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- Positive Reviews For President Buhari’s First 100 Days in Office: Job Creation Highlighted Top
Abuja, Nigeria. September 15th, 2015 – Latest snap poll results released by NOIPolls Limited have revealed that amidst the mixed reactions which have trailed President Muhammadu Buhari’s first 100 days; Nigerians (60 percent) have appraised the President’s first 100 days in office positively; rating his general performance so far within this period as ‘good’. Some Nigerians (12 percent), on the other hand think the President has performed ‘poorly’ since his inauguration on May, 29th 2015. Still in the bid to appraise the President’s performance in his first 100 days, Nigerians rated the performance of the President as ‘good’ in key areas such as ‘security’ (62 percent), ‘power’ (61 percent); ‘fuel availability’ (68 percent) and ‘anti-corruption’ (48 percent); albeit, slightly more than half of Nigerians (54 percent) interviewed think the President has performed ‘poorly’ in terms of ‘job creation’. This perception is in no doubt driven by the increasing level of unemployment in the country; for instance, unemployment rate in Nigeria increased to 8.2 percent in the second quarter of 2015, from 7.50 percent in the first quarter of 2015, and from 6.40 percent in the fourth quarter of 2014, according to data by the Nigeria Bureau of Statistics (NBS).[1] In view of this and based on one of his political campaign promises to revamp the economy to create jobs,[2] Nigerians have a very high expectation of the President in this regard. Following this appraisal, a larger proportion of Nigerians (39 percent) surveyed expect to see improvement in ‘job creation’ in the country within the next 6 months with the majority of respondents in this category aged between 26 – 35 years. Marked improvements in this area alongside other critical areas such as security, power and education as indicated by Nigerians; would drive the sustenance of a positive perception of Nigerians towards the performance of the President and the overall achievement of the obligations of his administration.These are the key findings from the 100 Days Appraisal poll conducted in the week of September 7th 2015. Brief Background September 5th 2015 marked the first 100 days of President Muhammadu Buhari in office. In view of this there have been divergent opinions surrounding the first 100 days of the President since his swearing in into office in May 29th 2015.[3] This is due to the legitimate expectations of citizens that a leader should be able to establish the road maps of his administration within the first 100 days in office. It is pertinent to recall that President Buhari’s campaign promises centred on three key areas: waging war against corruption and impunity, fight against terrorism and revamping the economy to create jobs. Power supply and other economic indices are embedded in these three categories.[4] Some of the perceived but unverified and unclassified opinions of Nigerians suggest that some are in doubt of the President’s performance. Some of the criticisms are in favour of his performance in some areas such as leadership prowess or his ‘body language’ effect on the public service, the recent corruption probes, the heightened fight against insurgency and the availability of fuel. However, some attributed the improvements in some areas like electricity to the already laid down energy sector road map of the previous administration arguing that 100 days is too early for him to effect any change in the power sector. Sequel to these views some stated that the merging of ministries and parastatals and the Treasury Single Account (TSA) Bill will strengthen the unemployment indices.[5] The unavoidable question in the minds of an average Nigerian presently is, ‘how has the President fared in his first 100 days as the President of Nigeria’? Against this background NOIPolls conducted a poll to appraise the President’s first 100 days in office. The poll sought to gauge the perceptions of Nigerians regarding the performance of President Buhari in his first 100 days in office, as well their expectations from his administration in the next 6 months. Survey Findings Respondents to the poll were asked three specific questions. The first 100 days of the President in office examines the occurrence of events and how the President has fared in his role. Hence, in order to gauge the perception of Nigerians on the overall performance of the President, respondents were asked: On a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 is very poor and 5 is very good, how would you rate the general performance of the President on his first 100 days in office? Amidst mixed reactions which has trailed President Muhammadu Buhari’s first 100 days in office, majority of respondents (60 percent) have rated and described the performance of the President in his first 100 days in office as ‘good’; while 28 percent believe he has performed ‘averagely’ within his first 100 days in office. In line with this the President received an average score of 3.7 and this is an indication that Nigerians have a positive perception of the performance of the President in his first hundred days in office; since the closer his average score is to ‘5’ the better his appraisal. On the other hand, some Nigerians (12 percent) think the President has performed ‘poorly’ since his inauguration. More analysis by geo-political zone indicates that the North-West zone has the largest proportion of respondents that asserted that the President has done a good jobwithin his first 100 days in office, whereas the South-East zone accounted for the highest ratio of Nigerians who were of the view that the President has performed averagely since his inauguration. Conversely, the South-South zone has the highest number of respondents who feel the President has generally performed poorly. Overall, 6 in 10 Nigerians (60 percent) gave positive reviews of the President’s performance in his first hundred days in office, about 3 in 10 (28 percent) were neutral in their reviews, while 12 percent gave negative reviews of his performance. Secondly, respondents were asked: On a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 is very poor and 5 is very good, how would you rate the performance of the President in the following areas? In a different light from his general appraisal as shown above, majority of Nigerians (54 percent) interviewed think the President has performed ‘poorly’ in terms of ‘job creation’. The President received ‘good’ rating in areas such as ‘security’ (62 percent), ‘power’ (61 percent); ‘fuel availability’ (68 percent) and ‘anti-corruption’ (48 percent). Overall, the President received the best ratings in power and fuel availability with average scores of 3.9 and 3.7 respectively. Finally, to gain insight on the expectation of Nigerians in the next 6 months, respondents were asked: In your opinion, which areas do you expect to see the most improvement in the next 6 months? A larger proportion of adult Nigerians (39 percent) surveyed indicated that they expect to see improvement in ‘job creation’ in the country within the next 6 months. This area of the economy has become a priority to Nigerians, considering that Nigeria’s unemployment rate is currently facing an upward incline, where unemployment among the 15-64 age bracket increased to 103.5 million in Q2 – up from 102.8 million in the first quarter according to the NBS.[6] Other areas in which Nigerians expect to see improvement in the next 6 months include ‘security’ (14 percent), ‘power’ (11 percent) and ‘education’ (8 percent) amongst other areas. Further analysis by geo-political zone revealed unison in the stance of Nigerians on job creation as a priority of Nigerians across all geo-political zones although the South-East zone (46 percent) accounts for the largest proportion of Nigerians in this category. Moreover, a considerable proportion of Nigerians in the North-West zone (29 percent) want to see improvement in security. Also, the South-South zone has the highest number of respondents who want to see improvement in power supply within the next 6 months. This is true considering the power poll result released by NOIPolls in August which showed that the region experienced the worst power supply in the country. In addition, more female (48 percent) than male (32 percent) respondents wants to see improvement in job creation in the next 6 months. In conclusion, 6 in 10 Nigerians have described the President’s 100 days in office as ‘good, while 12 percent of Nigerians claimed that the President has performed ‘poorly’ since his inauguration in May 29th 2015. Finally, most Nigerians (54 percent) think the President has performed ‘poorly’ in terms of ‘job creation’ in the country. Hence, the larger proportion of respondents (39 percent) surveyed have indicated that they expect to see improvement in ‘job creation’ in the country within the next 6 months with the largest segment of these aged between 26 – 35 years (43 percent). Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in the week of 7th September 2015. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95 percent confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3 percent. NOIPolls Limited is No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa. We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1] http://www.dailytrust.com.ng/daily/index.php/business/61588-unemployment-rate-rose-to-8-2-in-q2-nbs [2] http://www.tradingeconomics.com/nigeria/unemployment-rate [3] http://www.vanguardngr.com/2015/04/buharis-12-million-jobs-and-other-promises/ [4]http://www.thisdaylive.com/articles/100-days-of-buhari-presidency-to-respond-to-nigerians-on-thisday-live-campaign-platform [5]https://www.naij.com/408298-top-points-of-2015-buharis-campaign-promises-part-2.html [6]http://www.vanguardngr.com/2015/08/corruption-buhari-orders-mdas-to-operate-treasury-single-account/ [7] http://dailytimes.com.ng/rising-unemployment-nigeria/
- President Buhari’s Approval Rating Increases By 8-Points To 77 Percent In August 2015.
Abuja, Nigeria. September 11th, 2015– Latest governance poll results released by NOIPolls for the month of August 2015 have revealed that the President’s approval rating over the past one month experienced a substantial 8-points increase from July 2015 to stand at 77 percent; as indicated by a larger proportion of Nigerians surveyed. This rating represents his highest rating over three months since the commencement of his approval rating by NOIPolls in June 2015, where he started off at 70 percent. The general increase in the approval rating of the President is seen mostly across 5 geo-political zones with the North-West zone (93 percent) accounting for the highest number of Nigerians who approve of the President’s job performance. The overall rating of the President for August 2015 is bolstered by positive reviews such as ‘his campaign against corruption’ (21 percent), ‘improved security’ (18 percent) and ‘fuel availability’ (7 percent) amongst others. On the other hand, majority of Nigerians who disapprove (8 percent) of the job performance of the President were of the opinion that ‘there hasn’t been any feasible change in governance’ (43 percent), and that he is ‘biased in selection of key leaders’ (26 percent) among others reasons. More findings reveals that most Nigerians (60 percent) reported that power supply to their households ‘has improved’ within the past one month and this represents a 2-points decline from July 2015. The North-West, South-East and South-West zones have the largest proportion of respondents who experienced an improved power supply with 66 percent each. On the contrary, 20 percent of the respondents lamented over the epileptic state of power supply to their households, stating power supply ‘remains poor and has gone worse’ over the past one month. Finally, to sustain this rating, clear indications from the poll points to the need for sustenance of the President’s fight against corruption and continuous improvement in the state of security. Also there is need for the President to focus on key areas (such as power and job creation) that affect the overall economy, as suggested by Nigerians in a previous poll conducted by NOIPolls on top economic issues Nigerians want the President to focus on.[1] These are some of the key findings from the Governance Snap Poll conducted in the week of August 30th 2015. These results represent the third approval rating for President Muhammadu Buhari’s job performance and the eight in the 2015 monthly series of governance polls, conducted by NOIPolls to gauge the opinions and perceptions of Nigerians regarding the approval rating of the President, and the current state of power supply in the country. Respondents to the poll were asked two specific questions. The first sought to assess the opinion of Nigerians on the performance of President Muhammadu Buhari over the past 1 month. Respondents were asked: Do you approve or disapprove of the job performance of President Buhari in the past 1 month? Responses to this question revealed that a total of 77 percent of adult Nigerians surveyed approve of the President’s performance, 8 percent disapprove of his performance, while 15 percent of the respondents remained neutral as they neither approve nor disapprove. An analysis of the President’s performance by geo-political zone reveals that the North-West zone (93 percent: 70 percent + 23 percent) and the North-East zone (92 percent: 55 percent + 37 percent) accounts for the largest proportion of respondents who approve of the President’s job performance and this ratings generally impacted on the overall increase of the President’s approval rating. In addition, the South-South zone (23 percent: 10 percent + 13 percent) has the largest ratio of respondents who disapprove of the President’s job performance whereas, the South-East zone (15 percent) accounts for the highest share of respondents who neither approve nor disapprove of the President’s job performance so far. Furthermore, respondents were asked to state the reasons for approving or disapproving the President’s performance. To this effect, ‘Improved power supply’ (29 percent) topped the lists of reasons given by Nigerians for approving the President’s job performance in August 2015. The President’s ‘campaign against corruption’ (21 percent), ‘improving security’ (18 percent) and ‘fuel availability’ (7 percent) were amongst other reasons responsible for the approval of the President’s job performance by Nigerians. On the contrary, respondents who disapprove the job performance were of the opinion that ‘there ‘hasn’t been any feasible changes in governance’ (43 percent), while also citing that the President is ‘biased in selection of key leaders’ (26 percent), while 17 percent stated that it’s ‘too early to evaluate his performance’ among others reasons. Monthly trend analysis on the President’s performance rating within his first 100 days in office (3 months) reveals a significant 8-points increase when compared to July 2015. This current rating represents his highest rating since the commencement of his approval rating in June 2015 where he started off at 70 percent. Similarly, a 3-month trend analysis of the President’s approval rating by geo-political zones reveals that his rating increased across 5 geo-political zones from July 2015 to August 2015, with the largest increase seen in the South-West zone recorded at 16-points. The President’s performance saw a 10-point decline in the North-Central zone. Moreover, the President’s performance rating in the Northern regions ranged between 71 -93 percent, while his rating in the Southern regions ranged between 45-75 percent over the period in view. Finally, to find out the state of power supply to Nigerian households over the past month, respondents were asked: How would you describe power supply in your area in the last 1 month? The result reveals that most Nigerians (60 percent) reported that power supply to their households ‘has improved’ within the past one month. Conversely, 11 percent of the respondents affirmed that power supply has “remained poor’; 9 percent claimed ‘it’s very bad and has gone worse’, whereas 20 percent said ‘there’s no difference at all’ suggesting their power supply neither improved nor worsened over the past one month. Further analysis by geo-political zone indicates that the North-West, South-East and South-West zones account for the largest proportion of respondents who experienced an improved power supply with 66 percent each. The South-South zone (39 percent) has the highest ratio of respondents who stated that there’s no difference at all in the rate of power supply to their households, whereas the North-East zone recorded the highest number of respondents who saw worsened state of power supply in August 2015. In conclusion, almost 8 in 10 Nigerians approve of the President’s performance over the past one month indicating an 8-points increase from July 2015 and the North-West zone contributed to the general increase of his approval. Finally, the survey reveals that 60 percent of Nigerian household claimed they saw improvement in power supply to their households. The North-West, South-East and South-West zones account for the largest proportion of respondents who experienced an improved power supply, the North-East zone recorded the highest number of respondents who saw worsened state of power supply in August 2015.a Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in the week of August 30th 2015. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited is No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa. We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1] http://www.noi-polls.com/root/index.php?pid=309&ptid=1&parentid=13
- 72 Percent Of Nigerians Support Proposed Merger Of MDAs: EFCC and ICPC Highlighted Top Priority
Abuja, Nigeria. August 25th, 2015 – A recent poll result from a polling partnership between BusinessDay Media and NOIPolls Limited has revealed that the President’s proposal to merge some ministries and parastatals has been received with support from most Nigerians. Majority of Nigerians (72 percent) support the proposed merger of Ministries, Departments and Agencies (MDAs) of the federal government, with the merging of EFCC and ICPC highlighted as top priority. Further findings indicates that most Nigerians (65 percent) are well informed of the President’s decision to appoint his ministers in September 2015, which was made public after the publication by the Washington Post in July 2015 of the President’s article titled “Nigeria Committed to Good Governance and Fighting Terror”.[1] This decision stirred varying opinions from Nigerians. On the one hand, most Nigerians (87 percent) consider September 2015 as a good time for the President to appoint his ministers citing ‘he needs time to select the best persons’ (31 percent), ‘for better governance’ (13 percent), amongst other reasons. On the other hand, some Nigerians (13 percent) viewed the President’s decision as a delay, while reporting that the appointment of the ministers is ‘long overdue’ (61 percent), and has resulted in ‘delay in the execution of programmes ’ (14 percent) as well ‘economic stagnation’ (12 percent). Finally, more than half (58 percent) of Nigerians surveyed showed awareness of the proposed merging of some ministries and parastatals by the President; following the recommendation of the transition committee to reduce the number of ministries from its present number 42 to 19, with the aim of reducing the cost of governance as well as making these agencies more effective and responsive to the needs of Nigerians.[2] These are the key findings from the Governance pollconducted in the week of 10th August 2015. Brief Background Since the emergence of General Muhammadu Buhari as Nigeria’s newly elected President, the appointment of his cabinet members has been a subject of debate across the country. With high expectations from Nigerians given the electoral promises made by the present ruling party, there is no doubt that the citizens expect a very big shuffle in the President’s cabinet; due to the perceived questionable decisions of the past administrations. Although several media reports revealed that some citizens have expressed great concern over the delay in the release of ministerial appointments, the President has however stated he would appoint his ministers in September 2015, while clarifying that the delay is very essential for strategic selection in order to make the right appointments.[3] Still in line with governance, the President proposed to reduce the number of ministries from 42 to 19, mainly through merging some ministries and parastatals; especially those that are not backed by law with the view of saving public spending operating such organisations. This proposal has been received with varying opinions as some Nigerians see it as a good step to reduce the cost of governance, while others are of the opinion that it might lead to tremendous loss of jobs, thereby contradicting the aimof employment creation the ruling party sold to the electorates during its campaign.[4] Against this background, NOIPolls Limited on behalf of BusinessDay Media conducted a governance poll to measure the awareness of Nigerians on the planned ministerial appointments by September 2015 and their perception on the proposed merger of some ministries and parastatals in Nigeria. Survey Findings Respondents to the poll were asked six specific questions. Firstly, to gauge the awareness of Nigerians on the proposed appointment of ministers by the President in September 2015, respondents were asked: Are you aware that the President is planning to appoint his ministers in September 2015? The outcome revealed that a larger proportion of Nigerians (65 percent) are well informed of the President’s decision to appoint his ministers in September 2015. The President gave this hint in an article he wrote called “Nigeria Committed to Good Governance and Fighting Terror”, published by the Washington Post, Monday, July 20, 2015,.[5] On the other hand, 35 percent of the respondents showed no awareness of this information. Analysis by geo-political zone revealed that the South-East zone accounted for the largest proportion of respondents who showed awareness of the President’s decision to appoint his ministers in September 2015. In addition, more male (75 percent) than female (54 percent) respondents showed awareness, while respondents aged 61 years and above accounted for the largest proportion of Nigerians who showed awareness of the subject matter. Subsequently, respondents were asked: In your opinion, do you think that September is a good time for him to appoint his ministers? Majority of Nigerians (87 percent) surveyed believe September 2015 is a good time for the President to appoint his ministers. Besides, the President stated that it was important for him to take his time to select the right persons to work with him and this would enable him set rules of conduct for good governance. He also admitted that it would have been irrational and bad governance if he had appointed ministers immediately after he was sworn in.[6] On the contrary, 13 percent of the respondents are of the view that September 2015 is not a good time for him to appoint his ministers. Further analysis by geo-political zone revealed that the North-West zone (90 percent) accounted for the largest proportion of respondents who indicated September 2015 as a good time whereas, the South-South zone (20 percent) accounted for the largest proportion of respondents who do not consider September a good time for ministerial appointment. In order to determine the reasons for the responses in question 2 above, respondents were asked: Why do you think that September 2015 is not/is a good time for him to appoint his ministers?Findings revealed that Nigerians expressed various opinions over the decision of President Mohammadu Buhari to appoint his ministers in September 2015. Whilesome Nigerians who welcomed the decision of the President were mainly of the opinion that ‘he needs time to select the best persons’ (31 percent), and it would aid ‘better governance’ (13 percent), amongst other reasons. Other Nigerians who were not in support of the President’s position (13 percent of the total) reported that the appointment of the ministers is ‘long overdue’ (61 percent), even as they believe it has led to ‘delay in the execution of programmes’ (14 percent) and ‘economic stagnation due to delay’ (12 percent) amongst other negative reasons. Following the acceptance of the recommendation of the transition committee, the President proposed to merge some ministries and parastatals to reduce their current figure from 42 to 19; in order to reduce the cost of governance as well as make these organizations more effective and responsive to the needs of Nigerians. In line with this, the poll sought to gauge the awareness of Nigerians regarding the proposed merging of ministries and parastatals, respondents were asked: Are you aware that the President has proposed the merging of some ministries and parastatals as a measure to reduce the cost of governance? Findings revealed that almost 6 in 10 Nigerians (58 percent) interviewed showed awareness of the proposed merging of some ministries and parastatals, while 42 percent showed no awareness of the proposed merging of some government agencies. Analysis by gender revealed that more male (68 percent) than female (47 percent) respondents are aware of the proposed merging of some agencies. Also, the largest proportion (75 percent) of respondents who are mindful of the proposed merging of some agencies are aged 61 years and above. Respondents were also asked: Are you in support of this proposed merging of some ministries and parastatals? The majority of Nigerians surveyed were mainly positive as 72 percent indicated support for the proposed merging of some ministries and parastatals. This position was mostly maintained by residents of the North-West zone (80 percent). However, 28 percent of Nigerians; mostly from the South-East zone and South-west zone (38 percent each) responded negatively saying they do not support the merging of some government agencies. Finally, respondents who showed support for the merging of ministries and parastatals were further asked: In your opinion, which ministries or parastatals do you think should be merged together? In line with the merging of ministries and parastatals to 19 in order to ensure proper and effective coordination of duties and efficiency in service delivery, a larger proportion of Nigerians surveyed (16 percent) suggests that the ‘Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC)’ should be merged with the ‘Independent Corrupt Practices Commission (ICPC)’. Other suggestions from Nigerians include the merging of ‘Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development’ with the ‘Ministry of Water Resources’ (8 percent), the ‘Police Service Commission’ with ‘Nigeria Security and Civil Defence Corps (NSCDC)’ (7 percent), as well as the ‘Ministry of Aviation’ with the ‘Ministry of Transport’ (7 percent) amongst other suggestions. In conclusion, the poll has revealed that most Nigerians (65 percent) are aware and in support (87 percent) of the President’s decision to appoint his ministers in September 2015; mainly as they believe ‘the President needs time to select the best persons’ (31 percent) to serve in this capacity; which in turn would aid good governance. Although some Nigerians (13 percent) showed no support for the appointment of ministers in September as they believe this exercise is ‘long overdue’ (61 percent), and has caused ‘delay in the execution of programmes’ (14 percent) among other reasons. Similarly, more than half of the Nigerian adult population (58 percent) are aware of the President’s proposition to merge some ministries and parastatals to reduce their current figure from 42 to 19; and a higher proportion of Nigerians in this category (72 percent) confirmed their support for the proposed merging of some ministries and parastatals. In line with this, a larger proportion (16 percent) of them suggesting that the ‘Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) and the Independent Corrupt Practices Commission (ICPC)’ should be merged together. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in the week of 10th August 2015. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,500 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 2.5%. About NOIPolls NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa. We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com About BusinessDay Media BusinessDay, established in 2001, is a daily business newspaper based in Lagos, Nigeria. It is the only Nigerian newspaper with a bureau in Accra, Ghana. BusinessDay Media Ltd is the leading medium for up-to-date news and insightful analysis of business, policy and the economy in Nigeria, a critical decision-making tool for investors and managers. It provides unbiased news and informed analysis on politics, governance, social and economic trends. Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited and authorised for release by BusinessDay Media on the NOIPolls media platform to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. BusinessDay, established in 2001, is a daily business newspaper based in Lagos, Nigeria. It is the only Nigerian newspaper with a bureau in Accra, Ghana. BusinessDay Media Ltd is the leading medium for up-to-date news and insightful analysis of business, policy and the economy in Nigeria, a critical decision-making tool for investors and managers. It provides unbiased news and informed analysis on politics, governance, social and economic trends. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1] http://www.channelstv.com/2015/07/20/buhari-to-appoint-ministers-in-september/ [2] http://nigeriancurrent.com/uncategorized/buhari-to-merge-efcc-icpc-42-ministries-reduced-to-19 [3] http://www.punchng.com/news/buhari-may-not-name-ministers-until-sept/ [4] http://www.arabianjbmr.com/pdfs/KD_VOL_4_5/4.pdf [5] http://www.channelstv.com/2015/07/20/buhari-to-appoint-ministers-in-september/ [6] http://www.ngrguardiannews.com/2015/07/why-i-will-not-appoint-ministers-until-september-buhari/
- President’s Approval Rating Declines by 1-point to 69 Percent After 61 Days in Office.
Abuja, Nigeria. August 13th, 2015– Latest governance poll results released by NOIPolls for the month of July 2015 revealed that 69 percent of adult Nigerians surveyed approved of President Muhammadu Buhari’s performance. This current rating represents a 1 point decline from June’s rating where he started off at 70 percent. An assessment of the President’s performance by geo-political regions revealed that his rating was highest in the North-East region (87 present) and lowest in the South-South region (45 percent). Nigerians who maintained this position were of the opinion that the President is a good man (28 percent) and that there has been improvement in security (19 percent), as well as inpower supply (14 percent). On the contrary, 13 percent of Nigerians expressed their disapproval of the president’s performance over the past 1 month with the majority stating there has not been any change in governance since he assumed office on May 29th (76 percent). Moreover some Nigerians still in this cartegory believe it’s too early to evaluate him (9 percent) and he has delayed in appointing ministers (5 percent) and salary have not been paid to government workers among others. Furthermore, the month of july recorded an improved state of power supply as 6 in 10 Nigerians (62 percent) acknowledged seeing improvement. This represents an 18-point increase in this proportion of Nigeriansfrom June (44 percent). This improvement was generally seen across all geo-political zones, although 19 percent claimed they have seen no improvement in the state of power over the past one month. These were some of the key findings from the Governance Snap Poll conducted in the week of July 27th 2015. The first report for President Muhammadu Buhari’s (first 30 days in office) was released in July 2015. To view this release, please click the link below. http://www.noi-polls.com/root/index.php?pid=337&ptid=1&parentid=12 The results represent the second approval rating for President Muhammadu Buhari’s job performance and the seventh in the 2015 monthly series of governance polls, conducted by NOIPolls to gauge the opinions and perceptions of Nigerians regardingthe approval rating of the President, and the currentstate of power supply in the country. Respondents to the survey were asked two specific questions. The first sought to measure the opinion of Nigerians on the performance of President Muhammadu Buhari. Respondents were asked: Do you approve or disapprove of the job performance of President Muhammadu Buhari in the past 1 month? Results revealed that 69 percent (34 percent + 35 percent) of adult Nigerians surveyed approved of the President’s performance, 13 percent (10 percent + 3 percent) of the respondents disapproved of his performance, while 18 percent remained indifferent as they neither approved nor disapproved of the President’s job performance over the past 1 month. Analysis by geo-political regions revealed that the North-West and North-central regions recorded the highest percentage of respondents who approved of the President’s job performance with 87 percent (63 percent + 24 percent) and 81 percent (26 percent + 55 percent) respectively. Also the South-South region(30 percent: 21 percent + 9 percent)have the largest number of respondents who disapproved of his performance; while the South-East region (36 percent) recorded the highest percentage of respondents who neither approved nor disapproved of the President’s job performance. Respondents were further asked reasons for approving or disapproving the President’s performance, a larger proportion of respondents who approved of his job performance over the past 1 month cited reasons such as, the President is a good man (28 percent).Meanwhile, other respondents mentioned he has improved security (19 percent), and there has been an improved power supply (14 percent) etc. Also, the majority who disapproved were of the opinion that there hasn’t been changes in governance (76 percent); likewise 9 percent stated it’s too early to evaluate his performance and 5 percent stated he has delayed in appointing his ministers, among others reasons. Evaluating the President’s performance rating in 61 days in office (2 months) revealed a 1-point decline from the previous month June where he started off at 70 percent. A closer view of the trend analysis revealed that the approval ratings of the current and past Predents have been characterised by decline in subsequent approval ratings after their first approval rating. Subsequently, with the aim of assessing the state of power supply to Nigerian households within the past one month, respondents were asked: How would you describe power supply in your area in the last 1 month? Findings revealed that the month of July witnessed an improved state of power supply as majority 62 percent (21 percent + 41 percent) attested they experienced an improved powesupply to their hpouseholds within the period in view. This result depicts an 18-point increase in the proportion of Nigerians who experienced an improved power supply from June (44 percent) to July (62 percent). More findings revealed that the majority across all regions reported improvement in power supply with the highest recorded in the South-East (69 percent: 25 percent + 44 percent) and the South-West (69 percent: 18 percent + 51 percent) regions. Although when the current results of improvement obtained in the South-South region (42 percent: 19 percent + 33 percent) is compared with previous results, a 10 points decline in the proportion of Nigerians who saw improvenment from June (52 percent) is revealed. Thus, depicting a slightly worsened state of power supply in this region from June 2015. In conclusion, current survey results have shown that 69 percent (34 percent + 35 percent) of Nigerians approve of the Presidents job performance over the past month. Results shows a 1 point decrease in the President’s approval rating from June (70 percent) to July (69 percent). Further findings revealed that the month of July saw an improved power supply to Nigerian homes as the percentage of Nigerians who experienced improved power supply increased by 18 points from 44 percent in June to 62 percent in July. While 19 percent of the respondents stated power supply has remained poor/gone worse in their locality over the past 1 month. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in the week of July 27th 2015. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa. We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com
- A Year-And-Half After Legislation, Nigerians Still Support Anti-Same Sex Marriage Law
Abuja, Nigeria. June 30th, 2015 – A poll conducted by NOIPolls in partnership with The Initiative for Equal Rights (TIERs) and Bisi Alimi Foundation to measure the perception of Nigerians towards the Lesbian, Gay and Bi-sexual (LGB) community, has revealed that majority of adult Nigerians (87 percent) remain in support of the Same Sex Marriage Prohibition Law signed by Former President Goodluck Jonathan in January 2014. However, this new figure is down 5-points from the 2013 poll result, where majority (92 percent) showed support for the bill. More findings revealed that majority of Nigerians (81 percent) do NOT believe homosexuals should have the same rights as other Nigerians, although a considerable proportion (30 percent) of Nigerians agree that homosexuals should be given equal rights to access public services such as healthcare, housing and education. Furthermore, the results showed that 9 in 10 Nigerians (90 percent) do not believe people are born homosexual, suggesting that being gay is a quality that is acquired through life’s experiences. Similarly, 87 percent of those interviewed stated that they would not be willing to accept a family member that is homosexual; although 11 percent showed willingness to accept a gay family member. This new result is coming on the heels of the recent legalisation of ‘Same-Sex Marriage’ by The U.S. Supreme Court.[1] Brief Background Nigeria passed a Same Sex Marriage Prohibition Act late 2013 and was signed by the Former President Goodluck Jonathan in January 2014.[2] The Same Sex Marriage Prohibition Act makes same-sex unions in Nigeria a criminal offence punishable by a maximum sentence of 14 years imprisonment. The Act also cites punishment for any person who registers, operates or participates in gay clubs, societies and organizations directly or indirectly is liable to a term of 10 years imprisonment. The Act has been challenged in the Federal High Court on its constitutionality, but it was struck out by Justice Kafarati in October 2014, on the grounds that the plaintiff lacked the requisite locus standi to sue on behalf of other Nigerians. In addition, the court argued that the plaintiff did not provide sufficient materials to show he had suffered or was about to suffer from the implementation of the Act.[3] There have also been claims by groups such as Queer Alliance, which stated that between January and December 2014, the Lesbian, Gay and Bi-sexual, (LGB) community recorded 105 cases of human right violations on grounds of sexual orientation and gender identity.[4] Against this background, NOIPolls in partnership with The Initiative for Equal Rights and Bisi Alimi Foundation conducted a poll to measure the perceptions of Nigerians towards the LGB community in Nigeria, and their considered rights. Key Findings Respondents were asked a total of 5 specific questions and the results of 4 are presented in this release. For full report, please click here. The first question of the survey sought to gauge the perception of Nigerians on whether People are born homosexual. Respondents were asked: In your opinion, do you think people are born Homosexual? Results revealed that 9 in 10 (90 percent) adult Nigerians nationwide do NOT believe people are born homosexual, with 5 percent suggesting their belief in people being born homosexual, and another 5 percent revealing they weren’t sure. Interestingly, the younger generation (18-25 year olds) and those aged 61 years and over have the largest proportions of respondents who indicated they were unsure people were born homosexual. Subsequently, respondents were asked: Personally, would you accept a family member if they were homosexual? Nationwide results revealed that majority of Nigerians (87 percent) are unwilling to accept a homosexual family member who’s found to be homosexual; whereas 11 percent are willing to personally accept such a family member. In addition, 2 percent disclosed they were unsure of their willingness to accept a homosexual family member. Further analysis revealed that a larger proportion of adult females (13 percent) are more willing to accept a homosexual family member than adult males (10 percent). Analysis by age, revealed that the proportion of Nigerians unwilling to accept a homosexual family member increased generally with age (except for the 46-60 year category where there’s a slight decline). Furthermore, Nigerians were asked their opinions about the rights of the LGB community and if they should be allowed to assemble freely and gain access to public services (i.e. whether they agreed, disagreed, or were neutral). Findings revealed that majority of Nigerians (81 percent) do NOT believe homosexuals should have the same rights as other Nigerians, however 15 percent believe homosexuals should have equal rights as other Nigerians. Another question on whether homosexuals should have rights to access public services revealed that majority (66 percent) of Nigerians disagree that homosexuals be given rights to access public services such as healthcare, whereas 3 in 10 Nigerians (30 percent) agree that homosexuals be granted these rights to access public services such as healthcare, housing and education. An overwhelming majority (95 percent) of adult Nigerians believe homosexuals should NOT be allowed to get married. Furthermore, a majority (90 percent) also believe homosexuals should NOT be able to meet together as homosexuals, or set-up organizations. Interestingly, the results also show 62 percent of adult Nigerians expressed intolerance towards homosexuals, whereas only 28 percent expressed tolerance towards them, with 10 percent being neutral. A majority of Nigerians (90 percent) agree with the notion that Nigeria would be a better country without homosexuals, only 6 percent disagree, while 4 percent were indifferent. In the same vein, 87 percent of adult Nigerians support the notion of having homosexuals imprisoned for 14 years for having a relationship with the same sex. Only 10 percent of the adult population disagrees, and 3 percent are indifferent. The Same Sex Marriage Prohibition Law prohibits same sex marriage in Nigeria and makes it punishable by 14 years in prison, and also makes homosexuals who assemble together punishable by 10 years in prison. To measure the support of Nigerians for this law, respondents were asked: To what extent do you support or oppose the ‘Anti-Same Sex law’ that bans gay marriage and makes it punishable by 14 years in prison and also makes homosexual assembling punishable by ten years in prison? Respondents were asked to rate their support for the Same Sex Marriage Prohibition Law on a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 = I strongly oppose, and 5 = I strongly support. Findings revealed that the majority (75 percent) of the respondents indicated strong support, while 12 percent indicated support for the law. The findings from this poll were trended from a similar survey conducted in June 2013, and even then the results revealed that support for the Same Sex Marriage Prohibition Legislation was very high (92 percent); Although this figure represents a 5-point decline in the support of Nigerians for the law in 2015 (87 percent), from 2013. In conclusion, Nigerians do not support marital rights for the LGB community, however they are slightly in support of some socio-economic rights, as 3 in 10 Nigerians (30 percent) believe they should be given equal rights to access public services such as healthcare, housing and education. More findings from the poll revealed that majority of adult Nigerians (87 percent) support the Same Sex Marriage Prohibition Law, and this has remained so even before it’s passing in early 2014 (based on a survey NOIPolls conducted in June 2013). In addition, most Nigerians (87 percent) are not willing to accept a family member who is homosexual; moreover, a larger proportion of Nigerians (90 percent) do not think people are born homosexual, suggesting that it is an orientation that is acquired through life’s experience. Finally, majority (81 percent) of Nigerians do not believe homosexuals should have the same rights as other Nigerians. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in May 2015. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95 percent confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3 percent. About NOIPolls NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa. We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com About The Initiative for Equal Rights The Initiative for Equal Rights (TIERs) is a Nigeria-based registered non-profit organization that works to protect and promote the human rights of sexual minorities nationally and regionally. It was founded in 2006 as a response to the discrimination and marginalization of sexual minorities observed in HIV prevention and human rights work. About The Bisi Alimi Foundation The Bisi Alimi Foundation is a non for profit organization to provide unbiased information, education, training and development projects with a focus on sexuality and gender in Nigeria. The aim of the foundation is to build a wealth of knowledge through education, training and community engagement as a means of reducing homophobia in Nigeria. Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1] http://www.nytimes.com/2015/06/27/us/supreme-court-same-sex-marriage.html [2] Nigeria passes law banning homosexuality http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/africaandindianocean/nigeria/10570304/Nigeria-passes-law-banning-homosexuality.html [3] Soniyi, T. 2014. “Court throws out suit challenging legality of same sex Prohition Act” ThisDay http://www.thisdaylive.com/articles/court-throws-out-suit-challenging-legality-of-same-sex-prohibition-act/192003/ [4] Abimboye, M. 2015. “Nigeria recorded 105 cases of right abuses against gays in 2014 – Group” Premium Times http://www.premiumtimesng.com/news/more-news/183295-nigeria-recorded-105-cases-of-rights-abuses-against-gays-in-2014-group.html
- Poverty & Get-Rich-Quick Syndrome Blamed For Rising Cases of Baby Factories & Child Traffi
Abuja, Nigeria. June 23rd, 2015 – A recent poll conducted by NOIPolls Limited has revealed that about 6 in 10 Nigerians (63 percent) believe that ‘Poverty’ is the major factor responsible for the rising cases of baby factories and child trafficking in Nigeria. This is followed by the quest for quick money also identified as ‘Get-rich-quick syndrome’ (23 percent); ‘Unemployment’ (10 percent); ‘Stigma against teenage pregnancy’ and ‘Stigma against pregnancy out of wedlock’ (6 percent each) among other factors cited by Nigerians. Furthermore 78 percent of Nigerians stated that they are aware of the recent cases of baby factories in Nigeria; with the South-East geopolitical region having the highest level of awareness compared to other regions. These findings corroborate previous findings from studies conducted by the United Nations International Children’s Emergency Fund (UNICEF), which identified Nigeria as one of the major hubs for trafficking in children and women.[1] More findings revealed that a larger proportion (94 percent) of respondents who were aware of child-trafficking cases, had no idea of the existence of baby factories within their locality. However, 6 percent of the respondents most especially from the South-East zone (16 percent) claimed that they were aware of a baby factory located somewhere in their locality. Consequently, almost all the respondents indicated willingness to report cases of baby factories to the appropriate authorities (96 percent), and to support new laws & legislation to eradicate baby factories & child trafficking in Nigeria (99 percent). Brief Background A Baby factory or baby farm, is a location where young girls and women are either coerced or tricked to get pregnant, have babies and give up their babies, which are later sold for adoption or sacrificed in black magic or witchcraft to prospective buyers.[2] It also relates to situations where teenagers or young adults with unwanted pregnancies are lured with the offer to help them with an abortion, or in the bid to shield societal stigma and fear of their parents, look for any safe haven to get rid of such pregnancies and return to their normal life without suspicion. Hence, they end up in baby factories where they are advised to sell off their newborn babies.[3] Anecdotal evidence points to moral debasement and the rise in the early exposure of young girls to sex as the major reason behind this menace. There is also the greed of some adult Nigerians to get rich quick, hence, they set up their heinous trades disguised as Orphanages, Non-Governmental Organizations, Clinics, etc. but with the cruel intention of contracting poor young girls to get pregnant, deliver the babies.[4] There has been intervention of the government agency, National Agency for the Prohibition of Trafficking in Persons, NAPTIP, with the help of the Nigeria Security and Civil Defence Corps, NSCDC and the Nigerian Police Force to curb this issue mostly through raids on some of the locations, freedom to victims and the arrest of culprits. Recently, the Enugu State Police Command raided a baby factory and arrested nine pregnant girls in the process. Against this background, NOIPolls Limited conducted a poll to measure the level of awareness and perception of Nigerians regarding the issue of baby factories & child trafficking in Nigeria, as well as their support for legistlation to address the menace. Survey Findings Respondents were asked five specific questions. Firstly, to ascertain the level of awareness of baby factories in Nigeria, respondents were asked: Are you aware of the recent cases of baby factory as a new trend of child trafficking in Nigeria? Findings revealed that majority (78 percent) of respondent showed awareness of the recent cases of baby factory in Nigeria, while 22 percent showed no awareness. Further analysis by geo-political zones revealed that the South-East zone (85 percent) accounted for the highest proportion of Nigerians who are aware of cases of baby factory in Nigeria. Respondents who showed awareness (78 percent of the total), were further asked: Are you aware of any baby factory in your locality? The results revealed that a larger proportion of the respondents (94 percent) had no idea of an existing baby factory within their locality, while 6 percent claimed they are aware of a baby factory in their locality. This result is true, given the fact that most people who engage in this illicit trade either do so discretely and in the guise of operating a charity home or clinics and are not portrayed as a facility to harbor pregnant women who are either coerced or tricked to give up their newborns, after delivery, for a reward that might be meager Analysis based on age group revealed that the largest proportion of respondents who showed awareness of an existing baby factory was within the age range of 61+. This was followed by respondents aged between 18 – 25 years. This level of awareness seen in this age group may be driven by the fact that women with unwanted pregnancies are most likely to be within this age-group. Again, further analysis based on geo-political zones shows that the South-East region (16 percent) accounted for the largest proportion of respondents who are aware of baby factories in their locality. Subsequently, respondents showed awareness of cases of baby factory (78 percent of the total) were asked: Would you be willing to report any case(s) of baby factory in Nigeria? The outcome revealed that almost all the respondents (96 percent) would be willing to report to the appropriate authorities. This suggests that majority of Nigerians are not in support of this illegal trade. Furthermore, respondents were asked: In your opinion, what is responsible for the increase of baby factories incidents of child trafficking in Nigeria? Findings revealed that 63 percent of Nigerians indicated poverty as the major reason for the increasing occurrence of baby factories. This is followed by 23 percent who indicated ‘Get rich quick syndrome’ and 10 percent who indicated ‘Unemployment’ Also some otherrespondents believe that ‘stigma against teenage pregnancy’ (6 percent) and ‘stigma against pregnancy out of wedlock’ (6 percent) are to blame for the increase of baby factories/incidents of child trafficking in Nigeria among other cited reasons. Finally, respondents were asked: would you support legislation and laws to eradicate baby factory? Responses to this question revealed that Nigerians (99 percent) would fully support legislation and laws to eradicate baby factory. In conclusion, the poll revealed that the majority (78 percent) of Nigerians are aware of the rising occurrences of baby factories and child trafficking in Nigeria. More findings revealed that a larger proportion of the respondents (94 percent) were not aware of an existing baby factory within their locality, while 6 percent claimed they were aware of a baby factory in their locality. The South-East region (16 percent) accounted for the largest proportion of respondents who showed awareness of baby factories in their locality. In addition, 63 percent of Nigerians indicated ‘Poverty’ as the major reason for the increasing occurrence of baby factories. This is followed by ‘Get rich quick syndrome’ (23 percent) and ‘Unemployment’ (10 percent). Finally Nigerians (99 percent) would fully support legislation and laws to eradicate baby factory and almost all the respondent (96 percent) indicated that they would be willing to report these cases to the relevant authorities. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in April 2015. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa. We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1] http://www.unicef.org/nigeria/children_1939.html [2] Nigerian Business Forum Blog site, 26/07/2013 South – East of Baby Selling Factories. http://www.nigerianbestforum.com/blog/south-east-of-baby-selling-factories/ sourced, 19-03-15 [3] Vanguard Newspaper, on September 2nd, 2012, Baby Factories; how pregnancies, deliveries are framed. http://www.nigerianbestforum.com/blog/south-east-of-baby-selling-factories/ sourced, 19-03-15 [4] Online Nigerian News, 22/08/2012 08:56:00, Baby factory discovered in Asaba, Delta State, http://news2.onlinenigeria.com/news/top-stories/190393-baby-factory-discovered-in-asaba- delta-state.html#ixzz2oN3Lq4EP, sourced, 19 -03-15.
- Automated-Teller-Machine (ATM), Most Visible Proceed Of The Banking Sector Reforms To Nigerians; (BV
Abuja, Nigeria. June 9th, 2015 – A poll commissioned by BusinessDay Media and conducted by NOIPolls Limited in April 2015 revealed that majority of Nigerians (91 percent) see the introduction of the ATM as a major (most significant) reform in the banking sector over the last decade and this is the same across all the geo-political zones and age groups. The introduction of the NUBAN number (44 percent); internet banking (42 percent), Point of Sale-POS (32 percent) and Mobile Money Services (23 percent), were also mentioned as key banking sector reformation changes. The least mentioned was the bank verification number (BVN) (2 percent), which was introduced in February 2014, by the Central bank of Nigeria (CBN) as part of its cashless policy to capture customers’ data, give every customer in the Nigerian banking system a unique identification number that can be verified across all banks in Nigeria and check fraud in the banking system.[1] This finding therefore suggests the need for more rapid awareness creation on the BVN to Nigerians given the close deadline for registration in June 30 2015. More findings from the poll revealed that ATM services are the most used form of electronic banking services as indicated by majority of the respondents (68 percent). This is followed by 10 percent of the respondents who indicated they use Mobile Money and this is mostly true for Bank customers in the South-West (19 percent) and South-South (17 percent) zones. Respondents also indicated Point of Sale-(OS) (6 percent), Internet banking (6 percent), and Credit Card (2 percent) as other electronic banking services used by customers. Nevertheless, a considerable proportion of bank customers (18 percent) do not use any of these services mentioned. Nigerians in this category most likely to be senior citizens aged 60 years and above. Finally, in an evaluation of critical attributes of ATM and POS as electronic banking services, respondents rated ‘Ease of Use’ and ‘Security’ of ATMs as good with a rating of 4.4 and 4.0 respectively; while rating ‘Proximity’ (3.8), ‘Reliability’ (3.8), ‘Availability’ (3.7) and ‘Resolution Time’(3.5) of ATM above average. Similarly, the Ease of Use/Operation of POS received a good rating, while other attributes such as; Security (3.9), Reliability (3.8), Resolution Time (3.5), Proximity (3.8) and Availability (3.7) rated above average. It is significant to note that, Ease of Operation was rated high for both the ATM and the POS while resolution time was rated lowest. Brief Background The Federal government of Nigeria introduced the Banking Sector Reform in the year 2004 with the aim of having a more efficient and reliable banking sector to enable better security of customer’s monies and strengthen growth potential in banks business operations. The cashless policy which was introduced in 2012 as part of the reforms to reduce the high risks attached to currency management in Nigeria and also to intensify the national payments system, as in the past high lending rates and service charges were inherited by customers due to heavy operational costs in the banking sector. These operational costs were high as a result of huge cash transactions of goods and services on a daily basis. Frequent printing of currency notes, cash movement, cash management, currency sorting were all attributes of the high operational costs, therefore, the CBN and the Bankers’ committee met to encourage a platform where cheques and electronic payment could be used for a higher and increasing proportion of transactions in accordance with global standards.[2] In order to foster the Cash-Lite policy of the CBN, there was a massive deployment of Automated Teller Machines (ATMs) and Point of Sale (POS) terminals which allowed customers pay for goods and services using their ATM cards. Other alternative distribution channels were also launched like the Mobile Telephony, Internet Banking, etc. Data from the recent Financial Strength Rating revealed that ATMs were the most frequently used, followed by mobile payments, POS terminals and Internet Banking, among the various e-banking channels.[3] Against this background, NOIPolls Limited conducted a poll for BusinessDay to measure the opinion of Nigerians regarding the reforms they have witnessed in the banking sector, as well as measure their evaluation of the electronic banking services with a focus on ATM and Point of Sale (POS) services. Key Findings In order to measure the level of awareness of Nigerians on the banking sector reforms / changes, respondents were asked: Compared to 10 years ago, what major reform/change(s) have you witnessed in the banking sector? Results revealed that most Nigerians (91 percent) see the introduction of ATM in banking services as the most significant innovation under the banking sector reforms in the last 10 years, and this opinion cuts across gender, geo-political zones and age-groups. This is followed by the introduction of the NUBAN number as mentioned by 44 percent of respondents; which was mostly indicated by the 60+ age-group. This is not surprising as the introduction of the shorter unique NUBAN number would have come as a great relief to this age group over memorizing lengthy account numbers as practiced before the banking sector reforms. Internet banking (42 percent), POS (32 percent) and Mobile Money (23 percent) were other changes in the banking sector reform mentioned by respondents. The South-West zone accounted for the largest proportion of respondents who attested to witnessing these as major reforms in the banking sector. On the other hand the North-West zone accounted for the least proportion of respondents who indicated the introduction of NUBAN number (25 percent) and Internet banking (23 percent), while the North-East zone accounted for the largest proportion who witnessed POS (13 percent) and Mobile Money services (9 percent). Improved Customer Service is the least change that was mentioned by respondents with only 2 percent attesting to this. This suggests that adequate customer satisfaction is still lacking across various operating banks in the country. To gauge the use of electronic banking services by bank customers, respondents were asked: Which of these electronic banking services do you currently use? Findings revealed that majority of the bank customers (68 percent) use ATM services, and this cuts across gender, age-group and geo-political zones; although, the South-South zone (74 percent) accounted for the highest proportion for respondents who use ATM services. In addition, 10 percent of the respondents indicated they use Mobile Money and this is mostly true for bank customers in the South-West (19 percent) and South-South (17 percent) zones. Other electronic banking services used by customers include; Point of Sale (POS) (6 percent), Internet Banking (6 percent), and Credit Card (2 percent). Moreover, a considerable proportion of bank customers (18 percent) do not use any of these services, customers in this category are most likely to be senior citizens aged 60 years and above, as well as bank customers within the age-group of 46-60 years. To gauge the frequency of use of ATM services by bank customers, respondents who use ATM services (68 percent of the total) were asked: How often do you use ATM services? Overall, most bank customers who use ATM services indicated they use the service ‘more than once a week’ (38 percent), this is followed by 19 percent who indicated ‘once a week’ and 16 percent who indicated ‘once a month’. Further analysis based on gender revealed that bank customers who use ATM services ‘more than once a week’ are mostly males (46 percent) than females (27 percent). Analysis by geo-political zones revealed that the majority across almost all geo-political zones use ATM services ‘more than once a week’ with the highest proportion seen in the North-West and South-West zones, with 45 percent each. In addition the larger proportion of Bank customers in the North-East zone (31 percent) mostly use ATM services ‘once a month’ while a considerable proportion of bank customers in the North-Central zone (21 percent) admitted they rarely use ATM services. Subsequently respondents who use POS services (6 percent of the total) were asked: How often do you use POS services? Findings revealed that the larger proportion (26 percent) of customers who use POS indicated they ‘rarely use’ it; this is mostly true for bank customers in the North-West zone (53 percent) and South-East (39 percent). Although 19 percent of the respondents especially from the South-West zone (30 percent) reported they use POS services ‘more than once a week’, in addition, 15 percent of the respondents indicated they use POS services once a week and the North-East zone (45 percent accounted for the highest proportion of respondents in this category. With the aim of gauging the perception of Bank customers on critical attributes relating to the use of ATM services, respondents were asked: On a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 is very poor and 5 is very good, how would you rate the following attributes relating to ATM Services; a. Ease to use, b. Security, c. Reliability, d) Proximity, e) Availability, and f) Resolution Time? Overall, respondents rated the ease of use and security of ATMs as good with a rating of 4.4 and 4.0 respectively; while rating Proximity (3.8), Reliability (3.8), Availability (3.7) and Resolution Time, above average. The ease of use of ATM services received the highest rating while resolution time, which is the time taken for banks to resolve issues relating to ATM services, received the lowest rating amongst all other attributes. Analysis based on geo-political zones revealed that the ease of use of ATM services received a good rating across all geo-political zones, although the highest ratings on this attribute were from the South-South and South-West zones with 4.5 each. Similarly, Security on ATM services received a good rating across almost all the geo-political zones except for the North-West zone (3.9) where a rating above average was obtained for this attribute. Finally, respondents were asked to rate the same attributes for POS as rated for ATM services in the previous chart and findings revealed that the Ease of Use/Operation of POS received a good rating, while all other attributes including; Security (3.9), Reliability (3.8), Resolution Time (3.5), Proximity (3.8) and Availability (3.7) above average. The North-East zone gave the highest rating on the Ease of Use/Operation (4.8), Security (4.4) and Reliability (4.5) of POS compared with other regions. This therefore supports findings from the previous question asked about the rating the most frequently used electronic banking service by the North East zone when compared with other regions such the North-East and South-West regions. In conclusion, the poll revealed that a large proportion of the adult Nigerians surveyed believe that the introduction of the ATM is a major reform seen in the banking sector. While Improved Customer Service and the Bank Verification Number, BVN, was seen as the lowest of all the reforms. Suggestion: Analysis of results revealed that the age group of 60 and above registered the highest percentage of respondents that indicated the introduction of NUBAN numbers as a major initiative of the banking sector reform. Majority of Nigerians use the ATM as a means of banking transactions, with further results revealing that more men than women uses this electronic banking service than any other alternative means of transaction. Finally, bank customers rated the ease of use of ATM and POS as good, while the resolution time for both services received the lowest rating, although with an average rating. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in April 2015. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,500 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 2.5%. About NOIPolls NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa. We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com About BusinessDay Media BusinessDay, established in 2001, is a daily business newspaper based in Lagos, Nigeria. It is the only Nigerian newspaper with a bureau in Accra, Ghana. BusinessDay Media Ltd is the leading medium for up-to-date news and insightful analysis of business, policy and the economy in Nigeria, a critical decision-making tool for investors and managers. It provides unbiased news and informed analysis on politics, governance, social and economic trends. Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited and authorized for release by BusinessDay Media on the NOIPolls media platform to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1] http://www.premiumtimesng.com/business/169879-cbn-sets-new-deadline-for-bank-customers-verification.html [2] http://www.cenbank.org/cashless/ [3] http://www.cenbank.org/OUT/PUBLICATIONS/BSD/2003/E-BANKING.PDF
- Nigerians Declare Power, Security And Education As Focal Areas For The New Government
Abuja, Nigeria. June 2nd, 2015 – A special edition poll conducted by NOIPolls Limited in partnership with BusinessDay Media, has revealed that Nigerians would like the new government to mainly focus on ‘Power’ (55 percent), ‘Security’ (41 percent) and ‘Education’ (34 percent) among other sectors; in order to generate tangible change, growth and development, which will have a positive effect on the overall well-being of Nigerians in the next four years. More findings from the poll revealed that 8 in 10 Nigerians (81 percent) were of the opinion that the 2015 Democracy Day was worth celebrating; while citing ‘we have a change in government’ (39 percent), ‘there has been a positive change’ (11 percent) and ‘a sincere President has been elected’ (11 percent) as the main reasons for the relevance of the 2015 Democracy Day celebration. These perceptions therefore suggest that the 2015 electoral process as well as the transition in government shaped the perception of Nigerians towards the 2015 Democracy day; thus creating a positive outlook on the essence of democracy in Nigeria. However, 19 percent of the respondents were of the opinion that the 2015 Democracy Day was not worth celebrating; mainly because they believe it’s a waste of time due to the level of hardship in the country. Furthermore, ‘Corruption’ (32 percent), ‘Bad Governance’ (22 percent) and ‘Insecurity’ (11 percent) are top three factors that have hindered the progress of Democracy in Nigeria as identified by Nigerians. Although, insecurity was of more concern to residents of the North-East (23 percent) and North-West zone (16 percent), than to the residents of other zones. Finally, an evaluation of the performance of the outgone government revealed that almost half (48 percent) of Nigerians rated the performance of the outgone administration as poor. Although, Nigerians believe that the outgone government mainly performed well in the Agricultural (19 percent), Educational (18 percent) and Aviation (10 percent) sectors, while, 18 percent of Nigerians are of the opinion that the past government did not perform well in any sector. These were some of the key findings from the Democracy Day Special Edition poll conducted in the week of May 25th 2015. Brief Background Democracy is the establishment of responsive political institutions which promotes an accountable government, prevent corruption, respect human rights and civil rights, and ensure sovereignty. With many years of military coups and fruitless efforts to practice civilian rule, Nigeria finally made a transition in 1999. Nigerians viewed those years as trying periods of a process of democratization that would pave the way for political infrastructure in the country. Democracy may have provided Nigerians the unique opportunity to walk freely, associate freely, express freely, but a situation where majority of her citizens are still living in abject poverty without access to basic necessities of life suggest that democratic rule in Nigeria still has some major hurdles to overcome. Sixteen years of civil rule after a lengthened military dictatorship has been characterized by challenges such as terrorism, abuse of public office, corruption, political sabotage, ethnic rivalry, insecurity, poverty, illiteracy, among other shortcomings which are dangers to democracy.[1] The Nigerian government under the administration of President Goodluck Jonathan further emphasized its commitment to democracy, thus achieving a far-reaching landmark in electoral reforms and to a large extent, overcame the electoral process failure that had flawed past elections in the country.[2] Nigerians and the international community have commended democracy in Nigeria, especially as a result of the successful conduct of the March 28 and April 11, 2015 general elections, despites various administrative setbacks.[3] In May 29, 2015, the country celebrated her 17th anniversary of democratic rule which also capped the transition in the Nigerian government as the past Government handed over to the current Government. In light of socio-economic development which has witnessed a number of issues that has directly impacted the quality of life of Nigerian citizens, the Nigerian populace as well as international communities maintain a positive outlook while having great expectations on what the new Government will yield. Against this background, NOIPolls in partnership with BusinessDay media conducted a Democracy Day Poll, to gauge the perceptions of Nigerians on the value of the democracy day celebration, the performance of the outgone government, as well as their expectation for the new government. Key Findings To gauge the perceptions of Nigerians on the relevance of the democracy day celebration, respondents were asked: In your own words do you think this 2015 Democracy day is worth celebrating in Nigeria? Findings revealed that 8 in 10 Nigerians (81 percent) were affirmative of the value or significance of the Democracy Day celebration. This finding spanned across gender, geo-political zones and age-groups; while 19 percent of the respondents were of the opinion that the 2015 Democracy Day was not worth celebrating. Regardless of the opinion of Nigerians on the celebration of the Democracy Day respondents were asked: Why do you think the democracy day is worth/not worth celebrating? On the one hand, most Nigerians who think the democracy day is worth celebrating mainly cited ‘we have a change in government’ (39 percent), ‘there has been a positive change’ (11 percent) and ‘a sincere President has been elected’ (11 percent) as main reasons why the 2015 democracy day was worth celebrating. These perceptions therefore suggest that the 2015 electoral process as well as the transition in government shaped the perception of Nigerians towards the Democracy Day celebration; thus creating a positive outlook on the essence of democracy in Nigeria. On the other hand, respondents who maintained a negative stance on the worth of the democracy day celebration were mainly of the opinion that “it’s a waste of time due to the level of hardship in the country,” (30 percent) while also stating “the economy is in a bad situation”(20 percent) alongside the recent ‘fuel crisis’ (16 percent) which has plagued the nation for over three months. Subsequently, respondents were asked: In your opinion what is the most pressing challenge facing democracy in Nigeria? Findings revealed that ‘Corruption’ (32 percent), ‘Bad Governance’ (22 percent) and ‘Insecurity’ (11 percent) were top three factors that have hindered the progress of democracy in Nigeria as identified by Nigerians. Other factors which emerged from this question include ‘unemployment’ (6 percent), ‘fuel scarcity’ (5 percent), ‘power/electricity shortage/poor supply’ (4 percent) and ‘greed’ (4 percent) among others. Further analysis revealed that ‘insecurity’ was of more concern to respondents in the North-East (23 percent) and the North-West zone (16) than other zones. Respondents were also required to rate the performance of the outgone administration: to achieve this they were asked: On a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 is very poor and 5 is very good, how would you rate the performance of the outgoing administration? Nearly half (48 percent) of the respondents rated the performance of the outgone administration as poor. In addition, 28 percent gave an average rating, while 24 percent rated the performance of the outgone administration as good. Moreover, the average rating of the outgone administration was recorded at 2.6, where the closer the average score is to 5, the better the rating. Further analysis by geo-political zones revealed that the outgone administration received the worst rating from the North-West and South-West zones with an overall average rating of 2.2 and 2.4 respectively, therefore depicting a performance below average. Furthermore, respondents were asked: In which sector do you think the outgoing government has mainly performed well? Findings revealed that Nigerians believe the outgone government mainly performed well in the Agricultural (19 percent), Educational (18 percent) and Aviation (10 percent) sectors Such findings are not surprising given the recorded successes in these sectors. Moreover 18 percent of Nigerians are of the opinion that the past government did not perform well in any sector, while Power (5 percent), Oil and gas (4 percent) Economy (3 percent) and Security (3 percent) were least mentioned, indicating the perception of low performance in these sectors. Finally, respondents were asked: What three (3) key sectors would you like the incoming government to focus its effort on in the next four years? Overall, the top three areas Nigerians would like the new government to focus on include ‘Power’ (55 percent). This demand is geared by challenges the sector has faced over the years and significant impact it has had on the daily lives of Nigerians and businesses operating in Nigeria. Although steps had been taken by the outgone administration to reform this sector, little to no impact in results has been seen in this sector, with the perception from Nigerians that the state of power supply has worsened in recent times. This is followed by ‘Security’ (41 percent) and ‘Education’ (34 percent). Other areas mentioned include ‘Oil and Gas’ (28 percent) ‘Employment’ (25 percent) and ‘Agriculture’ (23 percent) among other focal areas. In conclusion, the poll revealed that 8 in 10 Nigerians (81 percent) were affirmative of the relevance of the Democracy Day celebration. Nigerians in this category mainly cited ‘we have a change in government’ (39 percent), ‘there has been a positive change’ (11 percent) and ‘a sincere President has been elected’ (11 percent) as main reasons why the 2015 democracy day was worth celebrating. On the other hand, respondents who maintained a negative stance on the worth of the democracy day celebration were mainly of the opinion that “it’s a waste of time due to the level of hardship in the country”. Further findings revealed that ‘Corruption’ (32 percent), ‘Bad Governance’ (22 percent) and ‘Insecurity’ (11 percent) were top three factors that that have hindered the progress of democracy in Nigeria as identified by respondents. Furthermore, 48 percent of respondents rated the performance of the outgone administration as poor, 28 percent gave an average rating of the outgone administration while 24 percent rated the performance of the outgone administration as good. In addition, Nigerians believe the outgone government mainly performed well in the Agricultural (19 percent), Educational (18 percent) and Aviation (10 percent) sectors. Finally, to aid development in Nigeria and improve the well-being of citizens, Nigerians would like the new government to focus on ‘Power’ (55 percent), Security (41 percent) and Education (34 percent) among other sectors in the next four years. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in the week of May 25th 2015. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. About NOIPolls NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa, works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA). We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com About BusinessDay Media BusinessDay, established in 2001, is a daily business newspaper based in Lagos, Nigeria. It is the only Nigerian newspaper with a bureau in Accra, Ghana. BusinessDay Media Ltd is the leading medium for up-to-date news and insightful analysis of business, policy and the economy in Nigeria, a critical decision-making tool for investors and managers. It provides unbiased news and informed analysis on politics, governance, social and economic trends. Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited and authorized for release by BusinessDay Media on the NOIPolls media platform to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1] http://www.thetidenewsonline.com/2014/05/29/democracy-at-15-the-journey-so-far/ [2] http://www.nigeriansinamerica.com/nigerias-democracy-its-electoral-process-and-the-journey-so-far/ [3] http://nationalmirroronline.net/new/on-nigerias-democracy-so-far/
- Oil Subsidy Scam: How I arrived at $32bn figure – Saraki
Excerpts of news mention on Vanguard Newspaper: .Read more below: http://www.vanguardngr.com/2015/05/oil-subsidy-scam-how-i-arrived-at-32bn-figure-saraki/
- April 2015 Records Lowest Approval Ratings for the President’s From January 2015
Abuja, Nigeria. May 7th, 2015– Latest governance poll results released by NOIPolls for the month of April 2015 have revealed that 49 percent of the respondents surveyed approved of the President’s performance within the past one month. It is worthy to note that this rating is the lowest rating in 2015; the same as April 2014 and also represents a further 3-points decline; thus revealing a continuous drop in his performance rating since February 2015. The general decline in the approval rating of the President is seen across 5 geo-political zones, with the North-West zone accounting for the greatest decline (16-points). This substantial decline in the President’s approval rating specifically in the North-West zone could be linked with the pattern in which electorates from that region voted in the just concluded Presidential election in which the President was defeated. More findings revealed that Nigerians perceive the performance of the President in Health, Education, Agriculture & Food Security, Transportation and Foreign Policy & diplomacy as average (3) in the month of April 2015. On the contrary, his performance in Job Creation, Power, Economy and Security was given a rating of 1 representing a poor performance. Furthermore, about 6 in 10 Nigerians (58 percent) of adult Nigerians reported that power supply to their households ‘worsened’ within the last one month. Conversely, only 20 percent of the respondents experienced improvement in power supply to their household, representing the worst ever power rating since NOIPolls commenced it power rating in January 2013. Finally, the worsened state of power supply across the nation may have impacted negative perceptions on the performance of the President, hence the decline in his approval rating in April 2015. These are some of the key findings from the Governance Snap Poll conducted in the week of April 27th 2015. These results represent the fourth in the 2015 monthly series of governance polls conducted by NOIPolls to gauge the opinions and perceptions of Nigerians regardingthe approval rating of the President, the performance of the President on key elements of his transformation agenda, and thestate of power supply in the country. Respondents to the poll were asked three specific questions. The first sought to assess the opinion of Nigerians on the performance of President Goodluck Jonathan over the past 1 month. Respondents were asked: Do you approve or disapprove of the job performance of President Jonathan in the past 1 month? Responses to this question revealed that a total of 49 percent of the respondents surveyed approved of the President’s performance, 30 percent disapproved of his performance, while 21 percent of the respondents remained neutral as they neither approved nor disapproved. This percentage represents the highest shift to neutrality by Nigerians in 2015. An analysis of the President’s performance by geo-political zone revealed that the South-East zone (79 percent: 27 percent +52 percent) accounted for the largest proportion of respondents who approved of the President’s job performance. The North-West zone (48 percent: 32 percent +16 percent) accounted for the largest proportion of respondents who disapproved of the President’s job performance, while the North-East zone accounted for the largest proportion of respondents who were neutral with 33 percent. A three-month trend analysis (February to April 2015) of the President’s job approval rating by geo-political zone features a general decline in the approval rating of the President across 5 geo-political zones thus a general decline in his approval rating in April 2015. In addition, the North-West zone recorded the highest decline (16-points), whereas the North-East zone accounted for the highest increase (10-points) when compared to March 2015 approval rating. This substantial decline in the President’s approval rating specifically in the North-West zone could be linked with the pattern in which electorates from that region voted in the just concluded Presidential election in which the President was defeated. This decline may also have been as a result of the obvious worsened state of power supply experienced all over the nation over the past one month as illustrated in the last chart of this report. Further monthly trend analysis of the President’s approval rating shows a slight 3-points decline when compared to the March 2015. The President rating has shown a constant decrease since February 2015 and it is also observed that the rating from this current poll is the same as April 2014. To gauge the performance of the President on pertinent elements of his transformation agenda, respondents were asked: On a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 is very poor and 5 is excellent, how would you rate the performance of the President Jonathan in the following areas? (1) Job Creation (2) Power (3) Economy (4) Health (5) Education (6) Agriculture & Food Security (7) Transportation (8) Foreign policy & Diplomacy and (9) Security. The outcome indicates that Nigerians perceive the performance of the President in Health, Education, Agriculture & Food Security, Transportation and Foreign Policy & diplomacy as average (3) in the month of April 2015. On the contrary, his performance in Job Creation, Power, Economy and Security was given a rating of 1 which represents a poor performance. Trend assessment shows that the President’s performance rating on Education, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy has maintained an average ranking (3) since January 2015 while other aspects of his transformation agenda has been fluctuating (both below and above average). However, the President’s performance rating on Job creation, Power and Security has remained very poor (1) since January 2014. Finally, to find out the state of power supply to Nigerian households over the past month, respondents were asked: How would you describe power supply in your area in the last 1 month? The result reveals that 24 percent of the respondents affirmed that power supply has “remained bad’ while 34 percent claimed ‘it’s very bad and has gone worse’. Conversely, 24 percent of the respondents affirmed that power supply has “remained bad’ while 34 percent claimed ‘it’s very bad and has gone worse’. In addition, 3 percent of adult Nigerians reported that power supply to their households ‘has improved very much’, while 17 percent admitted that ‘it has improved a little’ within the past one month.22 percent said ‘there’s no difference at all’ suggesting their power supply neither improved nor worsened over the past one month. Analysis by geo-political zone indicates that the South-East zone accounted for the largest proportion of respondents who experienced an improved power supply with 27 percent, while the South-West zone accounted for the largest proportion of Nigerians who claimed that power supply remained bad with the last one month. Monthly trend evaluation reveals a further decline of 5-points in the proportion of Nigerians who experienced an improvement in power supply to their households in April 2015. This result which represents the lowest power rating over 28 months since NOIPolls commenced its power rating also represents a significant 9-points decline when compared to April 2014. In conclusion, about 5 in 10 Nigerians surveyed approved of the President’s performance, 30 percent disapproved of his performance, while 21 percent of the respondents remained neutral as they neither approved nor disapproved of his performance. Furthermore, Nigerians perceive the performance of the President in Health, Education, Agriculture & Food Security, Transportation and Foreign Policy & diplomacy as average (3) in the month of April 2015. On the contrary, his performance in Job Creation, Power, Economy and Security was given a rating of 1 representing a poor performance. Finally, result has revealed that 3 percent of adult Nigerians reported that power supply to their households ‘has improved very much’, while 17 percent admitted that ‘it has improved a little’ within the past one month. Conversely, 24 percent of the respondents affirmed that power supply has “remained bad’ while 34 percent claimed ‘it’s very bad and has gone worse’, whereas 22 percent said ‘there’s no difference at all’; suggesting that power supply worsened over the past one month. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in the week of April 27th 2015. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com
- Nigerians identify Sickness, Poverty and Motor Accidents as Leading Causes of Death
Abuja, Nigeria. March 24th, 2015 – Latest snap poll results released by NOIPolls Limited has revealed that ‘Sickness’ (26 percent), ‘Poverty’ (24 percent), and ‘Motor accidents’ (16 percent), are considered the three leading causes of death in Nigeria amongst other causes. In line with this finding, most respondents (65 percent) were of the opinion that Nigerians do not live up to old age in recent times; with perceptions divided between ‘50 years or less’ and ‘70 years’ (26 percent each) as the current life expectancy in Nigeria. Although the World Health Statistics 2014 report published by the World Health Organisation (WHO) revealed that the life expectancy in Nigeria rose from 46 years in 1990 to 54 years in 2012.[1] Furthermore, 68 percent of the respondents interviewed disclosed that they personally know individuals who have passed away in the last three months with majority of these respondents within the North-West (77 percent) and North-East (76 percent) zones. This isn’t surprising given recent incidents of attacks and the challenge of insurgency which have claimed many lives in these regions. In addition, ‘Sickness’ was pointed out as the leading cause of death of these individuals (65 percent); followed by ‘Motor accident’ (12 percent), ‘Natural death’ (11 percent) and ‘Insurgency’ (8 percent) amongst other causes. Finally, the findings from this poll highlights crucial implications for key policy reforms in Nigeria’s public health system, poverty alleviation & rural development planning, and the transportation & road sector. As such there are key considerations for various stakeholders ranging from: government at the federal, state and local levels; public health policy makers and institutions; poverty alleviation agencies & instutions; the Federal Road Safety Commission (FRSC), federal and state road maintenance agencies, as well as key ministeries and agencies relating to road and transportation in Nigeria. These are the key findings from the Leading Causes of Death poll conducted in the week of March 16th 2015. Brief Background Recently, the WHO indicated that the mortality rate in Nigeria is high. With several socio-economic, health and environmental factors contributing to the high mortality rate in Nigeria, malnutrition has been identified by a recent Directorate for Food, Roads and Rural Infrastructures (DFRRI) as a dangerous problem threatening long life in Nigeria despite Nigeria’s vast arable land that is enough to grow sufficient food. Families and communities need to be educated on the best way to feed in order to increase the life expectancy in the country.[2] There is also the menace of road accidents; this has killed nearly 1.3 million people annually according to Dr. David Okello, director at World Health Organization (WHO). Another cause of death is the sad incidence of insurgency that has ravaged parts of the North-West and North-East regions. While the government and other stakeholders have risen to fight against insecurity especially in these zones, there is still more to be done to curtail the predominant deaths among Nigerians by improving the standard of living of Nigerians as well as the creation of more awareness on precautionary measures to prevent accidents that lead to death.[3] Against this background, NOIPolls conducted its recent poll on the leading causes of death in Nigeria to gauge the perception of Nigerians on the life expectancy and the major causes of death in Nigeria. Survey Findings Respondents to the poll were asked five specific questions. Firstly, respondents were asked: In your opinion, do you think Nigerians live long to old age in recent times? The findings revealed that most respondents (65 percent) think that Nigerians do not live long to old age nowadays, whereas, 35 percent responded positively to the question. Subsequently, respondents were asked: What do you think is the current life expectancy in Nigeria? The perception of Nigerians on the life expectancy in Nigeria is divided between ‘50 years or less’ and ‘70 years’ (26 percent each). This is closely followed by respondents (23 percent) who mentioned ‘60 years’, while 12 percent claimed it is ‘80 years’ amongst other responses. This current poll result supports the World Health Statistics 2014 report published by the World Health Organisation (WHO), which indicated that Nigerians’ life expectancy rose from 46 years in 1990 to 54 years in 2012. Further analysis revealed geo-political zone variations in perceptions of Nigerians on life expectancy in Nigeria. While a higher proportion of Nigerians in the North-Central (34 percent) and North-West (35 percent) zonesperceive life expectancy in Nigeria to be ‘50 years or less’, more respondents from the South-East (35 percent) and South-West (34 percent) zones indicated ‘70 years’. Also, the North-East zone has the largest proportion (29 percent) of respondents who indicated 60 years. These variations in geo-political zones may be influenced by several socio-economic and environmental factors that are peculiar to each zone. For instance responses from the North-West zone may be influenced by insurgency in the region which has claimed many lives in recent times. Respondents were further asked: Do you know anyone who passed away in the last three months? In response to this question, a larger proportion (68 percent) of respondents disclosed knowing people who have passed away over the last three months with majority of the respondents within this group from the North-West (76 percent) and North-East zones (77 percent). Conversely, 32 percent of the respondents claimed that they are not aware of anyone who has passed away within the last three months with majority of respondents in this category from the South-East zone (35 percent) and the South-West zone (44 percent). Respondents who said yes to the previous question (68 percent of the total) were further asked: What was the cause of death of the individual? Findings revealed that 65 percent of Nigerians who admitted knowing people that have passed away within the last three months reported ‘Sickness’ as the leading cause of death of these individuals. ‘Motor accident’ (12 percent), ‘natural death’ (11 percent) and ‘insurgency’ (8 percent) were other factors reported by Nigerians from different regions. Further analysis by geo-political zones revealed that the North-West zone (15 percent) and North-East zone (14 percent) have the highest fraction of respondents who indicated insurgency as the cause of death. The North-Central zone (57 percent) has the largest proportion of Nigerians who acknowledged motor accident as the cause of death. This finding therefore confirms the report of the Chairman of the Governing Board of the Federal Road Safety Commission, Felix Chukwu, stating that the Federal Capital Territory as part of the North-Central zone has the highest fatality rate in the country from road accidents in 2014.[4] In line with this, some of the routes mentioned are the Abuja-Gwagwalada-Yangoji-Abaji-Lokoja area, Abuja-Nyanya-Keffi area, Akwanga Lafia highway, Okene Lokoja highway, Abuja Suleja highway and Abuja-Zuba-Sabon Wuse-Kateri-Kakau-Kaduna area as well as the city centre roads amongst other routes.[5] Finally, in order to ascertain the leading cause of death in Nigeria, respondents were asked: In your opinion, what do you think is the major cause of death in Nigeria? The outcome indicates that ‘Sickness’ is the leading cause of death in Nigeria as reported by majority of the respondents (26 percent). This is followed by ‘Poverty’ (24 percent), ‘Motor accident’ (16 percent) and ‘Malnutrition’ (7 percent) amongst other causes of death in the country. In conclusion, 65 percent of respondents surveyed believe Nigerians do not live long in recent times, while 35 percent responded positively. To this effect Nigerians believe that the life expectancy of an average Nigerian is ’50 years and below’ or ‘70 years’ (26 percent each). In addition, 68 percent of Nigerians disclosed they know individuals who have passed away over the last three months, with ‘Sickness’ cited as the major cause of death of the individuals amongst other causes. Finally, ‘Sickness’ (26 percent), ‘Poverty’ (24 percent), and ‘Motor accident’ (16 percent), topped the list of the leading causes of death in Nigeria among other causes. These findings have clear implications for reforms in the public health, poverty alleviation and transportation sectors of the country. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in the week 16th March 2015. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1] http://sunnewsonline.com/new/?p=65375 [2] http://www.thetidenewsonline.com/2011/05/11/road-accidents-major-cause-of-death-in-nigeria/ [3] http://www.tradingeconomics.com/nigeria/mortality-rate-adult-male-per-1-000-male-adults-wb-data.html [4] http://newmail-ng.com/new/abuja-leads-road-traffic-crash-rate-in-nigeria-frsc/ [5] http://www.punchng.com/editorials/alarming-rate-of-road-accidents
- The President’s Job Performance Steadies At 55% In January 2015.
Abuja, Nigeria. February 12th, 2015– Latest governance poll results released by NOIPolls for the month of January 2015 haverevealed that the approval rating of the President in January 2015 remained constant at 55% from December 2014; although when compared with January 2014, this rating represents a 6-points decline. In addition, 31% of Nigerians disapproved of his performance with the larger proportion of respondents in this category representing the North-East zone (59%) while 14% in total neither approved nor disapproved of his performance as they remained neutral. Furthermore, the President achieved an average (3) rating in terms of his performance in Economy, Education, Agriculture & Food Security, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy whereas; he performed very poorly in Job Creation, Power, Health and Security. While the President generally maintained an ‘average’ to ‘good’ rating in Health throughout 2014, he received a poor rating in health in January 2015. This could have been stimulated by the accrued negative effect of the industrial action embarked upon by members of the Joint Health Sectors Unions (JOHESU) on the Nigerian health sector. Further findings revealed that a larger proportion of Nigerian households (43%) particularly in the South-East regionsaw an improvement in power supply in January 2015. This figure reveals a 4-points increase in this category of households in January 2015 from December 2014, thus suggesting slight improvement in the state of power supply in Nigeria over the past month. In addition, 37% of Nigerian householdsreported a worsened state of power supply, while 20% saw no difference at allin power supply over the past one month. These are some of the key findings from the Governance Snap Poll conducted in the week of January 23rd 2014. These results represent the first in the 2015 monthly series of governance polls conducted by NOIPolls to gauge the opinions and perceptions of Nigerians regardingthe approval rating of the President, the performance of the President on key elements of his transformation agenda, and thestate of power supply in the country. Respondents to the poll were asked three specific questions. The first sought to assess the opinion of Nigerians on the performance of President Goodluck Jonathan over the past 1 month. Respondents were asked: Do you approve or disapprove of the job performance of President Jonathan in the past 1 month?Findings revealed that 55% (24%+31%) of adult Nigerians approved of the president President’s job performance over the past one month. On the other hand, 31% (20%+11%) disapproved of the president’s job performance, whereas, 14% neither approved nor disapproved of his performance as they remained neutral. Further analysis of President’s performance by geo-political zones revealed that the South-East (84%) and South-South (81%) zones accounted for the largest fraction of respondents who approve of the President’s job performance. Contrarily, the North-East (59%) and North-West (44%) zones have the largest proportion of respondents who disapproved of the president’s job performance. In addition, more male (38%) than female (25%) respondents approved of the president’s performance in January 2015. Trend analysis by geo-political zones revealed that the President’s approval rating declined significantly in the North-Central and South-West zones by 8-points and 10-points respectively in January 2015 from December 2014. Further trend analysis of the President’s approval rating from January 2014 to January 2015 revealed that the President’s approval rating remained constant at 55% in January 2015 from December 2014. Also this rating represents a 6-points decline when compared to January 2014. To gauge the performance of the president on pertinent elements of his transformation agenda, respondents were asked: On a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 is very poor and 5 is excellent, how would you rate the performance of the President in the following areas? (1) Job Creation (2) Power (3) Economy (4) Health (5) Education (6) Agriculture & Food Security (7) Transportation (8) Foreign Policy & Diplomacy and (9) Security. Overall, the President achieved an average (3) rating in terms of his performance in Economy, Education, Agriculture & Food Security, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy, whereas, he performed very poorly in Job Creation, Power, Health and Security. His poor rating in health in January 2015 could be attributed to the accrued negative effect of the industrial action embarked upon by members of the Joint Health Sectors Unions (JOHESU) on the Nigerian health sector. Trend evaluation revealed that the President’s performance rating on Economy, Education, Transportation, Agriculture & Food Security and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy maintained an average ranking (3) from previous months in 2014. Power and Security also maintained a poor rating from previous months in 2014; however, while the President generally maintained an ‘average’ to ‘good’ rating in Health all through 2014, he was rated poorly in Health in January 2015. The reason being as previously stated could potentially be from the amassed industrial action by members of the Joint Health Sectors Unions (JOHESU) on the Nigerian health sector in 2014. Finally, to find out the state of power supply to Nigerian households over the past month, respondents were asked: How would you describe power supply in your area in the last 1 month? Findings revealed that a greater proportion of Nigerian households (43%) saw an improvement in power supply, 37% reported a worsened state of power supply, while 20% saw no difference at allin power supply over the past one month. Analysis by geo-political zone indicates that the South-East zone (53%) accounted for the highest proportion of respondents who saw an improvement in power supply to their households in January 2015, whereas, the South-South zone (45%) has the largest proportion of Nigerians who experienced a worsened state of power supply. Most respondents who saw no difference in power supply were mainly from the North-West zone (26%). Trend evaluation reveals a 4-points increase in power supply in January 2015 from December 2014, thereby suggesting a slight improvement in the state of power supply in Nigeria over the past month. Furthermore the current figure on power improvement is almost at par with the results obtained in January 2014, although, there was a slight 1-point decline from January 2014. In conclusion, 55% of the Nigerians surveyed approved of the president’s job performance in January 2015. On the other hand, 31% disapproved of his performance while 14% neither approved nor disapproved of his performance as they remained neutral. on this issue, Furthermore, the President achieved an average (3) rating in terms of his performance in Economy, Education, Agriculture & Food Security, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy whereas; he performed very poorly in Job Creation, Power, Health and Security. Finally, 43% of Nigerian households reported an improvement in power supply, 37% reported a worsened state of power supply, while 20% reported no difference at allin power supply in January 2015. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in the week of January 23rd 2015. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No 1 for country specific polling services in West Africa works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA) to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com











