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2nd Ekiti Guber Pre-Election Poll (9th-12th July, 2018): Eleka in strong 25 points lead over Fayemi

Abuja, Nigeria. July 12th, 2018 – Ahead of the July 14th 2018 governorship election in Ekiti State, a new public opinion poll by NOIPolls has again tipped Professor Kolapo Olusola (Eleka), candidate of the People Democratic Party (PDP) to win the governorship race over Dr. John Kayode Fayemi (JKF), candidate of the All Progressives Congress (APC). This 2nd poll conducted in the first four days of the election week (9th – 12th July, 2018) reveals that Professor Olusola now leads Dr. Fayemi by a significant 25 percentage point; up from 8 percentage point lead revealed in the 1st pre-election poll conducted between 18th and 23rd June, 2018.

For the poll, 1,000 randomly selected telephone-owning adult respondents were interviewed across Ekiti state via telephone: Professor Olusola, fondly known as Eleka polled 57 percent; Dr. Fayemi (JKF) polled 32 percent; and Otunba Segun Adewale of ADP, fondly called Oshaprapra (2 percent).

Interestingly, the poll also revealed that while 98 percent of respondents claimed to have their PVCs, 91 percent were absolutely certain they would come out and vote for the gubernatorial candidate of their choice on 14th July 2018.

About NOIPolls & the Poll Methodology

NOIPolls is Nigeria’s premier public opinion polling institution, which conducts periodic opinion polls, surveys and studies on socio-economic and political of diverse issues in Nigeria. More information is available at The poll was conducted between July 9th and 12th 2018. It involved telephone interviews of a representative random state-wide sample in Ekiti State. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning residents of the state aged 18 years and above, representing the three senatorial districts of the state, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. Of the 1,000 completed interviews, 51 percent were male and 49 percent female respondents. Samples for the poll were selected randomly for the senatorial districts in representation of the state’s population – Ekiti Central (41 percent), Ekiti South (33 percent), and Ekiti North (26 percent); with interviews representatively conducted in all the 13 LGAs of the state. Also, 39 percent of respondents were aged between 18 and 35 years; 54 percent between 36 and 60 years; and 7 percent above 61 years. In terms of employment status of respondents, top 5 respondents are: Self-employed traders (31 percent), Civil servants (22 percent), Unemployed young people (9 percent), Business men/women (9 percent) and Students (8 percent).


Dr. Bell Ihua




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