disagree and think the Federal Government is not able to provide security for Nigerians. This is connected to the perception that the Federal Government may have neglected to tackle kidnapping whilst concentrating on restoring security to the Northern regions. Furthermore, respondents were asked the following question: How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the response of the Federal Government to the recent spate of bomb attacks and killings? The results show that the majority of respondents are dissatisfied (57% overall; 43% dissatisfied + 14% very dissatisfied) with the response of the Federal Government to the recent spate of bomb attacks and killings in the country. A total of 24% said they are satisfied (22% satisfied + 2% very satisfied), and 19% are neither satisfied nor dissatisfied. The South-South has the highest proportion of respondents that are dissatisfied (71% total), while the North-East and North-West have the highest proportion of respondents that are satisfied (both 33% in total). Also overall, more male than female respondents are dissatisfied with the response of the FG (58% versus 53%) and more Female respondents are satisfied and neutral about the issue. The fourth question is as follows: How has the Boko Haram threat affected you personally? Overall, the majority by a considerable margin (71%) claim the Boko Haram threat has not affected them personally. This is followed by 8% and 7% who claim it has restricted their movement and affected their business respectively. Only 5% claim they have lost loved ones and property and now live in fear. Finally, respondents were asked the following question: How do you think the Federal Government should handle the Boko Haram Issue? Overall, the majority of respondents (26%) think the Federal Government should dialogue with them. This is followed by 16% who think the matter should be investigated further. 14% think the FG should create employment for the youths in the Northern region; while 13% believe military force should be employed against them. Other suggestions are to put strong laws in place to combat the issue (10%), Grant them amnesty (9%), Solicit foreign assistance (6%) and pray or tackle it spiritually (5%). Given the recent plan of government to grant amnesty to members of the Boko Haram sect; it is worth noting that while 26% of respondents suggest that government should dialogue with them, only 9% of think they should be granted amnesty. In conclusion, the results from this current poll have revealed that almost 3 in 10 Nigerians (28%) say they feel unsafe; although about 64% agree that the Federal Government is able to provide security for Nigerians. However, they are also largely dissatisfied with the response of the FG to the recent spate of attacks. Overall, while majority say they have not been personally affected by the activities of the Boko Haram sect, about 25% of respondents still believe the activities of the group have restricted their movement, affected their businesses, resulted into the loss of loved ones and properties, and have caused them to live in fear. Finally, the majority of respondents think the best way to handle the Boko Haram issue is to dialogue with them, investigate the matter further, create employment for the youths in the region and the use of the military. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted on April 1st to 3rd 2013. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,006 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOI Polls Limited is Nigeria’s leading opinion polling and research organisation, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOI Polls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOI Polls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOI Polls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOI Polls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOI Polls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com

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