Search Results
651 results found with an empty search
- Nigerians Express Mixed Feelings on State of Security
Abuja, Nigeria. April 29th, 2014 – Quarter 2 2014 Special Edition poll; The State of Security In Nigeria “S.o.S” poll released by NOIPolls Limited has revealed that mixed feelings have trailed the opinions of Nigerians regarding the state of the Country’s security. On one hand, when asked to rate the current state of security in the country, majority (76%) were of the opinion that the country is not secure. However, when asked to rate the state of security in their local communities, only 34% viewed their communities as insecure; an indication that one feels safer when the danger is not in close proximity. Interestingly, a reverse of this is found in the North East region that views the country as much safer than their communities. The results also revealed that a slight majority (47%) think security checkpoints are effective in deterring terrorist attacks; while 43% think they are ineffective. With regards to the “state of emergency”, majority (59%) think that the duration of the “state of emergency” should be extended in the North Eastern states where it was imposed, however the North East region had the majority who do not want an extension of the state of emergency. Finally, top key measures identified by Nigerians to help tackle security challenges in Nigeria are ‘Unity among religious leaders’ (18%); ‘Increased security within the Country/Borders’ (15%) and ‘Better motivation of Security personnel with Good pay/Equipment/Training’ (15%). These were the key findings from the Special Edition “State of Security” S.o.S Poll conducted in the week of April 21st, 2014. Brief Backgroun Insecurity in Nigeria has remained a top challenge facing Nigeria as a country over the past few years, this is clear in what Nigerians have pointed out as key issues the President and his administration should address over the last three years. Also the current state of security in the country has affected the President’s approval ratings in the last couple of months as incessant attacks across the country continued. A combination of terrorist attacks, ethnic clashes and violent clashes within communities have further heightened the need to deal with the insecurity and its effect on lives and properties of the Nigerian people. In 2013, an estimate of about 3,600 people was reported to have been killed from attacks launched by the Boko Haram sect since 2009 and in present times the death toll continues to rise. [1] Some of the more recent attacks from the Boko Haram sect recorded in April 2014 include the bombing at the Nyanya bus terminal on the outskirts of Abuja which killed at least 75 people and injured so many others. This major attack on the FCT highlighted the serious threat of the group to the nation as a whole. Barely 16 hours after the bomb explosion at a bus park in Nyanya, over 200 female students were abducted at night by members of the terrorist group Boko Haram from Government Girls’ Secondary School, Chibok in Borno State. [2] Against this background, NOIPolls conducted its Special Edition “State of Security” S.o.S Poll in the week of April 21st. The main objectives of the survey were to gauge the perceptions of Nigerians regarding the state of security within their local communities and the nation as a whole. Current poll results were compared with the results of the NOI-Gallup National Poll conducted in September 2013. Please download the full survey report of the S.o.S Poll here. Key Findings The first and second questions sought to determine the perception of Nigerians about security in the country as a whole and within their local communities. Respondents were asked: How would you currently rate security in the country/your local community? Survey results show that with regards to security in the country, majority (76%: 37%+39%) have a negative perception of security in the country as a whole describing it as ‘Not very Secure’ and ‘Not at all Secure’. Conversely, 24% (5%+19%) have a positive perception about security in Nigeria. The North-East has the highest proportion of residents that describe security in the country as ‘Very Secure’ (13%) and ‘Somewhat Secure’ (28%). The same region also has the lowest proportion of those that describe it as ‘Not very Secure’ (24%) and ‘Not at all Secure’ (35%). However, with regards to security in their local communities, the majority of Nigerians have a positive perception about security within their local community rating it as secure; 66% (39%+27%). In addition, 34% (21%+13%) have a negative perception about security in their communities describing it as not secure. The North-East and North-Central have the highest proportion of residents (29% each) that describe it as ‘Not very Secure’ and the North-West has the highest proportion (17%) who claim it is ‘Not at all secure’. The results from the questions show a reverse relationship between the troubled areas (North East region) and the rest of the country. Whilst all other regions view the Country as not secure and their communities secure, the North East region views the country as secure and their communities as not very secure. A trend analysis on the security in the country shows that the proportion of Nigerians that perceive the country as ‘Somewhat secure’ declined by 10-points from September 2013. On the other hand, those that indicated ‘Not at all Secure’ increased by 7-points. Again, comparing current results with the NOI-Gallup Poll reveal a steep 20-point increase in the proportion of Nigerians that perceive their local community as ‘Very Secure’. On the other hand, those that describes it as ‘Not at all Secure’ declined by 7-points. Furthermore, respondents were asked: How effective do you think security checkpoints are in deterring terrorist attacks? Findings revealed that the slight majority 47% (13%+34%) think security checkpoints are effective in deterring terrorist attacks, closely followed by 43% (29%+14%) who think they are ineffective while 10% think they are neither effective nor ineffective. From the geo-political zone perspective, the North-West zone has the highest percentage (71%) of respondents who think security checkpoints are effective in deterring terrorist attacks while the South-West has the highest proportion (59%) that think they are ineffective. Analysis by age group reveals the 60+ group has the majority (55%) of those that think security checkpoint are ineffective while the 18-25 years age-group has the majority (51%) of those that think they are effective. To ascertain the perception of Nigerians regarding the extension of the duration of the state of emergency, respondents were asked: In your opinion, do you think that state of emergency should be extended in those states? The majority (59%) think the state of emergency should be extended in the North Eastern states where it was imposed while 41% think it should not be extended. In-depth analysis by geo-political zone indicates that the North-East region where the state of emergency was actually imposed has the highest proportion of residents (64%) that think it should NOT be extended. This is also the only region where this is the majority opinion among residents. Finally, respondents were asked: What do you think should be done to tackle security challenges in Nigeria? The slight majority (18%) indicated that ‘Unity among religious leaders’ will help tackle security challenges in Nigeria. Other popular suggestions include ‘Increased security within the Country/Borders’, ‘Better motivation of Security personnel with Good pay/Equipment/Training’ (15% each) and ‘Everyone should be security conscious’ (13%). In conclusion, findings from the poll revealed that majority (76%) of Nigerians were of the opinion that the country is not secure when asked to rate the current state of security in the country. However, when asked to rate the state of security in their local communities, only 34% viewed their communities as insecure. Furthermore, the results revealed that a slight majority (47%) think security checkpoints are effective in deterring terrorist attacks; while 43% think they are ineffective. With regards to the “state of emergency”, majority (59%) think that the duration of the “state of emergency” should be extended in the North Eastern states where it was imposed. Finally, top key measures identified by Nigerians to help tackle security challenges in Nigeria are ‘Unity among religious leaders’ (18%); ‘Increased security within the Country/Borders’ (15%) and ‘Better motivation of Security personnel with Good pay/Equipment/Training’ (15%). Finally, top key measures identified by Nigerians to help tackle security challenges in Nigeria are ‘Unity among religious leaders’ (18%); ‘Increased security within the Country/Borders’ (15%) and ‘Better motivation of Security personnel with Good pay/Equipment/Training’ (15%). Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in April 23rd to 24th 2014. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1] http://www.aljazeera.com [2] www.vanguardngr.com
- 6 in 10 Nigerian Households Received Less Than 5 Hours of Power Supply Daily in Q1
Abuja, Nigeria. April 15th, 2014 – Power Sector poll results released by NOIPolls Limited for the First Quarter of 2014 have revealed that an average of 63% (43%+20%) of Nigerians have experienced no improvement in their power supply, with 43% who experienced a worsened state and 20% having no difference at all. More findings revealed that an average of 63% (45%+18%) received less than 5 hours of continuous power supply daily with the majority (45%) receiving between 1-4 hours of continuous power daily and 18% receiving zero (0) hours of power supply. To this effect an average of 79% of Nigerians use alternative sources to augment their power supply and of this group, majority (72%) reported they experienced an increase in their spending on these alternative sources. Also observed was the decline of power supply to households over the quarter as those that experienced any improvement in their power supply fell from 44% in January to 37% in March 2014. These were the key findings from the Power Poll conducted in Quarter 1 (Q1), 2014. The aim of the power sector reform by the Federal Government is to improve efficiency, encourage private sector involvement to fortify the power sector which is considered as Nigeria’s priority platform for development. The Nigerian power sector saw an achievement of a milestone in the completion of the privatisation process, however in the post privatization era; the power sector continues to encounter several challenges. One of such which was revealed by the Minister of Power; Prof. Chinedu Nebo in an interview with the Leadership Newspaper in January is the issue of adequate gas supply to power plants. This he considered as the top most challenge facing the sector.[1] With the aim of monitoring the progress made so far in the power sector reforms in Nigeria, NOIPolls introduced its Quarterly Power Poll Report in April 2013 to explore the perception of Nigerians towards the power sector reforms, the amount of power supply received daily and expenditure on alternative sources of power. The result presented is the 1st in the quarterly series for 2014 following the 2013 quarterly reports. Key Findings With the aim of assessing the trends in power supply over Q1 2014, respondents were asked the following question: How would you describe power in your area in the past 1 month? The three months average over Q1 revealed that majority (63%: 43%+20%) of the respondents have experienced no improvement in power supply, while 37% (14%+33%) experienced an improvement. Furthermore, a trend analysis on the state of power across the three month reveals a worsened state of power in March compared to January and February. This is evident on the fact there was an 18-point increase in the total proportion of respondents that reported power remains bad and it’s very bad, has gone worse from January(36%: 24%+12%) to March (54%: 29%+25%). [1] http://leadership.ng/ To further evaluate the state of power through an assessment of the length of hours of power supply generally received by Nigerian households daily, respondents were asked: On the average, how many hours of continuous power supply does your household experience daily? Averages of the three months in Q1 showed that majority (45%) of Nigerians received between 1-4 hours of continuous power daily; 18% reported they received no power supply at all and another 18% claimed they receive between 5-9 hours of continuous power. Furthermore the month of March recorded the highest proportion of Nigerians who received between 1-4 hours of continuous power supply daily. These findings further supports the previous which revealed a worsened state of power in March as it recorded the highest proportion of respondents who received less than 5 hours of power supply daily (73%: 53%+20%). Subsequently, with the aim of measuring the proportion of Nigerians that use alternative sources, respondents were asked: Do you use any alternate source of electricity supply such as generators or inverters?Averages across the three months in Q1 2014 depicts that the proportion of respondents that use alternative source of power has almost remained constant with the peak observed in February (81%) and an average of 79%for the three months. It is pertinent to note that the month of March which recorded the worst supply of power across the three months in Q1, accounted for the least proportion of respondents that use alternate sources of power supply. This may have been as a result of the fuel (which is essential in running some types of generators) scarcity during this period. Furthermore, in order to evaluate the spending patterns of households on alternate sources of power supply, respondents were asked: How would you describe the amount you currently spend on alternative power compared to a year ago? A three months trend analysis in Q1, 2014 illustrates a continuous increase in the spending of Nigerians on alternative sources of power supply. A 4-point increasein the proportion of Nigerians that saw a drastic increase in their spending was experienced from January (50%) to February (54%)and then a significant increase in the same group by 14-Points from February to March (64%). Furthermore, averages over the three months revealed that 57% of the respondents who use alternate sources of power to augment their power supply experienced a drastic increase in their spending on these sources, 15%indicated a slight increase while another 15% claimed their spending remained the same. In addition, 9% of the respondents experienced a slight decrease and 4% saw a drastic decrease in their spending on alternate sources of power. In assessing the level of awareness of Nigerians on the reforms in the power sector, respondents were asked: Are you aware that the Federal Government is making efforts to reform the power sector? Findings revealed that the level of awareness was relatively constant across the three months with an average of 73% of adult Nigerians who are aware of the power sector reforms. However, there was a 1-point decrease in awareness from January (73%) to February (72%) and a 3-Point increase in March (75%). Finally, respondents were asked: How do you feel about these on-going power reforms? Findings revealed that an average majority of 68% (22%+46%) are hopeful about the reforms, 16% (12%+4%) are dissatisfied while 16% are indifferent as they are neither hopeful nor dissatisfied about the power sector reforms. Furthermore, findings in Q1 revealed a 6-point decrease in the proportion of respondents that are hopeful about the power reforms from January (71%: 21%+50%) to February (65%: 26%+39%) and a 3-point increase in March (68%: 18%+50%). In conclusion, findings from the Q1, 2014 power poll have revealed that an average of 63% (43%+20%) of Nigerians have experienced no improvement in their power with, 43% who experienced a worsened state and20% having no difference. More findings revealed that majority (45%) of Nigerians received 1-4 hours of continuous power daily. To this effect an average of 79% of Nigerians use alternative sources to augment their power supply and majority 72% reported they experienced an increase in their spending on alternate sources. Additionally, the majority of Nigerians (73%) are aware of the power sector reforms by the Federal Government and of this group, 68% are hopeful about on-going reforms in the Power Sector. Finally, the challenges faced by the power sector in the post privatization era have obviously negatively impacted the supply of power to Nigerian households especially in the month of March. In order to fully yield the intended benefits of the privatization of the power sector, the generating and distributing companies in collaboration with other stakeholders will have to rise up with a new age strategy (which could be borrowed from countries who have an efficient power sector) to tackling these issues which seems to have always been present from the history of the Nigerian power sector. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted between January and March 2014. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample of over 3,000 phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited is the No.1 for country-specific polling services in West Africa. We work in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA) to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com
- NOIPolls Portfolio of Indices – March 2014
Abuja, Nigeria. April 8th, 2014 – The Portfolio of Indices report released by NOIPolls Limited has revealed that the NOIPolls Personal Well-Being Index stands at 41% in March 2014 indicating a 1-point drop fromFebruary. Furthermore, the NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index for March shows a significant 12-pointsdeclinefrom February 2014 results. These are the key highlights from the March Portfolio of Indices Press Release. In February 2014, NOIPolls officially unveiled its portfolio of indices; the NOIPolls Personal Well-Being Index (PWBI), the NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) and the NOIPolls Eagle 30 Business Confidence Index (EBCI). The NOIPolls Personal Well-Being Index measures factors impacting on the lives of everyday Nigerians; thereby producing a complete view of the individual’s personal well-being. The NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index provides consumer assessments of the economic situation and their intentions and expectations for the future. The NOIPolls Eagle 30 Business Confidence Index measures business leaders’ perceptions and expectations of the Nigerian business environment using the top 30 companies in the country. This report presents the March 2014 results for the NOIPolls Personal Well-Being Index (PWBI) and NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index (CCI). Nigerian businesses, financial and government agencies largely depend on their perceptions and micro assessment of consumers’ expectation in making decisions. At best, they draw conclusion on the business environment based on information from their immediate surroundings while the minority conduct surveys that are time and money consuming. However, the introduction of these indices provides indicators that will ensure stakeholders can detect and respond to changes in consumer behavior, the economy, and the business environment in Nigeria. The NOIPolls Personal Well-Being Index (PWBI) The NOIPolls Personal Well-Being Index for March 2014 stands at 41.3%; which signifies a slight downward shift in the well-being of Nigerians from the previous month. Additionally, analysis of the individual indicators that make up the Well-being Index reveal that Nigerians are more satisfied with certain aspects of their lives than others. For instance, Nigerians are highly satisfied in terms of Religion (86.5%), Social interaction (72.8%) and Physical health (71.6%). Similarly, Nigerians are mostly neutral with respect to their Achievement in life (51.4%), Personal security (49.1%), and Standard of living (47.1%) while Nigerians are obviously not satisfied with their Personal economic situation (34.1%). When current findings are compared with February 2014 results, it reveals there was a drop across 4 of the indicators that make up the Personal Well-being Index while the overall index dropped by 1 point. The largest increase was observed in Health (1.8 points) while the largest declines were observed in personal security (6.6 points) and economic situation (2.3 points). In Nigeria, both factors are often interconnected such that the current security challenge of an individual often affects that person’s economic situation. For instance, insecurity and uncertainty experienced in some regions within Nigeria have had a negative impact on the economic activities in those areas. Quarterly trend analysis shows that the personal well-being index of Nigerians experienced a total decline of 2.72-points over the first quarter of 2014. The NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) The NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index for March 2014 stands at 68.7. This result indicates that consumers remain somewhat positive about their personal state and stability of the economy. In general, this should lead to the purchase of more goods and services and eventually stimulate economic growth. The NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index comprises of 2 independent variables; the Present Situation Index (PSI) and Expectation Index (EI). In March, the Present Situation Index of 58.57 shows that Nigerians feel slightly good about their present personal and economic situation. Similarly, the Expectation Index score of 76.2 reveals that consumers are highly optimistic about the future. Trend analysis shows that the overall CCI dropped by 12-points; the Present Situation Index increased by 2-points while the Expectation Index experienced a highly significant 20-points decline. This drop shows that Nigerians have significantly lowered their expectations for the future by March compared to February 2014. This can be linked to 2013 PWBI results conducted by NOIPolls that suggests Nigerians start the year being highly optimistic and this gradually drops over the course of the year as the reality of their present situation encroaches on their future expectations. This is significant in the light of March CCI results where the Expectation Index experienced a sharp decline and the Present Situation Index experienced a slight increase. Quarterly trend analysis shows that the personal well-being index of Nigerians experienced a total decline of 15.3–points over the first quarter of 2014. Conclusion The Personal Well-Being of Nigerians with the NOIPolls Personal Well-Being Index stands at 41% in March 2014 indicating a slight 1-point drop from February (42%). Furthermore, the NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index for March experienced a significant 12-points declinefrom February (80%). Analysis of the individual indicators that make up the PWBI shows that the largest declines were observed in Personal security (6.6 points)and Economic situation (2.3 points). Additionally, the NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index for Marchdeclined by 12-points to 68%. Analysis of the 2 key indicators that constitute the CCI shows that the Present Situation Index increased by 2-points while the expectation Index experienced a significant 20-points decline.This drop shows that Nigerians are less optimistic about their future expectations in March compared toFebruary 2014. This can also be linked to 2013 PWBI results that suggest Nigerians start the year being highly optimistic and this gradually drops over the course of the year as the reality of their present situation encroaches on their future expectations. Survey Methods The Personal Well-Being Index and Consumer Confidence Index Polls were conducted in the month of March 2014. The PWBI involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. In addition the CCI involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 4,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 2%. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com
- Introducing The NOIPolls Portfolio of Indices
Abuja, Nigeria. February 11th, 2014 – Maintaining our stance as a dynamic and innovative public opinion polling and research organization in Nigeria and the West African region, NOIPolls Limited is excited to introduce our portfolio of indices; the NOIPolls Personal Well-Being Index (PWBI), the NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) and the NOIPolls Eagle 30 Business Confidence Index (EBCI). The NOIPolls Personal Well-Being Index measures factors impacting on the lives of everyday Nigerians; thereby producing a complete view of the individual’s personal well-being. The NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index provides consumer assessments of the economic situation and their intentions and expectations for the future. The NOIPolls Eagle 30 Business Confidence Index measures business leaders’ perceptions and expectations about the Nigerian business environment using the top 30 companies in the country. Nigerian businesses, financial and government agencies largely depend on their perceptions and micro assessment of consumers’ expectation in making decisions. At best, they draw conclusion on the business environment based on information from their immediate surroundings while the minority conduct surveys that are time and money consuming. However, the introduction of these indices provides indicators that will ensure stakeholders can detect and respond to changes in consumer behaviour, the economy, and the business environment in Nigeria. Summary of Portfolio of Indices for January 2014 IndexJanuary 2014The NOIPolls Personal Well-Being Index (PWBI)44.1The NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index (CCI)83.9The NOIPolls Eagle 30 Business Confidence Personal Index (EBCI)To be released in March 2014 The NOIPolls Personal Well-Being Index (PWBI) NOIPolls started monthly polls for the NOIPolls Personal Well-Being Index in January 2013, seven key indicators were used to measure the PWBI; these were Standard of Living, Health, Achievement in Life, Personal Security, Social Interaction, Religion, and Economic Situation. The average NOIPolls Personal Well-Being Index for 2013 was 41.6%. This indicates that Nigerians were mostly neutral about their personal well-being in 2013. In February (41.3%), August (40.5%), November (41.4%) and December (37.5%), the Index was lower than the yearly average. The peak of the Index results was observed in January (42.9%) while the lowest result was recorded in December (37.5%) showing that Nigerians were neutral about their personal well-being in January 2013, but dissatisfied by December 2013. A total of 12,000 randomly selected Adult Nigerians were polled nationwide. The PWBI for January 2014 is put at 44.1%. This shows that there was an increase of 2.5% from the yearly average of41.6%. Also when the present reading of 44.1% is compared to the PWBI of January 2013 which was 43.0%, it indicates that there was a slight improvement in the personal well being of Nigerians compared to the same time last year. Please read more on the NOIPolls PWBI here The NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) NOIPolls started monthly polling for the NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index in January 2014. The score for January 2014 is 83.9. This score indicates that consumers are positive about their personal state and stability of the economy. In general, this optimism is expected to result in the purchase of more goods and services and ultimately stimulate economic growth. The NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index comprises of 2 independent variables; the Present Situation Index (PSI) and Expectation Index (EI). The Present Situation Index of 64.7, shows that Nigerians feel good about their present personal and economic situation. Also, the Expectation Index score of 96.9 reveals that consumers are highly optimistic about the future. A total of randomly selected 4,000 Adult Nigerians are polled monthly. Since this is our first reading, we clearly cannot identify trends. Once we have a track record of several months, we will be able to draw some conclusions on the patterns observed. The NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index (CCI)83.9Present Situation Index (PSI)64.7Expectations Index (EI)96.9 Please read more on the NOIPolls CCI here The NOIPolls Eagle 30 Business Confidence Index (EBCI) NOIPolls has conducted the NOIPolls Eagle 30 Business Confidence Survey biannually over a 5 year period; in 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012 and 2013. The NOIPolls Eagle 30 Business Confidence Survey captures the opinions of C-level executives from thirty (30) leading companies in Nigeria and provides information about the existing business environment and short term business outlook. The surveys were conducted bi-annually and published as the NOIPolls Eagle 30 Business Confidence report. As from March 2014, NOIPolls introduces the NOIPolls Eagle 30 Business Confidence Index which will be an indicator of Business Leaders’ perceptions about the Business Environment based on survey questions. Please read more on the 5-year EBCI here. Benefits We believe the different indices can be used as key indicators to measure economic growth, consumer behaviour, the prevailing business environment and impact of policies on the population. The introduction of our portfolio of indices is key to enabling stakeholders in all major sectors of the Nigerian economy and across the Globe to make informed decisions. They also serve as key pointers to would be investors in the Nigerian Economy to enable strategic entry into the country. Also Journalists, the Academia and other experts can benefit from this unprecedented resource of behavioural data to inform their research and reporting. Overall we are quite excited to be charting these new waters in research and data management in Nigeria and look forward to introducing more indices to our portfolio as we grow. The Editor editor@noi-polls.com
- Typhoid & Malaria Fever Top Ailments Treated by Quack Medical Practitioners
Abuja, Nigeria. January 21st, 2014 – Latest weekly poll results released by NOIPolls Limited have revealed that about 2 in 10 Nigerians (24%) may have directly or indirectly been victims of quack or sub-standard medical practitioners. The poll also identified Typhoid and Malaria Fever as the most prevalent ailments for which majority of the patients (50%) have been treated for by sub-standard medical practitioners, followed by pregnancy and childbirth (11%). Furthermore, respondents were of the opinion that the health condition of victims became worse after treatment. These were the key findings from the Sub-standard or Quack Medical Practitioners in Nigeria Snap Poll conducted in the week of January 13th 2014. Recent media reports in Nigeria have observed an upsurge in the prevalence of sub-standard or quack medical practitioners, with attendant effects on the physical wellbeing of the populace and life expectancy of the average Nigerian. In 2013 alone, there were several reports of arrests made by the Nigerian Police Force in various states, especially in Lagos state. For instance, the Rivers State chapter of the Nigerian Medical Association (NMA) had the police arrest 12 quack medical doctors and also had illegal hospitals in the state shut down. Similarly, several hospitals in Lagos have been closed down for practicing without medical licenses. Other cases include that of Gabriel Onyema and Stephen Nwankwo, who were arrested for causing the deaths of a number of pregnant women, while performing illegal surgical procedures in Lagos.[1] Despite annual budgetary allocations to the health sector by various levels of government, the sector still grapples with several challenges: poor funding of the health sector; quality of graduates emanating from medical schools; deplorable conditions of health facilities & infrastructure; and poor remuneration and emoluments for medical workers, all these resulting in incessant strikes and labour actions, giving rise to the illegal practice of medicine in the country by individuals. In the light of these, NOIPolls conducted its latest poll on the prevalence of sub-standard/quack medical practitioners in Nigeria; in order to gauge the perception of Nigerians regarding their knowledge of the existence of quack medical practitioners and effects on the country’s health sector. Respondents to the poll were asked five specific questions. Firstly, in order to establish the awareness of the prevalence of sub-standard and quack medical practitioners in Nigeria, respondents who had an understanding of quackery were asked: Are you aware of the growing prevalence of sub-standard or quack medical practitioners in Nigeria? Overall, majority (79%) of the respondents answered positively to being aware of the growing prevalence of sub-standard or medical practitioners in Nigerian, while 21% of Nigerians responded negatively. Further analysis, by geo-political zones, indicates that the North-West zone (92%) had the highest proportions of respondents that showed an awareness of the rising prevalence of quack medical practitioners, followed by the North-East zone with 88% and the South-West zone with 83%. [1] www.punchng.com Furthermore, in order to gauge the understanding of Nigerians regarding who really is a sub-standard or quack medical practitioner, respondents were asked: Who is a sub-standard or quack medical practitioner? Findings revealed that Nigerians have various perceptions on the concept of Quackery, giving a variety of definitions on who is a sub-standard or quack medical practitioner. Majority (44%) of the respondents, have an understanding that sub-standard or quack medical practitioners are “practitioners with incomplete qualifications”; while 35% of respondents believe they are “individuals that pretend to have medical knowledge”’. Furthermore, 8% say they are ‘individuals that use unproven and unscientific remedies’; 2% say they are ‘student practitioners’; and another 2% say they are ‘Native Doctors’. However, about 8% of those polled do not have a definitive idea about quack medical practitioners. Analysis based on geo-political zones revealed that the North-Central zone (52%) had the highest proportion of Nigerians who define quackery as “practitioners with incomplete qualifications”, while the South-West zone (45%) accounted for the largest proportion of Nigerians (45%) that believe quack medical practitioners are “individuals that pretend to have medical knowledge”. Subsequently, respondents were asked: Have you or do you know anyone who has been treated by a sub-standard or quack practitioner in Nigeria? Responses to this question revealed that 2 in 10 Nigerians (24%) may have been a victim or know someone who have been a victim of sub-standard or quack medical practitioners. However, the majority of respondents76% have not had any personal experience with quack medical practitioners. It is pertinent to note that these figures represent the perceptions of Nigerians based on their definitions of quack medical practitioners, and not based on professional assessment of quackery in the health sector. From the geo-political zone standpoint, the North-East zone (33%) accounted for the highest proportion of Nigerians that said they have been treated by quack medical practitioners, either personally or through relatives and acquaintances followed by the South East (28%) and then the South West (26%). The fourth question sought to know the ailment for which patients have been treated for by these sub-standard or quack medical practitioners: Respondents who claimed to have been treated/know someone who has been treated by sub-standard or quack medical practitioners (24% of the total) were asked: What ailments were the victims of quack medical practitioners treated for? Majority (50% of the 24%) were treated for typhoid/malaria fever, followed by 11% of respondents who were treated for pregnancy/child delivery care cases and7% who were treated for headaches. In addition 4% were offered treatment for injuries; while3% each were treated for heart pain, abortion and eye treatment. Furthermore, 13% of respondents (of the 24%) were treated for various ailments such as: Skin infections, Diabetes, Food poisoning, Epilepsy, Pneumonia, Toothache and Chicken pox amongst others. In general, this finding demonstrates that Malaria and Typhoid fever remain the most prevalent ailments in Nigeria. It is also alarming to observe that pregnant women and nursing mothers are exposed to the scourge of sub-standard and quack medical practitioners. Further analysis based on geo-political zones showed that the North-East zone (64%)accounted for the highest proportion of respondents who were treated for “typhoid/malaria fever”, while the North-Central zone had the highest proportion of respondents that received “pregnancy/ child delivery care” from sub-standard or quack medical practitioners. Finally, in order to assess the outcomes of the experiences of respondents with sub-standard or quack medical practitioners, again respondents who claimed to have been treated/know someone who has been treated by quack medical practitioners (24% of the total) were asked:How would you describe the patient’s condition after the treatment? The result revealed that majority of Nigerians (71%: 52% + 19%) who were treated by quack medical practitioners reported a worsened health situation, where 52% claimed the condition ‘became worse’ and 19% said it ‘remained bad’. In addition, while 14% had a good report, 15% reported “there was no difference at all” after treatment, Findings based on geo-political zones show that North-East, South-East and South-West zones with 62% each accounted for have the highest proportions of Nigerians who claim that patient’s treated by quack medical practitioners “became worse” afterwards. In conclusion, the poll has revealed that that about 2 in 10 Nigerians (24%) may have been victims of quack or sub-standard medical practitioners; while Typhoid and Malaria Fever were identified as the most prevalent ailments for which patients fall victims of sub-standard or quack medical practitioners. Sadly the experiences of victims mostly end up in bitter tales as majority of respondents admitted that the health conditions of victims become worse after treatments by quack medical practitioners. However, it is imperative to note that these sub-standard or quack medical practitioners, criminal as they may seem, tend to be filling a critical vacuum necessitated by inefficiencies of the country’s health sector; particularly for the D & E socio-economic class (SEC) and income groups, who become victims of the incessant strike actions in public hospitals and can neither afford the cost of health care in private hospitals. Finally, the increasing prevalence of quack medical practitioners and cases of their victims are issues of grave concern, requiring urgent attention from all relevant stakeholders. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in January 15th to 17th 2014. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No.1 for country-specific polling services in West Africa, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgement as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com
- About 8 in 10 Nigerians Purchase Petrol at the Official Pump Price in Q4
Abuja, Nigeria. January 16th, 2014 – Fourth Quarter (Q4) results for the Petrol Price Monitoring Pollsconducted by NOIPolls Limited has revealed that the majority of Nigerians (77%) purchased petrol at the official price of N97 and typically buy petrol from major marketer filling stations (69%). In addition, the majority use petrol for both their cars and generators (46%). These form part of the findings of the Petrol Price Monitoring Poll for Quarter 4, 2013. In January 2012, the Petroleum Products Pricing Regulatroy Agency (PPPRA) along with government announced an increase in the price of petrol from N65 to N141 as a result of the removal of subsidy becase over a trillion naira was spent in 2011 on the payment of subsidies. After days of protest by Nigerians led by organised labour and civil societies who were unhappy about the perceived hardship this action would cause Nigerians and the lack of notice by the government to carry out such plans, the government as a stop-gap measure partially removed the subsidy on petrol, thereby bringing the official pump price of petrol to N97. Subsidy has been defined as money given by the state or public body to keep down cost of commodities. Some people see it as a form of protectionism or trade barrier because domestic goods are made affordable artificially. Within the Nigerian petroleum pricing context, subsidy would then mean selling petrol below the cost of production or importation. In the course of and following the 2012 subsidy protest and partial removal of subsidy by government, many debates arose with erroneous and innaccurate information passed across as the truth, indicating a need for a dependable measure of public opinion on issues surrounding public policies. This led NOIPolls to initiate thePetrol Price Monitoring Poll Project in January 2013. This result release is the fourth quarterly release in the series. The purpose of the poll is to monitor and analyse the current price and uses of petrol in Nigeria, as well as to measure the perception of Nigerians towards the petrol price differences at various points of sale and the removal of fuel subsidy. Key Findings Over 6,000 respondents were interviewed from January-December 2013 and respondents were asked the same ten questions for each monthly poll, but only five of these will be reveiwed in this report. For full details of the findings please e-mail: editor@noi-polls.com. With the aim of identifying the main petrol distributors that Nigerians patronize, respondents to the poll were asked: Where do you mainly buy petrol from? Results reveal that in Q4 the majority (69%) buy petrol from major marketer filling stations. This is followed by 24% who mainly purchase from independent marketer filling stations and 7% who buy from petrol hawkers. Analysis of the results by geo-political zones shows that the South-West has the highest percentage of people (78%) purchasing petrol from major marketer filling stations. The South-East zone has the highest percentage purchasing from independent marketer filling stations with 39%, while the North West and North-East zones have the highest percentage of people purchasing from the hawkers with 16% and 15% respectively. When Q4 results are compared with Q3, current results show there were no major changes in Q4. There was a slight 1 point decline in the proportion of people that mainly buy from major marketer filling stations and another slight 2% decrease in the proportion that buy from Independents when compared to Q3 results. Subsequently, in order to estimate the average cost of petrol in Nigeria as well as measure the percentage of Nigerians who buy above the official pump price, the respondents were asked: How much do you normally buy petrol? Results show that the 77% of Nigerians purchased petrol at the official price of N97 in Q4. This was followed by 13% who purchased at N100. However, in total, 23% of Nigerians bought petrol above the official price in Q4. Further analysis by geo-political zones shows that the South-West, North-Central, North East and South-East zones have the highest amount of respondents who bought petrol at N97 with 81% and 80% for the three other zones respectively. A cumulative look at the prices paid for fuel in the 4th quarter shows that the proportion of respondents that bought at the official price of N97 was highest in November (83%) and this dropped to 75% in December. When Q4 results are compared with Q3; there was no substantial change; only a 1% decrease in the proportion of respondents that purchases petrol at the official pump price. This indicates that the far-reaching improvement in the availability of petrol first observed in Q3 was sustained in Q4. Furthermore, in order to acertain the main uses of petrol in Nigeria, the respondents to the poll were asked: What do you normally use petrol for? Similar to the Q3 survey, the results for Q4 reveals that on an average, the majority use petrol for both their cars and generators (46%). This is followed by the use of petrol for generators only (31%) and cars only (18%). The trend analysis shows that in October more respondents used petrol for both their cars and generators (54%) and there was a 12 point decline in November of those that used petrol for this purpose. With the aim of exploring the perception of Nigerians about the causes of price differences of petrol at the points of sale, the respondents to the poll were asked: What do you think is responsible for the difference in the pump price of petrol across filling stations? The results show that majority (53%) of the respondents blamed the disparity in petrol price on the lack of monitoring of the petrol stations by governments. Furthermore, 27% of the respondents were of the opinion that the petrol stations are hoarding petrol and exploiting the public, while 20% felt that it is because the cost of importing petrol is not the same for all marketers. Analysis by geo-political zones shows that the North-West and North-Central zones (both 60%) have the highest proportion of respondents who blamed the government for not monitoring the filling stations, while the North-East zone (43%) accounts for the highest proportion of respondents that feel the petrol stations are exploiting people. The South-East has the highest proportion of respondents (31%) that blame the price disparity on the varying cost of importation of petrol. The monthly results for Q4 show there was a sharp 15-point decline in November in the proporttion of respondents who blamed the governement for price disparity and corresponding 13-point increase in those that blame the actual stations for hoarding fuel. Furthermore, in December there was a 15-point increase in the proportion of respondent that think the price disparity observed is because the cost of imporattion petrol is not the same for all marketers. To guage how Nigerians feel about the partial removal of subsidy and possible future removal of subsidy, the respondents were asked: Are you in support of the Government’s decision to remove fuel subsidyResults show that the majority of the respondents (62%) are not in support of the subsidy removal while 38%are in support. It further shows the South-South zone accounted for the highest proportion of respondents in support of subsidy removal (54%), while the North-West (78%) has the majority of respondents against the petrol subsidy removal. A further look at the monthly results for Q4 shows that in October there was the highest proportion of respondents (41%) that favoured subsidy removal (3% more than the 3 month average). Quarterly results show that there hasn’t been any significant change in the stance of Nigerians about removal of the fuel subsidy. The majority are not in support of the decision to remove the subsidy. In conclusion, the poll revealed that while 77% of Nigerians purchased petrol at the official price of N97 in Q4; the majority (69%) of Nigerians buy petrol from major marketer filling stations. The poll also revealed that the majority use petrol for both their car and generator (46%), 53% of the respondents blamed the disparity in petrol price on the lack of monitoring of the petrol stations by governments and62% are not in support of the subsidy removal. Finally the poll revealed that an average of over 60% of Nigerians have maintained their stance against the removal of the fuel subsidy in 2013. Survey Methods The polls for the 4th quarter were conducted between the months of October and December 2013. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample of over 1,500 phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 4%. Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgement as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com
- 8 in 10 Nigerians Anticipate General Rise in Prices this Festive Season
Abuja, Nigeria. 24 December 2013 – The Annual Special End of Year Poll conducted by NOIPolls has revealed that 8 in 10 Nigerians (80%) anticipate a general rise in the prices of goods and services, particularly food items, this festive season; while about 55% have indicated that they will be staying at home to relax for this year’s holiday. Compared to 2012 results, there was a 16-point increase in the proportion of Nigerians that have decided to stay at home and relax; and a 7-point decline in the proportion that said they would be travelling during the festive season. Furthermore, the majority (77%) perceive the states where they will be spending their holiday as “Peaceful & secure”; while 87% are confident in the ability of the Police to respond to any security alerts this season. Compared to 2012, there was a drastic 23-point increase in the proportion of Nigerians that have a positive perception about the state of security in the country. The current result demonstrates improved perception regarding the state of security in the country. Finally, most respondents wish fellow Nigerians “Peace and prosperity” during the year end festivities. Nigerians typically celebrate the end of the year with different festivities such as parties, social gatherings and family reunions. Furthermore, throughout December a variety of events take place including the Calabar Carnival, Akwa-Ibom 9,999 Carol Night and Port Harcourt Carnival amongst others. Traditionally, many Nigerians also take advantage of the holidays to travel to their home towns or villages in order to visit and celebrate with family members. These towns and villages come alive towards the end of the year with the influx of natives that typically work in more cosmopolitan cities such as Lagos, Abuja and Port Harcourt. Against this background NOIPolls conducted this special edition poll to explore the plans and expectations of Nigerians for the 2013 end of year festive season. This poll results release further trends current results with results of the first edition conducted in December 2012. Respondents to the poll were asked a series of questions to ascertain their plans for the festive season. First, respondents were asked: What are your plans for the holidays? Responses show that the majority of the respondents (55%) indicated they will be “staying at home to relax”; while 32% said they “will be traveling” for the festive season. A further 7% said they “will be attending events”. Analysis by geo-political zones shows that the North-East zone (78%) has the highest proportion of respondents who indicated they will be “staying at home to relax”; while the South-East (48%) has the highest proportion that indicated that they “will be traveling” for the end of year holiday. When current findings are compared with poll results from 2012, there was a significant 16-point increase in the proportion of Nigerians that indicated that they will be staying at home to relax in 2013. In addition, there was a 7-point decline in the proportion of Nigerians that will be traveling in 2013. The poll also sought the opinions of Nigerians with regards to a general rise in prices and respondents were asked: Do you anticipate a general rise in prices during this festive season? The findings reveals that80% of Nigerians responded affirmatively indicating they anticipate a general rise in prices; while 18%responded “No” and 2% of respondents said “Not really”. Analysis by geo-political zone shows that the South-South (88%), South-East (87%) and North-Central(85%) zones have the highest proportion of respondents that anticipate a general rise in prices during the festive season; while the North-West has the highest proportion (33%) that responded negatively. Furthermore, when compared to responses from the previous poll conducted in 2012, there was a significant 15-point decline in the proportion of Nigerians that anticipate a general price rise during the 2013 festive season; and a corresponding 14-point increase in the percentage of Nigerians who do not anticipate price increases this season. Subsequently, respondents that anticipate a general rise in prices (80% of the total) were further asked:Which item do you anticipate a rise in price? The results indicate that 65% anticipate a rise in price of food items during the 2013 festive season; followed by 17% that also anticipate a rise in the price of clothes, and16% who anticipate a rise in the cost of transportation. The North-West geo-political zone has the highest proportion of Nigerians (80%) that anticipate a general increase in food prices; while the North-East has the highest proportion that anticipate increase in prices of clothes (34%), with the South-West having the highest proportion (24%) that anticipate increase in transportation cost. When current results are compared with results from 2012 there was a 7-point decline in the percentage of Nigerians that anticipate an increase in the cost transportation; as well as an 8-point increase in the proportion of those that anticipate increase in the price of clothes. Furthermore, respondents that indicated they anticipate a general rise in prices (80% of the total) were also asked the following question: How will a rise in price affect your spending? In response, 68% of respondents stated that the anticipated rise in prices of goods & services will Increases their spending; while 17%stated thatthe rise in prices will “Have no impact” on their spending. A further 14% indicated that the anticipated rise in prices will reduce their spending. In comparison with results of the 2012 poll, there was a 7-point increase in the proportion of Nigerians that anticipate an increase in their spending; as well as a corresponding 7-point decline in the proportion of those that anticipate reduction in their spending. Subsequently all respondents were asked: What item will you be spending on most during the festive season? The majority (64%) stated that they will spend the most on Food items during this festive season, followed by 15% who said they will spend the most on clothes. A further 10% stated that they will be spending most on gifts; with another 10% stating that they will be spending most on transportation. When compared with results from the 2012 poll, there is a significant 16-point increase in the proportion of respondents that said they will spend most on food, and a 7-point decline in those that will spend the most on clothes in 2013. Furthermore, there was a 19-point decline in Nigerians that indicated they will spend the most on transportation and this can be partly explained by the decline in the proportion of Nigerians who indicated that they will be travelling during this festive season. Respondents were further asked: At present, how would you assess the security situation where you will be spending the holidays? The findings showed that 77% of Nigerians were of the opinion that the state of security in the states where they will be spending their holidays is “Peaceful & secure”, while 18% said the security situation is “Peaceful but not secure”. Only 4% perceived that the states they will spend the holidays is “Tense & insecure”. Analysis by geo-political zones indicated that the South-West and South-East have the highest proportion of respondents that indicate the security situation is “Peaceful and secure” (both 85%); while the South-Southhas the highest proportion of respondents (31%) that thought the state of security is “Peaceful but not secure”. Also, the North-East has the highest proportion of respondent (9%) that describe the security situation as “Tense & insecure”. Furthermore, when compared with the results from the 2012 poll, there was a drastic 23-piont increase in the proportion of respondents that describe the states they will spend the holiday as “Peaceful & secure” and a 21-point decline in the percentage that indicated “Peaceful but not secure”. This current results demonstrates the improved perception of Nigerians regarding the security situation in the country, compared to the same period last year. Furthermore, in order to assess the perception of Nigerians regarding the readiness of the Police command to handle any security issues during the festive season; respondents were asked: Do you believe your state police command is ready to respond to any security alert during this season? Responses showed that the overwhelming majority (87%) responded “Yes”; while only 13% responded “No”. Further analysis by geo-political zones revealed that while the North-Central zone had the highest number of respondents (94%) that said “Yes”; the South-West zone had the highest proportion of respondents (18%) that responded negatively. Comparing the current results with those of the 2012 poll indicated a significant 24-point increase in the proportion of respondents that indicated they believe the state police command is ready to respond to any security alert during this season. This current result further demonstrates an improved perception of Nigerians regarding the state of security in the country and the improved confidence in the ability of the Nigerian police to maintain peace and security during the festive season. Finally, respondents were asked the following question: What do you wish your fellow Nigerians this festive season? From the responses, majority of respondents (54%) wish their fellow Nigerians “Peace & prosperity” during this festive season; followed by “Good health” (13%) and “God’s blessings” (11%). Overall, responses show that Nigerians generally have positive feelings towards one another during the year end festive seasons. In conclusion, the current poll results have revealed that 80% of Nigerians anticipate a general rise in prices of goods and services during the festive season, particularly on food items. Also, majority of Nigerians (55%) have indicated that they will be spending this year’s festive season at home, relaxing with their family & friends. The poll further demonstrates an improved perception of Nigerians regarding the security situation in the country and improved confidence in the ability of the Nigerian Police to respond to any security alerts this season. Finally, most respondents wish their fellow Nigerians “Peace and prosperity” during this end of year festivities. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted on December 18th to 20th 2013. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No.1 for country specific polling services in West Africa, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com
- Low Price Tariffs and Quality Of Service Remain Key for Customer Retention
Abuja, Nigeria. December 17th, 2013 – The Yearly Special Edition Telecoms Poll results releasedbyNOIPolls Limited has revealed that the majority (63%) of mobile phone owning adult Nigerians currently use two or more phone lines in 2013, this is down from (74%) in 2012. Findings indicate that the proportion of adult Nigerians using one line has increased by (11%) in 2013. Also half of the respondents (50%) rated the services of their main network provider as good while 55% affirmed they are getting value for money from their main network provider. This proportion (55%) has remained constant over the two year period, however those that claim they are not getting value for money increased by 8-points in 2013. The key factors used by customers to define value for money were “network/ service quality” and “price tariffs”. Other topline results show that only (2%) of respondents have ported since the beginning of the portability drive, (26%) of respondents (majority) see the promotions of MNOs as fake (up by 22-points in 2013) and, in order to generally improve the quality of telecommunication services in Nigeria majority of respondents (60%) suggested that “Network operators should be mandated to improve on their services”. These were the key findings from the Telecommunications Snap Poll conducted in the week of December 9th 2013. The Nigeria telecommunication sector has witnessed significant growth over the years and remains one of the best and fastest growing sectors of the Nigerian economy. The industry is ranked the largest and fastest growing telecom market in Africa and among the ten fastest telecommunication growth markets in the world. As at September 2013 the Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC) estimated a total of 121,271,218 subscribers and a teledensity of 86.62 in Nigeria.[1] The industry which contributes about 8.53% to the GDP (March 2013) has recently experienced a slow growth rate and series of challenges ranging from poor quality of service to steep competition. This implies that service providers rely heavily on price tariffs to gain market share and dominance leading to a perceived fall in the quality of service and an increasing rate of dissatisfaction amongst users. Against this background NOIPolls conducted this special edition poll on the quality of telecommunication services in Nigeria to explore the mobile phone usage patterns, quality of services provide by telecommunications providers and recommendation to improve the quality of services. The result presented is the second in series of annual telecommunication polls conducted by NOIPolls; the first was conducted in 2012. Respondents were asked a series of specific questions, the first question sought to establish the mobile phone usage pattern of Nigerians. Respondents were asked: How many phone lines do you currently use? Responses showed that majority of the respondents (63% in total) currently use more than one phone line compared to 37%who currently use only one phone line. When the findings are compared with those obtained from 2012, it is observed that fewer Nigerians now use more than one phone line in 2013(63%) than in 2012 (74%). This is evident based on the observation that there was a significant 11-point increase in the proportion of Nigerians that currently use only one phone line from 2012 (26%) to 2013 (37%). This can be tied to the observation that the network providers currently have comparatively similar price tariffs; in addition many subscribers that have previously tested various networks have now settled on 1 main line to use. [1] www.ncc.gov.ng Subsequently, with the aim of identifying the main line respondents use among the different networks, respondents were asked: Which network do you most frequently use?Analysis revealed that 84% of the respondents declared MTN as the main line they use, followed by Airtel with 7% of subscribers, Glo with 6% of subscribers and Etisalat with 3% of subscribers. Further analysis by geo-political zones revealed that the South-South zone (91%) had the highest proportion of respondents that use MTN as their main line; the North-East zone (17%) accounts for the highest proportion of respondents that use Airtel as their major line. In addition, while majority of respondent that use Glo as their main line are from the North-Central zone (18%), the North-West zone (9%) had the highest proportion of respondents that confirmed Etisalat as their main line. When the figures recorded in 2012 were compared with this current poll, there was a 6-point increase in the proportion of Nigerians that currently use the MTN network as their main line from 2012 (78%) to 2013 (84%).Conversely, there was a 2-point and a 3-point decline in the proportion of Nigerians that use Airtel and Etisalat as their main lines from 2012 to 2013.In addition, the proportion of Nigerians that subscribe to the Glo network as their main line remained constant in both surveys. The next question sought to gauge the perceptions of Nigerians on the quality of service received from their main network providers, respondents were asked: At present how would you rate the services of your main network provider? Overall, half of the respondents (50%) rated the services of their main network provider as good; this is followed by 27% who rated their services as average. However, while 13% rated the services as very good, 8% rated the services as bad while 2% say the services of their main network provider are very bad. These results indicate that respondents mostly have a positive view about the services of their main network provider with a total of 90% giving an above average rating and total of 10% giving their main network provider a below average rating. Cross analysis of the rating of the services provided by the main network used by respondents reveals that Airtel has the most favourable rating by its users out of all the network providers; 83% (51%+32%) gave a good rating of the services provided by Airtel. This is followed by Etisalat 79% (47%+32%), Glo 70% (56%+14%) and MTN 60% (49%+11%). In order to further assess the performance respondents were asked: Are you getting value for money from your main network provider? Responses revealed that the slight majority 55% of the respondent affirmed they are getting value for money from their main network provider while 45% claim they are not getting value for money. Again cross analysis of the respondents perception of value by the individual network providers revealed that Etisalat has the highest proportion of users that perceive they are getting value from them (97%). This is followed by Glo (75%), Airtel (72%) and MTN (51%). Comparing the figures obtained from the same survey conducted in 2012 and this current poll, it can be seen that the total proportion of respondents that affirmed they are getting value for money has remained constant while those that perceive they do not receive value money increased by 8-points in 2013. Furthermore, respondents (55% of the total) that indicated they are getting value for money from their main network provider were asked: Why are you getting value for money? Overall, majority (42%) of the respondents asserted they are getting value for money due to the “network/ service quality”. Other reasons that were mentioned include “cheaper tariff” indicated by 39% of the respondents, “bonus offers” suggested by 22%, “family and friends” offer indicated by 21%. In addition, while 19% say they are getting value for money due to the “internet bundles” provided by their main network provider 12% say it is because of their “promotional offers” A trend of the results obtained from the current survey and that of 2012 revealed a significant 25-points increase in the proportion of respondents that indicated “cheaper tariff” as the main reason why they claim they are getting value for money, a 12-point decline in bonus offers and a 2-point decline in Network/service quality. Finally, in order to identify ways of improving telecommunication services from the perspective of subscribers, all respondents were asked: What measures should be taken to improve telecommunication services in Nigeria? The overall majority of respondents (60%) suggested that “Network operators should be mandated to improve on their services”. This is followed by 35% of the respondents who indicated “there should be a tariff consideration” and 9% who stated that “network operators should create a wider coverage”. Further analysis based on geo-political zone revealed that the South-East zone (77%) had the highest proportion of respondents that propose “Network operators should be mandated to improve on their services” and the North-East zone (42%) accounted for the highest proportion of respondents that suggested “there should be a tariff consideration”. In conclusion, the telecommunication poll has revealed that has revealed that the majority (63%) of mobile phone owning adult Nigerians currently use two or more phone lines in 2013, this is down from (74%) in 2012. Findings indicate that the proportion of adult Nigerians using one line has increased by (11%) in 2013. Also half of the respondents (50%) rated the services of their main network provider as good while 55% affirmed they are getting value for money from their main network provider. This proportion (55%) has remained constant over the two year period, however those that claim they are not getting value for money increased by 8-points in 2013. The key factors used by customers to define value for money were “network/ service quality” and “price tariffs”. Other topline results show that only (2%) of respondents have ported since the beginning of the portability drive, (26%)of respondents (majority) see the promotions of MNOs as fake (up by 22-points in 2013) and, in order to generally improve the quality of telecommunication services in Nigeria majority of respondents (60%) suggested that “Network operators should be mandated to improve on their services”. To obtain the full report of this survey please contact us at editor@noi-polls.com Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted on December 9th to 11th 2013. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa, works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com
- President Jonathan’s Performance Rating Declines by 5 points to 50% in November
Abuja, Nigeria. December 3rd, 2013 – Governance poll results released by NOIPolls Limited for the month of November has revealed that 50% of the Nigerian adult population (43.7m) approve of President Goodluck Jonathan’s performance in the past one month. This represents a 5-point decline in the proportion of Nigerians that approved of the President’s performance from October (55%) to November (50%).More findings reveals that the majority (45%) are of the opinion that the current administration (the Executive Cabinet; Ministers and State Governors) performed averagely and the proportion that gave a positive rating of the current administration experienced a 3-Points decline from October (33%).Furthermore, the power situation has worsened considerably with a 13-point decline in the proportion of Nigerians that experienced improvement from October (39%) to November (26%); this represents the lowest power rating in eleven months. These were the key findings from the Governance Snap Poll conducted in the week of November 25th 2013. The results presented are the eleventh in the monthly series of governance polls conducted by NOIPolls to gauge the opinions and perceptions of Nigerians regarding three crucial elements – the approval rating of the president, the performance of the current administration, and the situation of power supply in the country. Respondents to the poll were asked three specific questions. The first question sought to gauge the perceptions of Nigerians on the job performance of the President Goodluck Jonathan. Respondents to the poll were asked: Do you approve of President Jonathan’s performance in the past 1 month? Reactions to this question revealed that half of adult Nigerians (50%) approve of President Jonathan’s performance in the past one month while 22% disapprove of his performance. In addition, 28% were indifferent about his performance as they neither approve nor disapprove of his performance. Analysing the performance rating across geo-political zone revealed that the South-East zone (74%) accounts for the largest proportion of respondents that approve of the President’s performance while the North-Westand the South-South zones with 26% each, account for the largest proportion of respondents that disapprove of the President’s performance in the month of November. Monthly trend analysis of the President’s approval rating revealed a 5-point decline in the proportion that approved of the President’s performance from October (55%) to November (50%). Furthermore, the trend also shows that the president received higher ratings in the second half of the year than in the first half, with the best two ratings up to date in August (57%) and October (55%). The second question aimed to assess the performance of the current administration. Respondents were asked:How would you rate the performance of this current administration in the past 1 month? Findings from this question revealed that majority (45%) were of the opinion that the present administration performed averagely. While 30% (28%+2%) say they performed well, 25% (20%+5%) affirm they performed poorly. Analysis based on geo-political zones reveals that the North-West (51%) has the largest proportion of respondents that gave the current administration an average performance rating. In addition, the South-East zone 43% (39%+4%) accounts for the largest proportion of respondents that gave the current administration a positive rating while the South-South zone 31% (26%+4%) had the largest proportion of respondents that gave a negative rating. Again, a monthly trend of the current administration’s performance revealed a 3-point decline in the proportion of Nigerians that approve of the performance of the current administration from October (33%). In addition, the trend also reveals that, the current administration also received better ratings in the second half of the year than in the first half with the best two ratings in August (35%) and October (33%). This follows the same trend as the President’s approval ratings. Finally, the third question sought to gauge the power situation in Nigeria within the past month, respondents were asked: How would you describe power in your area in the past 1 month? Analysis show that majority of the respondents (33%) say the power situation in Nigeria over the past one month “remains bad”, this is followed by 25% who affirm “there is no difference at all” and 23% who confirmed that it “has improved a little”. In addition, 16% claim “it’s very bad and has gone worse”, 3% affirmed “it has improved very much”. A view across the geo-political zones revealed that the North-East (46%) zone accounts for the largest proportion of respondents that say the power situation in Nigeria over the past one month “remains bad”, while the South-South zone (34%) accounts for the largest proportion of respondents that experienced little improvement in the power situation over the past one month. Looking at the 11 month trend of the power situation in Nigeria, the proportion of Nigerians that experienced improvement in their power supply declined considerably by 13-points from October (39%) to November. This is the worst rating of power over the past eleven months of 2013 and indicates a general worsened situation in power supply across Nigeria in spite of the recent privatisation drive. In conclusion, findings from this current poll have revealed that 50% of adult Nigerians approve of President Goodluck Jonathan’s performance in the past one month. This current rating represents a 5-point decline in the proportion of Nigerians that approved of the President’s performance from October (55%) to November (50%).More findings showed that majority (45%) are of the opinion that the present administration performed averagely and the proportion that gave a positive rating of the current administration declined by 3-Points from October (33%) to November (30%). In addition, power supply to households has worsened over the past two months with a considerable 13-points decline in the proportion of Nigerians that experienced improvement from October (39%) to November (26%). Furthermore, the lowest power rating in eleven months was recorded in November, which heralded the formal handover of power assets to the investors. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted on November 25th to 27th2013. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited is theNo.1 for country specific polling services in West Africa, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com
- Electricity and Oil & Gas Facilities, Most Vandalised Public Properties in Nigeria
Abuja, Nigeria. November 19th, 2013 – Latest weekly poll results released by NOIPolls Limited has indicated a general level of apathy towards public property in Nigeria. The poll conducted on the issue of public property Vandalism in Nigeria revealed that about 6 in 10 Nigerians (61%) believe that Nigerians generally value public property poorly. Also, the majority of respondents (74%) agree that there is a high incidence of public property vandalism in Nigeria; while suggesting that the most vandalised public properties are: electricity installation (57%); oil/gas (51%) facilities; and public buildings (32%). Furthermore, suggestions provided to tackle the issue of vandalism include: provision of employment (58%); public enlightenment (15%); and adequate security (13%). These were the key findings from the Public Property Vandalism Poll conducted in the week of November 11th 2013. Brief Introduction Vandalism of Public/Government property in Nigeria has had a negative impact on the economy and society as a whole, with several sectors suffering great setbacks. For instance, in the oil sector, experts claim that Nigeria loses billions of dollars annually to the vandalism of petroleum products pipelines. Estimates from a recent audit report by NEITI revealed that Nigeria and oil companies lost a total of N1.737trillion ($10,992,776,474) in three years from 2009 to 2011; with cumulative losses due to pipeline vandalism and crude oil thefts at N134,126,921,724 ($894,179,478). The report also confirmed that NNPC spent over $600 million to fortify security of oil and gas facilities[1]. Similarly, the power sector has also suffered its fair share from the vandalisation of electricity facilities, which have continued to impact negatively on power distribution in the country. Experts have warned that continued vandalisation of power facilities across the country would jeopardise the efforts of the 10 new distribution companies at improving power supply in Nigeria. Recently, the Minister of Power, Prof. Chinedu Nebo confirmed at a two-day Stakeholders Forum on the protection of critical national assets and infrastructure, that Nigeria is losing over 35% of her power generation capacity to the activities of vandals. He also stated that “The Power sector is hit in the most devastating manner and the effect of vandalism cannot be overemphasised as industries, small and medium scale businesses are being starved of power as a result of the activities of vandals”. The effect of vandalism has stimulated the outcry for tougher laws to be enforced to protect public property.[2] In view of this background, NOIPolls conducted its latest poll on public property vandalism in Nigeria to explore the views of Nigerians regarding how public/government public properties are valued and the level of vandalism present, as well as possible causes and remedies to minimise incidence of vandalism. Respondents to the nation-wide poll were asked five specific questions. The First question sought the views of Nigerians on how well public/government properties are valued by Nigerians. Respondents were asked: In your opinion, how well do Nigerians value public/government property? From the results, the overall majority (61%: 32%+29%) were of the opinion that public/government properties are valued poorly in Nigeria. Conversely, 26% (13%+13%) were of the opinion that they are valued well; while 13% said they are valued adequately by Nigerians. Analysis across geo-political zones revealed that the South-East zone (69%: 41%+28%) and the South-West zone (67%: 24%+43%) had the highest proportion of Nigerians that claim Nigerians value public/government properties poorly. Furthermore, the North-East zone (52%: 35%+17%) had the highest proportion of respondents that said public/government are valued well by Nigerians. [1] www.vanguardngr.com [2] www.punchng.com The second question sought to establish the incidence of vandalism on public/government property in Nigeria. Respondents were asked: To what extent do you agree or disagree that there is a high incidence of public property vandalism in Nigeria? Overall, the majority of Nigerians (74%: 33%+41%) affirm that Nigeria generally has a high incidence of public property vandalism. This finding directly relates to the response from the previous question indicating that Nigerians place poor value on public property. Comparatively, 14% (13%+1%) disagree that there is a high incidence of public property; while 12% were neutral. Analysis based on geo-political zone shows that the South-South zone (70%: 49%+31%) accounts for the highest proportion of respondents that affirmed a high incidence of public property vandalism, while the highest number of Nigerians who disagree to the assertion were from the North-Central zone (23%: 22%+1%). Subsequently, in order to determine the perception of Nigerians regarding the most vandalised public properties, respondents were asked: In your opinion which public/government properties are most vandalised?Interestingly, the majority (57%) revealed that the most vandalised public/government properties in Nigeria are electricity facilities; closely followed by Oil & Gas facilities (51%). Other public properties mostly vandalised include: public buildings (32%), roads (18%), water facilities (11%), telecoms installations (5%), government vehicles (2%) and public schools (1%). This finding corroborates the assertion by the Honourable Minister of power that “The Power sector is hit in the most devastating manner and the effect of vandalism cannot be overemphasized” In addition, gauging the opinions across geo-political zones indicated that the North-East zone (89%) had the highest number of Nigerians that indicated electricity facilities as the most vandalised. Also, the North-West (66%) and South-South (61%) zones accounts for the highest proportion of Nigerians that indicated oil/gas facilities and most of the Nigerians that suggested public buildings were from the North-East zone (47%). Furthermore, with the aim for identifying the root causes of vandalism in Nigeria, respondents were asked: In your opinion what are the main causes of public property vandalism in Nigeria. From the results, Unemployment (33%) was identified as the main cause of public/government property vandalism. This was followed by “poverty” (22%), “poor enforcement of law” (15%) and “illiteracy/lack of awareness (11%). Also,8% of the respondents blamed “poor maintenance culture” while 11% indicated “others”. Finally, in order to explore the views of Nigerians on possible ways for reducing the incidence of vandalism, respondents were asked: What suggestions do you have for reducing the incidence of vandalism in Nigeria? Overall, the majority (58%) suggested that in order to reduce vandalism Government should “provide employment”. This is not unexpected, given that unemployment has been identified as the main root cause of vandalism. Other suggestions made by Nigerians include “public reorientation/enlightenment/awareness” indicated by 15%; “provision of adequate security” (13%); “enforcement of laws” (11%), and “government should inculcate good maintenance culture” (7%). From the geo-political standpoint, the South-South zone (69%) had more respondents that suggested the provision of employment as a way of reducing vandalism in Nigeria and the South-West zone (23%) had more people who say there should be “public reorientation/enlightenment/awareness” on the ill effects on vandalism to the nation. In conclusion, this current poll has revealed that about 6 in 10 Nigerians (61%) are of the opinion that public properties are valued poorly in Nigeria. Furthermore, the majority (74%) agree that there is a high incidence of public property vandalism; while electricity facilities (57%) and oil/gas installations (51%) were identified as the most vandalised public properties in Nigeria. In addition, the poll revealed that the major causes of public/government property vandalism are “Unemployment” (33%); “poverty” (22%); and “poor enforcement of laws” (15%). Nigerians have further suggested that in order to minimize the incidence of vandalism government should strengthen its efforts at providing employment opportunities (58%), as well as providing public enlightenment (15%) and adequate security (13%). Finally, in a bid to eradicate / drastically minimise the incidence of vandalism in Nigeria, we suggest that while programmes, projects and interventions are being designed to address unemployment; more media enlightenment campaigns need to be undertaken by the Nigeria Orientation Agency (NOA) in order to provide enlighten the public on the negative effects of vandalism and its socio-economic implications on the country. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted on November 11th to 13th 2013. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,007 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com
- President’s Job Approval Rating Bounces Back by 6-points to 55% in October 2013
Abuja, Nigeria. November 5, 2013 – Latest monthly governance poll result released by NOIPolls Limitedhas revealed that about 55% of Nigerians approve of the job performance of President Goodluck Jonathan in the month of October 2013. This current rating depicts a 6-points increase in the President’s job approval rating from September (49%) to October (55%) 2013; and marks the 2nd highest rating scored since January 2013. In addition, the poll revealed that 40% of Nigerians rated the performance of the current administration as average. However, there was a 2-point decline in the proportion of Nigerians (39%) that had experienced some improvements in their power supply in the month of October (down from September’s 41%). These were the key findings from the Governance Snap Pollconducted in the week of October 28th 2013. The results presented are the tenth in the monthly series of governance polls conducted by NOIPolls to gauge the opinions and perceptions of Nigerians regarding three crucial elements – the approval rating of the president, the performance of the current administration, and the situation of power supply in the country. Respondents to the poll were asked three specific questions. The first question sought to gauge the perceptions of Nigerians on the job performance of the President Goodluck Jonathan. Respondents to the poll were asked: Do you approve of President Jonathan’s performance in the past 1 month? An analysis of the responses to this question revealed that majority (55%: 47%+8%) of Nigerians approve of the President’s performance in the month of October, where 47% approve and 8% strongly approve his performance. Comparatively, 21% (17%+4%) of Nigerians disapprove of the President’s job performance, with 17% disapproving and 4% strongly disapproving his performance. In addition 24% remained neutral to rating his performance as they neither approve nor disapprove. This current score of 55% depicts a 6-points increase in the job approval rating of the President, and a 3-points decline in the disapproval of the President’s performance from September to October (approval: 49%;disapproval: 24%) to October (approval: 55%; disapproval: 21%). A key observation is the percentage of Nigerians who remain neutral (24%) to the President’s performance. This figure moved from 27% (September) to 24% (October) showing a shift of 3% of this group towards the positive approval rating. This is a key indicator that shows that the group neutrals can sway the approval ratings forward or backward. An appraisal of the President’s performance according to geo-political zones revealed that the highest approval rating of the President’s performance came from Nigerians in the South-East zone (78%: 60%+18%),followed by the North-Central zone (70%: 53%+17%). Comparatively, the North-West (36%:31%+5%) up from 21% and the South West with 34% (25%+9%) down from 42% has the highest proportion of respondents that disapprove of the President’s performance in the month of October. In comparing the proportion of respondents who are neutral according to geo-political zones, the South West zone with 32% up from 27% has the highest number of neutrals followed by the North East zone (28%) down from 31%. A broader view of the President’s rating in ten months revealed an average approval rating of 49%.Furthermore, when the figures obtained in ten months are compared with the average (49%), it can be seen that the President performed above average in five months (Jan 50%, Feb 54%, July 53%, Aug 57% and Oct 55%) with August (57%) being his best rating and October (55%) his 2nd best rating; while his approval rating was below average in four months (Mar 46%, Apr 42%, May 44%, and Jun 44%) with April (42%) being his lowest. An evaluation of President’s rating in ten months indicated an average disapproval rating of 27%.Moreover, when the figures obtained in ten months are compared with the average (27%), it can be seen that the President performed above average in four months (Jan 30%, Mar 33%, Apr 33%, and Sept 27%) with March and April (33%) respectivelybeing his highest in disapproval rating; while his rating was below the average in six months (Feb 21%, May 25%, June 26%, Jul 25%, Aug 24% and Oct 21%) with February and October (21%) respectivelybeing his lowest in disapproval ratings. Further assessment of the President’s rating in ten months shows an average neutral rating of 23%. A comparison of the average (23%) with the figures obtained in ten months showed that the President’s job approval received neutral ratings above the average in six months (Feb 25%, May 31%, Jun 30%, Aug 24%, Sept 27% and Oct 24%) with May (31%) being his highest neutral rating and June (30%) his 2nd highest rating; while his neutral rating was below the average in four months (Jan 20%, Mar 21%, Apr 21%, and Jul 22%) with January (20%) being his lowest for neutrals. Similarly, the second question sought to gauge the performance of the current administration. Respondents were asked: How would you rate the performance of this current administration in the past 1 month? The result revealed that majority (40%) of the respondents perceived the performance of the current administration as average. In addition, while 33% (31%+2%) were of the opinion that they performed well, 27%(23%+4%) suggested they performed poorly. This figure depicts a significant 10-points increase in the proportion of respondents who gave a positive rating to the administration’s performance from September (23%) to October (33%) Analysing the performance of the current administration from the standpoint of the geo-political zones reveal that the South-South zone (52%) had the highest proportion of respondents that rated the performance of the current administration as average. Also majority of the respondents who gave a positive rating were from theNorth-Central zone (48%: 46%+2%) and the North-East zone (45%). Again, an assessment of the performance of the current administration in ten months shows an average positive approval rating of 24%. A comparison of the average (24%) with the figures obtained in ten months showed that the current administration received positive ratings above average in three months (Jul 28%, Aug 35% and Oct 33%) and performed below their 10 months average in six months (Jan 22%, Mar 18%, Apr 16%, May 21%, Jun 23% and Sept 23%). Finally, the third question to gauge the situation of power supply in the country within the past month, asked respondents: How would you describe power in your area in the past 1 month? The findings revealed majority of respondents (36%) were of the opinion that the power situation in Nigeria over the past one month “has improved a little”, this is followed by 30% who claimed “it remains bad” and 21% who confirmed that “there is no difference at all”. In addition, while 10% stated that “it’s very bad and has gone worse”, 3% affirmed that “it has improved very much”. In essence about 39% of respondents stated that they experienced slight improvements (down by 2-points from 41% in September 2013). Analysis based on the geo-political zones revealed that the South-East (50%: 44%+6%), North-Central (49%: 45%+4%) and South-South (48%: 41%+7%) zones had the highest proportion of Nigerians who experienced slight improvement in the situation of power in the past one month. In addition, the North-East (56%: 48%+8%) and the North-West (51%: 38%+13%) accounted for the highest proportion of respondents who had negative experiences. Furthermore, a look at the power situation in Nigeria over the last ten months revealed that an average of 37% of Nigerians experienced slight improvements in power supply. As such, positive ratings above average were experienced in the months of Jan (47%), Feb (44%), Sept (41%) and Oct (39%); while ratings below average were experienced in Mar (31%), Apr (31%), May (35%), Jun (32%), Aug (36%). In conclusion, findings from this current poll have revealed a bounce back in the job approval rating of the President, with 55% of Nigerians positively affirming his performance in the last one month. This figure depicts a6-points increase in the approval rating of the President from September (49%) to October (56%). Furthermore a comparison of the average rating over the last ten months (49%) indicatedthat the President performed above average in five months (Jan 50%, Feb 54%, July 53%, Aug 57% and Oct 55%). Finally the poll revealed that majority of the respondents (40%) rate the performance of the current administration as average; while power supply worsened by 2-points from September (41%) to October (39%). In conclusion, while current findings do not necessarily show a clear link between the President’s positive approval rating and worsening power supply to households; we can only suggest that some other factors may be responsible for influencing the rating, including the successful October handover of share certificates to GENCOs and DISCOs, in anticipation of future improvements in power supply. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted on October 28th to 30th 2013. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com
- Power Supply to Households Improve Slightly in Q3 2013
Abuja, Nigeria. October 22, 2013 – Latest power sector poll results released by NOIPolls Limited for the 3rd Quarter of 2013 has revealed that more Nigerians experienced slight improvements in their power supply in Q3 (38%) compared to Q2 2013 (33%). Similarly, the proportion of Nigerians that experienced decline in their power supply also reduced by 5-points in Q3 to 42% (down from 47% in Q2). Also, despite slight improvements in power supply recorded over the quarter, about 78% of Nigerians still made use of alternative sources to augment their power supply; marking a 3-point decline from Q2 (81%). These were the key findings from the Power Sector Pollsconducted in the 3rd Quarter of 2013. Power supply in Nigeria has been known to be of great concern for several decades. Monopoly in the supply of electricity has lingered as the major contributing factor to the power situation in Nigeria. In 2005, a new era for the power sector started with the decision of the government to privatise the power sector through the approval of the Electric Power Sector Reform Act (EPSRA). This involved a process of unbundling of government’s power plants under the Nigerian Electricity Power Authority (NEPA) into business units and regulated by the Nigerian Electricity Regulation Commission (NERC). This was in a bid to privatise, and allow public-private investments into the sector. With the aim of monitoring the progress made so far regarding the power sector reform. NOIPolls introduced the Power Sector Polls in April 2013 to explore the perception of Nigerians towards the power sector reform, expenditure on alternative sources of power and support for the on-going reform process. The results for Q3 2013 are presented here, following Q2 results released in June 2013. Key Findings In order to highlight the trends in power supply over Q3 2013, respondents were asked the following question: How would you describe power in your area in the past 1 month? An evaluation of poll results over the three month period showed there have been no dramatic changes in power supply. There was a 3-point increase between July and September in the proportion of respondents that claim power supply has improved a little and a 5-point drop in the proportion that claim power supply is very bad and has gone worse. Exploring the situation of light across the three months showed that in September there was a balance in the proportion of Nigerians with positive and negative experiences with power supply since an equal percentage (41% each) indicated an improvement and a deterioration of their power supply in that month. Further analysis reveals slight improvement in the power supply to households in Q3 (38%) compared to Q2 (33%) 2013. On the one hand, the proportion of Nigerians that experienced improvements in their power supply increased by 5-points to 38% (7% + 37%), compared to 33% (4% + 29%) in Q2. On the other hand, the proportion of Nigerians that experienced decline in their power supply also reduced by 5-points in Q3 to 42% (down from 47% in Q2); while the proportion that claimed there was no difference remained the same at 20% over the two quarters. With the objective of gauging the proportion of Nigerians that use alternative sources of power supply, respondents were asked: Do you use any alternate source of electricity supply such as generators or inverters? Averages over the three months revealed that the overall majority of Nigerians (78%) make use of alternative sources of electricity such as generators to augment their supply of electricity; while 22% rely solely on power supply. This finding further lends credence to a recent claim made by the HM Customs and Excise Statistics, which stated that Nigeria has been the leading importer of generators over a 5 year period from 2007 to 2012. The results show that there has been a continuous increase in the proportion of Nigerians that use alternative sources of electricity from July to September with a total of 14-points increase within Q3 2013. Further analysis revealed that in comparison to Q2, there was a 3-point decline (from 81% in Q2 to 78% in Q3) in the proportion of Nigerians that make use of alternative sources of power supply. Additionally, respondents that use alternative power sources were asked: How would you describe the amount you currently spend on alternative power compared to a year ago? The three month average reveals that more Nigerians (41%) who use alternative sources of power supply experienced a drastic increase in their spending compared to a year ago. In addition, 21% experienced slight increase, 18% were of the opinion that their spending remained the same compared to a year ago, 15% said it decreased slightly and 5% affirmed their spending on alternative power sources decreased drastically. Though the proportion of Nigerians that use alternative sources to generate power increased from July to September, It is pertinent to note that, the proportion of Nigerians that experienced a drastic increase in their spending on the alternative sources of power such as generators decreased by 12-points from August (52%) to September (40%). Similarly, comparing the averages obtained from Q2 and Q3 revealed a 7-point decline in the proportion of respondents that experienced increase in their spendings on alternative sources of electricity from Q2 (69%: 46% + 23%) and Q3 (62%: 41% + 21%). On the other hand, there was a 1-point increase in the proportion of those who has experienced decrease in the amounts spent on alternative power supply in Q3 (20%: 15% + 5%) compared to Q2 (19%: 16% + 3%). The next question sought to measure the level of awareness of Nigerians on the on-going power sector reforms by the federal government. Respondents were asked: Are you aware that the Federal Government is making efforts to reform the power sector? Overall, an average of 67% of Nigerians said they are aware of the power sector reforms over the three months in the third quarter. The highest level of awareness was recorded in September (73%), while the month of August (62%) recorded the lowest level of awareness. Relatively about one-third of Nigerians (33%) indicated no awareness of the on-going power sector privatisation process. Similarly, the result for Q3 shows no marked difference between that of Q2, as there was only a 1-point decline (from 68% in Q2 to 67% in Q3) in the proportion of respondents that are aware of the privatisation process. Finally in the bid to explore the perceptions of Nigerians on the on-going power sector reforms, respondents were asked: How do you feel about these on-going power reforms? Reactions to this question revealed that on the average over Q3, the majority of Nigerians(62%: 16% + 46%) are hopeful about the privatisation of the power sector, 20% remained neutral, while, 18% showed dissatisfaction with the on-going power sector reforms. Similarly, the proportion of Nigerians that were generally hopeful about the power sector reform remained the same (62% each) between the 2nd and 3rd quarters of 2013. However, it is worth noting that the proportion of respondents that were “very hopeful” increased by 7-points from Q2 (9%) to Q3 (16%); indicating more buy-in and support for the on-going power sector reform and privatisation process. Conclusion In conclusion, the findings from the 3rd Quarter Power Sector Polls have revealed that more Nigerians (38%) affirmed that their power supply improved slightly over the period. Also, the proportion of Nigerians that experienced decline in their power supply reduced from Q3 (42%) to Q2 (47%). The results further revealed that about 78% of Nigerians still made use of alternative sources to augment their power supply; while majority of Nigerians (67%) are quite hopeful that the on-going power sector reform and privatisation process would yield some positive fruits. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted between July and September 2013. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample of over 3,000 phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited is the No.1 for country specific polling services in West Africa, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgement as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com


















