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- Nigerians Demand Improvement in Education, Security and Electricity Supply In 2019
Abuja, Nigeria. March 5th, 2019 – Following the conclusion of the Presidential and National Assembly elections, NOIPolls presents findings from its New Year poll which highlighted 3 key areas Nigerians expect the government to focus its attention on in the next 12 months. The poll report revealed that most Nigerians want the government to mainly focus its attention on Education (49 percent), Security (44 percent), Electricity supply (36 percent) and Economy (32 percent) amongst other sector/areas in 2019. It is not surprising that education topped the list this year given the series of challenges facing the sector. For instance, poor funding is one of the major reasons for the deterioration and challenges in the education sector, especially tertiary education, which has led to frequent strikes by academic and non-academic staff since the early 1990s. The Federal Government’s allocation to education in the last 10 years has been inadequate as only a total of N3.90 trillion or an average of 7.07 percent has so far been allocated to the sector out of a total budget of N55.19 trillion.[1] Also, a Demographic Health Survey (DHS) conducted by the United Nations Children Fund (UNICEF) and the Nigerian government revealed that the number of out-of-school children rose from 10.5 million in 2010 to 13.2 million in 2015 in Nigeria.[2] On security, 44 percent of Nigerians reported that they expect the government to improve on the issue of security in Nigeria as they believe it has not fared well in 2018. The nation witnessed a drastic breakdown of internal security challenges in 2018 ranging from terror strikes in the North-East to herdsmen and farmers conflicts in the North-Central to militants operating in the South-South. For instance, the tension between herdsmen and farming communities saw a dramatic escalation in the first quarter of 2018 especially the attacks that occurred in some local government areas in Benue, Plateau, Adamawa, Nasarawa and Taraba states which involved the loss of lives and properties leaving many people displaced from their homes.[3] Opinion on power revealed that 36 percent of the respondents expect the government to significantly focus its attention on the sector, considering that this sector has faced huge challenges over the years. According to the Minister of Power, Works and Housing, Mr Babatunde Fashola, the country’s power generation was at its peak of 7,000 megawatts (MW) in August 2018.[4] Despite reaching a peak of 7,000 megawatts (MW), it was still inadequate considering the country’s population, therefore, the federal government and concerned stakeholders needs to place high priority on ensuring that challenges surrounding these sectors are drastically improved to improve the economy and foster national development. On the economy, 32 percent disclosed that they expect the government to focus its attention on all aspect of the country’s economy. This is not surprising considering that Nigerians economy did not fare well in 2018. For instance, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) reported that the nation’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by 1.81% (year-on-year) in real terms in the third quarter of 2018. However, the average Nigerian is yet to feel the impact of this increase in the country’s GDP because it is marginal and negligible. According to the African Development data on Nigeria’s Economic Outlook in 2018, it reported that about 152 million Nigerians live on less than 2 dollars per day and this figure represents about 80 percent of the country’s estimated 190 million population. Also, the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) Article IV consultation report on Nigerian economy for 2018 revealed that the Nigerian economy is slowly exiting recession although remains vulnerable to external shocks such as huge fiscal deficit, low economy diversification, increasing domestic risks and rising banking sector risks.[5] The figure below showed that a higher proportion of Nigerians (49 percent) want the government to focus its attention towards improving the quality and standard of education in the country given the current state of the sector. Similarly, 44 percent expect the government to drastically improve the security situation in the country considering the challenges faced in these areas in 2018. This is followed by 36 percent who cited electricity supply. Other areas that Nigerians wants the government to focus its attention on in 2019 include ‘Economy’ (32 percent), ‘Agriculture’ (29 percent), ‘Job creation’ (26 percent), ‘Infrastructure’ (22 percent) and ‘Health care’ (18 percent) amongst others. Further analysis by geo-political zones revealed certain peculiarities across geo-political zones regarding the areas Nigerians expects the government to focus its attention on in 2019. For instance, while education (64 percent) and security seems to be a priority for residents from the North-West and North-East zones, electricity appears to be more pressing issues for Nigerians in the South-South zone. Similarly, residents in the South-West zone indicated that economy as the most pressing area where the government should focus its attention on in 2019. In conclusion, the poll has revealed that the quality and standard of education is Nigeria is unacceptable as most Nigerians task the government to improve the sector in 2019. Also, Nigerians lamented over the state of internal security in the country in 2018 hence 44 percent specifically mentioning that the government should tackle security challenges in 2019. Despite the current 7,000 Mega Watts (MW) of electricity being generated, 36 percent of Nigerians want the government to improve the sector so as to empower SMEs and other ventures to grow their businesses. It is therefore the responsibility of the government to listen to the demands of its citizens and work to improve in these areas to ensure a better quality of life for the average Nigerians. Finally, just as majority of Nigerians have spoken with one voice in terms of choosing who would govern them for the next four years, it is also very important for the government not only to listen to the demands of Nigerians but also implement them. For instance, more funds should be allocated to the education sector and the internal security policy and strategy should be reviewed to accommodate new dimensions of security challenges in the country. Also, the government should revamp the power stations to perform at optimal capacity and diversify power sources so as not to overburden current sources. There is also a need for the government and other stakeholders to create an enabling environment for Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) to thrive as well as ensure that industrial manufacturing companies in the country are operating at full capacity. Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1] https://www.vanguardngr.com/2018/04/education-free-fall/ [2] https://www.premiumtimesng.com/news/top-news/288344-nigeria-now-has-13-2-million-out-of-school-children-ubec.html [3] https://allafrica.com/stories/201807270076.html [4] https://www.vanguardngr.com/2018/08/power-generation-rises-to-7000-mega-watts-fashola/ [5] https://www.pulse.ng/finance-key-issues-debilitating-the-nigerian-economy-as-identified-by-imf/zq7cvsz
- The NOIPolls Personal Wellbeing Index at 61.5 Points in Quarter 4, 2018
Abuja, Nigeria. January 29, 2018 – The NOIPolls Personal Well-Being Index (PWBI) report for Q4, 2018 revealed a decline of 1.4-points in the PWBI to stand at 61.5-points from 62.9-points obtained in Q3, 2018. The positive perception of the various aspects of one’s life, altogether, is determined by the Personal Well-Being Index. All of the seven factors that constitute the PWBI experienced a marginal decline except 2; the health index and the Economic situation index which experienced marginal increases. Remarkably, the highest decline was seen in the Achievement in life Index with a 5.5-point decline to stand at 48.8-points from the 54.3-points obtained in Q3, 2018. Further analysis revealed the Personal Security and Religion Index tie as the joint second highest to decline when compared to results obtained in Q3, 2018. The Personal Security Index declined by 1.8-point to stand at 57.9-points in Q4, 2018 from 59.7-points obtained in Q3, 2018. The reason for the further drop in the Personal Security Index could be attributed to the series of security breaches across the length and breadth of the country which require urgent and stringent steps to contain them. The Religion Index experienced a decline of 1.8 to stand at 88.4-points in Q4, 2018 from 90.2-points obtained in Q3, 2018. These are the key highlights from the Q4, 2018 Personal Well-Being Index survey. In February 2014, NOIPolls Limited introduced its portfolio of indices; the NOIPolls Personal Well-Being Index (PWBI), the NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) and the NOIPolls Eagle 30 Business Confidence Index (EBCI). The NOIPolls Personal Well-Being Index measures factors impacting on the lives of everyday Nigerians; thereby producing a complete view of the individual’s personal well-being. The NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index provides consumer assessments of the economic situation and their intentions and expectations for the future. The NOIPolls Eagle 30 Business Confidence Index measures business leaders’ perceptions and expectations about the Nigerian business environment using the top 30 companies in the country. Nigerian businesses, financial and government agencies largely depend on the perceptions and micro assessment of consumers’ expectation in making decisions. At best, they draw conclusions on the business environment based on information from their immediate surroundings, while the minorities conduct surveys that are time and money consuming. However, the introduction of these indices provides indicators that will ensure stakeholders can detect and respond to changes in consumer behavior, the economy, and the business environment in Nigeria. This report presents the Q4, 2018 results for the NOIPolls Personal Well Being Index (PWBI). THE NOIPolls PERSONAL WELL-BEING INDEX (PWBI) Findings from the Q4, 2018 report revealed a marginal decline in the PWBI to stand at 61.5-points. It is worthy to note that the Religion Index, which measures people’s satisfaction with their personal religion, has always been a major influencing factor in the overall PWBI. Furthermore, a breakdown of the seven key indicators that make up the PWBI showed that Nigerians were mostly satisfied in terms of Religion (88.37-points), Social Interaction (75.9-points), Physical Health (73.5-points) and Personal Security (57.9-points). All these indices remained above average while the Achievement in Life (48.8-points) and Standard of Living (48.9-points) indices remained below average, depicting a neutrality amongst Nigerians. Some Nigerians were not satisfied with their personal economic situation (38.3-points) index, which happens to be the lowest point among the indices. These seven (7) key indicators that comprise the PWBI are highlighted in the chart below; Personal Standard of Living Index – 48.9 The Personal Standard of Living Index decreased by 1.7-point in Q4, 2018 from the 50.6-points obtained in Q3, 2018 to stand at 48.9-points and is indicative of a slight negative trend in the satisfaction of Nigerians with their Personal Standard of Living in Q4, 2018. Personal Health index – 73.2 This index increased marginally with 0.4-points to stand at 73.5-points in Q4, 2018 in comparison to 73.2-points obtained in Q3, 2018. Personal Achievement Index – 48.8 This index recorded the highest decline of 5.5-point to stand at 48.8-points in Q4, 2018 when compared to 54.3 obtained in Q3 2018, indicating an increase in the level of dissatisfaction in the personal achievements of Nigerians. Personal Security Index – 57.9 The personal security index decreased by 1.8-points in Q4, 2018 to stand at 57.9-points from the 59.7 points obtained in Q3, 2018 representing the joint second highest decline in the indices. Personal Social Interaction Index – 75.9 This index experienced a decrease of 0.7-point to stand at 75.9-points in Q4, 2018 compared to 76.6-points obtained in Q3, 2018. Despite the decline, this result depicts that Nigerians still have a high level of social interactions amongst themselves. This is even most compelling in a multi-ethnic and multi-cultural society like Nigeria. Personal Religion Index – 88.4 The Personal Religion Index has always been the highest index amongst the indices, which is suggestive of how religious the citizens are. The Personal Religion Index decreased marginally by 1.8-points to stand at 88.4-points in Q4, 2018 which is the joint second highest decline in the indices from the 90.2-points obtained in Q3, 2018. Economic Index – 38.3 The Economic Index witnessed a marginal increase of 1.0-point to stand at 38.3-points in Q4, 2018 from 37.1-points of Q3, 2018. This index has consistently been the lowest ranked index over the years implying that much is still needed to reinvigorate the economy of the nation. TREND ANALYSIS A study of the trend analysis of the results obtained from the Q4, 2018 PWBI showed that 2 out of all the seven key indicators that constitute the PWBI increased while the remaining 5 indices experienced a decline. Furthermore, the quarter-on-quarter analysis showed that the NOIPolls PWBI experienced a decline of 1.4-point to stand at 61.5-points in Q4, 2018 compared to 62.9-points of Q4, 2018. Finally, results obtained from the NOIPolls PWBI for Q4, 2018 revealed that there was a marginal decrease of 1.4-points in the Personal Wellbeing of Nigerians but majority remain unsatisfied with their Economic Situation, as the index stood at 38.3-points and still remained the lowest ranked index amongst the seven factors that make up the NOIPolls PWBI. The Economic Index which decreased marginally has consistently been ranked below average by Nigerians while the Religion and Social Indices witnessed a decrease of 1.8-points and 0.7-point respectively. Wellbeing may best be thought of as a self-motivated process, evolving from the way in which people interrelate with the world around them. Previous studies suggest that there is a very high tendency for people to become successful in life, build a strong bond or cohesive relationships and contribute to a stronger community when they are happier, leading to a healthier society (economy). Also, decreased indices of the personal wellbeing (Personal Standard of Living, Personal Health, Personal Security, Personal Social Interaction, Personal Religion and Economic Situation) can have a range of benefits for the communities in which we live if we create the enabling environment for an average Nigerian to work and earn a living, thereby, strengthening our economy. Hence, there should be concerted efforts to bring wellbeing into policy-making in Nigeria. The Ministries, Departments and Agencies that form the Nigerian government should be required to provide reports on how their policies will improve wellbeing, as one of the key aims of government is to promote a good life: a life which has meaning and in which people feel happy. Survey Methods The Personal Well Being Index Poll was conducted in Quarter 4, 2018. The PWBI involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 4.65%. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa. We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com and you can download our mobile app NOIPolls on your smartphone. Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com
- The NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index at 64.3 Points in Quarter 4, 2018
Abuja, Nigeria. January 22, 2019 – The Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) report released by NOIPolls for Q4, 2018 has revealed a 3.5-point increase in the CCI to stand at 64-points in Q4, 2018 from the 60.2-points obtained in Q3, 2018. The NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index measures how optimistic or pessimistic consumers are regarding their present and future economic prospects. The increase in the CCI suggests that the spending pattern of Nigerian households increased in Q4, 2018. Furthermore, the Present Situation Index (PSI) declined while the Expectation Index (EI) experienced an increase and these are the two variables that make up the CCI. The PSI declined by 3.4-points from the results obtained in Q3, 2018 to stand at 38.3 -points in Q4, 2018, contrarily, the EI increased by 7.0-points from the 84.2 points obtained in Q3, 2018 to stand at 91.2-points. These are the key highlights from the Q4, 2018 Portfolio of Indices Press Release. In February 2014, NOIPolls Limited introduced its portfolio of indices; the NOIPolls Personal Well-Being Index (PWBI), the NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) and the NOIPolls Eagle 30 Business Confidence Index (EBCI). The NOIPolls Personal Well-Being Index measures factors impacting on the lives of everyday Nigerians; thereby producing a complete view of the individual’s personal well-being. The NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index provides consumer assessments of the economic situation and their intentions and expectations for the future. The NOIPolls Eagle 30 Business Confidence Index measures business leaders’ perceptions and expectations about the Nigerian business environment using the top 30 companies in the country. Nigerian businesses, financial and government agencies largely depend on their perceptions and micro assessment of consumers’ expectation in making decisions. At best, they draw conclusion on the business environment based on information from their immediate surroundings while the minorities conduct surveys that are time and money consuming. However, the introduction of these indices provides indicators that will ensure stakeholders can detect and respond to changes in consumer behavior, the economy, and the business environment in Nigeria. This report presents the Q4, 2018 results for the NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index (CCI). THE NOIPOLLS CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX (CCI) The NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) in Q4, 2018 experienced an increase of 3.5-points to stand at 64-points indicating that the spending pattern of citizens increased in this quarter perhaps due to the Christmas holidays. The last quarter of every year is full of- various activities, social events and travels due to the festivities, so it can be inferred that most Nigerians spend more on goods and services in this quarter. The figure below shows the two variables that make up the NOIPolls’ Consumer Confidence Index; the Present Situation Index (PSI) and the Expectation Index (EI). The Present Situation Index (PSI) which measures the current perception of consumers regarding their propensity to spend stood at 37.2-points in Q4, 2018. Also, the Expectation Index which is based on consumers’ perceptions of their future, stood at 84.4-points in the same quarter. There are 7 variables that comprise the PSI and EI, and 5 of these variables experienced an increase except for the current economic situation index and current prices of goods and services index which experienced a decline. These are highlighted below; Current Economic Situation Index – 38.3 The Current Economic Situation Index decreased by 3.4-points to stand at 38.3-points in Q4, 2018 compared to the 41.7-points obtained in Q3, 2018. Expectation of the Country’s Economic Situation Index –91.7 This index experienced an increase of 7-points to stand at 91.2-points in Q4 2018, signifying an increase in consumers’ confidence on the improvement of the economic situation in the country. Current Employment Condition Index – 53 The Current Employment Situation index increased by 1.4-points to stand at 53 in Q4, 2018 as opposed to the 51.6 gotten in Q3, 2018. Expected Employment Condition Index – 97.6 The Expected Employment Condition Index increased by 4.7-points to stand at 97.6-points against the 92.9-points in Q3, 2018. Current Prices of Goods and Services Index – 21.3 The Current Prices of Goods and Services also experienced a decline of 10.7-points from the 31.9 points of Q3, 2018 to stand at 21.3-points in Q4, 2018. Expectation of Prices of Goods and Services Index – 76.9 The Expectation of Prices of Goods and Services Index experienced the second highest increase of 12.7-points to stand at 76.9-points in Q4, 2018 from the 64.2-points for Q3, 2018. Expected Total Family Income Index – 59.0 The Expected Total Family Income Index experienced the highest increase of 13 points to stand at 72.1-points in Q4 2018 which was 59-points in Q3, 2018 TREND ANALYSIS Trend analysis revealed that the CCI, PSI and the EI all decreased compared to results obtained in Q4, 2018. In conclusion, findings show that Consumer Confidence Index increased by 3.5-points in Q4, 2018 to stand at 64-points compared to the result obtained Q3, 2018. Although the CCI helps in measuring the degree of optimism consumers have about the economic situation, it is worthy to note that consumers may exaggerate certain aspects of the economy. Therefore, concerned stakeholders are always advised to monitor the Consumer Confidence Index with caution especially in unstable economies as economic activities can change unexpectedly. Survey Methods The Consumer Confidence Index Poll was conducted in Quarter 4, 2018. The CCI involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 4.65%. NOIPolls Limited is No.1 for country specific polling services in West Africa. We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1] https://www.focus-economics.com/countries/nigeria
- NOIPolls 2018 Power Supply Tracking; Power Supply to Nigerian Households Still Inadequate.
Abuja, Nigeria. January 15th 2019 – New aggregated power poll results released by NOIPolls for 2018 revealed that while the power sector experienced marginal improvement in 2018 (40 percent) compared with previous two years – 2017 (37 percent) and 2016 (36 percent) power supply still remains inadequate to Nigerian households. An assessment of power supply in 2018 revealed that Nigerian households witnessed the highest improvement in Q3, 2018 as stated by 43 percent of the respondents surveyed, none the less more than half of the respondents reported they saw no improvement. In addition, monthly analysis has shown that the highest improvement in power supply was recorded in the month of August 2018 with 46 percent confirming they experienced improvement. the Minister of Power, Works and Housing, Mr Babatunde Fashola, stated that the country’s power generation was at its peak of 7,000 megawatts (MW) in August 2018.[1] Despite reaching a peak of 7,000 megawatts (MW), it is still grossly inadequate considering the country’s population and the role of electricity in the development of the nation’s economy. Similarly, the average cumulative hours of power supply to Nigerian households in Q3, 2018 was highest at an average of 9.8 hours. Year on year analysis showed that the average cumulative hours of power supply was slightly higher in 2017 than in 2018 despite an increase in generation. Also, the month of August 2018 recorded the highest average daily cumulative hours of power supply to Nigerian households with 10.3 hours. This figure is still a far cry when compared to the 24 hours (international standard) of daily power supply mostly obtained in other countries. For instance, according to the Spectator Index report on power supply, Nigeria was ranked the second worst country in the world.[2] Given the current state of power supply in Nigeria, it is pertinent that the Federal Government and stakeholders in the power sector invest in key infrastructures. For instance, gas pipelines, equipment used in the distribution, generation and transmission of electricity, and other facilities as well as bringing in more investors into the industry to provide the funds needed to move the sector forward. These are the key findings from the aggregated power sector poll conducted by NOIPolls over a period of one year (January to December 2018). Background Electricity generation and consumption is vital to the development of any nation as its use is directly linked with to healthy economic growth. Therefore, it is important for any nation aspiring to join the league of developed economies to implement strategies for providing adequate electricity supply to foster a thriving, stable and growing economy for her citizens. The power situation in Nigeria is a major cause for concern as the current status of electricity generated in Nigeria remains grossly inadequate as epileptic power supply across the nation has hindered the growth of the manufacturing sector and subsequently, stalled the development of the country. [3]With the aim of monitoring the progress made so far since the power sector reforms in Nigeria, NOIPolls introduced the Power Polls in 2013 to explore the perception of Nigerians towards these reforms. The polls were conducted monthly to explore the amount of power supply received daily, as well as the state of power supply to households. The result presented is a one-year (January – December) tracking of power supply to households from the consumers’ end in 2018. Survey Findings Quarterly Trend on Power Supply The poll result revealed that Q3, 2018 experienced the highest improvement in power supply as expressed by 43 percent of Nigerians surveyed. This comes as no surprise because the Minister of Power, Works and Housing, Mr Babatunde Fashola, stated that the country’s power generation was at its peak at 7,000 megawatts (MW) in August 2018[4]. Given that August falls in Q3, this could have attributed to the greater improvement in power supply in Q3, 2018. This is closely followed by Q4, 2018 as mentioned by 42 percent of the respondents whereas, Q2, 2018, experienced the lowest (38 percent) power supply in 2018. Quarterly Average Daily Cumulative Power Supply to Nigerian Households Further findings over the period in view revealed that the average hours of cumulative power supply to Nigerian households nationwide was also highest in Q3, 2018 at an average of 9.8 hours daily. Monthly Trend on Power Supply Subsequently, analysis of poll results showed that the highest monthly improvement in power supply nationwide was recorded in January and August (46 percent each) 2018 whereas the lowest monthly improvement in power supply nationwide was recorded in February and April (34 percent each) 2018. Monthly Daily Cumulative Hours of Power Supply to Nigerian Households Similarly, analysis of poll results showed that the month of August 2018 recorded the highest daily cumulative hours of power supply to Nigerian households which stood at an average of 10.3 hours daily while April 2018 recorded the lowest in this regard with 8.7 hours daily. Yearly Trend on Power Supply Year on year analysis showed that Nigerians witnessed a relative improvement in power supply in 2018 (40 percent) than in 2016 and 2017. Also, the poll revealed that the average hours of cumulative power supply to Nigerian households was at its peak in 2017 at an average of 9.7 hours daily. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted over a period of one year (January to December 2018). It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 12,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 4.65%. NOIPolls Limited is the No1 for country-specific polling services in West Africa. We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1] https://www.vanguardngr.com/2018/08/power-generation-rises-to-7000-mega-watts-fashola/ [2]www.legit.ng/1170127-poor-power-supply-nigeria-reason.html [3]http://iwin.org.ng/index.php/news/item/3742-https-venturesafrica-com-this-chart-tells-you-the-current-state-of-power-supply-in-nigeria [4] https://www.vanguardngr.com/2018/08/power-generation-rises-to-7000-mega-watts-fashola/
- Nigerians Demand Improvements in Education, Security and Electricity Supply in 2019
Abuja, Nigeria. January 8th, 2019 – The New Year poll report released by NOIPolls has revealed that most Nigerians want the government to mainly focus its attention on Education (49 percent), Security (44 percent), Electricity supply (36 percent) and Economy (32 percent) amongst other sector/areas in 2019. It is not surprising that education topped the list this year given the series of challenges facing the sector. For instance, poor funding is one of the major reasons for the deterioration and challenges in the education sector, especially tertiary education, which has led to frequent strikes by academic and non-academic staff since the early 1990s. The Federal Government’s allocation to education in the last 10 years has been inadequate as only a total of N3.90 trillion or an average of 7.07 percent has so far been allocated to the sector out of a total budget of N55.19 trillion.[1] Also, a Demographic Health Survey (DHS) conducted by the United Nations Children Fund (UNICEF) and the Nigerian government revealed that the number of out-of-school children rose from 10.5 million in 2010 to 13.2 million in 2015 in Nigeria.[2] On security, 44 percent of Nigerians reported that they expect the government to improve on the issue of security in Nigeria as they believe it has not fared well in 2018. The nation witnessed a drastic breakdown of internal security challenges in 2018 ranging from terror strikes in the North-East to herdsmen and farmers conflicts in the North-Central to militants operating in the South-South. These cnflicts come in several forms such as communal, religious, political and socio-economic conflicts with varying degree of casualties, mostly civilians. For instance, the tension between herdsmen and farming communities saw a dramatic escalation in the first quarter of 2018 especially the attacks that occurred in some local government areas in Benue, Plateau, Adamawa, Nasarawa and Taraba states; which involved the loss of lives and properties leaving many people displaced from their homes.[3] Opinions on power revealed that 36 percent of the respondents expect the government to significantly focus its attention on the sector, considering that this sector has faced huge challenges over the years. According to the Minister of Power, Works and Housing, Mr Babatunde Fashola, the country’s power generation was at its peak at 7,000 megawatts (MW) in August 2018.[4] Despite reaching a peak of 7,000 megawatts (MW), it was still inadequate considering the country’s population. Hence, adequate electricity means that Nigerians will be empowered to work from the domestic level and the cottage industries, through the small-scale and medium industries to employment in the large-scale manufacturing complexes. Therefore, the federal government and concerned stakeholders need to place high priority on ensuring that challenges surrounding these sectors are immediately resolved to improve the economy and foster national development. On the economy, 32 percent disclosed that they expect the government to focus its attention on all aspect of the country’s economy. This is not surprising considering that Nigeria’s economy did not fare well in 2018. For instance, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) reported that the nation’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by 1.81% (year-on-year) in real terms in the third quarter of 2018. However, the average Nigerian is yet to feel the impact of this increase in the country’s GDP because it is marginal and negligible. According to the African Development data on Nigeria’s Economic Outlook in 2018, about 152 million Nigerians live on less than 2 dollars per day and this figure represents about 80 percent of the country’s estimated 190 million population. Also, the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) Article IV consultation report on Nigerian economy for 2018 revealed that the Nigerian economy is slowly exiting recession although remains vulnerable to external shocks such as huge fiscal deficit, low economy diversification, increasing domestic risks and rising banking sector risks.[5] Finally, the government should do its best to tackle and improve on these areas Nigerians believe did not fare well in 2018. More funds should be allocated to the education sector and the internal security policy and strategy should be reviewed to accommodate new dimensions of security challenges in the country. Also, the government should revamp the power stations to perform at optimal capacity and diversify power sources so as not to overburden current sources. There is also a need for the government and other stakeholders to create an enabling environment for Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) to thrive as well as ensure that industrial manufacturing companies in the country are operating at full capacity. These are the key highlights from the New Year poll conducted in the week commencing December, 17th 2018. BRIEF BACKGROUND New Year is one of the most important and prominently celebrated days in Nigeria and Nigerians wholeheartedly wait for the New Year to arrive. During the New Year celebration, one can clearly draw a precise picture of the rich heritage, culture, customs and tradition of the country. The celebration comes in form of parties in various public gardens, family homes, discotheques, etc. Nigerians of all age groups, irrespective of their background mutually drink, eat, dance and celebrate with cheer and splendour offering a matchless experience. As Nigerians enjoy the moment, it is also a time for hope as people become more optimistic for the new year. Many individuals and organizations seize the opportunity to organize their plans for development. People make resolutions with the hope to be better socially, economically and spiritually than in the previous years. In essence, individuals and even organizations use the New Year day or the first day of work as the case may be, to make plans in the hope of realizing improved quality of life and better dividends from their businesses in the months to follow. Against this background, NOIPolls conducted this poll to assess the 3 key areas Nigerians expect the government to focus its attention on in the next 12 months. SURVEY FINDINGS The poll results revealed that a higher proportion of Nigerians (49 percent) want the government to focus its attention towards improving the quality and standard of education in the country given the current state of the sector. Similarly, 44 percent expect the government to drastically improve the security situation in the country, while 36 percent cited electricity supply considering the challenges faced in these areas in previous years. Other areas that Nigerians wants the government to focus its attention on in 2019 include ‘Economy’ (32 percent), ‘Agriculture’ (29 percent), ‘Job creation’ (26 percent), ‘Infrastructure’ (22 percent) and ‘Health care’ (18 percent) amongst others. Further analysis by geo-political zones revealed certain peculiarities across geo-political zones regarding the areas Nigerians expects the government to focus its attention on in 2019. For instance, while education (64 percent) and security seem to be a priority for residents from the North-West and North-East zones, electricity appears to be a more pressing issue for Nigerians in the South-South zone. Similarly, residents in the South-West zone indicated economy as the most pressing area where the government should focus its attention on in 2019. In conclusion, the poll has revealed that the quality and standard of education is Nigeria is unacceptable as most Nigerians task the government to improve the sector in 2019. Also, Nigerians lamented over the state of internal security in the country in 2018 hence 44 percent specifically mentioned that the government should tackle security challenges in 2019. Beyond the current 7,000 Mega Watts (MW) of electricity being generated, 36 percent of Nigerians want the government to improve the sector so as to empower SMEs and other ventures to grow their businesses. It is therefore the responsibility of the government to listen to the demands of its citizens and work to improve in these areas to ensure a better quality of life for the average Nigerian. Finally, it is advised that the government put an end to the various security challenges that pervaded Nigeria in 2018 so as to attract more investors. Survey Methods The Poll was conducted in the week commencing December 17th, 2018. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 4.65%. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa. We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1] https://www.vanguardngr.com/2018/04/education-free-fall/ [2] https://www.premiumtimesng.com/news/top-news/288344-nigeria-now-has-13-2-million-out-of-school-children-ubec.html [3] https://allafrica.com/stories/201807270076.html [4] https://www.vanguardngr.com/2018/08/power-generation-rises-to-7000-mega-watts-fashola/ [5] https://www.pulse.ng/finance-key-issues-debilitating-the-nigerian-economy-as-identified-by-imf/zq7cvsz
- 2018 Year in Review: Nigeria did not Fare Well in Job Creation, Infrastructural Development and Econ
Abuja, Nigeria. December 18th, 2018 –A new public opinion poll released by NOIPolls reveal that Nigerians believe that the country has not fared well mostly in the areas of Job Creation (89 percent), Infrastructural Development (65 percent) and the Economy (63 percent). On a brighter note, 69 percent of Nigerians believe that the country has fared well in the area of agriculture in 2018. Job creation as a burning issue comes as no surprise considering the rising rate of unemployment in Nigeria. According to a National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) unemployment rates rose from18.8 percent in Q3. 2017 to 23.1 percent in Q3, 2018.[1] Infrastructural development is not only a crucial driver for progress, but is also a critical enabler of productivity and sustainable economic growth. For example, the constant electricity shortages, housing issues, rail lines, lack of proper road networks both inter and intra state, water and sanitation infrastructure have a direct impact on the overall economic growth of the country. According to the Federal Mortgage Bank of Nigeria (FMBN), the country needs to build 720,000 units of houses per annum at a cost of N56 trillion per annum to close our housing gap. In the same vein, electricity, rail systems, airports, seaports are equally begging for financial attention and the implication of these is that the country needs several trillions of naira to address its infrastructural deficits.[2] On the economy, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) reported that the nation’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by 1.81% (year-on-year) in real terms in the third quarter of 2018,[3] however, the average Nigerian is yet to feel the impact of this marginal increase. For instance, the African Development Bank report on Nigeria’s Economic Outlook 2018 revealed that about 152 million Nigerians live on less than 2 dollars a day, representing about 80 percent of the country’s estimated 190 million population. The report further indicated that the country still faces significant challenges in foreign exchange shortages, disruptions in fuel supply, power shortages and insecurity in some parts of the country amongst other challenges. Finally, given the high unemployment rate faced by Nigerians, it is therefore essential that the issue of infrastructural deficit is addressed in order to create an enabling environment for job creation. This will in turn help increase financial security and promote better standards of living of Nigerians, stimulate economic activities as well as reduce poverty and crime in the country.These are the key findings from the End of Year Pollconducted by NOIPolls in the week of December 10th 2018. Brief Background End of the year for a typical Nigerian is a period for different celebrations, with diverse festivities ranging from parties to carnivals, social gatherings, family/school reunions, cultural fairs to annual sporting and/ art events, etc. To some Nigerians, it is a time to reflect on what they have achieved thus far and what to expect in the coming year. Against this background, NOIPolls conducted this poll to gauge the perceptions of Nigerians on how the nation has fared in 2018, focusing on some key socio-economic areas. Survey Findings Respondents’ opinions were assessed on how Nigeria has fared in 2018 on eight specific areas and the poll revealed that 89 percent of Nigerians reported that job creation has not improved in the year. This is followed by respondents (65 percent) who indicated that the country has not fared well in term of infrastructural development which is key to industrial and economic growth of any nation. On the economy, 63 percent of respondents stated that the nation has not fared well in this area despite the marginal increase in the county’s GDP in quarter 1, 2018 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics. Other areas Nigerians believed have not improved in 2018 are electricity supply (52 percent), security (51 percent) and Healthcare (51 percent).On the other hand, 69 percent of Nigerians admitted that the country has fared well in the area of agriculture in 2018. For instance, data from Trade Economics revealed that GDP from Agriculture in Nigeria increased to 5.2 million Naira in the third quarter of 2018 from 3.7 million Naira in the second quarter of 2018. GDP from Agriculture averaged 3.8 million Naira from 2010 until 2018, reaching an all-time high of 5.2 million in the third quarter of 2018.[4] In conclusion, the poll revealed that most Nigerians consider job creation, infrastructural development and the economy as the critical areas that have not fared well in 2018. The government and concerned stakeholders must synergize to address these critical challenges especially as another year approaches. For instance, fixing these infrastructural challenges will attract more foreign direct investments, create millions of jobs, help to create new markets, foster competition, spur innovation, lower prices, raise productivity and in turn leads to increase in standard of living. Due to the high cost of infrastructural development, it is advisable that a public private partnership should be adopted to make needed funds available to tackle these challenges. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in the week of December 10th 2018. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 4.65%. NOIPolls Limited is the No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa. We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1]https://www.premiumtimesng.com/news/headlines/301896-nigerias-unemployment-rate-rises-to-23-1-nbs.html [2] http://grownigeria.ng/can-nigeria-government-fix-the-infrastructure-challenge/ [3] https://www.vanguardngr.com/2018/12/gdp-grows-by-1-81-in-q3-2018-nbs/ [4] https://tradingeconomics.com/nigeria/gdp-from-agriculture
- President Jonathan’s Job Approval Rating at 53%; Power situation worsens in March
Abuja, Nigeria. April 1st, 2014 – Latest governance poll results released by NOIPolls for the month of March 2014 have revealed that the slight majority of Nigerians (53%) approve of the job performance of President Jonathan, indicating a 2-point increase from his rating in February 2014. On the key elements of the transformation agenda, the President maintained an average ranking of 3 in Economy, Health, Agriculture, Transportation, Foreign Policy & Diplomacy. For Education, his ranking went from 1 (very poor) in February to 3 (Average) . The President also maintainedprevious ranking of 1 (Very poor) in Job creation, Power and Security. The poll results also revealed that the situation of power nationwide worsened in March, majority of Nigerians54% (29%+25%) claimed that power has gone bad or worsened, with another 17% seeing no difference at all (a total of 71%). Regions worst hit were the South West (66%), South South (59%) and the North East (58%) with the highest proportions of respondents reporting bad/worsened power situation. This month shows an all-time low rating of power (29%: those who experienced an improvement) over the 15 month period NOIPolls has tracked improvements in household power supply nationwide. These are some of the key findings from the Governance Snap Poll conducted in week of March 24th 2014. This report presents the March 2014 results of the monthly governance poll conducted by NOIPolls to gauge the opinions and perceptions of Nigerians regarding the approval rating of the President, the performance of the President on key elements of his transformation agenda, and the state of power supply in the country. Respondents to the poll were asked three specific questions. The first sought to gauge the perception of Nigerians on the performance of President Goodluck Jonathan over the past 1 month. Respondents were asked: Do you approve or disapprove of the job performance of President Jonathan in the past 1 month? From the results overall, a total of 53% of the respondents (41% + 12%) approve the performance of the president; while a total of 26% (19% +7%) disapprove of his performance. In addition, 21% were neutral saying they neither approved nor disapproved. Analysis of the result by geo-political zone highlights differing opinions. The approval rating of the President is highest in the South-East (80% in total) and South-South (61% in total); and lowest in the North-East (39% in total). Also, the South-West have the highest proportion of respondents that disapprove of the Presidents job performance with 37%. It is also pertinent to highlight that the North-East has the highest proportion (38%) of Nigerians who are neutral and neither approve or disapprove of the Presidents job performance. Furthermore, when these findings are compared with the previous poll conducted in February 2014, there was a slight 2-point increase in the President’s job approval rating. Year on year analysis shows that current results represent a 7-point increment when compared to the President’s approval rating in March 2013 which was at 46%. To assess the performance of the president on key areas of his transformation agenda, respondents were asked: On a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 is very poor and 5 is excellent, how would you rate the performance of the President Jonathan in the following areas? (1) Job Creation (2) Power (3) Economy (4) Health (5) Education (6) Agriculture (7) Transportation (8) Foreign relations and (9) Security. On a scale of 1 to 5, the president had an average performance of 3 in Economy, Education, Health, Agriculture & Food security, Transportation and Foreign policy & Diplomacy while on Job creation, Power and Security, the president was ranked 1 which signifies a very poor performance. A comparison of findings over Q1 2014 reveals that the President’s performance rating on Education increased from 1 to 3 in March 2014. Furthermore, his rating on Economy, Health, Agriculture & food security, Transportation and Foreign policy & diplomacy maintained an average of 3 ranking over the 3 months and his ranking on Job creation, Power and Security declined to 1 in the three month period. Finally, in order to assess the situation of power in Nigeria within the past month, respondents were asked: How would you describe power in your area in the past 1 month? Current results show that the majority 54% (29%+25%) said that power has gone bad or worsened in the month of March. Furthermore, 29% (21%+8%) said that power had improved slightly or very much while 17% said “there’s no difference at all”. Looking across the geo-political zones, the highest proportion of respondents that reported bad/worsened power supply was from the South-West region with 66% of respondents, followed by the South-South region with 59% and the North East region with 58%. Highest proportion that reported no difference at all was the North Central 29% and those who saw slight improvements were the North-West (28%) and South-East (30%) regions. When these current findings are compared with the results obtained in February 2014, there was an 11-point decline in the proportion of respondents that experienced an improvement in the situation of power in March 2014. Over Q1 2014, Power has steadily declined to an all-time low rating of 29%. This indicates that 71% of Nigerian households have seen no improvement in their Power situation for the month of March. In conclusion, the results from the current poll have revealed that the slight majority of Nigerians (53%) approve of the job performance of President Jonathan, indicating a 2-point increase from his rating in February 2014. On the key elements of the transformation agenda, the President maintained an average ranking of 3 in Economy, Health, Agriculture, Transportation, Foreign Policy & Diplomacy. For Education, his ranking went from 1 (very poor) in February to 3 (Average) . The President also maintained previous ranking of 1 (Very poor) in Job creation, Power and Security. The poll results also revealed that the situation of power nationwide worsened in March, majority of Nigerians 54% (29%+25%) claimed that power has gone bad or worsened, with another 17%seeing no difference at all (a total of 71%). Regions worst hit were the South West (66%), South South (59%) and the North East (58%) with the highest proportions of respondents reporting bad/worsened power situation. This month shows an all-time low rating of power (29%: those who experienced an improvement) over the 15 month period NOIPolls has tracked improvements in household power supply nationwide. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in March 24th to 26th 2014. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com
- President Jonathan’s Approval Rating at 49%; Drops 4-points From March 2014.
Abuja, Nigeria. May 6th, 2014 – Latest governance poll results released by NOIPolls for the month of April 2014 revealed that less than half of the adult Nigerian population (49%) approve of the job performance of President Goodluck Jonathan; this represents a 4-point decline from March 2014 and a 1-point drop from his 16-month average (50%). More findings revealed that based on the transformation agenda, the President has maintained a “very poor” ranking on his performance in Security, Power and Job Creation, while maintaining average ranking on Economy, Education, Foreign Policy & Diplomacy, Health, Agriculture & Food Security and Transportation. Furthermore, the poll revealed that the situation of power nationwide still shows no improvement in April 2014, as 71% of Nigerians affirmed that power supply to their households have worsened/seen no difference over the past one month; the same rating from March2014 following a continuous decline since January 2014. Similarly, the South-South region was reported to have experienced the worst supply of power (75%), followed by the South-West (57%), South-East (51%), North-West (51%), North East (44%), and North-Central regions(41%). These are some of the key findings from the Governance Snap Poll conducted in week of April 28th 2014. These results represent the fourth in the 2014 monthly series of governance polls conducted by NOIPolls to gauge the opinions and perceptions of Nigerians regarding the approval rating of the President, the performance of the President on key elements of his transformation agenda, and the state of power supply in the country. Respondents to the poll were asked three specific questions. The first sought to gauge the perception of Nigerians on the performance of President Goodluck Jonathan over the past 1 month. Respondents were asked: Do you approve or disapprove of the job performance of President Jonathan in the past 1 month? Findings reveal that majority of respondents49% (39%+10%) approve of the President’s performance where 39% approve and 10% strongly approve of his performance. In addition, 37% (28%+9%) of the respondents disapprove of the President’s performance while 14% were neutral since they neither approve nor disapprove. Analyzing the President’s performance from the geo-political zone standpoint reveals that theSouth-East zone (69%: 13%+56%) has the highest proportion of respondents that approve of the President’s job performance; the North-West zone (52%: 42%+10%) accounts for the largest percentage of respondents that disapprove of the president’s job performance while theSouth-South zone (18%) has the highest proportion of Nigerians who are neutral. Monthly trend analysis of the President’s approval rating reveals fluctuations in the President’s approval rating over the four-month period. Results from January reveal a downward trend and current results show a 4-point decline in the proportion that approved of the President’s performance. Year on year analysis shows that current results represent a 7-point increase compared to April 2013 when it stood at 42%. To evaluate the performance of the President on crucial areas of his transformation agenda, respondents were asked: On a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 is very poor and 5 is excellent, how would you rate the performance of the President Jonathan in the following areas? (1) Job Creation (2) Power (3) Economy (4) Health (5) Education (6) Agriculture & Food Security (7) Transportation (8) Foreign policy & Diplomacy and (9) Security. The President was rated average in terms of his performance on Economy, Education, Health, Agriculture & Food Security, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy, while the President was rated very poor in terms of his performance on Job Creation, Power and Security. Trend analysis reveals that the President’s performance rating on Economy, Health, Agriculture & Food Security, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy maintained an average ranking over the four-month period. However the President has been rated very poor in terms of his performance on Job Creation, Power and Security over the past three consecutive months from February to April 2014. Finally, in order to assess the situation of power supply to Nigerian households within the past month, respondents were asked: How would you describe power in your area in the past 1 month? Current results show that the majority (33%) stated that “it’s very bad and has gone worse”. In addition, 24% affirmed that their power supply “has improved a little” while 21% of the respondents were of the opinion that power supply “remains bad”. Furthermore, 17% of Nigerians claim “there’s no difference at all” while 5% expressed that “it has improved very much” in the month of April 2014. An evaluation across the geo-political zones reveals that the North-Central zone has the largest percentage (42%: 9%+33%) of respondents that indicated power supply improved while the North-East zone (30%) has the highest fraction of Nigerians that claim there’s no difference at all. In addition, the South-South zone (75%: 20%+55%) has the highest proportion of respondents that claim power supply worsened over the past one month. Again, a four-month trend analysis on power from January to April reveals a continuous decline in the proportion of Nigerians that experienced an improvement in the state of power from January (44%) to March (29%) and remained constant in April 2014. In conclusion, April 2014 results have revealed that 49% of adult Nigerians approve of the job performance of the President over the past month; this figure represents a 4-point decline in his approval rating from March 2014 (53%). More findings revealed that the President had an average ranking in his performance on Economy, Education, Health, Agriculture & Food Security, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy while he was ranked very poor in his performance on Job Creation, Power and Security. Furthermore, 29% of Nigerians experienced an improvement in power supply over the past one month; the same rating from March 2014 after a continuous decline from January 2014. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in April 28th to 30th 2014. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No.1 for country-specific polling services in West Africa, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com
- President Jonathan’s Approval Rating Peaks to 61% in January 2014
Abuja, Nigeria. February 4th, 2014 – Latest governance poll results released by NOIPolls for the month ofJanuary 2014 have revealed that 61% of Nigerians approve of the job performance of the president over the past month. This rating represents a significant 21-point increase in his approval rating from December 2013(40%) and an 11-point increase when compared with January 2013 (50%). Furthermore, majority of Nigerians(44%) said they experienced slight improvements in the situation of power supply to their households over the past one month. This represents a 10-point increase in the proportion of respondents that experienced an improvement from December 2013 (34%) and a 3-point decline when compared to January 2013 (47%). These are the key findings from the Governance Snap Poll conducted in week of January 27th 2014. These results represent the first in the 2014 monthly series of governance polls conducted by NOIPolls to gauge the opinions and perceptions of Nigerians regarding the approval rating of the president, the performance of the President on key elements of his transformation agenda, and the state of power supply in the country. Respondents to the poll were asked three specific questions. The first sought to gauge the perception of Nigerians on the performance of President Goodluck Jonathan over the past 1 month.Respondents were asked: Do you approve or disapprove of the job performance of President Jonathan in the past 1 month? Findings revealed that the overall majority, a total of 61%, approve of the President’s job performance, where 44%approve and 17% strongly approve. This rating represents a significant 21-point increase in the approval rating of the President when compared with December 2013 (40%). Furthermore, a total of 19% of the respondents disapprove of the President’s job performance, representing a 10-point decline from December 2013 (29%).Similarly, 20% remain neutral as they neither approve nor disapprove, representing a 10-point decline of the neutrals from December 2013 (11%). Further analysis based on geo-political zone indicates that the South-East zone (76%) has the highest proportion of respondents that approve of the President’s job performance, followed by the South-South zone (69%). In addition, while the South-West zone (27%) has the highest proportion of respondents that disapprove of his performance; the North-East (27%) and North-West (26%) zones led most respondents that remained neutral. A comparison with January 2013 results revealed that the proportion of Nigerians who gave a positive rating of the President’s job performance increased by 11-points and there was a corresponding 11-points decline in the proportion that gave his performance a negative rating over the 1 year period. Secondly, with feedback from the media and general public, NOIPolls has included the next question, which seeks to assess the performance of the president on key areas of his transformation agenda. Respondents were asked: On a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 is very poor and 5 is excellent, how would you rate the performance of the President Jonathan in the following areas? (1) Job Creation (2) Power (3) Economy (4) Health (5) Education (6) Agriculture (7) Transportation (8) Foreign relations and (9) Security. Based on the responses, the President had an average nationwide ranking of 3 on a scale of 1 to 5 for his performance on Job Creation, Power, Economy, Health, Education, Agriculture & food security, Transportation and Foreign policy; indicating average performance. However, in the area of security, the president was ranked 4, signifying above average performance. Finally, in order to gauge the situation of power in Nigeria within the past month, respondents were asked: How would you describe power in your area in the past 1 month? The results reveal that 44% (21%+23%)of Nigerians noticed an improvement in the state of power over the past month. These figures represent a 10-point increase in the proportion of respondents that experienced an improvement from December 2013 (34%)and a 3-point decline when compared with Jan 2013 (47%). Furthermore, 24% of the respondents claim “it remains bad”, while 20% indicated “there’s no difference at all” and 12% of the respondents claim “is very bad and has gone worse”. From the geo-political zone perspective, the North-Central zone (49%) has the highest proportion of respondents that experienced an improvement in their power supply, while the South-East zone (29%)accounts for the highest number of respondents that claim “there’s no difference at all” in the state of power in January. Furthermore, the North-East zone has the highest proportion of respondents (30%) that say power supply over the past month “remains bad” and the highest number of respondents that also say “it’s very bad has gone worse” were from the South-South zone (18%). In conclusion, the results from the current poll have indicated that 61% of Nigerians approve of the President’s performance over the past month. This rating represents a significant 20-point increase in the approval rating of the President from December 2013 (40%) and an 11-point increase when compared to January 2013 (50%).Further findings revealed that the President had an average nationwide ranking of 4 on a scale of 1 to 5 for his performance on security; while he was also ranked an average of 3 (each) for Agriculture, job creation, power, economy, health and education amongst others. In addition, 44% of those polled claimed to have experienced sight improvement in power supply to their households over the past one month; represents a 10-point increase in the proportion of those that experienced improvement in December 2013 (34%). Finally, it would be recalled that the New Year poll released by NOIPolls early this year identified Job Creation, Electricity and Security as the top three issues that Nigerians want President Goodluck Jonathan to focus his attention on in 2014. It is therefore advised that to sustain the current positive approval rating of the President and a continued upward trend, more concerted efforts need to be focused on these key issues – Job Creation, Power and Security. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in January 27th to 29th 2014. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No.1 for country-specific polling services in West Africa, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com
- President Jonathan’s Performance Rating Declines by 10-Points in December 2013
Abuja, Nigeria. January 7th, 2014 – Monthly governance poll results released by NOIPolls Limited for the month of December 2013 has revealed that 4 in 10 Nigerians (40%) approve of the President’s performance over the past month. This latest result represents a 10-point decline in the proportion of Nigerians that approve of the President’s performance from November (50%) and, the lowest approval rating for the President in 2013. The findings further revealed that 25% of Nigerians rate the performance of the current administration (the Executive Cabinet; Ministers and State Governors) as good; representing a 5-Point decline from the November(30%) rating. In addition, the poll result revealed a slight improvement in the situation of power supply as the proportion of Nigerians that experienced some improvement increased by 8-points from November (26%) toDecember (34%) 2013. These were the key findings from the Governance Snap Poll conducted in week of December 16th 2013. The results presented are the twelfth in the monthly series of governance polls and concluding poll for 2013 conducted by NOIPolls to gauge the opinions and perceptions of Nigerians regarding three crucial elements – the approval rating of the president, the performance of the current administration, and thesituation of power supply in the country. Respondents to the poll were asked three specific questions. The first was to gauge the perception of Nigerians about the performance of President Goodluck Jonathan over the past 1 month;respondents were asked: Do you approve or disapprove of the performance of President Jonathan in the past 1 month? The results revealed that 40% of Nigerians approve of the Presidents performance over the past month. Comparatively, 29%of the adult population respondents disapprove of the President’s performance; while 31% were neutral in rating the President’s performance as they neither approve nor disapprove of his performance. These figures represent a significant 10-point decline in the President’s approval rating from November (50%), and a 7-point increase in the proportion that disapprove of the President’s performance from November (22%). Further analyses based on geo-political zones indicate that the South-East zone (58%) had the highest proportion of respondents that approve of the President’s performance. On the contrary, the North-West(40%), North-East (38%) and South-West (35%) zones had the highest proportion of respondents that disapprove of the President’s performance.The highest proportion of respondents that were neutral towards the president’s performance were from the South-South and South-West zones (35% each). Evaluating the President’s rating over the year 2013 reveals that the President obtained the highest approval ratings for his performance in August (57%), followed by October (55%) and February (54%). On the other hand, the President received the lowest approval ratings in the months of December (40%) andApril (42%)2013. Furthermore, analyses using quarterly averages reveal that the 3rdquarter of 2013 with an average of 53% was the President’s best quarter in terms of approval ratings; while the 2nd quarter with an average of 43% was the worst quarter in terms of the President’s approval rating. The year round average approval rating in 2013 was49%. Secondly, with the aim of ascertaining the performance of the current administration respondents were asked:How would you rate the performance of this current administration in the past 1 month? Findings from this question showed that (43%) of Nigeriansare of the opinion that the current administration has performed averagely. While 25% (21%+4%) said they performed well, 32% (26%+6%) were of the opinion that they performed poorly. An assessment based on the geo-political zones indicates that the North-Central and South-West zones had the highest proportion of respondents that rated the performance of the current administration as average (47%each). In addition, the largest proportion of respondents (45%) that rated the current administration poorly were from the North-East zone, while the South-East zone (40%) accounts for the highest number of respondents that indicated the current administration performed well. Trend analysis of the performance of the current administration in 2013, shows a 5-point decline in the proportion of Nigerians that approve of the performance of the current administration from November (30%)to December (25%). Comparable to the President’s approval rating, the current administration also received its highest approval rating in August (35%); while its lowest rating was in April (16%). Analyses using quarterly averages reveal that the best quarter for the current administration was the 3rd and 4thquarters of 2013 with an average rating of 29% each and the worst quarter for the current administration was the 2nd quarter with an average approval rating of 20%. Comparing this to the quarterly analysis for the President’s ratings, both ratings mirror each other, 2nd quarter was the worst quarter for both as the 3rd was the best for both. This mirrors the perceptions that both ratings are closely linked to each other, if ratings are high for the President, it reflects on his Cabinet and vice versa. The average quarterly rating of the current administration for 2013 was 25%. Finally, the third question sought to gauge the power situation in Nigeria within the past month, respondents were asked: How would you describe power in your area in the past 1 month? The results revealed that34% (30%+4%) of Nigerians noticed slight improvements in the situation of power supply over the past month. This indicates an 8-point increase in the proportion of Nigerians that experienced an improvement in their power condition from November (26%). Furthermore, 29% of the respondents said that “it remains bad”, 21%indicated that “there’s no difference at all” while 16% of the respondents stated that the power situation “is very bad and has gone worse”. From the geo-political zones perspective, the South-East zone (46%) has the highest proportion of respondents that noticed an improvement in their power supply; while the North-Central zone (29%) accounted for the highest number of respondents that affirmed “there’s no difference at all” in their power supply in December 2013. Furthermore, the North-West zone had the highest proportion of respondents (36%) that said power supply over the past month “remains bad” and the highest number of respondents that also said “it’s very bad has gone worse” were from the North-East zone (23%). Trend analysis of the Power supply in Nigeria over 2013 reveals an 8-point increase in the proportion of Nigerians that noticed an improvement in December. Furthermore, the highest power rating in Nigeria was recorded in January 2013 (47%) the while the lowest power rating was observed in November (26%). Quarterly analysis of 2013 shows that power supply was best over the 1st quarter with an average of 41%, and worst over the 2nd and 4th quarters with an average of 33% each. The worst quarter in terms of power supply ratings mirrors the lowest rating for the President and current administration. Indeed previous Governance Poll releases had suggested a loose relationship between power supply and the perception of Nigerians about the performance of the President and his administration. In conclusion, the results from the current poll have indicated that 4 in 10 Nigerians (40%) approve of the President’s performance over the past month, representing a significant 10-point decline in the President’s approval rating from November (50%) and the lowest rating for the President in 2013. Also, the poll result revealed a slight improvement in the situation of power supply (34%) in December 2013, with an 8-pointsincrease in the rating from November (26%). In conclusion, despite the 8-point improvement in the rating of power supply, the approval rating of the president still experienced a significant 10-Point decline. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in December 16th to 18th 2013. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No.1 for country specific polling services in West Africa, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgement as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com
- President Jonathan’s Job Approval Rating Peaks At 62% in July 2014
Abuja, Nigeria. August 5th, 2014 – Latest governance poll results released by NOIPolls for the month ofJuly 2014 revealed that 62% of adult Nigerians surveyed approve of the job performance of the President over the past month. This rating portrays a 5-points increase from June 2014 and represents the highest rating in the 19 month period that NOIPolls started monthly governance polls in January 2013. The increase in the president’s rating is largely due to the highly positive ratings recorded in the South-East and South-South zones with 80%each. More findings revealed that the President received an average ranking for his performance on Economy, Education, Health, Agriculture & Food Security, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy, while he was ranked very poor for his performance on Job Creation, Power and Security. The results also disclosed that slightly more than half (51%) of adult Nigerians surveyed reported that power supply in their area “It remains bad” , “It’s very bad and has gone worse”; and the South-East and South-South zones accounted for the highest proportion of respondents who experienced poor supply of power in July 2014 with 60% each. In addition 33%stated “It has improved very much” and “It has improved a little” within the last one month; this represents a 1-point increase in this group from June 2014. These were some of the key findings from the Governance Snap Poll conducted in the week of July 21st 2014. These results represent the seventh in the 2014 monthly series of governance polls conducted by NOIPolls to gauge the opinions and perceptions of Nigerians regarding the approval rating of the President, the performance of the President on key elements of his transformation agenda, and the state of power supply in the country. Respondents to the poll were asked three specific questions. The first sought to evaluate the opinion of Nigerians on the performance of President Goodluck Jonathan over the past 1 month. Respondents were asked: Do you approve or disapprove of the job performance of President Jonathan in the past 1 month? Results show that 62% (19%+43%) of adult Nigerians approve of the President’s performance, whereas a total 25% (17%+8%) of the respondents surveyed disapprove of the President’s performance. In addition, 13% remained neutral as they neither approve nor disapprove. Assessing the President’s performance by geo-political zones discloses that at least half of the respondents across all geo-political zones approved of the President’s performance in July 2014. The South-East and the South-South zones accounted for the largest fraction of respondents who approve of the President’s job performance(80% each). The North-West zone and the South-West zone have the highest number of respondents who were neutral with 15% each. Also, the North-West has the largest proportion of respondents who disapprove of the President’s job performance with 35%. Monthly trend analysis of the President’s approval rating reveals that July recorded the highest (62%) approval rating of the President so far for 2014 and also represents the highest rating since NOIPolls started the monthly governance polls in January 2013. In addition the average rating of the President’s job performance over the seven months in 2014 stands at 55.9% and current results are 6.1 points higher than the average. To gauge the performance of the President on pertinent elements of his transformation agenda, respondents were asked: On a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 is very poor and 5 is excellent, how would you rate the performance of the President Jonathan in the following areas? (1) Job Creation (2) Power (3) Economy (4) Health (5) Education (6) Agriculture & Food Security (7) Transportation (8) Foreign Policy & Diplomacy and (9) Security. The President recorded an average (3) rating in terms of his performance in Economy, Education, Health, Agriculture & Food Security, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy. On the contrary, the President was rated very poor (1) in terms of Job Creation, Power and Security. These 3 key elements of his transformation agenda have been rated very poor since February 2014. Trend analysis shows that the President’s performance rating on Economy, Health, Agriculture & Food Security, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy have maintained an average ranking (3) since February 2014 except Education which was rated very poor in February. On the other hand, the President’s performance rating on Job Creation, Power and Security remained very poor (1) since February 2014. Finally, to ascertain the state of power supply to Nigerian households over the past month, respondents were asked: How would you describe power supply in your area in the last 1 month? The results reveal that 51% (31%+20%) of adult Nigerians surveyed reported that power supply in their area gave the responses “remains bad” and “it’s very bad has gone worse” while 33% (5%+28%) stated that “it has improved very much” and “it has improved a little” within the last one month. Furthermore, 16% stated “there’s no difference at all”. From the geo-political zone standpoint, the North-Central zone has the highest number of respondents (40%) that experienced improved power supply, whereas the North-East zone has the greatest share (21%) of respondents who experienced no difference at all in the past one month. In addition, the South-East and South-South zones accounted for the highest proportion of respondents who experienced poor supply of power within the last one month with 60% each. The monthly trend analysis reveals that the state of power remained almost steady with a slight1-point increase in the proportion of respondents who saw improvement in power supply inJuly 2014. Based on geo-political zones, the highest increase in improvement in power was observed in the North-West zones which witnessed a 6-point increase from June to July 2014. The average proportion of respondents who saw improvement in the power supply fromJanuary to July 2014 is currently recorded at 35.6% and the current result is 2.6-points below the yearly average till date. In conclusion, the governance poll results have revealed that 62% of adult Nigerians surveyed approve of the job performance of the President over the past month signifying a 5-pointsincrease from June 2014. This rating represents the highest rating in the monthly governance poll since January 2014. The increase in the President’s rating is as a result of the moderate approval across all geo-political zones and more especially the high approval rating in the South-East and South-South zones. More findings reveal that the President had an average ranking in his performance on Economy, Education, Health, Agriculture & Food Security, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy while he was ranked very poorly in his performance on Job Creation, Power and Security. Additionally, results discloses that slightly more than half (51%) of adult Nigerians surveyed reported that power supply in their area “remains bad”, “it’s very bad or “has gone worse” while 33% stated that “it has improved very much” and “it has improved a little” within the last one month. Furthermore, 16% were of the opinion that “there’s no difference at all”. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in July 21st 2014. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No.1 for country-specific polling services in West Africa, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com
- President Jonathan’s Approval Rating Stands at 51% in February 2014; Drops by 10-Points
Abuja, Nigeria. March 4th, 2014 – Latest governance poll results released by NOIPolls for the month of February 2014 have revealed that 51% of the adult Nigerian population approve of the job performance of President Goodluck Jonathan over the past month. This rating represents a 10-point decline in his approval rating from January 2014 (61%). More findings revealed that the President had an “average” ranking for his performance on Economy, Health, Agriculture & Food security, and Transportation amongst others; while he was ranked “very poor” for his performance on Security, Job creation, Power and Education in the month of February. Furthermore, the results revealed that 40% of Nigerians experienced slight improvements in power supply to their households over the past one month. However, this figure represents a 4-point decline when compared to January, showing declining electricity supply to households. These are some of the key findings from the Governance Snap Poll conducted in week of February 24th 2014. These findings represent the February 2014 poll results of the monthly governance poll conducted by NOIPolls to gauge the opinions and perceptions of Nigerians regarding the approval rating of the President, the performance of the President on key elements of his transformation agenda, and the state of power supply in the country. Respondents to the poll were asked three specific questions. The first sought to gauge the perception of Nigerians on the performance of President Goodluck Jonathan over the past 1 month. Respondents were asked: Do you approve or disapprove of the job performance of President Jonathan in the past 1 month? Findings reveal that 51% (35%+16%) of respondents approve of the President’s job performance, where 35% approve and 16% strongly approve. In addition, 27% of the respondents disapprove of the President’s job performance, representing a 10-point increase from January 2014 (17%). Similarly, 22% remain neutral as they neither approve nor disapprove. An assessment of the President’s performance based on geo-political zone indicates that theSouth-East zone (84%) has the highest proportion of respondents that approve of the President’s job performance, followed by the South-South zone (63%). In addition, the South-West zone (37%) has the highest proportion of respondents that disapprove of his performance while the North-West (26%) zone accounted for the highest proportion of respondents that remained neutral on the president’s approval rating. Furthermore, when these findings are compared with the previous poll conducted inJanuary 2014, there was a significant 10-point decline in the President’s job approval rating.Year on year analysis shows that current results also represent a slight 4-point decline when compared to the President’s approval rating in February 2013 which stood at 54%. To assess the performance of the president on key areas of his transformation agenda, respondents were asked: On a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 is very poor and 5 is excellent, how would you rate the performance of President Jonathan in the following areas? (1) Job Creation (2) Power (3) Economy (4) Health (5) Education (6) Agriculture (7) Transportation (8) Foreign relations and (9) Security. On the 5-point scale, the president had an average performance of 3 in Economy, Health, Agriculture & Food security, Transportation and Foreign policy & Diplomacy while on Job creation, Power, Education and Security, the president was ranked 1 which signifies a very poor performance. A comparison of the current findings with January 2014 results reveal that the President’s performance rating on Job creation, Power and Education declined from 3 to 1 in February. Furthermore, his rating on security dropped from a good ranking of 4 to 1 in February; this drop may be attributed to the recent spate of attacks by the Boko Haram sect in some North Eastern States. Finally, in order to access the situation of power in Nigeria within the past month, respondents were asked: How would you describe power in your area in the past 1 month? The results show that the overall majority of Nigerians (40%: 26%+14%) noticed slight improvement in the condition of power over the past month, where 26% experienced a slight improvement and14% experienced very much improvement. However, these figures illustrate a 4-point drop in the proportion of respondents that experienced an improvement in January 2014 (44%).Furthermore, 24% of the respondents say “there’s no difference at all”, 20% indicated “it remains bad” while 16% of the respondents confirm that it “is very bad and has gone worse”. From the standpoint of geo-political zones, the North-East and the South-East zones with 48%each, both accounted for the highest percentage of respondents that experienced an improvement in their power supply, while the North-West zone accounted for the highest number of respondents that said “there’s no difference at all” or “it remains bad” with 24% and34% respectively. Additionally, the South-South zone (20%) has the largest proportion of respondents that indicated “it’s very bad, had gone to worse”. When these current findings are compared with the results obtained in January 2014, there was a 4-point decline in the proportion of respondents that experienced an improvement in the condition of power in February. In conclusion, the results from the current poll have revealed that despite the 10-point decline,51% of adult Nigerians approve of the job performance of the president over the past month. More findings revealed that the President had an average performance ranking on Economy, Health, Agriculture & Food security, and Transportation; while he had a poor performance ranking on Security, Job creation, Power, and Education. Furthermore, the majority of Nigerians(40%) experienced slight improvements in the situation of power supply to their households over the past one month; however, this figure represents a 4-point drop in this group. Finally the decline in the approval rating of the President may be indicative of the noted decline in power supply in February, when compared to January; as well as the recent spate of attacks in North Eastern Nigeria, which may have negatively impacted his rating on security. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in February 24th to 26th 2014. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No. 1 for country-specific polling services in West Africa, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com


















