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- Almost 8 in 10 Nigerians have no access to Health Insurance
Abuja, Nigeria. May 21st, 2013 – Latest weekly poll results released by NOI Polls have revealed that almost 8 in 10 Nigerians (79%) do not have access to health insurance. The poll further revealed that almost 5 in 10 Nigerians (45%) rely on Private Hospitals/ healthcare facilities for their healthcare needs, with Federal Government Hospitals (25%) coming a distant second. In addition, poor healthcare facilities and the lack of facilities in some instances were identified as the main factors responsible for the high rate of infant mortality experienced in the country. These are a few of the key findings from the Healthcare System poll conducted in the week of May 13th 2013. In May 2013, Save the Children – an International NGO in its World Mothers’ Day Report, stated that out of 176 countries, Nigeria is ranked 169th worst place for a child to be born. Its Country Director, Susan Grant, said the health of mothers determines how their babies would fare in life; adding that about 89,700 babies die the same day they are born in Nigeria. Some of the recommendations in the report include: strengthening the health system; increased commitments and funding toward the health of mothers and children; and the passage and implementation of the National Health Bill (NHB). The NHB was first presented in 2006 and made its way through various bureaucratic bottlenecks before it was passed by the House of Representatives and the Senate in May 2011. However, the bill didn’t receive presidential assent due to a number of issues surrounding its content and passage. It has been sent back to National Assembly to commence fresh legislative process by the current senate, and is regarded as urgent and critical by stakeholders in order to revive the ailing healthcare system in Nigeria. Against this background, NOI Polls conducted its latest poll on the healthcare system. It is expected that the results & findings from the poll will highlight the perceptions of Nigerians and stimulate commentary to proffer recommendations to strengthening the country’s healthcare system. Respondents to the poll were asked people five specific questions. The first question sought to establish the type of healthcare facility mainly used by Nigerians. Respondents were asked: What form of healthcare facility do you personally use? Results show that almost 5 in 10 respondents (45%) use Private Hospitals and Health Facilities; followed by 25% who use Federal Government Hospitals. Furthermore, 13% of the respondents stated that they use State Government hospitals, and 10% simply use Pharmacies/Drug stores. Other facilities used include Traditional Healthcare (3%), Local Government Hospitals/Health Centres (2%), and Faith Healing Centres (1%). When results are analysed in greater detail, some variations are highlighted. More Female respondents (51%) use Private Hospitals & Health facilities compared to Male (38%). Also, the South-West has the highest percentage of respondents that use Private Hospitals & Health Facilities (59%), followed by the South-East (55%). The North-West has the highest proportion of Nigerians that use Federal Government Hospitals (31%), closely followed by the North-East (29%). The North-East also has the largest proportion of people (17%) that simply visit Pharmacies/Drug stores when they fall ill. The Northern zones have the most people that use Traditional Healthcare, which is barely existent in the Southern geo-political zones. Respondents were subsequently asked: Do you have access to any form of health insurance? From the results, almost 8 in 10 respondents (79%) answered negatively to the question, indicating that they do not have access to any form of health insurance. On the other hand, 21% answered “Yes” to the question. Furthermore, when analyzed across geo-political zones, the South-East region (26%) has the slight majority of respondents that claim to have access to health insurance; followed by the South-South and North-East with 23% each. Also, female respondents (24%) appear to have a slight edge over male respondents (18%) when it comes to accessing health insurance. Respondents that said they had access to Health Insurance were further asked: If yes, what form of Health Insurance do you have? The overall majority (59%) stated that they have access to the National Health Insurance Scheme (NHIS). This is followed by 35% who say they have access to health insurance via a private Health Management Organisation (HMO) paid by their employer; and 6% who say they have access via a private HMO, but self-funded. The North-West has the highest proportion (83%) of respondents that benefit from NHIS, followed by the North-Central (81%). Also, the South-West has the highest percentage of people (51%) with access to health insurance through their employers; while the South-South (15%) and South-East (12%) have the highest proportion of respondents with private HMO arrangements, which are self-funded. Next, respondents were asked the following question: Do you believe that Nigeria is one of the worst places to be born because of the rate of infant mortality? The results show that the majority (53%) responded negatively, indicating they disagree that Nigeria is one of the worst places to be born. This is followed by 41% of respondents that answered “Yes” and 6% that were not sure and answered “Don’t Know” to the question. There were significant differences by gender with the majority of female respondents (60%) disagreeing that Nigeria is one of the worst places to be born, while the majority of male respondents (51%) agree with the statement. Also, the North-Central has the highest number of respondents that agree (53%), while the South-South has the highest number that disagree (63%). Subsequently, respondents that agreed with the previous question (41% of the total) were asked the following question: If yes, what is mostly responsible for the high level of infant mortality? The majority (38%) are of the opinion that “Poor healthcare facilities” is mostly responsible for the high level of infant mortality. This is followed by 19% that reckon it is caused by “Lack of healthcare facilities” and 17% who think it is caused by “No money to pay for treatment”. Other reasons are “Illiteracy on the part of mothers” (14%) and “Insufficient health workers” (12%). Looking across the geo-political zones, the North-Central has the highest proportion of respondents (64%) that think poor healthcare facilities are responsible for high infant mortality, while the North-East region has the highest (52%) that think it is because there is no money to pay for treatment. Finally, respondents were asked the following question: What recommendations do you have to lower infant mortality and ultimately improve the healthcare system in Nigeria? The majority of Nigerians (50%) are of the opinion that the Government should “Provide more healthcare facilities and modern equipment” in order to lower infant mortality and improve the healthcare system in Nigeria. This is followed by 24% who believe the government should “Train and employ more health workers”, 19% who think they should “Educate the public more” and 7% said Government should “Provide free healthcare services”. In conclusion, the results of this poll have clearly indicated that the majority of Nigerians use private hospitals and health care facilities for their healthcare needs, and do not have access to any form of health insurance. Also, it appears that most Nigerians do not agree with previous findings from International NGOs that Nigerian is one of the worst places to be born because of the high rate of infant mortality. While it is not clear why most Nigerians do not agree with the previous finding, perhaps this highlights perceived triviality on the issue of child mortality. Finally, poor healthcare facilities or lack of healthcare facilities were identified as the main factors responsible for the high rate of infant mortality; with the provision of more health care facilities and modern equipment identified as the key recommendation to stemming the tide of infant mortality. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted from May 13th to 15th 2013. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,021 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 4%. NOI Polls Limited is Nigeria’s leading opinion polling and research organisation, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOI Polls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOI Polls be acknowledged as author whenever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOI Polls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOI Polls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOI Polls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com
- 87% of Nigerians Pledge Support for the Prohibition of Smoking in Public Places
Abuja, Nigeria. October, 2016 –Latest public opinion poll results released by NOIPolls Limited has revealed that 87 percent of Nigerians say they will support a policy to ban smoking in public places, while 76 percent advocate placing a tough restriction on the sale of tobacco products. The Nigerian government has over the years implemented measures aimed at controlling tobacco smoking among its population; the Tobacco Control Act was passed by the 7th Assembly and signed into law in 2015.[1] Further findings showed that most Nigerians (71 percent) acknowledged that there is a high prevalence of tobacco consumption in Nigeria, principally amongst males (87 percent). The degree of active participation in tobacco smoking revealed that 14 percent of respondents admitted that they smoke tobacco regularly whereas, 69 percent claimed that they have never smoked tobacco before. Also, the poll revealed that smoking remains an increasing high-risk behaviour among the youth, despite its harmful effects on the health as most Nigerians (56 percent) pointed out that tobacco smoking is highly prevalent among the 18–25 years age-group and respondents aged between 18-35 years accounted for the largest proportion of respondents who asserted this statement. Therefore, anti-smoking education and other preventional strategies targeted at the youth are desirable considering 91 percent of Nigerians admitted that tobacco smoking is very harmful to the human health. In addition, most respondents (67 percent) indicated that passive smoking poses serious health harzards and this was mostly affirmed by respondents aged 61 years and above. These were the key findings from the Tobacco Snap Poll conducted in the week of October 10th 2016. Brief Background A 2016 World Health Organization (WHO) report on Tobacco consumption indicates that over five million people die worldwide as a result of tobacco intake annually. The report also revealed that about one billion people in the world practice tobacco smoking with reasons given as recreational and fulfilment of some religious rituals, amongst several others.[2] It is estimated that every year more than 17,500 Nigerians are killed by tobacco-related diseases, while over 370,000 children and more than 4.3 million adults continue to use tobacco each day.[3] Complacency in the face of this tobacco epidemic ensures that the tobacco industry continues to run roughshod over the lives of Nigerian citizens and ensuring an escalating death rate from tobacco with each passing year. Smoking is said to be the major cause of cardiovascular, respiratory and coronary heart diseases, as well as lung cancer, heart attacks, chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases, erectile dysfunction, birth defects and other ailments. Nigeria became a Party to the WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control on January 18, 2006. The National Tobacco Control Act, 2015 regulates all aspects of tobacco control including smoke free places, tobacco advertising, promotion and sponsorship, tobacco packaging and labelling, prevention of tobacco industry interference, tobacco product disclosures, the creation of a National Tobacco Control Committee, tobacco product sales, including prohibiting the sale of single sticks among other aspects. In view of this, NOIPolls conducted a fresh tobacco smoking poll which is a follow up to the poll conducted in 2014 to ascertain the perception of Nigerians concerning the prevalence of its consumption, its harmful effects as well as the level of support for the implementation of Government’s policies on tobacco consumption. Survey Findings In seeking the opinion of Nigerians on the prevalence of tobacco smoking, survey results revealed that most Nigerians (71 percent) believe that there is a high prevalence of tobacco smoking in the country. Also, 23 percent of the respondents stated that it is somewhat prevalent whereas 6 percent reported that tobacco smoking is not prevalent at all. Subsequently, smoking habits were assessed and findings revealed that a larger proportion of the respondents (69 percent) claimed that they have never smoked tobacco. Further analysis indicates that there are more female (78 percent) than male (61 percent) respondents who say they have never indulged in tobacco smoking while on the other hand, 14 percent of the respondents indicated that they smoke tobacco regularly and 9 percent admitted that they used to smoke but have given up, another 8 percent reported that they sometimes smoke tobacco but not regularly. Trend analysis revealed a significant 13-point decline in the number of Nigerians who reported that tobacco is highly prevalent when compared to the 2014 result, and this could be as a result of the tobacco bill that was signed into law in 2015. Furthermore, a majority of respondents (87 percent) irrespective of gender affirmed that tobacco smoking is highly prevalent amongst males and this represents a significant 79-point difference when compared to those who think it is highly prevalent amongst females. In addition, almost half (49 percent) of the respondents indicated that it is somewhat prevalent amongst the females, while 43 percent of the respondents stated that it is not prevalent at all amongst the female. An evaluation of tobacco smoking amongst various age-groups revealed that tobacco consumption is highly prevalent among the youth aged 18-25 years (56 percent). Interestingly, those aged between 18-35 years (58 percent) accounted for the largest proportion of Nigerians who asserted this. Tobacco consumption or smoking is prevalent among youths for several reasons ranging from: peer pressure, boosting their ego, getting tipsy, earning perceived recognition or respect, overcoming shyness and depression among other reasons.[4] The perception of Nigerians about the effects of smoking cigarettes or tobacco products was measured and findings revealed that most Nigerians (91 percent) believed that it is very harmful. This cuts across gender, geo-political zones and age-groups, implying that Nigerians are aware of the implications of tobacco consumption. The harmful effects of tobacco use serve as a motivation for countries the world over, including Nigeria, to implement strict control measures on the consumption and advertisement of tobacco products. The risk of second-hand smoke or passive smoking was also assessed and results showed that majority of Nigerians (67 percent) reported that it poses a serious health hazard. Particularly, respondents aged 60 years and above accounted for the largest proportion of Nigerians who stated this. However, 4% of Nigerians believe that second hand smoke poses no health hazard at all. The poll evaluated the support of Nigerians for Government policies in curbing tobacco consumption and poll results show that majority of the respondents surveyed are in support of laws aimed at reducing the consumption of tobacco in the country. Interestingly, 79 percent advocated that the health warning labels on the packs of cigarettes should be strengthened, 87 percent indicated that smoking in public places should be banned, 76 percent want tougher restrictions on the sale of tobacco products, while banning of all forms of advertisement for tobacco products was supported by 71 percent of the respondents. In conclusion, the poll results have shown that majority of Nigerians (71 percent) reported that tobacco smoking or consumption is highly prevalent in Nigeria especially amongst males. The survey results also reveal that youths between the ages of 18 and 25 years have the highest prevalence of tobacco smoking across the various age-groups compared. In light of the above, it is suggestive that health education should be a major component of the health policy in Nigeria to drive awareness on the dangers inherent in smoking cigarettes as well as learning some cessation techniques. It is interestingly evident that a majority of Nigerians are fully aware of the health implications of smoking cigarettes or tobacco products and they have demonstrated support for government policies against tobacco sale, smoking and consumption. Finally, effective implementation and enforcement of the Tobacco Control Act passed by the 7th Assembly and signed into law in 2015, has also been advocated for, as this would help achieve the aim of reducing the victims of tobacco related diseases in Nigeria. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in the week of October 10th 2016. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited is the No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa. We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect the views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1] http://www.nigeriatobaccocontrol.com/ [2] http://www.thisdaylive.com/index.php/2016/05/19/over-five-million-people-die-annually-due-to-tobacco-intake-says-who/ [3] http://www.tobaccoatlas.org/country-data/nigeria/ [4] http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/fs339/en//
- “Weak Public Institutions”, “Poverty” & “Scramble For Resources
Abuja, Nigeria. April 21st, 2015 – A recent poll conducted by NOIPolls in partnership with LEAP AFRICA has revealed that Nigerians generally blame ‘weak public institutions’ (24 percent), ‘poverty’ (18 percent) and ‘resource scramble’ (11 percent) for the high prevalence of corruption in Nigeria. More findings from the poll revealed that the vast majority (85 percent) of adult Nigerians believe that the prevalence of corruption in Nigeria is to a high extent. This therefore ties the perception of citizens to external ratings, where out of 174 countries; Nigeria ranked as the 15th most corrupt country according to the ‘Transparency International’s Corruption Index’, alongside Russia, Cameroon, Iran, Kyrgyzstan and Lebanon in 2014.[1] Still in view of the prevalence of corruption in Nigeria, Nigerians consider the ‘Nigerian Police Force’, as well as ‘Ministries Departments and Agencies (MDAs)’ as the most corrupt institutions in Nigeria. An assessment of the involvement of Nigerians in corruptive practices revealed that more than half of Nigerians (59 percent) claimed they would most definitely go through with procedure, in a scenario where they are pulled over by a law enforcement officer, while driving without a valid driving license in a hurry to get to a meeting. On the other hand, about one third of Nigerians admitted they would rather simply pay ₦2000 to go through. Finally, while there have been several interventions by the government and international development organisations to fight corruption in Nigeria, a key success factor lies in the steady orientation of citizens on the ill effects of corruption and moral degradation on the society. This should be done alongside the strengthening of government institutions, especially anticorruption agencies. This wills in turn gradually alter the general acceptance of corruption as a norm in the society. Brief Background Corruption has varied meanings and could be portrayed in many diverse forms. According to Transparency International, “corruption is the abuse of entrusted power for private gain”[2]. Corruption is seen in all sectors of the Nigerian economy, while directly or indirectly rubbing off on individuals both in private and public positions. Corruption has been known to be responsible for the slow growth rate of Nigeria’s economy.[3] Several reasons have been attributed to the prevalence of corruption in Nigeria, some have been highlighted as lack of openness and transparency in public offices, weakness or absence of anti-corruption tools/mechanisms, greed, poor pay incentives or low wages, weak government institutions, ineffective political processes, etc. The federal government in its bid to curtail corruption, created some agencies to directly fight corruption. For instance, the emergence of Independent Corrupt Practices and other related offences Commission, ICPC and the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission, EFCC was in line with reducing and eradicating corruption in Nigeria. There are also other voluntary and independent organizations working to reducing corruption. Given these interventions, Nigeria is ranked 136th with a 27% score out of 175 countries according to the Transparent International’s Corruption Perceptions Index (CPI) for the 2014 year’s index. Although, this has improved in relation to the previous year however corruption still remains a critical issue in Nigeria.[4] Against this background, NOIPolls in partnership with LEAP AFRICA, conducted a special edition poll on corruption in Nigeria to gauge the perception of Nigerians on the concept of corruption and its prevalence in Nigeria. The poll also sought to gauge the perception of Nigerians on the most corrupt sectors, organisations and agencies, as well as explore the experiences and involvement of Nigerians with cases of corruption. Key Findings With the aim of gauging the prevalence of corruption from the perceptions of Nigerians, respondents were asked: To what extent do you think there is prevalence of corruption in Nigeria? Findings revealed that the vast majority (85 percent) of adult Nigerians believe that the prevalence of corruption in Nigeria is to a high extent. This therefore ties the perception of citizens to external rating where out of 174 countries Nigeria ranked as the 15th most corrupt country by the ‘Transparency International’s Corruption Perceptions Index’ alongside Russia, Cameroon, Iran, Kyrgyzstan and Lebanon in 2014.[5] In addition, while, 13 percent of Nigerians believe its prevalence is to some extent or to no extent at all 2 percent are negative of its existence in Nigeria. Respondents were also asked: What do you think is mostly responsible for the prevalence of corruption in Nigeria? Overall, Nigerians generally blame ‘weak government institutions’ (24 percent), ‘poverty’ (18 percent) and ‘resource scramble’ (11 percent), for the prevalence of corruption in Nigeria. Other factors responsible for the prevalence of corruption cited by Nigerians include; ‘Lack of openness and transparency in public service’ (9 percent), ‘quest for quick money’ (9 percent), ‘cultural acceptance of corruption by the populace’ (7 percent), ‘poor pay incentives’ (6 percent) and ‘ineffective anti-corruption agencies’ (5 percent) among other factors. With the aim of gauging the perception of Nigerians on the most corrupt organisation/agency respondents were asked: Which organisation/agency do you consider the most corrupt in Nigeria? Findings revealed that the ‘Nigerian Police Force’, as well as ‘Ministries Departments and Agencies (MDAs)’ topped the list as the most corrupt institutions in Nigeria. This perception is shared by Nigerians across all geopolitical zones, although it is mostly true for the North-West zone where almost half of the respondents indicated the Nigerian Police Force and 30 percent indicated MDAs. These findings further supports findings from a survey conducted by the CLEEN Foundation in collaboration with the McArthur Foundation, which revealed the Nigeria police Force, NPF, alongside the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission, EFCC, and the Independent Corrupt Practices and Other Related Offences Commission, ICPC, as the most corrupt of federal government agencies in the country in 2013.[6] In addition, 11 percent of the respondents, especially from the South-South zone (26 percent) indicated ‘Politicians/political parties’; while 10 percent of the respondents, especially from the North-East zone (28 percent) mentioned ‘Armed forces/security agencies’. Further analysis by gender revealed that while more males (36 percent) than females (24 percent) have their perception geared towards the police as the most corrupt institution; more female (30 percent) than male (23 percent) respondents believe the MDAs are the most corrupt institutions. Finally respondents were asked: When stopped by a law enforcement officer while driving without a valid driving license in a hurry to get to a meeting, will you go through with procedure or simply ‘pay’ N 2, 000 to go through? This scenario was used to gain insight on people’s involvement with corrupt practices, though findings from this may not be conclusive in determining the extent of corruption in Nigeria, as there are several other facets of corruption which have not been explored by the poll. Responses to this question revealed that more than half of Nigerians (59 percent) claimed they would most definitely go through with the procedure. The stance was regardless of gender, age-group and geo-political zones. On the other hand about one third (32 percent) of Nigerians admitted they would not go through with the procedure, but would rather simply pay ₦2000 to go through. While this finding suggest that some Nigerians would willingly bribe their way through when faced with such situation, several indications from previous charts indicate that some Nigerians may be coerced by law enforcement officers in to giving bribe. Further analysis by geo-political zones revealed that Nigerians in the North-West (38 percent) and South-West (36 percent) zones are most likely to pay ₦2000 given the scenario. In conclusion, the vast majority of adult Nigerians (85 percent) believe that the prevalence of corruption in Nigeria is to a high extent. To this effect, Nigerians generally blame ‘weak government institutions’ (24 percent), ‘poverty’ (18 percent) and ‘resource scramble’ (11 percent) for the prevalence of corruption in Nigeria among other factors Furthermore, the ‘Nigerian Police Force’, as well as ‘Ministries Departments and Agencies (MDAs)’ topped the list as the most corrupt institutions in Nigeria. When respondents were asked if they would go through with procedure or simply ‘pay’ N 2, 000 to go through, when stopped by a law enforcement officer while driving without a valid driving license in a hurry to get to a meeting; more than half of Nigerians claimed they would most definitely go through with the procedure. Although about one third (32 percent) of Nigerians admitted they would not go through with the procedure, but would rather simply pay ₦2000 to go through; thus further highlighting the involvement of individuals in corruptive practices in Nigeria. Full comprehensive report would be published on the website on Friday, April 24th 2015 Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in the week of April 13th 2015. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA). We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited in partnership with LEAP AFRICA to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. LEAP Africa is a non-profit organization. Since its inception in May 2002, LEAP has successfully launched programmes for entrepreneurs and youth in twenty six cities including the FCT in collaboration with non-profit organizations and leading financial institutions. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1] http://www.premiumtimesng.com/news/more-news/172348-nigeria-worlds-15th-corrupt-nation-transparency-international.html [2] http://www.transparency.org/whatwedo?gclid=CMqGm4ew-sQCFYw8gQodJkEAIA [3] http://www.transparency.org/news/feature/online_documentary_african_voices_against_corruption [4] http://www.vanguardngr.com/2014/12/corrupt-nigeria/ [5] http://www.premiumtimesng.com/news/more-news/172348-nigeria-worlds-15th-corrupt-nation-transparency-international.html [6] http://www.informationng.com/2013/10/police-efcc-icpc-most-corrupt-government-agencies-in-nigeria-survey.html
- JAMB 2017:6 in 10 Applicants Experience Registration Difficulties
Abuja, Nigeria. May 2, 2017 –Latest public opinion poll conducted by NOIPolls on JAMB Registration in Abuja has revealed that 60 percent of the 2017 JAMB registration applicants have experienced one form of difficulty or another during the ongoing registration exercise. This comes on the heels of implementation of new measures by JAMB to ensure ease in the registration process. A closer look at the difficulties faced revealed that applicants majorly experienced difficulty accessing JAMB’s website (29 percent), while pointing out that the process was generally cumbersome and stressful (28 percent). Overcrowding at the registration centers and difficulty in PIN generation (14 percent each) were also mentioned amongst other difficulties. Moreover, more than half of the applicants (58 percent) had to make more than one visit to the registration centres in order to complete the process. A general rating of the 2017 JAMB registration process revealed a negative perception of applicants on the current registration process, as 57 percent rated the process either as poor (32 percent) or fair (25 percent); although 29 percent rated it as good, while 14 percent rated the process as excellent. In addition, the survey compared the previous registration exercises and the 2017 registration exercise and 61 percent of the respondents were of the opinion that the 2017 registration process was ‘‘worse than the previous’’. This is indicative of the fact that JAMB needs to ensure that the applicants understand the newly introduced processes. Finally, its worth noting that this survey was conducted only in the city of Abuja where JAMB Head quarters is located. Our concern therefore is that if these challenges are faced in Abuja, how much more challenges will be faced by applicants regisering outside Abuja. As such, in the implementation of new measures by JAMB such as registeration via JAMB’s website and the use of a mobile app etc, it pertinent that certain certain factors from the perspective of the applicants be considered.Factors such as access to internet, quality of internet service, and the population of JAMB applicants. It is also pertinent that feedback from the applicants be taken into consideration in order to ensure that the aim of the newly introduced measures are not defeated. These are the key highlights from the JAMB Registration Survey conducted in the week of April 24th 2017. Brief Backgorund: Over the years, JAMB has been improving on their performances during the registration and examination exercises and this year, new procedures were introduced such as registeration via JAMB’s website, the use of a mobile app, creation of permanent profiles, personal PIN etc. In view of this, NOIPolls conducted a survey to guage the perception of the applicants regarding the 2017 JAMB registration process. Survey Findings: Firtsly, the survey measured the perception of respondents regarding the registration process and it revealed that 32 percent rated the process as ‘‘poor’’ and 25 percent as ‘‘fair’’ respectively while 29 percent rated the process as ‘’good’’ and 14 percent as‘‘excellent’’. Analysis by gender revealed that responses among the female respondents was more unfavourable as 60 percent rated the process poor or fair compared with reponses from the male respondents where 52 percent rated it as poor or fair. The survey also gauged the perception of respondents on the ease of the registration process and findings revealed that 60 percent of the respondents said that they faced difficulties during the registration process while 40 percent said they did not face any difficulty. Further analysis by gender revealed that more females (69 percent) faced some difficulties than males (59 percent). When asked what difficulties they faced, 29 percent reported difficulty in accessing JAMB’s website, 28 percent reported that the entire process was generally difficult and cumbersome, 14 percent said that there was overcrowding at the registration centers and another 14 percent mentioned difficulty in generating PIN among other difficulties. In addition, some of the respondents claimed they made repeated visits in order to register; 28 percent made 2 visits, 10 percent made three visits while 20 percent made several visits to complete their registration, thus further buttressing the difficulties faced by applicants in the 2017 JAMB registration process. This suggests that JAMB needs to put more efforts in place to ensure an improved and more effective registration process. It is commonly reported that majority of Nigerian secondary school leavers register for JAMB more than once before gaining admission into higher institutions. On this premise, the survey measured the frequency of registration by asking the respondents if it was their first JAMB registration. The survey result revealed that 54 percent said it was their first time while 46 percent said it wasn’t their first time. The survey included a comparison between this year’s and other years’ registration exercises. Remarkably, 61 percent of the respondents were of the opinion that the 2017 registration process was ‘‘worse than the previous registrations’’, 14 percent reported that it was ‘‘same as the previous’’ while 25 percent said that it was ‘‘better than the previous’’. Further analysis by gender shows that more females (68 percent) than males (52 percent) complained that this year’s registration process is worse than the previous. In conclusion, despite the many months JAMB spent planning the implementation of new and improved procedures and processes for the registration exercise, the survey showed that there are still critical lapses in the process; suggesting the need for JAMB to ensure all processes are made as simple as possible. It is worth noting that this survey was conducted only in the city of Abuja where JAMB Head quarters is located. Our concern therefore is that if these challenges are faced in Abuja, how much more challenges will be faced by applicants regisering outside Abuja. It is our humble submission that in this 21st century, technology be deployed to ensure ease and convenience in the registration proccess in order to avioid the difficulties faced by applicants With active partnership and cooperation between stakeholders in the Nigerian education sector, there should be continuous improvements in the processes of learning as no nation can develop beyond its level of education. Survey Methods The survey was conducted in the week of April 24th 2017. It involved face to face interviews of JAMB applicants in the FCT. 500 interviews were conducted via purposive sampling in JAMB registration centres in ten different locations in Abuja starting from the Headquarters at Bwari. Other locations included Kwali, Dutse, Kubwa, Kuje, Maitama, Garki, karu, Gwagwalade and Zuba. Applicants aged 18 years and above were interviewed and all interviews were conducted in English language. NOIPolls Limited is the No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa. We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com or download our mobile app NOIPolls on your smartphone. Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com
- 9 in 10 Nigerians say Young Adults Are Most Known Abusers of Drugs & Substance
Abuja, Nigeria. July 9th, 2013 – Latest weekly poll results released by NOI Polls Limited reveal that almost 9 in 10 Nigerians (90%) believe the highest abusers of drugs and substance are teenagers and young adults aged between 15 and 29 years old. Furthermore, our results show that the most abused substance in Nigeria is marijuana followed by Codeine (Cough Syrup) and Alcohol (in whatever from). The key causes for the rise in drug and substance abuse are listed aspoverty and unemployment. These are the key findings from the drugs and substance poll conducted in the week of July 1st 2013. The World Health Organization (WHO) describes Drugs and substance abuse as “the harmful or hazardous use of psychoactive substances, including alcohol and illicit drugs”. It also refers to a condition in which a person consumes the substance in quantities or with procedures which are not approved or monitored medically. Substance and drugs abuse encompasses the use of “mood-altering or psycho-active drugs; illicit drugs – narcotics; stimulants; depressants (sedatives); hallucinogens; cannabis; glues and paints, Substance abuse often includes problems with impulse control and impulsive behavior”.[1] Worldwide, there has been an increase in drugs and substance abuse especially amongst young adults, with no exclusion to Nigeria. In 2011 the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime reported that Nigeria was top on the chart in drug/substance abuse in Africa. It also reported that Nigerians are the largest abusers of cannabis in Africa. Furthermore, the Nigerian Drug Law Enforcement Agency (NDLEA),which is in charge of monitoring and controlling the abuse and trafficking of illicit drugs, reported that within the period of 1999 to 2007 alone, about 2,267,830.53 kilograms of various illegal drugs and substances were seized all over Nigeria.[2] On June 26th, the International Day against Drug Abuse and Illicit Trafficking was commemorated. This day is set aside by the United Nations to recap the goals established by stakeholder states towards eradicating drug abuse and attaining an international society that is free of drug abuse. This is done mainly by creating awareness and educating youths and adults on the hazardous and social effects of substance abuse and to guard against it.[3] The effect of drugs on individuals and the society at large cannot be over emphasized. Drug addiction and substance abuse can be linked to various ill effects in the society. Several findings have shown that substance abuse to a large extent is directly related to the increase in crime and violence in the country. A number of abusers, especially youths and young adults, have been identified to be involved in armed robbery and daring exploits. Substance abuse has also been linked, to a certain level, to early school dropout and a number of HIV/AIDS cases due to the sharing of needles in the course of administrating drugs. Based on this background, NOI Polls conducted its latest poll on drugs and substance abuse in Nigeria in order to explore the awareness of Nigerians regarding the issue, in the areas of: the most abused drugs and substance in Nigeria; the predominant age group of abusers; causes of drugs and substance abuse, as well as remedies to curb the issue. Respondents to the poll were asked five specific questions. The first question sought to determine the opinion of Nigerians towards the level of drugs and substance abuse in Nigeria. In your opinion to what extent do you agree that there is a high level of drugs and substance abuse in Nigeria? In reaction to this the overall majority (91%: 44%+47%) agree that there is a high level of drugs and substance abuse in Nigeria. Comparatively, 5% do not agree and 4% remained neutral about the situation as they neither agree nor disagree to the high level of drug and substance abuse in Nigeria. Analysis from geo-political zones revealed that the North-East zone (98%:50%+48%) and the North-West zone (96%:44%+52%) had the highest proportion of respondents who agreed that there is high level of drugs and substance abuse in Nigeria and closely followed by the South-East zone with 90%(43%+47%). In addition the South-South zone had the highest proportion that does not agree that there is a high level of drugs and substance in Nigeria. [1] National Institute of Drug Abuse: www.drugabuse.gov [2] NDLEA: www.ndlea.gov.ng [3] United Nations: www.un.org Subsequently, in order to gain an insight to the drugs and substances mostly abused in Nigeria, respondents were asked the following question: In your opinion, what drugs or substance is mostly abused in Nigeria? Findings from this question showed that the most abused drug and substance in Nigeria is marijuana, as indicated by the majority (34%). This finding further supports the statistics of the United Nations stating that Nigeria had the highest level of abuse of cannabis (marijuana) in Africa. The second on the chart identified by 22% of the respondents is codeine (cough syrup); this is followed by alcohol (20%), then tobacco with 9%, prescription drugs 9% and hard drugs being the least with 6%. In exploring the most abused drugs and substances from the geo-political zones perspective, findings show that while theNorth-West zone accounted for the highest proportion of respondents (43%) that indicated marijuana as the most abused substance, the North-East zone had the highest proportion of respondents (62%) that indicated codeine (cough syrup) as the most abused substance. Addtionally, the South- East zone had the highest number of respondents (35%) that pointed out Alcohol as the most abused substance in Nigeria. Furthermore, the quest for more insight to the age category of drugs and substance abusers in Nigeria led to the following question: Among what age group do you believe drug and substance abuse is most common? Alarmingly, the results show that teenagers and young adults aged between 15 and 29 years are the most abusers of drugs and substance in Nigeria as indicated by the overall majority of respondents (90%: 57%+33%) where 57% indicated 19-29 years and 33% indicated 15-18 years. 7% of the respondents are of the opinion that drugs and substance abuse is most common in the age group of 30- 44 years, another 2% indicated 0-14 years and only 1% indicated 45-59 years. Analysis according to geo-political zones showed that the South-East zone accounted for the highest proportion of respondents (79%) that indicated 19-29 years as the most common age group with drugs and substance abuse in Nigeria; this is followed by the North-Central and South-West zones with 66% and 65% respectively. Also majority of respondents that indicated 15-18 years were from the North-East zone with 71% followed by the North-West zone with 44%. The fourth question sought the opinion of respondents on the possible reasons why people abuse drugs and substances:In your opinion what are the causes of drugs and substance abuse? From reactions of respondents the most significant cause of drugs and substance abuse as highlighted by the majority (36%) is “Poverty and Unemployment”. “Peer pressure, societal influence and Bad friends” also play important roles as causes of drugs and substance abuse as these came second on the chart with 33%. Other causes of drugs and substance abuse revealed from findings include“Parental Neglect, Poor upbringing and Indiscipline” indicated by 18% of the respondents, “Corrupt society, Ignorance and Lack of control checks and orientation” indicated by 15%, “Frustration; Depression; Stress; Worry; loneliness and Idleness” specified by 12% of the respondents. Reasons of drugs and substance abuse that came at the bottom of the chart include “Illiteracy” (5%), “Self pleasure” (5%), as well as “Availability and Affordability” (2%). Further analysis from geo-political zones showed that the North-West zone accounted for the highest proportion of respondents (58%) that pointed out “Poverty and Unemployment” as the major causes of drugs and substance abuse. Also majority of the respondents that indicated “Peer pressure; societal influence and Bad friends” were from the North-Central zone (42%). When the findings were analysed according to gender, interesting discoveries show that while more male respondents (46%) blamed “Poverty and Unemployment” as the major causes of drugs and substance abuse, more female respondents (42%) suggested that “Peer Pressure; Societal influence and Bad friends” were responsible for the rising occurrence of drugs and substance abuse especially amongst teenagers and young adults in Nigeria. Lastly in order to seek public opinion on measures that can be taken towards reducing the abuse of illicit drugs and substances respondents were asked: What can be done to curb the rising incidence of drugs and substance abuse in Nigeria? A slight majority of 39% are of the opinion that creating more “Awareness/Orientation in public, homes and schools on the effects” of drugs and substance to a great extent would reduce the rise in drugs and substance abuse especially amongst teenagers and young adults as stated in a previous question. Another group of the respondents (37%) suggested that “Youth empowerment, Creation of jobs and Improved standard of living” is paramount in curbing the situation. Furthermore, 14% of the respondents are of the opinion that more “Law enforcement and Penalties” will reduce the problem to its minimum; another 8% said “Good governance, Effective control checks, Improved & Approved medication services” would go a long way in curbing the rise in Nigeria. Other remedies that came least in the chart include “Selling/Importation of illegal drugs should be banned” suggested by 5% of the respondents, “Free/Improved educational system” indicated by 3% of the respondents, “Religious leaders should keep speaking against it Prayers”pointed out by 2% of respondentsand “Create more rehabilitation centres” indicated by 1% of the respondents. Analysis according to geo-political zones revealed that while the South-South zone had the highest number of respondents (49%) advocating for the creation of more “Awareness/Orientation in public, homes and schools on the effects”, majorityof the respondents (60%) that advocatedfor “Youth empowerment; Creation of jobs and Improved standard of living” were from the North-West zone. Also the North-East zone accounted for the highest proportion of respondents (28%) that suggested more “Law enforcement and Penalties” as a remedy for curbing the rise in drugs and substance abuse in Nigeria In summary, the results from this current poll have revealed that almost 9 in 10 Nigerians (90%) believe the highest abusers of drugs and substance are teenagers and young adults aged between 15 and 29 years old.It has also emerged true from this poll that the most abused substance in Nigeria is marijuana. Since poverty, unemployment, peer pressure, societal influence and bad friends came top as the major causes associated with the rising abuse of drugs and substance, thus, careful consideration should to be given to the creation of more awareness on the effects of drugs and substance abuse. This should be greatly supported by youth empowerment and more job creation in order to generally improve the standard of living especially amongst the age group identified. In addition there should be more focus on the enforcement of laws and penalties which should be enforced in order to keep a check and balance on the drugs problem, which has greatly affected the Nigerian society. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted on July 1st to 4th 2013. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,013 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOI Polls Limited is Nigeria’s leading opinion polling and research organisation, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOI Polls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOI Polls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOI Polls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOI Polls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOI Polls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com
- Mixed Reactions Trail Postponement of 2015 General Elections
Abuja, Nigeria. February 10th, 2015 – Latest snap poll results released by NOIPolls Limited have revealed that Nigerians have expressed mixed opinions regarding the postponement of the 2015 general elections. Findings from the poll revealed that Nigerians are evenly divided in support for (41 percent) and against (41 percent) the postponement of the general elections; while 18 percent of Nigerians were indifferent about the postponement. Further analysis revealed that while the North-East and North-West geopolitical zones had the highest proportion of respondents who were not in support of the postponement (49 percent each); more respondents in the South-South zone were in support of the postponement (57 percent). Also, a significant proportion of those in support of the postponement were of the opinion that the extension would grant more people the opportunity to collect their permanent voters cards (PVCs) (25 percent). Other reasons cited included ‘Security Concerns’ (20 percent) and to ‘Allow INEC time for Adequate Preparation’ (20 percent)amongst other reasons. On the other hand, respondents not in support of the postponement mainly cited‘Disruption of people’s plans’ (22 percent) as a reason for not supporting the postponement. Also some Nigerians reported the postponement ‘Has postponed our expectation for Change’ (19 percent) and to ‘Gives room for election rigging’ among other reasons. These are some of the key findings from the election postponement poll conducted in the week of February 9th 2015. Brief Background The 2015 general elections to elect the President, Members of the House of Representatives and the Senate, Governors and Members of the State Assembly will be the fourth elections since the end of military rule in 1999 in Nigeria. The general elections which were scheduled to hold on 14th and 28th of February 2015, have postponed by six weeks to 28th of March and 11th of April 2015 due to recommendations from the national security advisor and some political party chairmen on security issues.[1] The postponement of the general elections was confirmed by the chairman of the Independent NationalElectoral Commission(INEC), Attahiru Jega, on Saturday, 7th February 2015 barely one week to the presidential election, during a press briefing. Against this background NOIPolls conducted its latest poll to assess the awareness and support of Nigerians on the postponement of the 2015 general elections. Survey Findings Respondents to the poll were asked four specific questions. In order to gauge the awareness of Nigerians on the postponement of the general elections, respondents were asked: Are you aware that the General Elections have been postponed from 14th February to 28th March 2015? Findings revealed that the majority of Nigerians (93 percent) irrespective of gender, geo-political zone and age-group confirmed their awareness of the postponement of the general elections while only 7 percent of the respondents claimed not to be informed about the postponement of the General Elections. [1] http://allafrica.com/stories/201502070324.html With the aim of measuring the support of Nigerians for the postponement of the general elections, respondents were asked: Are you in support of the postponement of the General Elections to 28th March 2015? Findings revealed an even split in the proportion of Nigerians in support and not in support of the postponement of the election with 41 percent each. However 18 percent were indifferent about the postponement of the general elections. The results indicate a clear division between the Northern and Southern regions of Nigeria on the postponement of the election; as further analysis by geo-political zone reveals that the South-South zone has the largest proportion of respondents who support the postponement of the general elections. The North-East zone (49 percent) and the North-West zone (49 percent) accounted for the highest number of Nigerians who do not support the postponement of the general elections. Analysis by gender reveals that more male (46 percent) than female (35 percent) respondents do not support the election postponement. Subsequently, respondents who showed support for the postponement of the general elections (41percent of the total) were further asked: Why are you in support of the postponement of the general elections? Findings revealed that 25 percent of Nigerians support the postponement of the general elections as it ‘Allows more time for PVC collection’; this is followed by 20 percent who indicated ‘Security concerns’ (20 percent) and another 20 percent who were of the opinion that the postponement would give INEC time for adequate preparation for the elections amongst other reasons. Further analysis by geo-political zones indicates that the South-East zone (46 percent) accounted for the largest proportion of respondents in support the postponement of the as it ‘allows more time for PVC collection’, while the North-East zone (38 percent) represents the largest proportion of Nigerians who support the postponement of the general elections due to ‘security concerns’. Finally, respondents who do not support the postponement (41 percent of the total) were also asked: Why are you not in support of the postponement of the general elections? Findings revealed varied reasons for lack of support of the postponement. 22 percent of respondents not in support of the postponement indicated ‘disruption of people’s plans’, as a reason for not supporting the postponement of the election. In addition, some Nigerians think it ‘has postponed their expectation for change’ (19 percent) and it ‘gives room for election rigging’ (11 percent) amongst other reasons. Further analysis by geo-political zones revealed that the South-East zone (40 percent) accounts for the largest proportion of respondents who do not support the postponement of the elections due to the disruption in people’s plans, while the North-East zone (25 percent) accounts for the largest proportion of Nigerians who do not support the postponement claiming it has postponed their expectation for change. In conclusion, the findings from this current poll have revealed that majority of Nigerians (93 percent) are aware of postponement of the 2015 general elections from the 14th February to the 28th March 2015 and 28th February to 11th April 2015. Also, findings revealed an even split in the proportions of Nigerians in support and not in support of the postponement of the general elections (41 percent each). The results show that significant proportions of respondents support the postponement for various reason: ‘Allow time to obtain PVC’ (25 percent); ‘Security Concerns’ (20 percent) and to ‘Allow INEC time for Adequate Preparation’ (20 percent) amongst others. On the other hand, those who do not support the postponement cited reasons such as:‘Have disrupted people’s plans’ (22 percent); ‘Have postponed their expectation for Change’ (19 percent);and ‘Gives room for election rigging’ to mention a few. Finally, the results of this poll have indicated a clear division in the country, particularly between the Northern and Southern regions resulting from political tension. Therefore, it is critical that all stakeholders in the forthcoming elections – INEC, political parties, candidates, security agencies, CSOs and the media etc – must work together to ensure that the key issues highlighted for the postponement of the elections are addressed accordingly; and Nigerians informed on milestones achieved, to avoid possible pre and post-elections civil unrest. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted on the 9th of February 2015. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95percent confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3percent. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa, works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA). We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com
- Nigerians Endorse Women’s Participation in Politics; 8 in 10 Would be Willing to Vote for Women
Abuja, Nigeria. March 17th, 2015 – Latest snap poll results released by NOIPolls Limited have revealed that most Nigerians (86 percent in total) support the idea of women contesting for political positions in the upcoming 2015 elections; to this regard, 8 in 10 (81 percent) would be willing to vote for any woman contesting for a political position. This stance was regardless of age, geo-political zone and gender, although support was higher among female than male respondents. This finding therefore suggests a great transition in the perception of the participation of women in governance over the years. In line with this, the present administration’s implementation of the National Gender Policy has marked a significant increase in women’s representation in Government from 10 percent in 2011 to over 33 percent in 2013 with the appointment of 13 female Ministers out of 42, representing 31 percent and 4 Special Advisers out of 18, representing 23 percent.[1] This breakthrough in Nigeria’s political history has contributed to the overall success of the Women Empowerment and Gender Equality which is one of the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs).[2] More findings revealed that 83 percent of Nigerians believe women in political offices add value to their positions and this cuts across gender, geo-political zones and age-groups. Reasons given by Nigerians for this assertion include ‘Women perform better than men’ (29 percent), ‘Women are capable and focused’ (18 percent) and that ‘Women are considerate’ (13 percent) amongst other reasons. On the other hand 17 percent have a contrary belief citing reasons such as ‘Women are weak’ (32 percent), ‘They have not done well in the past’ (11 percent) and ‘Women should be subjected to men’ (10 percent) amongst other reasons. Finally, An evaluation of the awareness of Nigerians on women in governance revealed the current Coordinating Minister of Finance ‘Dr. Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala’ (37 percent), late ‘Dr. Dora Akunyili’ (15 percent), and Minister of Petroleum ‘Mrs. Diezani Alison Madueke’ (11 percent) as the top 3 women Nigerians are aware of. These are the key findings from the recent Women in Governance poll conducted in the week of March 9th 2015. Brief Background The population of Nigeria has been estimated to be about 167 million people and women form half of that population.[3] Women have diverse roles in the society which cannot be over emphasized, although their participation in politics has been very limited. From time past, men’s status was always considered to be as superior to that of women, even among the most socially advanced nations of the world, until after the International Women’s Conference held in Beijing in the year 1995 which marked a remarkable turnaround on the perception of a woman.[4] Barriers to female participation in Nigerian politics are as a result of the limitation to culture, gender equality and African tradition among other reasons. Nigerian women’s participation in the country’s politics is an issue of great importance, however it has been relegated for several years and this has stimulated women’s representation in the public sector.[5] Most women venture into politics in Nigeria so as to have a fair share and support for the female gender, making it one of their major responsibilities with a great percentage of them emerging successfully as public office holders who now occupy key positions in the legislative, executive and judicial arms of government in Nigeria.[6] Against this background, and in commemoration of the International Women’s Day which was celebrated on the 8th of March 2015, NOIPolls conducted its recent poll to gauge the perception of Nigerians on Women in Governance. The poll sought to measure the support of Nigerians for women running for political offices and their willingness to vote these women; as well as the perceptions of Nigerians on the performance of such women. Survey Findings Respondents to the poll were asked four specific questions. Firstly, to gauge support for women contesting for political offices, respondents were asked: To what extent do you support the idea of women contesting for political positions in Nigeria in the upcoming 2015 elections? Findings revealed that the vast majority (86 percent: 47+25+7 percent) of respondents support the idea of women contesting for political positions especially in the upcoming 2015 elections to an extent, where 47% affirmed to a very large extent; while, 14 percent of Nigerians are not in support of women contesting for political positions in Nigeria. Further analysis by gender revealed that more female (70 percent) than male (53 percent) Nigerians appreciate the idea of women contesting for political positions in the country to a very large extent. Analysis by geo-political zone revealed that the South-East zone (70 percent) accounted for the largest proportion of Nigerians who support the idea of women contesting for political positions in Nigeria to a very large extent. In addition, respondents aged 61 years and above showed the highest level of support for women contesting for political positions. Subsequently, respondents were asked: Personally, would you be willing to vote for any woman contesting for a political position? Responses to this question depicts that a large proportion of the Nigerians (81 percent) would be willing to vote for any woman contesting for a political position, while 16 percent of Nigerians would not be willing to vote for a woman contesting for a political position. Further evaluation by geo-political zone revealed that while the majority of respondents across all geo-political zones would be willing to vote for any woman contesting for a political position, the North-West (23 percent) and the North-East (20 percent) zones accounted for the largest proportion of respondents who stated that they will not be willing to vote for any woman contesting for a political position. In order to ascertain the perception of Nigerians on women in political positions, respondents were asked: In your opinion, do you think that women in political offices add value to such office/positions? In response to this question, the majority (83 percent) acknowledged that women in political offices add value to their positions and this cuts across gender, geo-political zones and age-groups. Conversely, 17 percent of the respondents surveyed were of the view that women in political offices do not add value to their positions. Furthermore, respondents were asked: If yes or no to the question above, please give reasons? Respondents who admitted that women add value to political positions gave several reasons for their assertion such as ‘Women perform better than men’ (29 percent), ‘Women are capable and focused’ (18 percent) and that ‘Women are considerate’ (13 percent) amongst other reasons. Meanwhile, respondents who said no gave reasons such as ‘Women are weak’ (32 percent), ‘They have not done well in the past’ (11 percent) and ‘Women should be subjected to men’ (10 percent) amongst other reasons. Finally, respondents were asked: Can you mention the names of some women holding political offices that you are aware of? The results revealed that the current Coordinating Minister of Finance ‘Dr. Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala’ (37 percent) tops the list of women holding political offices that Nigerians are aware of. This is followed by late ‘Dr. Dora Akunyili’ (15 percent), the current Minister of Petroleum ‘Mrs. Diezani Alison Madueke’ (11 percent) and Mrs. Ruqayyah Ahmed Rufa’i (3 percent) amongst other women in the list. In conclusion, current poll results revealed that most respondents (86 percent: 47+25+7 percent) support the idea of women contesting for political positions especially in the upcoming 2015 elections to an extent; and a large proportion of Nigerians (81 percent) would be willing to vote for any woman contesting for a political position. More findings revealed that 83 percent of Nigerians believe that women in political offices add value to their positions and this cuts across gender, geo-political zone and age-group and reasons given for this belief include ‘Women perform better than men’ (29 percent), ‘Women are capable and focused’ (18 percent) and that ‘Women are considerate’ (13 percent) amongst other reasons. Finally, the current Coordinating Minister of Finance ‘Dr. Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala’ (37 percent) tops the list of women holding political offices that Nigerians are aware of. This is followed by late ‘Dr, Dora Akunyili’ (15 percent), the current minister of petroleum ‘Mrs. Diezani Alison Madueke’ (11 percent) and Mrs. Ruqayyah Ahmed Rufa’i (3 percent) amongst other women in the list. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in the week of 9th March 2015. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95 percent confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3 percent. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA) to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1]www.nigerianstat.gov.ng/pages/download/156 [2]http://www.vanguardngr.com/2013/06/all-the-presidents-women-the-tale-of-a-paradigm-shift/ [3] http://www.population.gov.ng/index.php/84-news/latest/106-nigeria-over-167-million-population-implications-and-challenges [4]Abiola AA (Ms), Lanre A (eds.) (2003). Gender Audit – 2003 Election and Issues In Women’s Political Participation In Nigeria, A Publication of Women Advocates Research And Documentation Centre (WARDC). [5]www.onlinenigeria.com/nigerianwoman/?blurb=151 [6]Ezegbe, N. B. (2000). Problems and Prospects to Women Participation in Politics: Implications for Poverty Alleviation. Journal of Nigeria Educational Research Association.
- Lagos State Governorship Elections Poll
Lagos, Nigeria. March 22, 2011 – ANAP Foundation (ANAP) is a non profit organisation committed to promoting good governance in Nigeria. Ahead of the gubernatorial elections scheduled to hold on April 16, 2011, ANAP Foundation decided to commission NOI Polls Limited to conduct a face-to-face Lagos State governorship poll to ascertain public sentiment on the candidacy of aspirants for the office of Governor. NOI Polls administered the survey utilizing well established survey methodologies, including scientifically tested sampling techniques, developed by the Gallup Organization. The opinion poll was carried out from February 7th – February 22nd 2011 with a representative random sample of Lagos State residents drawn from its Local Government Areas (LGA’s) and reflecting rural urban split in population. The overriding objective of the poll exercise is to empirically establish which of the Lagos State governorship candidates stands the greatest chance of receiving the people’s mandate to ascend to the state’s highest office. The rationale for the poll in the run up to the election is to provide the people of Lagos State with the opportunity to express their views on salient political issues and candidates, as well as to generate data which gives an indication of the voting intentions of Lagos State Citizens prior to the elections. Data generated from the Lagos State Governorship Poll, revealed the following:? Majority of Lagos State residents have given some thought to the April elections. Nearly 9 in 10 of the respondents have voted in at least one previous election. Majority of residents of Lagos State registered or planned to register to vote in the upcoming elections. An extension of the period for the voter registration exercise would further enable registration of eligible voters. 41% of the Lagos State electorate were aware that Ade Dosunmu is running for governorship of the state. 98% of the respondents were aware that Babatunde Fashola is running for governorship of Lagos state. For all other candidates, less than 10% of Lagos State residents knew that they were running for governor. Just under two-thirds (65%) of eligible voters in Lagos State indicated intentions to vote for Babatunde Fashola in the April elections. Majority (89%) of Lagos State voters feel very strongly about their choice for the governorship position. Most (64%) of the respondents think that Babatunde Fashola will win the April governorship election. Lagos State residents generally approve of Babatunde Fashola’s performance as governor (86%). The questionnaire for the Lagos State Governorship poll was designed in English and translated into the major Nigerian languages- Hausa, Ibo, Yoruba and Pidgin English. In addition, interviewers were locally recruited to ensure coverage of all state geographical and demographic groups.
- Nigerians Divided Over Choice of Presidential Candidates
Abuja, Nigeria. October 18, 2010 As more Nigerians declare their intentions to run for office in the 2011 presidential elections, NOI Polls has embarked on an ongoing exercise to track the popularity of presidential aspirants as well as other related electoral events. In a recent survey, Nigerians were asked their opinions on selected presidential candidates. General Buhari (Retired) Participants in the survey were asked if they were aware of retired General Buhari’s intention to run for office in the forthcoming elections. Well over 9 in 10 people (97%) surveyed were aware of this fact. When asked if they felt he should run for office, 41% said he should ,while nearly 6 in 10 people (58%) said he should not run. The Majority of the people (70%) who said he should run, cited “his right” as a Nigerian as the reason he should run. 8% said he had the “experience” needed, 5% said “he is a man of integrity”, while the reason given by another 8% was “he is a good man”. The highest proportion (34%) of respondents who said he should not run, mentioned a “preference for other candidates” as the reason why he should not run for office. 22% said they wanted a “new generation of leaders”, while 14% each cited a “general dislike” for the candidate and an inability to “provide the positive change need in Nigeria”. Governor Bukola Saraki While 88% of the people polled were aware of Governor Saraki’s intention to run for office, only slightly over one-third (35%) of respondents felt he should run. 62% said he should not run while 3% did not have anything to say on the issue. The vast majority (84%) of those who said he should run for office, mentioned “his right” as a nigerian as the reason he should run. 6% said he is a “good man”, while 35% each said he is “experienced/ competent” and he is a “man of integrity”. 29% of those who said Governor Saraki should not run, cited a “preference for other candidates” as their major reason. 16% cited a “general dislike” for the candidate,14% said he is “inexperienced/incompetent”;while 11% each mentioned a “bad reputation” and an inability to “provide the positive change needed in Nigeria”, as their reasons. President Goodluck Jonathan Almost all (99%) the people polled said they were aware of president Jonathan’s intention to contest in the upcoming presidential elections. 87% of respondents said they feel he should run for office. This figure is slightly higher than a similar poll conducted in August 2010, before the president declared his intentions to contest, where 81% felt he should run. Again, majority of respondents ( 23%) who said he should run, mentioned “his right” as a Nigerian as their reason. 18% cited “experience/competence”, 16% each said he is “innovative/progressive” and he is a “man of integrity”; while 10% and 12% said he is a “good man” and he “represents a new generation of leaders” respectively. Again, majority of respondents ( 23%) who said he should run, mentioned “his right” as a Nigerian as their reason. 18% cited “experience/competence”, 16% each said he is “innovative/progressive” and he is a “man of integrity”; while 10% and 12% said he is a “good man” and he “represents a new generation of leaders” respectively. Majority (22%) of the respondents who felt he should not run cited a desire for a “new generation of leaders” as their reason. 20 % mentioned a preference for other candidates, 11% each mentioned the zoning formula in PDP meant it was the “Northerners turn” and a “general dislike” for the candidate. It is important to note that 3% and 1 % of the respondents cited he “recent mishaps in the country” and an “INEC under the president cannot conduct free and fair elections” respectively, as their reasons. Respondents for the snap polls were randomly selected from a database of phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 and above across the six geopolitical zones in the country, compiled by NOI Polls. 1058 people took part in the telephone interviews conducted from the 7th to the 11th of October, 2010. For a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points. This poll is part of the ongoing snap poll exercise conducted by NOI Polls to rapidly assess public sentiments following various electoral events. NOI Polls is a Nigeria based opinion research organization which Works in technical partnership with Gallup Polls (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls on various socioeconomic issues in Nigeria.
- Independence Day Special Poll Release
Abuja, Nigeria. October 1st, 2013 – The first day of October symbolizes freedom in the history of Nigeria and marks a special day in which Nigeria gained its independence from the British rule. Year after year, its celebration serves as a reminder of the great sacrifices that were made and of the great ideals which were the foundation of the Nation. Today, as Nigeria celebrates 53 years of independence; NOIPolls presents its annual Independence Day special edition poll to commemorate the Nigerian Independence Day. This poll is the second in the Independence Day Poll series; the first was conducted in October 2012. Click here for the result of 2012 snap poll In this Independence Day Special Edition Poll, results of the poll have revealed that an overwhelmingmajority of Nigerians (94%) say they are truly proud of the Nation, because it is “My Father-land”(64%) and “We are blessed with natural resources” (16%). Also, Employment Creation (22%), Corruption (18%), Education (18%), Electricity (17%) and Security (9%) were identified as the five most important issues that need to be addressed in the next 1 year. Furthermore, after 53 years of independence, Nigerians consider “Democracy” (22%) to be the country’s greatest achievement,followed by “Telecommunications” (19%) and “Unity” (13%). These are a few of the key findings from the Independence Day Poll conducted in the week of September 16th, 2013. Firstly in order to gauge the level of national pride among Nigerians, respondents were asked: Are you proud to be a Nigerian? Findings revealed that the overwhelming majority of Nigerians (94%) responded positively, affirming they are truly proud to be Nigerians. Analysis by gender shows that slightly more males (97%) than females (92%) agree that they are proud to be Nigerians. On the contrary, the poll revealed that only 6% of Nigerians claim they are not proud of to be Nigerians. Further analysis across geo-political zones reveals that all the respondents from the North-East (100%), 98% from the South-East, 96% each from the North-Central & South-South and 82% from the South-East zones are proud to be Nigerians. Furthermore, the North-West zone (18%) accounted for the highest proportion of respondents that claim they are not proud to be Nigerians. In addition, when current findings are compared with 2012 results, there is a 1-point increase in the proportion of Nigerians that are proud of their nationality (93%) in 2012 to (94%) in 2013. There was also a 1-point increase in the proportion of respondents that claim they are not proud to be Nigerians (5% in 2012 to 6% in 2013). Subsequently, respondents who indicated they are proud to be Nigerians (94% of the total) were asked: Why are you proud to be a Nigerian? Overall, the majority (64%) indicated they are proud to be Nigerians simply because Nigeria is “My father land”. Other reasons specified by respondents include “We are blessed with natural resources “(16%), “Peaceful country” (6%) and “Great country” (4%). Analysis based on geo-political zones shows that the North-Central zone (81%) accounted for the highest proportion of respondents that indicated “My father land” as the rationale for being proud to be Nigerians. This is followed by the North-West (77%) and the South-East (63%). Comparing the responses of this current poll with 2012 results show similar results; as the majority also indicated that they were proud to be Nigerian because it is “My father land” and this proportion increased in 2013 by 2-points (62% in 2012 to 64% in 2013). Similarly, respondents that claimed they are not proud to be Nigerians in the initial question (6% of the total) were asked: Why are you not proud to be a Nigerian? Results revealed that the majority (64%) are not proud to be Nigerians because of “Bad leaders”. Other reasons cited are “Corruption” (32%) and “No peace” (4%). Looking across geo-political zones reveals that the North-west zone 84% had the highest number of respondents that blamed “Bad leaders” while all respondents from the North-Central zone (100%) that are not proud to be Nigerians blamed “Corruption”. Again comparing findings of this current poll with 2012, there was a pronounced increase of 28-points in the proportion of respondents that indicated “Bad leaders” as the reason why they are not proud to be Nigerians. There was also a marked increase of 23-points increase in the proportion that indicated “Corruption” in 2012. Also, compared to 2012 when 32% indicated they were not sure of their reasons by selecting “Don’t know”; no respondents said that in 2013. In order to measure the perceptions of Nigerians about the country’s performance since independence, respondents were asked: At 53 years, how well do you think Nigeria has fared as a nation in terms of the economy when compared to Ghana? With regards to economic performance, results reveal that the majority (42%) think Nigeria has performed averagely when compared to Ghana. Furthermore, 36% (29% + 7%) rated Nigeria’s performance negatively, followed by 22% (20%+2%) that rated the country’s performance positively. From the standpoint of geo-political zones, the South-South zone (51%) accounted for the highest number of respondents that rated the economic performance of Nigeria as average compared to Ghana’s; this is followed by the North-Central zone (48%). In addition, the South-West zone had the highest proportion of respondents (53%) that said the Nigeria has performed poorly, while the North-East (41%) and North-West (40%) zones had the highest number of respondents that said Nigeria has performed well in terms of the economy. Comparing responses to the same question in 2012 reveals that the proportion of respondents that are of the opinion that the nation performed averagely in Economic matters, increased by 2-points from 2012 (40%) to 2013 (42%). In addition, there was a 13-points increase in the proportion that said Nigeria has performed well, from 2012 (7%) to 2013 (20%). Respondents were also asked: At 53 years, how well do you think Nigeria has fared as a nation in terms of foreign relations when compared to Ghana? With regards to foreign relations, the overall majority (41%) are of the opinion that Nigeria has performed averagely when compared with Ghana. In addition,36% (28%+8%) stated that Nigeria has performed well, while 22% (21%+2%) indicated Nigeria has performed poorly. From the geo-political standpoint, the North-Central zone (50%) accounted for the highest proportion of respondents that say Nigeria has performed averagely in terms of foreign relations when compared with Ghana. Also the North-East zone (59%: 51%+8%) had the highest proportion that confirmed Nigeria has performed well while the South-West zone (31%: 25%+6%) had the highest proportion of respondents that are of the opinion that Nigeria has performed poorly in foreign relations. Similarly respondents were asked: At 53 years, how well do you think Nigeria has fared as a nation in terms of development when compared to Ghana? Results indicate that once again the majority (40%) think Nigeria has performed averagely in development compared with Ghana. In addition, 38% (30%+8%)believe it has performed poorly while 22% (20%+2%) have the opinion that it has performed well. Further analysis based on geo-political zone showed that the North-West (45%) and South-West (45%) zones had the highest proportion of respondents that claim Nigeria has performed averagely in terms of development. The North-East (48%) accounted for the highest proportion that think Nigeria has performed well in terms of development and the South-West zone (45%) had the highest number of respondents that believe Nigeria has performed poorly. Furthermore, At 53 years, how well do you think Nigeria has fared as a nation in terms of governance when compared to Ghana? In terms of governance, the majority 51% (34%+17%) believe Nigeria has performed poorly in terms of governance when compared with Ghana. In addition, 33% think Nigeria has performed averagely and 16% (15%+1%) are of the opinion that it performed well. Again looking across geo-political zones revealed that the highest percentage of respondents that rated the governance of Nigeria as poor, were from the North-Central zone (63%). In addition, the North-West zone(38%) and South-East zone (38%) had the highest proportion that think Nigeria has performed averagely in terms of governance while the North-East zone (48%) accounted for the highest proportion that have the opinion that Nigeria has performed well. In order to establish the priority of issues currently facing the country, respondents were asked: What is the single most important issue Nigeria as a nation has to address in the next 1 year? The poll results revealed that there are a wide range of issues that Nigerians consider most important. Interestingly, the majority of Nigerians (22%) think the most important issue that needs to be addressed in the next 1 year is “Creating new and more jobs to tackle unemployment”. This is closely followed by “Corruption” and “Education” (18% each) and “Power/Electricity” (17%). Furthermore, 9% affirmed that “Security” should also be given attention, as well as 4% who indicated the “Economy”. Analysis based on geo-political zones shows that the South-East zone (37%) accounted for the highest proportion of respondents that indicated “Creating new jobs/unemployment” as the most important issue that needs to be addressed in the next 1 year. In addition, while the North-East zone (26%) accounted for the highest proportion of respondents that indicated “Corruption” as the most important issue to be addressed, the North-East zone (47%) had the highest number of respondents that proposed “Education” should be given attention in the next 1 year. Comparing the findings of this current poll with 2012 results reveals that in the previous year “Electricity” (18%)was regarded as the most important issue to be addressed compared to “Creating new jobs to tackle unemployment” which is considered to be the top priority for Nigerians at present. Furthermore, there was a 7-Points increase in the proportion of respondents that indicated “Creating new jobs/unemployment” is the top priority from 15% in 2012 to 22% in 2013. Also, “Corruption” increased in importance by 3-points from 15% in 2012 to 18% in 2013 and there was a remarkable 10-Points increase in the proportion that indicated education in 2013. Furthermore, respondents were asked: Assuming you were to become the President of Nigeria, what would be your first assignment in office? Findings reveal the majority of Nigerians (29%) claimed they would tackle employment as their first assignment assuming they were appointed President. This is followed by the economic issues (16%), corruption and Power (both 12%). In addition 11% indicated that if they were to become President, attention would be given to security matters and 10% indicated they would address Education. Analysis by gender reveals that female respondents indicated preference to addressing employment creation and economic issues, while male respondents were mostly concerned about power, corruption and security. Further analysis based on geo-political zones highlights that the highest proportion of respondents that indicated unemployment as the first assignment they would address were from the South-East zone (39%) and theNorth-East zone (25%) accounted for the highest proportion of respondents that indicated economic issue as priority. In addition, while the North-west zone (15%) accounted for the highest proportion of respondents that said corruption would be their priority for the nation, the South-South zone (24%) had highest number of respondents that stated Power would be given priority as their first assignment. Again comparing the findings from this current poll with 2012; Security was the first pick when respondents were asked about their first assignment in office assuming they became President. In 2013, this has reduced significantly in terms of priority dropping by 25 points from 36% in 2012 to 11%. Currently, the top priority selected by respondents to address is employment and this increased by 3 points from 2013. In order to gauge the perceptions of Nigerians on the achievements of the Nation since independence, respondents were asked: In 53 years, what do you consider to be the greatest achievement of Nigeria? Reactions to this question revealed that the greatest achievement of Nigeria as identified by the majority (22%) is “Democracy”, this is followed by “Telecommunications” (19%), “Unity” (13%), “Independence” and “Agriculture” (12% each). Exploring the perceptions of Nigerians across geo-political zones reveals that the South-East zone (37%) had the largest proportion that think “Democracy” is Nigeria’s greatest achievement, and the South-West zone (37%) accounted for the highest proportion of respondents think “Telecommunications” is the greatest achievement. Finally, respondents were asked: What are your expectations for Nigeria in the next 1 year? Responses indicate that the majority (19%) indicated their expectations for Nigeria over the next 1 year is “Addressing unemployment”, closely followed by “Steady power supply” and “Peace and unity” (18% each). Other expectations include “Good governance” (13%) and “Addressing insecurity” (11%). Further analysis across geo political zones indicates that the North-East has the highest proportion of respondents (50%) that indicated “Addressing unemployment” is their expectation while the North-West has the highest proportion (51%) that indicated “Peace and unity”. Furthermore, the South-South (30%) had the largest number that indicated “Steady power supply” is their expectation in the next 1 year. Conclusion The overwhelming majority of Nigerians (94%) have indicated that they are proud to be Nigerians and the main reason is simply because it’s our Father-land (64%) and blessed with natural resources (16%). Furthermore, the minority that claim they are not proud to be Nigerians have this viewpoint mainly because of bad leaders (64%) and Corruption (32%). In addition, when Nigerians were asked about their expectations over the next 1 year, the majority indicated that they expected unemployment to be addressed (22%), an issue that has become of increasing significance by 7-points (Up from 15% in 2012). In addition to unemployment, corruption (18%), education (18%), electricity (17%), and security (9%) were other important issues that Nigerians expect to be addressed in the next 1 year. Finally, after 53 years, the majority of Nigerians (22%) consider “Democracy” to be the country’s greatest achievement followed by “Telecommunications” (19%) and “Unity” (13%). Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted on September 16th to 18th 2013. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,013 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited is the No.1 for country-specific polling services in West Africa. We work in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgement as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com
- Nigerians Favour Decentralisation of Revenue Allocation
Abuja, Nigeria. July 31st, 2013 – Latest weekly poll results released by NOI Polls Limited have revealed a very close margin between Nigerians who feel the Federal Government should be allocated the higher percent of revenue and those who feel it should be the States with 34% and 33% respectively. Also, results show that 28% of Nigerians want the higher percentage of revenue allocation to go the Local Governments. This finding shows a majority (61%) of Nigerians (33% + 28%) are in favour of the decentralisation of revenue allocation to the lower tiers of government. Further findings of the poll indicate that a higher percentage of Nigerians (61%) are of the opinion that the Federal Government should be responsible for roads while 43%, 53% and 39% of Nigerians (forming the majority) are of the opinion that the states governments should be responsible for primary education, water/sanitation and primary health care respectively. These form the key findings of the Fiscal Federalism poll conducted in the week of July 22, 2013. The design of Fiscal Federalism in Nigeria remains a contentious issue. Sub-national governments (State and Local Governments) continue to point to an imbalance between their responsibilities to deliver critical public goods and services (such as primary healthcare, primary education, and water & sanitation) and the proportion of revenue they actually receive under the vertical revenue allocation rule which determines how national tax revenues are shared between the 3 levels of government (Federal, State and Local) – as stipulated in the 1999 Constitution. The revenue formula determines how these revenues are shared between the Federal, State and Local Governments. Currently, the Federal Government receives 52.68%, States receive a share of 26.72% and Local Government Areas receive 20.6%. As part of the on-going Constitutional Review, the Revenue Mobilization and Fiscal Allocation Committee (RMFAC) recently submitted its report to the National Assembly on potential reforms to the vertical revenue allocation rule. An argument made by the National Assembly is for a fair share of the revenue across all tiers of government. However, the Nigerian State Governors in April 2012 suggested through the Nigerian Governors Forum that states should have a higher share of 42% in the allocation. Based on this background, NOI Polls conducted its latest poll on Fiscal Federalism to gauge the level of awareness of the current revenue sharing formula, establish the opinions of Nigerians about Fiscal Federalism and their perceived responsibility about public goods and services. Respondents to the poll were asked five specific questions. The first question aimed to gauge the level of awareness of Nigerians on the current revenue sharing formula currently used in Nigeria: Are you aware of the current revenue sharing formula between the Federal, State and Local levels of Government in Nigeria? An overall majority of 66% responded negatively indicating they are not knowledgeable about the revenue sharing formula currently being used in the allocation of revenue between the three levels of Government. Comparatively, 34% indicated they are aware of the current revenue sharing formula; even though this is the minority, it is nevertheless an encouraging proportion of Nigerians. Out of the proportion that are aware of the revenue sharing formula, more male respondents (43%) showed awareness than female respondents (26%). Based on analysis by geo-political zone, while the North-Central and South-South zones had the highest proportion of respondents (70% each) that had no knowledge of the current revenue sharing formula, the South-East zone accounted for the highest proportion of respondents (40%) that showed awareness of the revenue sharing formula. When the level of awareness is further analysed by the professional background of respondents, responses show that government workers/civil servants (45%) showed the highest level of awareness of the revenue sharing formula; this is followed by professional workers such as lawyers, doctors etc. (44%) and unemployed youth/adult with 35%. Artisans with 20% showed the lowest level of awareness of the revenue sharing formula. Furthermore the age category of respondents with the highest level of awareness of the current revenue sharing formula is 46-60 years with 45%. This is followed by respondents within the age bracket of 30-45 years (38%)and 22-29 years (30%). The age category with the lowest level of awareness is 18-21years with 9%. The second question sought to gauge the level of awareness of Nigerians on the current on-going constitutional review that addresses the revenue allocation formula. Respondents that indicated awareness of the revenue sharing formula in the previous question (i.e. 34% of the total) were asked: Are you aware of the on-going constitutional review that may change the share of revenue received by each level of government? Reaction to this showed that the overall majority of respondents (71%) were aware of the on-going constitutional review, while 29% claimed they are not aware of the on-going constitutional review. From the geo-political standpoint, the North-Central and the North-East zones with 80% and 75%respectively, accounted for the highest proportion of respondents that are aware of the on-going constitutional review. Conversely, the South East had the lowest proportion (63%) of respondents that are aware of the review. In order to establish the opinions of Nigerians on the responsibilities of the Federal, State and Local levels of government, all respondents were asked: In your opinion, which level of government (Federal, State or Local) should be most responsible for roads building and providing primary education, water and sanitation and primary healthcare? Results showed varied reactions on the responsibilities of the three level of government with regards to each of these sectors. Firstly, regarding the construction of roads, the overall majority (61%) are of the opinion that the Federal government should be responsible for road building in Nigeria, while 27% feel the responsibility of road building in Nigeria should lie with the State level of government, and 12% believe that it is the responsibility of Local government. Further analysis by geo-political zone shows that the North-East zone had the highest number of respondents(71%) that believe the Federal government should be responsible for construction of roads. Also the South-West zone accounted for the highest proportion of respondents (36%) that indicated States should be responsible and North-West zone had the highest number of respondents (21%) that indicated the local government to be responsible for the construction of roads. Secondly with reference to Primary Education, analysis show that 43% of the respondents indicated the state level of government should be responsible for providing primary education; this is followed by 34% who are of the opinion that the Federal Government should bear the responsibility, while the remaining 23% indicated the Local Government should be responsible. Analysis from geo-political zones showed that while the North-East zone had the highest proportion of respondents (44%) who indicated the onus be on the Federal Government, the South-South zone accounted for the highest number respondents (53%) that specified the State government. In addition the North-Centraland the South-West zones had the highest number of respondents (27% each) that believe the Local government should be responsible for primary education. In relation to water and sanitation, analysis showed that the overall majority (53%) are of the opinion that the provision of water and sanitation in Nigeria is the responsibility of the State government, this is followed by 24%who believe the Federal government should take charge of providing water and sanitation, while 23% believe the Local government should take responsibility. When the results were analysed according to geo-political zones, the majority of the respondents (66%) that indicated the State government should be responsible for provision of water and sanitation were from theSouth-East zone. Also the North-West zone had the highest proportion (39%) that specified the Federal government and the South-South zone accounted for the highest proportion for respondents (35%) that are of the opinion that the Local government should be responsible for providing water and sanitation in the country. A slight majority of Nigerians (39%) are of the opinion that the State government should be mostly responsible for primary health provision, this if followed by 35% who believe the Federal government should have the responsibility, while the remaining 26% are of the opinion that primary health should be the responsibility of the local government. Further analysis according to geo-political zones revealed that the South-South zone accounted for the highest number of respondents (51%) who indicated the State government should be responsible for matters relating to primary healthcare provision; the North-East zone had the majority of respondents (57%) who say the Federal Government should be responsible for primary healthcare. Moreover, the highest number of respondents (35%)that indicated that the local government should be responsible for providing primary health in Nigeria come from the North-Central zone. Furthermore in order to gauge the opinions of Nigerians on the ideal revenue split between the three levels of government, respondents were asked: In your opinion, which level of government (Federal, State or Local) should receive the most revenue from the revenue sharing formula? In reaction to this, a very narrow majority of34% are of the opinion that the Federal government should receive the highest proportion in the revenue sharing formula. This is closely followed by the 33% of respondents that indicated the state government should get the highest share of the revenue. This further supports results from the previous question where the state government was perceived to be the tier of government that should be responsible for providingprimary education, water and sanitation and primary healthcare by the majority. In addition, 28% are of the opinion that the Local government should get the highest allocation of revenue while just5% say a formula that allows an equal share of the revenue between the Federal, State and Local government is ideal. From the geo-political zone standpoint, the North-Central (44%) and the South-East (40%) zones had the highest proportion of respondents who believe the Federal Government should receive the highest share. TheSouth-West (39%) and the North-East (34%) zones accounted for the highest proportion of respondents who believe State governments should have the highest share. In addition, the South-South (35%) and theNorth-West (34%) zones had the highest proportion of respondents that are of the opinion that the Local Government should have the highest share of revenue from the revenue allocation formula. Finally respondents were asked why they feel the particular level of government they chose should have the highest allocation of revenue. Those respondents who thought the Federal Government should have the highest share in the revenue sharing formula mainly gave the reasons that “They shoulder more responsibility” (56%)and “They are the highest level of government” (100%). The 57%of respondents that specified that States should receive the most revenue, for the most part, gave reasons such as “They will be able to control and monitor more effectively” and “They will be able to coordinate the lower tier of government”. Finally, for the 70% of respondents who believe the Local Government should have the highest share of revenue, gave the main reason of, “it would aid development at this level of government” In conclusion, majority of Nigerians (66%) are not aware of the sharing formula currently employed by the three tiers of government in Nigeria. However, among the 34% that are aware of the formula, the majority (71%) are aware of the on-going constitutional review that is likely to change the status quo. In exploring the perceived responsibilities of the three levels of government, the Federal level of government came top on the chart as the tier of government that should be responsible for road building, while the majority specified that the State government should be responsible for the provision of primary education, water and good sanitation, as well as primary healthcare. In addition, there was almost a tie in the number of respondents suggesting a higher share of revenue in the sharing formula for the Federal Government (34%) and State governments(33%). Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted on July 22nd to 25th 2013. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,003 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOI Polls Limited is Nigeria’s leading opinion polling and research organisation, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOI Polls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOI Polls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOI Polls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOI Polls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOI Polls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com
- How Long is Enough?
Abuja, Nigeria. March 2011. The recent political unrest sweeping through the Middle East and North African states has brought to the fore, the question of what is a reasonable length of time for a president to effectively rule a country. These developments prompted NOI Polls to conduct a survey to get the opinions of Nigerians on how long is enough time to rule a country. The survey results showed that an overwhelming proportion (89%) of respondents think a president should not be allowed to rule indefinitely. Rather, about 60% of respondents think 0 – 4 years is adequate time to rule a country effectively. 30% believe 5 – 8 years would be more appropriate, while only less than 1% support a period over 8 years. The poll shows a general consensus among respondents on the need for a time limit on a presidential term. Though, it is noteworthy that 1% of respondents are in favor of indefinite rule. Survey Methods These results are based on 1095 telephone interviews with randomly selected phone–owning Nigerians aged 18 years and older, across the six geographical regions of the country. The poll was conducted between February 23rd -25th, 2011. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results have a statistical precision of plus or minus 4 percentage points of what they would have been if the entire population had been surveyed. This poll is part of the ongoing snap poll exercise conducted by NOI Polls to rapidly assess public sentiments following various social, political or economic events. NOI Polls – a Nigeria based opinion research organization works in technical partnership with Gallup Polls (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls on various socioeconomic issues in Nigeria.

















