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  • New Poll Portrays Positive Outlook for Nigeria’s E-Commerce Industry, with Encouraging Figures

    Abuja, Nigeria. March 22nd, 2016 – Latest public opinion poll results released by NOIPolls have revealed a relatively high level of awareness on e-commerce in Nigeria, as about 5 in 10 Nigerians (53 percent) showed awareness of online shopping, and of this proportion, 25 percent further indicated that they shop online or know someone who does. These findings suggest that while online shopping only started gaining popularity in Nigeria in recent years due to the springing up of indigenous online shopping sites, its awareness and usage is relatively encouraging. This arguably could be linked to the rising usage of the internet by Nigerians, further buttressed by the social media survey conducted by NOIPolls in February 2016 which revealed that 63 percent of Nigerians are on one form of social media platform or the other, accessing the internet mostly through their mobile phones and other internet enabled devices. More findings from the poll revealed Jumia as the top online shopping platform in Nigeria in terms of popularity (68 percent) and usage (58 percent); this is followed by ‘Konga’ with 59 percent popularity and 30 percent usage. Other sites with considerable popularity include ‘OLX’ (18 percent) and ‘Kaymu’ (7 percent) amongst other online retail shopping platforms. It is important to note that the indigenous online shopping sites such as Jumia, Konga etc. which have sprung up in the last few years seemed to have gained more popularity and usage than foreign online shopping sites such as Amazon, Aliexpress etc. This may be likely due to factors such as proximity, currency of dealing, delivery time and terms of payment of the both categories of sites in view. For instance while the indigenous sites offer services like payment on delivery (heightening the assurance of customers), foreign sites do not offer this service as payments need to be made before delivery. In addition, Nigerians consider ‘convenience’ (46 percent) ‘quality’ (16 percent), ‘variety of products’ (10 percent) ‘delivery time’ (6 percent) as the most important factors that influence their decision to shop online. An assessment of the online shopping experiences of respondents revealed that most Nigerians (61 percent) who shop online are satisfied with their online retail shopping experience, although a considerable proportion of respondents in this category responded negatively. This is no surprise given the fact that the satisfaction level of consumers is bound to differ due to the several online shopping platforms available in the country and the varying expectations of individual consumers from these platforms. Finally, while poll results revealed positive figures in terms of awareness, usage and satisfaction rating of online shopping platforms in Nigeria, online retailers must constantly work to improve service areas such as delivery time, delivery charges, as well as their privacy policy so as to assure customers of the security and confidentiality of their personal data, hence encouraging more customers to shop online thus enhancing growth in the e-commerce industry. These are the key findings from the Online Shopping Poll conducted by NOIPolls in the week of March 14th 2016. Brief Background Online shopping began in 1979 by English entrepreneur Michael Aldridge and has gone on to be a most successful venture as more and more people the world over still shop online, one of the reasons for the sustaining popularity of online shopping is the ease of convenience attached to it as has been validated by our reports. Online shopping in Nigeria began with Kaymu, previously a social messaging site expanded into an e-commerce site but was quickly over-taken by Jumia and Konga which were both founded in 2012. Between 2000 and 2010, the number of Nigerian internet users reportedly grew from 200,000 to more than 40 million and this number has risen further in recent years. It is estimated that there are now about 70 online retailers in Nigeria, selling everything from household items, electrical appliances, office gadgets, cars, health and beauty products, sports accessories and even fairly used items.[1] There are several reasons for the recent growth of online shops in Nigeria which includes; increasing rate of internet penetration in Nigeria, innovation of apps that enable mobile internet usage as well as the introduction of internet banking[2]. Although buying and selling still takes place at open air-markets in both urban and rural areas in Nigeria, people are increasingly patronizing online shops and platforms. The Nigerian retail industry has grown significantly over the years, moving gradually from traditional to contemporary systems and the average Nigerian becoming more internet savvy has led to the growth spurt witnessed in the online retail industry in just its fourth year of operation. In view of this, NOIPolls conducted a poll to ascertain the level of awareness as well as perceptions of Nigerians regarding online shopping. Survey Findings Currently, Nigeria is witnessing an increase in the number of online shopping sites popping up due to the growing internet awareness and usage amongst Nigerians. In line with this, the poll revealed that more than half (53 percent) of the respondents confirmed that they are aware of online shopping in Nigeria, whereas, 47 percent claimed they are not aware of online shopping. Analysis by age group revealed that those aged between 26-35 (63 percent) and 18-25 (55 percent) accounted for the largest proportion of Nigerians who are aware of online shopping activities. This is in line with the social media survey which revealed that respondents within these age groups access the internet more than any other age group in Nigeria. Results also showed that slightly more male (54 percent) than female (51 percent) respondents are aware of online shopping in Nigeria. Subsequently, the proportion of Nigerians who shop online was gauged and the outcome shows that one-quarter (25 percent) of the respondents who are aware of online shopping indicated that they shop online or know someone who does. Contrarily, three-quarter (75 percent) of the respondents claimed that they do not shop online or know someone who shops online. Before the advent of e-commerce, procuring goods via the Internet was a phenomenon that was uncommon in Nigeria. However, in recent times this position has changed and Nigerians are beginning to embrace digital innovation and are increasingly using the Internet to purchase goods and services on diverse online retail shopping platforms[3]. Based on these trends, ‘Jumia’ emerged as the online retail shopping platform most Nigerians (68 percent) are aware of. This is followed by ‘Konga’ (59 percent),‘OLX’ (18 percent) and ‘Kaymu’ (7 percent) amongst other online retail shopping platforms. Further analysis revealed that Jumia and Konga received the highest awareness across gender, geo-political zones and age-groups. Furthermore, the poll sought to ascertain the most frequently used online retail shopping platforms and the results showed that ‘Jumia’, with a substantial proportion of 58 percent, is the most frequently used Online retail shopping platform in Nigeria. This supports the fact that Jumia, which lauched it’s activity in 2012[4], is believed to be the leading online shopping company in Nigeria. Also, the poll result showed that ‘konga’ (30 percent) is second most frequently used online retail shopping platform in the country. Others includes ‘AliExpress’ (5 percent), ‘OLX’ (3 percent) and ‘Amazon’ amongst others. Analysis across geo-political zones revealed that the South-West zone (66 percent) recorded the highest percentage of respondent who shop on ‘Jumia’. Reasons why Nigerians consider online shopping were also explored and result revealed that almost 5 in 10 respondents (46 percent) confirmed that ‘convenience’ is the most important factor that influences their decision to shop online. Also, all (100 percent) the respondents aged 61 years and above consented to this and this can be linked to their age and the ease that comes with shopping online. This is followed distantly by ‘price’ (18 Percent) indicating that respondents who shopping online perceive products to be relatively cheaper online than buying from regular markets and shops. Other reasons that were mentioned include ‘quality’ (16 percent), ‘variety of products’ (10 percent) ‘delivery time’ amongst other reasons. Lastly, due to the several online shopping platforms available in the country and the varying expectations of individual consumers from these platforms, the satisfaction level of consumers is bound to differ. In 2014, Phillips consulting report revealed that 42 percent of Nigerians surveyed were satisfied with their overall online shopping experience[5] and this ties in with the poll results which revealed that most Nigerians (61 percent) who shop online are satisfied with their online retail shopping experience. In conclusion, this survey has shown a considerable level awareness and usage of ecommerce and indigenous online shopping platforms in recent times, as 53 percent of the respondents indicated that they are aware of the online shopping activities and 25 percent of Nigerians in this category have either shopped or know someone who has shopped online. Most of the respondents who shop online revealed that they frequently use Jumia and Konga platform, siting convinience (46 percent) as the main reason for shopping online. In addition, 61 percent of Nigerians who shop online affirmed that they are generally satisfied with their online shopping experiences. While poll results have shown a relatively high level of awareness of online shopping which arguably could be linked to the extensive use of the internet by Nigerians, there is need for policies to be put in place to enable Nigerians access the internet at a relatively lower costs to attract more Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) into the telecommunications industry to grow the e-commerce industry and maximize its multiplier effect of job creating and economic growth. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in the week of March 14th 2016. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited is the No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa. We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1] http://www.brandpowerng.com/brand-trends-online-shoppingnigerias-rising-brand-experience-amaka-akachukwu/ [2] http://community.vanguardngr.com/profiles/blogs/9-reasons-for-increase-in-nigeria-online-shopping [3] http://www.234finance.com/the-evolution-of-e-commerce-and-online-marketing-in-nigeria/ [4] http://www.dailytrust.com.ng/sunday/index.php/feature/14157-jumia-the-inspiring-story-of-nigeria-s-online-retailer [5] http://www.phillipsconsulting.net/files/online_shopping_report.pdf

  • The President’s Job Approval Rating Drops By 13-Points To 57 Percent In February 2016.

    Abuja Nigeria, March 17th, 2016 – Latest governance poll results released by NOIPolls have revealed that President Muhammadu Buhari’s 9th job rating for February 2016 stood at 57 percent. This represents a 13-points decline from the ratings in January 2016 which stood at 70 percent. This decline in the approval rating is due to a general decline from all the geopolitical zones except for the North-East zone which increase by 7-points. The South-South (21-points), South-West (17-points) and North-Central zones (15-points) recorded the highest decline. More findings revealed that respondents who approved the President’s job rating gave reasons which majorly includes improved security (25 percent) and fight against corruption (18 percent) amongst others. On the other hand, respondents who disapproved his job performance claimed that there hasn’t been any realistic change in governance (50 percent), whereas 14 percent stated that it is due to the worsened economy amongst other reasons. Furthermore, on a scale of 1-5 where 1 is very poor and 5 is excellent the president was rated an average of 3-points in terms of his performance in National Security, Education, Healthcare and Conflict Resolution while he was rated below average (2-points) in job creation, infrastructure and Agriculture and Food Security. In addition, 39 percent of Nigerians reported that they experienced an improvement in electricity supply to their household within the past one month. This represents far-reaching 21-points decline when compared to January 2016 which stood at 60 percent. According to news report, it is certainly not the best of time for electricity consumers in Nigeria as power generation is reported to have further dropped to less than 1,600 megawatts from an average 4,387 megawatts, throwing up more communities in the country into darkness.[1] On the other hand, 22 percent of the respondents claimed that there is no difference in the state of electricity supply to their households, while 39 percent reported that electricity supply to their households has either worsened or gone bad within the past one month. These are some of the key findings from Governance snap poll conducted in the week of February 22nd 2016. This result is the ninth approval rating for President Muhammadu Buhari’s job performance and the second in the monthly series of governance polls for the year 2016, conducted by NOIPolls in order to represent the opinions and perceptions of Nigerians regarding the approval rating of the President, and the current state of electricity supply in the country. Respondents to the poll were asked four specific questions. The first question assessed the opinion of Nigerians on the monthly performance of President Mhammadu Buhari over the past 1 month and findings revealed that almost 6 in 10 adult Nigerians (57 percent: 24 percent + 33 percent) approved of the President’s job performance. On the contrary, 26 percent (19 percent + 7 percent) of the respondents disapproved of the president’s job performance representing a significant 12-points decline in February rating. More analysis on the President’s performance by geo-political zones indicated that the South-South (21-points), South-West (17-points) and North-Central (15-points) recorded the highest decline in this month’s approval rating. However, the North-East zone (7-points) is the only region that experienced an increase in the President’s job rating In order to ascertain the respondent’s reasons for approving of the President’s job performance, Nigerians cited ‘improved security’ (25 percent) and ‘the fight against corruption’ (18 percent) amongst others as top reasons for approving his job performance. Contrarily, respondents who disapproved the president’s job performance stated that ‘there is no change yet’ (50 percent) and that the ‘economy has worsened’ (32 percent) amongst other reasons. This is indicative of a growing impatience amongst Nigerians due to the state of the economy occasioned by the increasing exchange rate and declining revenue. Monthly trend analysis on the President’s performance rating in February 2016 reveals a 13-points decrease in the President’s job performance approval rating when compared to January 2016. This represents the lowest approval rating of President Buhari since NOIPolls started its approval rating of the President nine months ago. This is reflective of the influence of the economic situation and the growing desire of Nigerians to completely feel the impact of the perceived promised change. Trend analysis by geo-political zones revealed a significant decrease in the President’s job performance rating in 5 geo-political zones except the North-East zone which increased by 7-points. The increase in the North-East zones is evident of the resumption of economic activities and the relative peace currently being experienced in the region as the Nigerian military and other security agencies synergy has help in curtailing to a certain extent the destructive activities of insurgency in the region. On the on hand, the South-South (21-points), South-West (17-points) and North-Central (15-points) zones recorded the highest decline when compared to the January 2016. To evaluate the performance of the President on some key economic indicators of the economy of the country, the outcome shows that the President scared average (3) mark in terms of his performance in National Security, Education, Healthcare and Conflict Resolution, whereas he was rated below average (2 points) in job creation, infrastructure and Agriculture and Food Security. Lastly, in order to find out the rate of improvement of electricity supply in Nigeria, findings revealed that 39 percent (16 percent + 23 percent) of Nigerians reported that electricity supplied to their homes improved in the last one month. This represents a 21-point decline when compared to January 2016 which stood at 60 percent. This is expected as news report revealed that power generation in Nigeria have further dropped to less than 1,600 megawatts from an average 4,387 megawatts. On the other hand, 39 percent (22 percent + 17 percent) of the respondents surveyed revealed that electricity supply to their households within the past one month has worsened, while 22 percent indicated that there was no difference at all in electricity supply in February 2016. Analysis by geo-political zones revealed that the North-West (55 percent: 29 percent + 26 percent) and North-East zones (53 percent: 24 percent + 29 percent) accounted for the larger proportion of Nigerians who experienced an improved electricity supply, whereas the South-West (69 percent: 42 percent + 27 percent) and South-East (43 percent: 22 percent + 21 percent) accounted for the higher percentage of Nigerians who experienced a worsened state of electricity supply within the past one month. In conclusion, almost 6 in 10 Nigerians approved the President’s job performance in February 2016 and this is a 13-points decline from January rating and the lowest approval rating since the President assumed office in May 2015. This might have been triggered by the high exchange rate which has reduced importation and there is not enough disposable income as perceived by the increasing inflation. Finally, with Job creation, infrastructure and Agriculture being rated below average shows there is a great need to diversify the economy and create more job opportunities for Nigerians. The poor state of some federal roads and electricity supply should be a foremost priority of the government to tackle within this Fiscal year. Also, the epileptic state of electricity supply is reflective of the complaints by Nigerians that the new electricity tariff introduced on the 1st of February is not commiserating with the availability of power, therefore, the need to ensure that Nigerians get the value for their money. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in the week of February 22nd 2016. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa. We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1] http://www.vanguardngr.com/2016/03/power-generation-drops-to-1580-6mw/

  • President Buhari’s Job Approval Rating Further Decreases By 2-Points To 63 Percent In December

    Abuja Nigeria, January 19th, 2016 – Latest governance poll results released by NOIPolls have revealed that the President’s approval rating for December 2015 stood at 63 percent. This represents a 2-points decline from November 2015 (65 percent) and a 7-points decline from June 2015 (70 percent) which was the initial job performance appraisal of the President. This is also the poorest rating since the president assumed office in June 2015. The overall highest ratings in his job performance in December 2015 was mostly seen across 3 geo-political zones; the North-East (82 percent), North-West (80 percent) and South-West (71 percent) while the least ratings was visibly seen in 2 geopolitical zones; the South-East (29 percent) and the South-South (42 percent) with the South-East zone having (1-point) increase when compared to the (28 percent) obtained in November 2015. Additional results from this survey showed that the approval of President Buhari’s job performance could be attributed to the perceived ‘improved security’ (26 percent), ‘improved power supply’ (16 percent), and ‘He has brought change’ (15 percent) among other reasons. On the other hand, majority (64 percent) of the respondents who disapproved his job performance claimed that ‘there hasn’t been any visible change in governance’, ‘worsened economy’ (11 percent) and ‘declined power supply’ (10 percent) among other reasons. Also, considering the age-group, Nigerians within the age range of 18-25years (72 percent) and 26-60years (70 percent) has the highest approval rating for president Buhari while the age range of 60+ (26 percent) and 36-45years (20 percent) disapproved of his performance in December 2015. Furthermore, President Buhari achieved an average (3) points rating on a scale of 1-5 (where 1 is very poor and 5 is excellent) in terms of his performance in National Security, Education, Healthcare, Infrastructure, Conflict Resolution, and Agriculture and Food Security, while he still maintained the (1) aggregate, as usual, in Job creation. Additional findings revealed that 52 percent of Nigerian households claimed that electricity supply has improved over the past one month and this figure reveals a 2 points decrease when compared to November 2015, thus suggesting a slight decline in the state of power supply in Nigeria over the past month. Again, 29 percent of Nigerian households reported a worsened state of power supply, while 19 percent saw no difference at all in power supply over the month of December 2015.These are some of the key findings from Governance snap poll conducted in the week of December 17th 2015. These results represent the seventh approval rating for President Muhammadu Buhari’s job performance and the twelfth in the 2015 monthly series of governance polls, conducted by NOIPolls to gauge the opinions and perceptions of Nigerians regarding the approval rating of the President, and the current state of power supply in the country. Respondents to the poll were asked four specific questions. The first sought to assess the performance of President Muhammadu Buhari over the past 1 month, respondents were asked: Do you approve or disapprove of the performance of President Buhari over the past 1 month? Findings revealed that63 percent(31 percent + 32 percent)of adult Nigerians interviewed approved of President Buhari’s job performance and this represents a 2-point decline from the previous rating of 65 percent for November 2015.Contrarily,18 percent (14 percent + 4 percent)disapproved of his performance and this indicates a2-pointsincrease when compared to that of November 2015 which stood at16 percent. Also,19 percentof Nigerians interviewed neither approved nor disapproved of President Buhari’s job performance and it represents 1-pointincreasewhen compared to November 2015 which stood at20 percent. More analysis on the president’s job performance across the geo-political zones revealed that North-East (80 percent: 56 percent + 24 percent) and North-West (82 percent: 46 percent + 36 percent) zones had the highest percentage of respondents who approved of the President’s job performance. On the contrary, the South-East (29 percent: 16 percent + 13 percent) and South-South (42 percent: 14 percent + 28 percent) had the largest proportion of respondents who disapproved of the President’s job performance. The South-East zone presidential job approval rating increased by 1-point, while South-South zone declined by 1-point when compared to that of November 2015. The result also revealed that the South-West had the highest percentage of Nigerians who approves the President’s job rating (71 percent: 21 percent +50 percent). In order to ascertain the reasons for either approving or disapproving of the president’s job performance, respondents were asked: Why do you approve or disapprove of the President’s Job performance? Most Nigerians gave reasons for their positive response citing: ‘improved security’ (26 percent), ‘Improved Power Supply’ (16 percent), and ‘Fight against corruption’ (10 percent) among other reasons. On the other hand, respondents who disapproved gave reasons such as: there is ‘No change yet’ (64 percent), ‘worsened Economy’ (11 percent), ‘worsened power supply’ (10 percent) and ‘delayed payment of salaries’ (8 percent) among others. Monthly trend analysis of the president’s approval rating in December 2015 reveals a 2-points decline in the job performance which stood at 63 percent. So far, this is the poorest rating of President Buhari from the time he took the mantle of leadership and the constant decline of his approval rating is suggestive of the growing expectations of Nigerians, which is mainly for the President to start delivering on his campaign promises. The 2-points decline provide a rationale for the reasons of ‘No change yet’ and the recent ‘fuel scarcity’ reported by the respondents who disapproved the President’s performance. Similarly, trend analysis by geo-political zones revealed a general decline except for the South-West and South-East zones. The North-West recorded the highest rating with 82 percent followed by the North-East (80 percent),though there was a decline of 4-points and 6-points respectively when compared to November 2015.Also the highest decline was recorded in the South-East zone (29 percent) and South-South Zone (42 percent). Also, the South-West (71 percent) had highest increase of 5-points, while the North-Central (49 percent) had the highest decline of 7-points when matched with November 2015. To gauge the performance of the president onsome key indicators of the economy of Nigeria, respondents were asked: On a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 is very poor and 5 is excellent, how would you rate the performance of president Buhari in the following areas? (1) Job Creation (2) National Security (3) Education (4) Health (5) Infrastructure (6) Conflict Resolution (7) Agriculture and Food Security. The outcome shows that the President achieved an average rating of (3) in terms of his performance in the aforementioned key areas except in Job creation where he was rated poor (1) by the respondents. This further supports the National Bureau of Statistics reports which stated that unemployment rate in Nigeria increased to 9.90 percent in the third quarter of 2015 from 8.20 percent in the second quarter of 2015.[1] Finally, to find out the state of power supply to Nigerian households over the past month, respondents were asked: How would you describe power supply in your area in the last 1 month? Findings revealed that the larger proportion (52 percent: 20 percent + 32 percent) of Nigerians reported that power supply to their household improved over the past one month. While 19 percentindicated that there is no difference at all, 29 percent (21 percent + 8 percent) saw an improvement in power supply to their households within the past one month. Analysis by geo-political zone revealed that the North-East (76 percent: 42 percent + 34 percent) and North-West (62 percent: 28 percent + 34 percent) zones accounted for the larger proportion of Nigerians who experienced an improvement in power supply, whereas, the South-West (42 percent: 32 percent + 10 percent)and South-East (35 percent: 23 percent + 12 percent) zones accounted for the larger proportion of Nigerians who reported a poor state of power supply to their households over the past month. In conclusion, more than 6 in 10Nigerians surveyed approved the President’s job performance in December 2015 reflecting a 2-point decline from November 2015. This could be attributed to the proportion of the respondents who said that they are yet to see the promised ‘change’ in this administration and the biting scarcity of fuel that loomed as at the time this poll was conducted among other reasons. Also, the President achieved an average (3) rating in terms of his performance in National Security, Education, Healthcare, Infrastructure, Conflict Resolution, Agriculture and Food Security but he got a (1) rating in job creation aspect which means that majority of Nigerians are still craving to see the rate of unemployment reduced to the barest minimum in the country. Finally, majority (52 percent) of Nigerians reported that electricity supply to their household has improved over the past one month. This reveals a 2-points decline when compared to November 2015 and is also suggestive that there is a lot of work to be done to sustain uninterrupted power supply in Nigeria. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in the week of December 14th 2015. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa, works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA). We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1] http://www.nigerianstat.gov.ng/

  • Job Creation, Security and Economy Tops List of Expectations for 2016

    Abuja, Nigeria. January 13th, 2016 –The 4th in series of the Annual New Year Special Edition Poll conducted by NOIPolls to assess the areas Nigerians want the President to focus his attention on in 2016 revealed that Job creation (16 percent), Security (15 percent) and Economy (12 percent) are top key issues Nigerians would like the government to focus its efforts on in 2016. This is followed by Electricity (10 percent), Education (9 percent) and the downstream oil sector (7 percent), among other areas. In addition, the expectation of Nigerians for the economy in the next six months was also assessed and findings revealed that most Nigerians (89 percent) expressed optimism that they hope the economy will improve in the next six months. This perception may have been influenced by the high expectation of Nigerians from the recently released 2016 budget by the President to the National Assembly which seems to give some policy direction and boost in the hopes of the citizens on the economy. These are some of the key findings from the New Year Special Edition Poll conducted in the week of 4th January 2016. Brief Background In Nigeria, the beginning of a new year is usually celebrated as the start of an era of new possibilities and an opportunity for better planning or change. This period is usually characterized by new resolutions, plans, hopes and expectations, as individuals and corporate organisations begin to strategize for and draw up blue prints for a productive year. The year 2015 was an eventful year for Nigeria as a nation, witnessing a major transition in government, and some of its structures. The Nigerian people have had expectations of change and recent developments in the polity towards the end of year / New Year holidays have further influenced perceptions on outlook for the year 2016. Against this background, NOIPolls conducted its Annual New Year Special Edition Snap Poll to assess the areas Nigerians want the President to focus his attention in 2016, as well as their expectation for the economy in the next 6 months. This is the fourth in series of the New Year polls following those conducted in 2013 and 2014 and 2015. Survey Findings In order to ascertain the perception of respondents on the key areas Nigerians expect the president to focus on in year 2016, respondents were asked: What are the key areas you would like the President to focus his attention to this year 2016? The top three key areas Nigerians expect the President to focus his attention on are Job creation (16 percent), Security (15 percent) and Economy (12 percent) amongst others key areas. Analysis by geo-political zones indicates that Nigerians who are most worried about Job creation are residents of the South-South Zone (31 percent) which has the larger proportion of Nigerians who expect the President to focus on Job creation in 2016. This result is consistent with the report of international youth foundation on Niger Delta youth assessment which stated that the youth (15-24 years) unemployment rate is 40 percent, far exceeding the national average youth unemployment rate of 14 percent.[2]  This reflects the security challenges in these zones as a result of insurgency. A closer view at the figures presented in the chart below revealed that while other zones across the country are more concerned about Job creation, Electricity and Economic/welfare, the North-East and North-West are mostly worried about Security; accounting for the  highest percentage of Nigerians who expect the President to focus on Security (13 percent and 13 percent respectively). These zones also accounted for the highest number of respondents who expects the president to focus on Education. This finding  further supports the “Children out of school” poll result released by NOIPolls on 8thSeptember 2015 which revealed that 83 percent of the respondents from these regions personally see children out of school, hence, the need for focus on education.[3] Yearly trend assessment shows that Job creation has topped the list of three key areas Nigerians would like the President to focus on in 2016 (16 percent), 2014 (19 percent) and in 2013 (24 percent); Although security was the top priority for Nigerians in 2015, due to the series of attack by the insurgency especially in the North-east region. Figures from the chart below also give indications that the concern for electricity has consistently declined over time with a total of 8-points from 2013 (18 percent) to 2016 (10 percent). This gives an  indication that while efforts are being made to reform the power sector with several milestones being achieved, Nigerians may have come to terms with the issues associated with the power sector and the need for focus on issues they perceive to immediately affect them as individuals and the larger society. Subsequently, to ascertain the anticipation of Nigerians on the country’s economy in the next six months, respondents were asked: What is your expectation of the country’s economy in the next six months? Majority of Nigerians anticipate an improvement in the country’s economy in the next six months as reported by 89 percent of the respondents interviewed. This perception cuts across gender, geo-political zone and age-group. Further analysis on age-group indicates that majority (96 percent) of respondents who asserted that it will improve fall within the age-group of 18-25 years and most of the respondents in this category are students. This may be accredited to the provision for education which had the highest allocation (369.6 billion naira from a total of 6.08 trillion naira budget) in the recurrent expenditure in the budget. The budget tends to provide jobs which will ultimately improve the welfare of the teeming youths who fall within this age group. In conclusion, the New Year brings hope and expectation for many Nigerians, even as they expect the President to focus on Job creation (16 percent), Security (15 percent) and Economy/welfare (12 percent) amongst others key areas.  Moreover, Nigerians are looking forward to a fruitful year as they express optimism for an improved economy in the next six months. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in the week of 4th January 2016. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited is No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa. We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1] https://www.naij.com/427416-nigerians-are-among-three-happiest-african-nations.html [2] http://www.ndpifoundation.org/images/researchreports/reports/Youth-Assessment-Report.pdf [3] http://www.post-nigeria.com/noi-polls-reveal-highest-level-of-illiteracy-in-nigeria-northerners-lead/

  • In November 2015; President’s Job Performance Rating Decreases By 16 Points To Stand At 64 Per

    Abuja Nigeria, December 18th 2015 – latest governance poll results released by NOIPolls have revealed that the President’s approval rating for November 2015 stood at 64 percent. This represents a 16-points decline from October 2015 (80 percent) and a 6-points decline from June 2015 (70 percent) which was the initial job performance appraisal of the President.  The impact on this approval rating was due to the general decline in the President’s approval rating across all regions; with the greatest decline seen in the South East with a 43-point decline in November (28 percent ) from October (71 percent). This decline this could be a direct reflection of the heightened agitation by the IPOBs youths (Indigenous People of Biafra) in the South-East zone. More findings revealed that the President’s job performance is mostly because of the perceived reason that he has ‘brought change’ (20 percent) and the ‘improved power supply’ (18 percent) across the country amongst other reasons. On the other hand, most respondents who disapproved his job performance claimed that ‘there hasn’t been any realistic change in governance’ (71 percent) among others reasons and worsened power supply (15 percent) as well as ‘delayed payment of salaries’ (6 percent). Furthermore, the President achieved an average (3) points rating (on a scale of 1-5 where 1 is very poor and 5 excellent) in terms of his performance in National Security, Education, Healthcare, Infrastructure, Conflict Resolution, and Agriculture and Food Security, while he still performed poorly in Job creation where he has always been rated only (1) since assumed office as president. Also, the larger proportion (54 percent) of Nigerians surveyed reported that electricity supply to their household has improved over the past one month and this represents a 15-points decrease when compared to September 2015 and an 8 point decrease when compared to October. In addition, 15 percent of Nigerians experienced no difference at all in electricity supply, while (31 percent) claimed that electricity supply to their households has either worsened or gone bad within the past one month. These are some of the key findings from the Governance Snap Poll conducted in the week of November 24th2015. These results represent the sixth approval rating for President Muhammadu Buhari’s job performance and the eleventh in the 2015 monthly series of governance polls, conducted by NOIPolls to gauge the opinions and perceptions of Nigerians regarding the approval rating of the President, and the current state of electricity supply in the country. Respondents to the poll were asked four specific questions. The first is to assess the opinion of Nigerians on the monthly performance of President Mhammadu Buhari over the past 1 month. Respondents were asked: Do you approve or disapprove of the job performance of President Buhari in the past 1 month? Findings revealed that 64 percent (41 percent + 23 percent) of adult Nigerians interviewed approved of the President’s job performance. On the contrary 16 percent (10 percent + 6 percent) disapproved of his performance which is a 9 point increase in disapproval when compared to October which stood at 7 percent. Also 20 percent remained neutral as they neither approved nor disapproved which is a 7 point increase in neutrality when compared to October which stood at 13 percent. More analysis on the President’s performance by geo-political zones indicated that the North-West zone (86 percent: 69 percent + 17 percent) and North-East zone (85 percent: 63 percent + 22 percent) had the highest percentage of respondents who approved of the President’s job performance. Contrarily, the South-East zone (39 percent: 28 percent + 11 percent) and South-South zone (31 percent: 15 percent + 16 percent) had the largest proportion of respondents who disapproved of the President’s job performance. The South-East zone’s presidential job approval rating declined by 41 points from 71 percent in October to 28 percent in November which is the highest drop in possible approval points since June and this could be a direct reflection of the heightened agitation by the IPOBs youths (Indigenous People of Biafra) in the South-East zone. In order to ascertain the respondent’s reasons for either approving or disapproving of the president’s job performance, they were asked ‘why do you approve’ and ‘why don’t you approve’.  To this effect, Nigerians cited ‘he has brought change’ (20 percent), ‘improved power supply’ (18 percent) and ‘improved security’ (16 percent) amongst other reasons such as ‘good leadership skill’ (9 percent), ‘he is a good man’ (6 percent) etc. as reasons responsible for the approval of the President’s job performance. Incongruently, respondents who disapproved his job performance were of the opinion that ‘there haven’t been any change’ (74 percent) and ‘the power supply has worsened’ (15 percent). These topped the lists of reasons given by Nigerians for disapproving the President’s job performance in November 2015. Also, 6 percent cited ‘delayed payment of salaries’, while 3 percent stated he was ‘biased in selecting key leaders’ among others reasons for their disapproval. Monthly trend analysis on the President’s performance rating in November 2015 reveals a 16-points decline in the President’s approval rating which stood at 64 percent. this rating also represents the woerst rating for the president since he assumed office. Trend analysis by geo-political zones revealed a general decline in the president’s job approval rating for the month of November. The North-West zone 86 percent had the highest rating followed by North-East 85 percent although they declined 6 and 2 points respectively when compared to the month of October. Also the highest decrease was recorded in the South-East zone 28 percent and South-South Zone 43 percent. In terms of percentage points decline, South-East and North Central Zones recorded the highest at 41 and 21 points respectively when compared to October’s president’s job approval rating. This implied that these two zones strongly disapproved of the president’s job performance for the month of November. To evaluate the performance of the President on some key indicators of the economy of the country, respondents were asked: On a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 is very poor and 5 is excellent, how would you rate the performance of the President Buhari in the following areas?  (1) Job Creation (2) National Security (3) Education (4) Healthcare (5) Infrastructure (6) Conflict Resolution (7) Agriculture & Food Security. The outcome shows that the President achieved an average (3) rating in terms of his performance in aforementioned key areas except in Job creation, where he performed poorly (1). Finally, to find out the rate of improvement of electricity supply in Nigeria, respondents were asked: How would you describe electricity supply in your area in the last 1 month? Findings revealed that the larger proportion (54 percent: 29 percent + 25 percent) of Nigerians reported that electricity supply to their household improved in the last one month. Contrarily, 15 percent indicated that there was no difference at all, while 31 percent (16 percent + 15 percent) asserted that electricity supply to their households within the past one month has remained bad or has worsened. Agreeably 29 percent of the respondents in November still said electricity has improved very much which is the same as at October. Analysis by geo-political zones revealed that the North-East (88 percent: 64 percent + 24 percent) and North-West zones (70 percent: 46 percent + 24 percent) accounted for the larger proportion of Nigerians who agreed that electricity has improved very much and very little respectively, whereas the South-West (22 percent: 4 percent + 18 percent) and South-South zones (38 percent: 9 percent + 29 percent) accounted for the proportion of Nigerians who reported a poor state of electricity supply to their households over the past month. In conclusion, 6 in 10 Nigerians approved the President’s job performance in November 2015. This decline in the approval rating is indicative that the President needs to reassure Nigerians of his heightened commitment to bringing the much awaited change in the economy. Also, the President achieved an average (3) rating in terms of his performance in National Security, Education, Healthcare, Infrastructure, Conflict Resolution, Agriculture and Food Security but he performed poorly in Job creation. With Job creation scoring very poor for 5 months now shows there is a great need to diversify the economy and create more job opportunities. Finally, majority (54 percent) of Nigerians surveyed reported that electricity supply to their household has improved over the past one month. The 8 points drop in the state of power is indicative of marginal decline in the amount of power being generated recently. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in the week of October 26th 2015. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited is No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa. We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com To further explore data from Nigeria governance polls Please visit www.noi-polls.com

  • 2015 Sees General Decline In Quality Of Service Of Mobile Telecommunication Operators Even As Dual L

    Abuja, Nigeria. December 15th, 2015 – A poll conducted based on a partnership between NOIPolls Limited and BusinessDay Media has revealed that in the face of continuous expansion in the Nigerian mobile telecommunications industry, a cross view of the mobile network operators revealed a general decline in the proportion of subscribers who think they are getting value for money from their main network operators. This perception which cuts across all operators is mainly due to high tariff, poor network service, poor promotions and undue credit deductions as reported by the respondents. For instance, almost half of the subscribers who use MTN as their main line think they are not getting value for money from this provider in 2015 (46 percent); representing a 6 point increase from 2014 (40 percent), although slightly more than half of the subscribers believe they are getting value for money. Similarly, the quality of service provided by Etisalat seemed to have declined consistently from 2013 (97 percent) to 2015 (65 percent), thus depicting a decline in the level of satisfaction of subscribers to this operator. More findings revealed that more Nigerians have adopted the use of two lines either from the same network provider or from two different operators over the years. This trend has consistently increased from 2013 (40 percent) to 2015 (49 percent) with a total of 9-points within the period in view. In view of this, majority of subscribers use MTN either as their main line or as a supplementary line and this has been the trend from 2012 with the current figure standing at 96 percent.  This represents a far margin between the use of MTN lines and other lines such as Airtel, Etisalat and Glo, in terms of the proportion of subscribers. This is no surprise considering the first mover advantage MTN had over these other operators in the mobile telecommunications industry. Moreover, MTN topped the chart as the operator that provides the best services in 2015. This perception is commonly shared across subscribers who either use MTN or other operators as their main line. Finally while the Nigerian telecommunication industry continues to expand even with the introduction of new and more service offerings, it is pertinent that The Nigerian Communications Commission which is empowered to establish minimum Quality of Service (QoS) standards in service delivery for the telecommunications industry and all other stakeholders becomes more vigilant; to ensure that consumers continue to have access to high quality telecommunications service by setting basic minimum quality levels for all operators. Brief Background The Nigerian Telecommunication sector has witnessed significant growth over the years and has remained one of the fastest growing sectors of the Economy. According to Nigerian Telecommunication Commission (NCC) statistics, there are over 150 million active telephone lines, while Teledensity exceeds 100% at 107.61% 1. With the growing number of internet subscriptions, both cell phone manufacturers and telecommunication service providers are witnessing tremendous profit in the Nigerian market. A research material by Pyramid Research disclosed that Nigeria’s telecoms industry generated about $9.8b in 2014, while another investigation by LEADERSHIP news report revealed that Nigerians spend about N212 Billion monthly on phone calls2. The glaring question with the above statistics is whether Nigerians are actually getting value for their money with the quality of services provided by the telecom operators. There are various complaints by Nigerians due to irregularities or poor standard of service ranging from; poor network coverage, high tariff, promotions, customer service, as well as faster or slower internet causing them to have more than one SIM card so as to enjoy the most out of the telecom services provided in Nigeria as it is not yet possible to get all from one network. Against this background, NOIPolls in partnership with BusinessDay media conducted a special edition poll on telecommunications in Nigeria, to explore the current state of the sector from the perspective of consumers. The poll sought to measure the mobile phone usage patterns in Nigeria, as well as the quality of services provided by telecommunications providers in Nigeria. Survey Findings Findings from the poll revealed that over the years, more Nigerians have adopted the use of two lines either from the same network provider or from two different operators. This trend has consistently increased from 2013 (40 percent) to 2015 (49 percent) with a total of 9-points within the period in view. Apart from the non-reliance of subscribers on one line due to some issues generally associated with mobile telecommunications in Nigeria, this trend may also have been promoted by an increased introduction of dual sim mobile devices in to the market, thus making it less expensive and more convenient to own more than one phone line. An assessment of the mobile network providers used by Nigerians revealed that majority of Nigerians use MTN either as their main line or as a supplementary line and this has been the trend from 2012 with the current figure standing at 96 percent.  This is followed by Airtel, although with a decline by 12 points in the proportion of subscribers from 2014 (45 percent) to 2015 (33 percent). These findings further support latest industry status report released by the telecoms regulator, the Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC), which revealed that there were 150.6 million active mobile subscriptions on telecoms networks with teledensity standing at 107.61. Of this figure, MTN Nigeria had 62.4 million, Globacom came second with 31.3 million, Airtel had 31.1 million while Etisalat came fourth with 23.4 million subscribers. The poll further sought to establish the Network lines subscribers most frequently use and findings revealed that MTN has consistently taken the lead as the most frequently used line for mobile phone subscribers with current figures standing at 88 percent of mobile network subscribers. This represents a 12-point increase from 2014 where the proportion of subscribers who use MTN as their main line stood at 76 percent. On the other hand, Airtel which had the second largest subscribers who confirmed it as their main line in 2014 experienced a significant decline by 11-points in 2015, thus bringing its current figure to 4 percent; and at par with Glo (4 percent) and Etisalat (4 percent). With continuous expansion in the Nigerian mobile telecommunications industry, there are growing concerns about the quality of service offered by mobile telecommunications operators, as well as their marketing campaigns which sometimes leave consumers frustrated. In view of this, subscribers of the mobile networks were asked their opinion in terms of the value for money they receive from their main network provider. Findings revealed a general decline in the proportion of subscribers who think they are getting value for money from their main network operator; cutting across all operators. While MTN has the largest number of subscribers compared to other network providers, slightly more than half of these subscribers think they are getting value for money from this provider in 2015 (54 percent). This figure represents a 6 point decline from 2014 (60 percent). Similarly, Etisalat seemed to have declined consistently from 2013 (97 percent) to 2015 (65 percent), thus depicting a decline in the level of satisfaction subscribers are getting from this operator. Further analysis on the perception of subscribers on their main network providers revealed that some subscribers who reported they are not receiving value for money mainly emphasized on high tariff, poor network service, poor promotions and undue credit deduction from mobile telecommunication operators with this perception cutting across all operators, although with varying degree of priority for individual operators. For instance, Nigerians who use Glo as their main line seemed to be more concerned about the poor network compared with the perceived high tariff of this operator; while Etisalat and Airtel subscribers were more concerned with high tariff and followed by poor promotions. Still in the bid to measure the perception of mobile network operators, respondents were asked which mobile network operator provides the best services and findings illustrated in the chart below revealed that MTN topped the chart as the operator that provides the best services. This perception is commonly shared across subscribers who either use MTN or other operators as their main line; this implies that the vast majority of subscribers who use other operators other than MTN as their main lines still consider MTN top in this capacity. Etisalat came in second place regardless of its usage by subscribers as their main line. In conclusion, there has been an increased usage of dual lines over the period of 2012 to 2015, evidenced by a total of 9-points increase within the period in view. Majority of mobile phone subscribers use MTN either as their main line or as a supplementary line and this has been the trend from 2012 with the current figure standing at 96 percent.  MTN has consistently taken the lead as the most frequently used line for mobile phone subscribers with current figures standing at 88 percent; representing a 12-point increase from 2014. On the other hand, Airtel which had the second largest subscribers who confirmed it as their main line in 2014 experienced a significant decline by 11-points in 2015, thus bringing its current figure to 4 percent; and at par with Glo (4 percent) and Etisalat (4 percent). Even with the increasing rate of dual mobile lines, there still appears to be growing concerns about the quality of services offered by the network operators. This is evidenced by with a general decline in the proportion of subscribers who think they are getting value for money from their main network operators; especially in the area of high tariff, poor network service, poor promotions and undue credit deduction; with this perception cutting across all operators. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in week of 7th December 2015. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa. We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com. About BusinessDay Media BusinessDay, established in 2001, is a daily business newspaper based in Lagos, Nigeria. It is the only Nigerian newspaper with a bureau in Accra, Ghana. BusinessDay Media Ltd is the leading medium for up-to-date news and insightful analysis of business, policy and the economy in Nigeria, a critical decision-making tool for investors and managers. It provides unbiased news and informed analysis on politics, governance, social and economic trends. Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited and authorised for release by BusinessDay Media on the NOIPolls media platform to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1] http://www.ngrguardiannews.com/2015/06/nigerias-active-phone-lines-hit-145-4-million-teledensity-now-103-91/. [2] http://leadership.ng/news/451362/nigerians-spend-n212bn-on-phone-calls-monthly [4] https://iwpr.net/global-voices/nigerian-telecoms-firms-frustrate-subscribers

  • In October 2015; The President’s Job Performance Rating Rises To 80 Percent

    Further findings indicate that the increase in the President’s job performance is mostly centred on the perceived ‘improved electricity supply’ (21 percent) and ‘improved security’ (17 percent) across the country amongst other reasons. Conversely, most respondents who disapproved his job performance claimed that ‘there hasn’t been any realistic change in governance’ (61 percent) among others reasons. Furthermore, the President achieved an average (3) rating in terms of his performance in National Security, Education, Healthcare, Infrastructure, Conflict Resolution, and Agriculture and Food Security, while he performed poorly in Job creation. Also, the larger proportion (62 percent) of Nigerians surveyed reported that electricity supply to their household has improved over the past one month and this represents a 7-points decrease when compared to September 2015. In addition, 17 percent of Nigerians experienced no difference at all in electricity supply, while 21 percent claimed that electricity supply to their households has worsened within the past one month. These are some of the key findings from the Governance Snap Poll conducted in the week of October 26th 2015. These results represent the fifth approval rating for President Muhammadu Buhari’s job performance and the tenth in the 2015 monthly series of governance polls, conducted by NOIPolls to gauge the opinions and perceptions of Nigerians regarding the approval rating of the President, and the current state of electricity supply in the country. Respondents to the poll were asked four specific questions. The first sought to assess the opinion of Nigerians on the performance of President Mhammadu Buhari over the past 1 month. Respondents were asked: Do you approve or disapprove of the job performance of President Buhari in the past 1 month? Findings revealed that 80 percent (46 percent + 34 percent) of adult Nigerians interviewed approved of the President’s job performance. On the contrary, 7 percent (5 percent + 2 percent) disapproved of his performance, while 13 percent remained neutral as they neither approved nor disapproved. More analysis on the President’s performance by geo-political zones indicated that the North-West zone (92 percent: 57 percent + 35 percent) and North-East zone (87 percent: 48 percent + 39 percent) had the highest percentage of respondents who approved of the President’s job performance. On the other hand, the South-South zone (17 percent: 13 percent + 4 percent) and South-East zone (13 percent: 8 percent + 5 percent) had the largest proportion of respondents who disapproved of the President’s job performance. Respondents were further asked to state their reasons for either approving or disapproving the President’s performance. To this effect, Nigerians cited ‘Improved electricity supply’ (21 percent), the perceived ‘improved security’ (17 percent) and the President’s ‘campaign against corruption’ (10 percent) amongst other reasons were responsible for the approval of the President’s job performance. On the contrary, respondents who disapprove the job performance were of the opinion that ‘there haven’t been any viable changes in governance’ (61 percent). Thistopped the lists of reasons given by Nigerians for disapproving the President’s job performance in October 2015. Also, 15 percent cited ‘worsened electricity supply’, while 11 percent stated ‘delay in salary payments’ among others reasons. Monthly trend analysis on the President’s performance rating in October 2015 reveals a 2-points increase in the President’s approval rating which stood at 80 percent. This represents the second best approval ratings when compared with former Presidents with the best rating recorded during Late President Umar Musa Yar’adua administration where he attained the highest ratings of 82 percent in November 2007. Trend analysis by geo-political zones revealed a balance in the general increase in the president’s approval rating in the South-East (14-points), South-West (9-points) and North-West (2-points) and a decrease in the South-South (11-points), North-East (7-points) and North-Central (4-points) between August 2015 and October 2015. To evaluate the performance of the President on some key indicators of the economy of the country, respondents were asked: On a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 is very poor and 5 is excellent, how would you rate the performance of the President Buhari in the following areas?  (1) Job Creation (2) National Security (3) Education (4) Healthcare (5) Infrastructure (6) Conflict Resolution (7) Agriculture & Food Security. The outcome shows that the President achieved an average (3) rating in terms of his performance in aforementioned key areas except in Job creation, where he performed poorly (1). Finally, to find out the state of electricity supply to Nigerian households over the past month, respondents were asked: How would you describe electricity supply in your area in the last 1 month? Findings revealed that the larger proportion (62 percent: 29 percent + 33 percent) of Nigerians reported that electricity supply to their household improved in the last one month. 17 percent indicated that there was no difference at all, while 21 percent (15 percent + 6 percent) asserted that electricity supply to their households within the past one month has remained bad. Analysis by geo-political zone revealed that the North-West (82 percent: 47 percent + 35 percent) and North-East zones (69 percent: 42 percent + 27 percent) accounted for the larger proportion of Nigerians who experienced an improvement in electricity supply, whereas the South-East (33 percent: 24 percent + 9 percent) and South-South zones (30 percent: 23 percent + 7 percent) accounted for the larger ratio of Nigerians who reported a poor state of electricity supply to their households over the past month. In conclusion, 8 in 10 Nigerians approved the President’s job performance in October 2015. Also, the President achieved an average (3) rating in terms of his performance in National Security, Education, Healthcare, Infrastructure, Conflict Resolution, Agriculture and Food Security but he performed poorly in Job creation. Finally, majority (62 percent) of Nigerians surveyed reported that electricity supply to their household has improved over the past one month. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in the week of October 26th 2015. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited is No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa. We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com To further explore data from Nigeria governance polls Please visit www.noi-polls.com

  • Nigerians Show Some Level of Support for Ministerial List Even As President Buhari’s Approval

    Abuja, Nigeria. October 13th, 2015 – Latest poll results released by NOIPolls have revealed that following the recent release of the Ministerial list by President Muhammadu Buhari, almost 7 in 10 Nigerians (68 percent) are pleased with all the nominees, although with varying degrees per nominee. In this regard, former state governors, Babatunde Raji Fashola SAN (44 percent), Rotimi Amaechi (31 percent), and Chris Ngige (25 percent); as well as past senator Aisha Alhassan topped the list of Ministerial nominees most appealing to Nigerians, while Hadi Sirika a former Senator (14 percent), Ibrahim Usman Jubrin a former military governor (14 percent) were least mentioned in this category. Nominees were also assessed based on familiarity (awareness of the nominee to the general public), as well as their net favourability position (the overall public perception of the candidate which is derived through positive opinions minus negative opinions). In this light, Babatunde Raji Fashola had the highest familiarity (90 percent) as well as net favourability (+61) among all 21 nominees. Similarly, Rotimi Ameachi had a high familiarity (89 percent) compared with Chris Ngige (77 percent) and Kayode Fayemi (71 percent), however they both have higher net favourability (+40 and +45 respectively) compared to Amaechi who had a lower net favourability of +30. Furthermore as Nigerians await the release of the second list, some respondents (6 percent) indicated Prof Pat Utomi a professor at Lagos Business School, Femi Falana (SAN) a human rights activist and lawyer in Nigeria (4 percent), Charles Soludo past Governor of Central Bank of Nigeria (3 percent), Rabiu Kwankwaso a former state governor (3 percent) and Oby Ezekwesili a former minister of Education (2 percent) as possible recommendations for any subsequent Ministerial lists. Still on governance, recent approval ratings conducted by NOIPolls for the President at the end of September 2015 revealed that the President’s job performance rating for the month of September 2015 increased by 1-point to stand at 78 percent. It is worth noting that the general increase in his job approval in September 2015 was observed across only 4 geo-political zones (North-Central, North-East, North-West, South-West) with the North-East zone (94 percent) recording the largest number of respondents who approved of the president’s job performance. The positive approval rating of President Buhari is mostly based on the perceived ‘improved security’ (21 percent), ‘improved power supply’ (19 percent) and his ‘campaign against corruption’ (11 percent) across the country amongst other reasons. Brief background Nigerians had long-awaited President Muhammadu Buhari’s Ministerial list and it has finally been made public by the Senate President, Bukola Saraki, on the floor of the senate on the 6th of October 2015. Though the nominees were a mixture of old politicians, retired military men, immediate past governors, technocrats and former political appointees, the announcement of the 21 Ministerial nominees appeared to have increased the controversies as the polity was suffused with claims, counter-claims and controversies over the necessity or otherwise of the delay. Conceivably, the reactions about the list vary from people to people and also in accordance with their political interest and belief.[1] Against this background, NOIPolls conducted a recent survey to ascertain the awareness of Nigerians on the recently released Ministerial list and also measure their awareness and perception on all 21 nominees, as well as possible recommendation for subsequent Ministerial list. Survey Findings The awareness of the recently released Ministerial list was measured and findings revealed that most Nigerians (80 percent) are aware of the release of the list. This news would not have gone unnoticed, considering the fact that there was a wait for about 4 months for this exercise. Respondents who showed awareness of the Ministerial list (80 percent of the total) were further asked what names on the list appealed to them the most. Respondents were allowed to list as many names on the list that appealed to them as possible. Responses placed Babatunde Raji Fashola SAN (44 percent), who was the former Lagos State Governor from May 29, 2007 to May 29, 2015, as the nominee most appealing to Nigerians. This is followed by Rotimi Amaechi (31 percent), who served as the 5th Governor of Rivers State from 2007 to 2015. Other top names on the list that appealed to Nigerians include Aisha Alhassan (25 percent), a past Senator; Chris Ngige (25 percent), a former governor of Anambra State; Audu Ogbeh a past chairman of the People’s Democratic Party from 2001 until January 2005 (22 percent); and Abdulrahaman Danbazzau (21 percent), a retired Nigerian Army Lieutenant General. While all 21 names of nominees were mentioned, some names were least mentioned and these include Hadi Sirika, a former pilot and Senator (14 percent) and Ibrahim Usman Jubrin a former Military Governor (14 percent). In addition, a considerable proportion of respondents (23 percent) reported that no name on the list appeals to them. In the same manner, respondents were asked what names on the Ministerial list did not appeal to them and findings revealed that majority (68 percent) of the respondents did not mention any name that did not appeal to them. This therefore implies that most Nigerians endorse the Ministerial list, although 20 percent of the respondents indicated Rotimi Ameachi’s as a name that did not appeal to them on the list. This is followed by Babatunde Raji Fashola (9 percent), Chris Nigige (9 percent) and Audu Ogbeh (8 percent) amongst others. The poll also measured the ‘Familiarity’ and ‘Favourability’ of the Ministerial nominees. Familiarity of nominees assessed the general public awareness of the nominees. Similarly, favourability measured the overall perception of respondents towards the nominees, through positive and negative opinions of the respondents towards the nominees. The perception of the respondents towards the nominees is presented as Net Favourability of the nominees; derived by positive opinions minus negative opinions. Findings are presented in a 4 X 4 matrix which shows the familiarity alongside the net favourability of each Ministerial nominee as shown in the figure below. The four quadrants are interpreted as follows: The top right quadrant implies a high familiarity and positive net favourability. Nominees that fall in this quadrant are well known and well liked. The top left quadrant implies low familiarity and positive favourability. Nominees in this quadrant have a positive net favourability but are not well known. They are only known by a few people but those few have very high opinions of them. The bottom left quadrant implies low familiarity and negative favourability. Nominees that fall in this quadrant are not well known and also have a negative public image. The bottom right quadrant implies high familiarity and negative net favourability. Nominees that fall in this category are well known, however they have a negative public image. Based on the interpretation of the matrix, findings revealed that all the nominees have positive favourability, thus indicating positive public opinion given the fact that no name appeared in the bottom left quadrant. The matrix also reveals a clustering of nominees in the top left quadrant indicating that these Nominees have a positive net favourability but are not well known. Thus they have relatively the same level of favourability and familiarity with minimal differences. Nominees in this category include Abubakar Malami (SAN), Kemi Adeosun and Ahmed Ibeto amongst others. Some names of nominees stood out in the top right quadrant indicating a high level of familiarity as well as favourability. For instance, Babatunde Raji Fashola which appears at the top right of the matrix is an indication that among all the nominees he has the highest familiarity (90 percent) as well as net favourability (+61). Similarly, while Rotimi Ameachi has a higher familiarity (89 percent) compared with Chris Ngige and Kayode Fayemi, they both have a higher favourability compared with Rotimi Amaechi as seen in the table below. A striking similarity amongst nominees in the top right quadrant who have the highest familiarity and favourability is that these are past executives. Ministerianl Nominees Nationwide % Familiarity % With Favourable (Positive) opinion % With Unfavourable (Negative) opinion Net Favourability Babatunde Raji Fashola 90 71 10 +61 Kayode Fayemi 71 53 8 +45 Chris Ngige 77 52 12 +40 Aisha Alhassan 58 44 7 +37 Emmanuel Ibe Kachikwu 56 40 5 +35 Solomon Dalong 56 40 5 +35 Ogbonnaya Onu 59 41 7 +34 Udo Udoma 53 37 5 +32 Rotimi Amaechi 89 54 24 +30 Lai Mohammed 62 40 10 +30 Amina Mohammed 51 35 6 +29 Abubakar Malami (SAN) 48 33 5 +28 Audu Ogbe 65 41 13 +28 Kemi Adeosun 49 33 6 +27 Ahmed Ibeto 47 32 5 +27 Abdulrahama Danbazzau 50 33 7 +26 Adebayo Shittu 47 30 5 +25 Ibrahim Usman Jubrin 48 31 6 +25 Suleiman Adamu 44 29 4 +25 Osagie Ehaneri 46 29 6 +23 Hadi Sirika 42 26 6 +20 Finally on this poll, respondents were asked what names they would like to see for possible recommendation in the subsequent Ministerial list. Findings revealed that on the one hand, about half (52 percent) of the respondents who showed awareness of the recently released Ministerial list, are just satisfied with the names on the list such that they have no recommendation for subsequent Ministerial list. On the other hand, some respondents (6 percent) indicated Prof Pat Utomi a professor at Lagos Business School, as a possible recommendation for subsequent Ministerial list. This is followed by Femi Falana (SAN) a human rights activist and lawyer in Nigeria (4 percent), Charles Soludo a former Governor of the Central Bank (3 percent), Rabiu Kwankwaso a former Governor of Kano state (3 percent) and Oby Ezekwesili (2 percent). See Table after conclusion for other names mentioned in the survey. Still on governance, NOIPolls conducted the fourth approval rating for President Muhammadu Buhari’s job performance and the ninth in the 2015 monthly series of governance polls, to gauge the opinions and perceptions of Nigerians regarding the approval rating of the President. Findings revealed that a larger proportion of Nigerians (78 percent) approved of the President’s job performance over the past one month. On the other hand, 11 percent of the respondents disapproved of the President Buhari’s job performance, while another 11 percent of Nigerians neither approved nor disapproved of the President’s job performance over the past one month. Further evaluation of the President’s performance by geo-political zone revealed that the North-East zone (94 percent: 65 percent + 29 percent) and the North-West zone (90 percent: 57 percent + 33 percent) accounted for the larger proportion of Nigerians who approved of President Buhari’s job performance, hence impacting the overall increase of the President’s rating in September 2015. Conversely, the South-East zone (29 percent: 25 percent + 4 percent) and the South-South zone (22 percent: 18 percent + 4 percent) accounted for the largest ratio of respondents who disapproved of the President’s job performance. Subsequently, respondents were asked to state the reasons for approving or disapproving the President’s performance. The result revealed that ‘Improved security’ (21 percent) topped the lists of reasons for approving the President’s job performance in September 2015. Other reasons on the list includes ‘improved power supply’ (19 percent) and ‘campaign against corruption’ (11 percent) amongst other reasons given by Nigerians. Conversely, Nigerians who disapproved the President’s job performance specifying that ‘there ‘hasn’t been any feasible changes in governance’ (65 percent) and ‘delay in appointing ministers’ (16 percent) among others reasons. Conclusion Following the recent release of the Ministerial list, Nigerians (68 percent) have shown some support for the nominees; with Babatunde Raji Fashola SAN (44 percent), a former Lagos State Governor, Rotimi Amaechi (31 percent), former state Governor of Rivers State. Aisha Alhassan a former Senator representing Taraba North constituency of Taraba State, and Chris Ngige former state governor of Anambra State (25 percent) topping the list as names most appealing to Nigerians. As Nigerians await the release of the second list some respondents indicated Prof Pat Utomi (6 percent), Femi Falana (SAN) (4 percent), Charles Soludo (3 percent), Rabiu Kwankwaso (3 percent) and Oby Ezekwesili (2 percent) as possible recommendations for subsequent Ministerial list. Finally, while Nigerians endorse the Ministerial nominees, the fate of these nominees will be determined by the final outcome of the screening process by the senate, commencing on the same date as this release (Tuesday 13th October 2015). Table: Other Names Listed by Nigerians for Subsequent Ministerial List S/N Names % S/N Names % S/N Names % S/N Names % 1 Aisha Dimani Adamawa 1 36 Jim Ovia 0 71 Onyemuche Nnamani 0 106 David Uwais Sam 0 2 Abike Dabiri 1 37 Chief Eze Duruiheamo 0 72 Okechukwu Osita 0 107 Mike Oshobuge 0 3 Ahmed Ali Kaduna 1 38 Ahmed Tinubu 0 73 Faruku Adamu Aliyu 0 108 Frank Nweke Junior 0 4 Adams Oshiomhole 1 39 Abba Moro 0 74 Goodluck Jonathan 0 109 Gorge Akume 0 5 Abdulrazak Namdas 1 40 Mr. Shekarau 0 75 Jubril Aminu 0 110 Prof Michael Adiku Vc Uni 0 6 Ahmed Aboki 1 41 Abubakar Tsav 0 76 Ibrahim Tappa 0 111 Zayyanu Mohammed Na Allah 0 7 Aisha Gidado 1 42 Ahmed Umaru Fintiri 0 77 Buba Maruwa 0 112 Ibrahim Umar Aniyeiye 0 8 Adesina Akinwunmi 1 43 Abubukar Gada 0 78 Bomi Haruna 0 113 Maniru Mohammed 0 9 Alao Akala 1 44 Abdullahim Idde 0 79 Muhammadu Megar 0 114 Bello Suleiman – Sokoto 0 10 Dele Momodu 1 45 Abdulhasis Yar’dar 0 80 Usman Sa’idu Nasamu Dakin 0 115 Balarabe Musa 0 11 Pastor Tunde Bakare 1 46 Aisha Dinami 0 81 Buhari Bala – Kebbi 0 116 Proffessor Ango Abdullahi 0 12 Steve Torkuma Ugbah 1 47 Adeyemi Kufiriji 0 82 Dr Ibrahim .M. 0 117 Saidu Dakingari 0 13 Atahiru Jega 1 48 Ahmed Markarfi 0 83 Hajiya Ladahatu 0 118 Suleiman Adebayo – Ogun Sta 0 14 Buhari Bello 1 49 Alozie Leah Nwadinma 0 84 Malam Sani Aliyu 0 119 Uche Ogocha – Imo Senator 0 15 Festus Odimegwu 1 50 Lola Shoneyin 0 85 Mataima Sule – Kano 0 120 Aleiro – Former Fct Minister 0 16 Donald Duke 1 51 Olagunsoye Oyinlola 0 86 Mukthar Babayo 0 121 Faruk Adamu Aliyu – Jigawa State 0 17 Rochas Okorocha 1 52 Chief Olorunfunmi Bashorun 0 87 Fintiri -Ex Adamawa Speaker 0 122 Victor Attah – Akwa Ibom State 0 18 Yusfu Mataima Tuga -Bauchi 1 53 Ademola Adeniji Adele 0 88 Danjuma Goje 0 123 Sullivan Iheanacho 0 19 Bamaga Tukur 1 54 Taofeek Kashimawo 0 89 Aisha Jimani 0 124 Prof Chris Okoroafor 0 20 Mutarla Nyako 1 55 Jafaru Isa – Kano State 0 90 Festus Keyamo 0 125 Suleiman Abba. 0 21 Peter Obi 1 56 Timi Alaibe 0 91 Bar. David Ocholi 0 126 Mallam Ibrahim Shekarau 0 22 Balarabe Musa 1 57 Peremobowei Ebebi 0 92 John Oyegun 0 127 Uyi Edgbe 0 23 Ibrahim Umar – Kebbi State) 1 58 Pro Bolaji Akinyemi 0 93 Barth Nnaji 0 128 Daniel Edebri 0 24 Nmamdina Abdulraham 1 59 Chimaroke Nnamani 0 94 Segun Oni 0 129 Mike Onlememen 0 25 Justice Magomega 1 60 Baba Nwanna 0 95 Rt Col. Abubakar Umar 0 130 Prof. Osugbo 0 26 Zakari Salihu 1 61 Chief Okey Ezea(Ideke) 0 96 Prof Isaac Adewole 0 131 Mr Solomon Ogba 0 27 Babangida Aliyu 1 62 Kolade Christopher Sure-P 0 97 Anyim Pius Anyim 0 132 Rev. Olu Martins 0 28 Sullivan Chime 1 63 James Bala Nglari 0 98 Dakuku Peterside 0 133 Fani Kayode 0 29 Babatunde Fashola 1 64 Buba Galadima 0 99 Mohammed Marazu Tsiga 0 134 Emmanuel Jime 0 30 Nasir El-Rufai 1 65 Attihiru Bafarawa 0 100 Prof. J.D Amin 0 135 Mrs Lawrencia Laraba-Mallam 0 31 Nana Dawodu 0 66 Saidu Nasumu Dargri 0 101 Shaibu Mugadi Dan Jarida 0 0 32 Professor Daniel Saror 0 67 Aliyu Wammako 0 102 Ibrahim Birnin Gfada 0 0 33 Dr Paul Unongo 0 68 Boss Mustapha 0 103 Wole Soyinka 0 34 Alhaji Ahmed Rufai Sani Yerima 0 69 Sani Aliyu Zuru 0 104 Labara Maku 0 35 Nuhu Ribadu 0 70 Ankpai Daniel 0 105 Tam David West 0 Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in the week of October 5th 2015. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited is No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa. We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1] http://www.punchng.com/news/protests-as-saraki-unveils-buharis-ministerial-list/

  • Nigeria At 55; ‘Unity Of The Nation’ and ‘Telecommunications’ considered Top

    Abuja, Nigeria. September 29th, 2015 – The yearly Independence Day Special Edition Poll results released by NOIPolls Limited have revealed that Nigerians consider ‘unity of the nation’ (20 percent) as the most important achievement of the nation since independence; alongside Telecommunications (15 percent) and Democracy (13 percent). These have remained consistent in the top three greatest achievements of Nigeria as perceived by Nigerians over the past three years. Moreover, security topped the list of the most important issues Nigeria as a nation should address in the next one year as reported by majority of Nigerians (22 percent each). More findings revealed that most Nigerians (84 percent) believe the Nigerian Independence day is worth celebrating because it signifies ‘the day Nigeria was liberated from colonial rule’ (26 percent) and some say ‘it fosters Peace and unity’ (13 percent) in the country amongst other positive reasons. On the other hand, some Nigerians (16 percent) think the Independence day is not worth celebrating, mainly due to ‘poor development’ (23 percent) in the country, hence no need to celebrate the Nigerian Independence Day. Finally, as Nigeria celebrates 55 years of independence, Nigerians have declared they love being Nigerians and this is mostly due to the perceived ‘peace and unity’ (22 percent) that exist in the country, as well as the ‘cultural diversity’ (16 percent) as one of the  key characteristics of the nation. In addition, ‘Late Dr. Nnamdi Azikiwe’ (13 percent), ‘Late Chief Obafemi Awolowo’(12 percent) and Muhammadu Buhari (12 percent) topped the list of Nigeria’s founding fathers/leaders who have inspired Nigerians the most. These are the key findings from the 55th Independence Day Special Edition Poll conducted in the week of September 21st 2015. Brief Background The Amalgamation of the British protectorates in 1914 and the subsequent Independence of the nation in 1960 has been very symbolic in the history of Nigeria.  On the 1st of October 1960, the sovereign rights of the Nigerian nation seized by the British were eventually recovered and welcomed with great joy by the Nigerian people. Since then, 1st October has been celebrated annually to mark the independence of a people who had been under decades of colonial rule. Nationwide, ceremonious parades, military processions and speeches, culminating with the remembrance of founding fathers who played critical roles in the struggle for the country’s independence and subsequent democracy, fallen heroes and a spray of confetti is observed. October 1, 2015 marks Nigeria’s 55th Independence celebration, and as usual, the Nigerian people have their views on various topics and issues that affect the nation. Against this background, NOIPolls conducted its fourth yearly Independence poll to seek the perceptions of Nigerians regarding the Nigerian Independence, their level of Patriotism, and Nation-building. Survey Findings Respondents to the poll were asked six specific questions. Respondents to the first question were asked: In your opinion, do you think Nigeria Independence is worth celebrating? The outcome revealed that majority of adult Nigerians (84 percent) surveyed believe that the Nigeria Independence day is worth celebrating and this cuts across gender, geo-political zone and age-group. Respondents were further asked: What is the reason for your response above? a larger proportion of Nigerians  (26 percent) think the independence Day is worth celebrating because it signifies ‘the day Nigeria was liberated from colonial rule’ and that ‘it fosters Peace and unity’ (13 percent) in the country amongst other positive reasons. On the other hand, most respondents who think the Independence Day is not worth celebrating believe there has been ‘poor development’ (23 percent) ‘, ‘nothing to show for it’ (14 percent),  and that the ‘economy is declining’ (13 percent), hence no need to celebrate the Nigeria Independence Day. Thirdly, respondents were asked: What do you love most about being a Nigerian? The survey revealed that most Nigerians love being Nigerians because of the perceived ‘peace and unity’ (22 percent) that exist in the country. 16 percent say it is because of the ‘cultural diversity’ in Nigeria amongst other reasons. It is worth noting that Nigeria has over 250 cultural heritages. Nigeria’s rich heritage speak volumes of the adaptability and diligence of her people. Subsequently, to ascertain which Nigeria’s leader inspire Nigerians the most, respondents were asked: In your opinion, which Nigeria’s founding father/past leaders inspire you the most? The findings revealed that most Nigerians (13 percent) are ordinarily inspired by Late Dr. Nnamdi Azikiwe. He was one of the leading figures of modern Nigerian nationalism and the head of state of Nigeria from 1963 to 1966. He served as the second and last Governor-General from 1960 to 1963 and the first President of Nigeria from 1963 to 1966, holding the presidency throughout the Nigerian First Republic.[1] This is closely followed by respondents (12 percent each) who are inspired by Late Chief Obafemi Awolowo and Muhammadu Buhari. Chief Obafemi Awolowo was a Nigerian nationalist and statesman who played a key role in Nigeria’s independence movement, the First and Second Republics and the Civil War. He is most notable as the outstanding first premier of the Western Region but was also a successful federal commissioner for finance and Vice President of the Federal Executive Council in the Civil War and was thrice a major contender for his country’s highest office.[2] Other leaders on the list are Olusegun Obasanjo and Goodluck Jonathan (11 percent each) amongst others. With the aim of ascertaining the most significant issues Nigeria as a nation should address, respondents were asked: What is the single most important issue Nigeria as a nation should address in the next one year? The 2015 responses showed that majority of Nigerians consider ‘corruption’ (22 percent) and ‘security’ (22 percent) as high priority issues Nigeria as a nation should address within the next one year. This could also be tied to the present anti-corruption campaign by the president and the lingering security issues in the North-East region. This is closely followed by ‘job creation’ (21 percent) amongst other issues. In 2014, Security and corruption were considered the top most issues to be addressed. Security in 2014 was at its peak and that was the same year over 200 school girls were abducted from a secondary school in chibok town of Borno state. In 2013, ‘job creation’ (22 percent), and in 2012, ‘electricity’ (18 percent) was considered to be the most important issues Nigeria as nation should address. Finally, to evaluate Nigeria’s greatest achievement since independence, respondents were asked: At 55 years what do you consider to be the greatest achievement of Nigeria? The responses in 2015 revealed that majority of Nigerians (20 percent) believe that ‘unity of the nation’ has been the most important achievement since independence. It was slightly rumoured that the nation Nigeria would divided in 2015, hence the reason for this result. Trend analysis shows that ‘democracy’ was the greatest achievement in Nigeria in 2014 (19 percent) and in 2013 (22 percent). However, ‘unity of the nation’ and ‘telecommunications’ has remained consistent in the top three greatest achievement Nigeria as a nation has achieved since independence as reported by Nigerians. In conclusion, 84 percent of Nigerians believe that the Nigeria Independence day is worth celebrating because it signifies ‘the day Nigeria was free from colonial rule’ while, most respondents who think the Independence Day is not worth celebrating because of ‘poor development’ (23 percent) in the country. More findings show that Nigerians love being Nigerians because of the perceived ‘peace and unity’ (22 percent) that exist in the country. Also, corruption and security topped the list of the most important issues Nigeria as a nation should address in the next one year as reported by majority of Nigerians (22 percent each). Finally, ‘Late Dr. Nnamdi Azikiwe’ (13 percent), ‘Late Chief Obafemi Awolowo’ (12 percent) and muhammadu Buhari (12 percent) topped the list of Nigeria’s founding fathers/leaders who has inspired Nigerian the most and in 2015, ‘unity of the nation’ (20 percent) has been the most important achievement since independence as revealed by adult Nigerians surveyed Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in the week of 21st September 2015. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa. We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com

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