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  • International Youth Day Commemoration; A Call for Youth Inclusiveness

    Abuja, Nigeria. August 14th, 2018 – 12th August every year is the date set aside by the United Nations to commemorate the International Youth Day (IYD), in order to create awareness and advocate the cause of young people all over the world. The commemoration of the day is to draw attention to a given set of cultural and legal issues surrounding the youth population. It is intended as an opportunity for governments and other institutions to draw attention to youth issues worldwide. The theme for the 2018 International Youth Day is “Safe Spaces for Youth”. Youth need safe spaces where they can come together, engage in activities related to their diverse needs and interests, participate in decision making processes and freely express themselves. Safe spaces such as civic spaces enable youth to engage in governance issues. The United Nation Secretary-General, António Guterres, while speaking in an event stated that the hopes of the world rest on young people. He further specified that peace, economic dynamism, social justice, tolerance — all this and more, today and tomorrow, depends on tapping into the power of youth. In commemorating the 2018 International Youth Day, NOIPolls presents a throwback from previous public opinion poll which gauged the perception of Nigerians on the age preference for the 2019 presidential candidate. Spurred by several discussions in the social space, particularly the #NotTooYoungToRun Campaign led by the youth advocacy organisation YIAGA, the poll revealed that Nigerians would prefer middle-aged presidential candidates, between the ages of 40 – 60 years mainly because they are perceived to combine youthful energy, experience and maturity. Interestingly, this finding is consistent with the campaign of civil society organizations on government to place emphasis on youth inclusiveness, in order to ensure a vibrant future for all. With over 60 percent of Nigeria’s population as youth, it is important that young people have access to education, skills and opportunities to enable them contribute to nation building. While commemorating this year’s IYD, the National Treasurer of the National Youth Council of Nigeria, Mr Uko Michael, an umbrella body of Nigerian youth organisations, stated that it is an indisputable fact of history that Nigerian youths contributed immensely to the struggle and campaign for political independence and restoration of democracy. The chart below revealed that 48 percent of Nigerians polled indicated that they would prefer middle-aged presidential candidates. This was followed by 35 percent of the respondents who expressed their preference to see young Nigerians emerging as candidates in 2019; and as expected, respondents aged between 18 – 35 years accounted for the largest proportion (37 percent) in this category. Similarly, in terms of age preference for the 2019 presidential candidates the poll revealed that a significant majority of Nigerians (64 percent) would prefer candidates between the ages of 40 – 50 years; forllowed by 10 percent who prefer candidates between 50 and 60 years old. In order words, almost 8 in 10 respondents (79 percent) would prefer presidential candidates between the ages of 40 and 60 years. Global explosion in knowledge and social consciousness have enhanced the capacity of Nigerian youths. However, their ability to utilize these resources effectively to drive national transformation would depend on the leadership opportunities available to them. The chart below revealed that although a vast majority of Nigerians say they would support young to middle-aged pesidential candidates in 2019, there are still some key hinderances preventing younger politicians and professionals from vying for elective public offices. Top amongst the factors mentioned include: financial constraints (40 percent), godfatherism and political cabal (23 percent), lack of experience (15 percent) and lack of political platforms (10 percent) amongst other factors. In conclusion, the poll revealed that most Nigerians prefer young (35 percent) to middle-aged (48 percent) presidential candidates in the 2019 presidential elections. However, the reality has been that young Nigerians are often excluded or overlooked as political candidates. Politics is typically regarded as a space for politically experienced men, hence young people are systematically marginalized because of their age, fierce competition for limited positions, and projected lack of experience. According to an independent research by the British Council, by 2030; “Youth not oil, will be Nigeria’s greatest asset”.[1] However, the way Nigeria regards the youth and their place in the leadership of this nation is fundamental to youth inclusion and political representation. Lastly, it is pertinent that young Nigerians volunteer and vye for various political and non-political roles so as to contribute meaningfully to national development. Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. For more information, please visit our website www.noi-polls.com and you can also download our mobile app NOIPolls on your smart phone. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1] https://theg6nation.blogspot.com/2014/12/rethink-what-nigeria-demands-is.html

  • Nigerian Taxation System; A Call for Awareness, Simplicity, Transparency and Efficiency

    Abuja, Nigeria. August 7th, 2018 – An excerpt from NOIPolls National Survey conducted in 2017 has revealed that a larger proportion (47 percent) of the adult population believe that taxes paid by Nigerians are not used for the right purpose of infrastructural development and services but rather used for something else. Corroborating these findings, an analysis of the Federal Government Budget for the past few years by Price Water House Coopers (PwC) in 2015 shows that tax revenue has essentially been spent on debt financing and recurrent expenditure, a significant amount of which goes to salaries, travels and other overheads. More findings revealed that the greater proportion of Nigerians are not compliant with tax laws as 46 percent claimed they do not pay their income taxes and 7 percent reported that they are unaware of tax payment. However, 44 percent of adult population claimed that they pay their income taxes and adults in urban areas (45 percent) are more likely to pay their income taxes more than those in rural areas (42 percent). The survey report further identified that when disaggregated by region, the proportion of adults who pay their income taxes are highest in North-Central (58 percent), while the regions that are most likely not to pay their income taxes are adults from the North-West (56 percent). Regarding the issue of VAT, about half (43 percent) of the adult population (which formed the majority) stated that the current rate of 5% VAT regime is too high. Finally, the survey report identified that, more than one-third of the adult population (38 percent) think that Nigeria’s tax procedures are not simple to understand and easy to obey. In line with the ‘Ease of Paying Taxes’, Nigeria is currently ranked 145th out of the 190 countries rated globally on the 2018 World Bank Ease of Doing Business Index .[1] However, in February 2017, the Federal Executive Council approved the revised National Tax Policy in order to have a robust tax system that would promote investment and improve revenue for sustainable national development. The Minister of Finance, Mrs. Kemi Adeosun emphasized that the new tax policies would remove obsolete, ambiguous and contradictory provisions in the laws, increase government revenue and simplify the process of paying taxes and doing business.[2] Survey Findings Nationwide, 47 percent of the adult population think that taxes paid by Nigerians are “used for something else” other than services and infrastructure development. 36 percent reported that taxes are used for services or infrastructure development. About 16 percent reported that they don’t know what taxes paid are used for. Corroborating these findings, an analysis of the federal government budget for the past few years by PwC (2015) shows that tax revenue has essentially been spent on debt financing and recurrent expenditure, a significant amount of which goes to salaries, travels and other overheads. Furthermore, at a tax stakeholder forum organized by PwC, a survey was conducted to find out why many Nigerians do not pay tax. The result was insightful but not surprising. A majority (70%) said it is because people cannot see taxpayer money at work, 22.5% said it was due to the tax rules that are unclear and compliance processes that are too complex, while 7.5% said it is due to poor enforcement by tax authorities. A major implication of these findings is that judicious use of tax payers’ money should be made seen to have been properly utilized. This will encourage tax payers to continue to pay taxes. Adult males are more likely to think that taxes paid by Nigerians are being used for something else (49 percent) than adult females (45 percent). On the other hand, more women are more likely to report that they don’t know what the taxes paid are being used for (20 percent) than men (13 percent). Middle aged adults who are between 36-60 years of age are most likely to say that tax payers money are used for something else (53 percent) than younger people who are between 18-35 years of age (44 percent). The proportion of adults who are from the South-South region are more likely to say that taxes paid by people are used for something else (65 percent). A number of other studies have shown that government’s fulfillment of social/fiscal contract with their citizens significantly encourages voluntary tax compliance. Nationwide, 44 percent of adult population report that they pay their income taxes, 46 percent do not pay their income taxes, and 7 percent reported that they don’t know about tax payment and 3 percent refused to answer. Compared to the labour workforce of 77 million at the end of 2015 according to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), the number of people in the tax net is only 13%. According to figures from the Joint Tax Board, there are ten million people (precisely 10,006,304) registered for personal income tax purposes in all the states of the federation including the FCT. Out of this, about 4.6 million or 46 percent are registered with the Lagos State Internal Revenue Service (LIRS) indicating an average of 153,000 or 1.5 percent per state for others. In terms of tax payment and gender relationship, poll findings revealed that women are more likely not to pay their taxes (50 percent) than men (42 percent). Older adults who are 61 years and above are most likely to evade tax payment (56 percent) than younger people 18-35 years of age. When disaggregated by region, the proportion of adults who pay their income taxes are highest in North-Central (58 percent). The regions that are most likely not to pay their income taxes are adults from the North-West (56 percent). A major insight of the above findings is that if people do not see their government as accountable, there is an increased likelihood that state demands for payment of taxes will be met with non-compliance. The NBS recently released tax collection data by 29 states of the federation which totaled N317.79bn out of which Lagos State recorded the highest Internally Generated Revenue (IGR) figure of N150.59bn, which is 47 percent of the total revenue collected by all the states of the federation in half year 2016. In terms of urban-rural split, adults in urban areas (45 percent) are more likely to pay their income taxes more than those in rural areas (42 percent). This is not surprising as those who live in the cities are more likely to be gainfully employed to pay their personal income taxes. Furthermore, a large proportion (43 percent) of the adult population stated that the current rate of 5% VAT regime is too high. 28 percent indicated that it’s about right, only 4 percent mentioned that it’s too low. 23 percent reported that they don’t know whether it’s too high or low. With respect to VAT, the finance minister was recently quoted as saying the rate of compliance is about 12 percent. More males (44 percent) say that the current rate of 5% VAT is too high against 41 percent of adult females. Younger people who are between 18-35 years of age are more likely to say that the current 5% VAT regime is too high (49 percent) than older adults 61 years and above (36 percent). By region, the largest share of adults who reported that the 5% VAT is too high came from the South-South region (58 percent) and South-East region (53 percent). On the other hand, the adult population from North-Central (37 percent) region are more likely to say that the 5% VAT regime is about right than other regions. There is a marginal variation in the perception of the current 5% VAT regime between urban and rural adult population. Adults who live in urban areas are slightly more likely to perceive the current 5% VAT as too high (44 percent) than those in rural areas (43 percent). Nationwide, more than one-third of the adult population (38 percent) think that Nigeria’s tax procedures are not simple to understand and easy to obey, confirming the need to simplify the tax procedure as highlighted by the 2017 World Bank Ease of Doing Business Report. Both adult males and females also think the tax procedures are not simple to understand, representing 39 percent and 37 percent respectively. Younger people who are between 18-35 years of age are more likely to understand the tax procedures (45 percent) than older adults who are between 36-60 years of age (32 percent). In conclusion, one of the main reasons why majority of Nigerians are averse to payment of taxes (47 percent of the adult population) is that they think that taxes paid by the citizens are “used for something else” other than services and infrastructure development. Government and policy makers should create awareness on what the tax payers’ money are used for, and transparency is very critical in changing this negative perception. There is need for public sensitization on the need to pay tax given the high number of people who reported that they don’t pay their income taxes. Government should make effort to have a credible database of its citizens who are gainfully employed and subject to income tax. Majority of the population (38 percent) think that Nigeria’s tax procedures are not simple to understand and easy to obey, confirming the need to simplify the tax procedure as highlighted by the 2017 World Bank Ease of Doing Business Report. There is need for government to engage the private sector to simplify the tax assessment and payment procedures. Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1] https://www.vanguardngr.com/2017/10/nigeria-moves-24-points-world-bank-ease-business/ [2] https://www.vanguardngr.com/2018/06/fg-approves-2-executive-orders-5-amendment-bills-reduce-tax-burden-nigerians/

  • Quarter 2, 2018; The NOIPolls Personal Well-Being Index at 65.2-points

    Abuja, Nigeria. July 31st, 2018-The NOIPolls Personal Well-Being Index (PWBI) report for Q2, 2018 revealed a minimal increase of 0.4-point to stand at 65.2-points from 64.8-points obtained in Q1, 2018. The magnitude of the positive perception of the various aspects of one’s life, altogether, is determined by the Personal Well-Being Index. Four out of the seven factors that constitute the PWBI experienced an increase while the remaining three experienced a decrease. The highest increase, as usual, was seen in the Religion Index with a 1.2-point increase to stand at 90.3-points from the 89.1-points obtained in Q1, 2018.  Interestingly, the Economic Index also increased, though minimally, to 42-points in Q2, 2018 from 41.8-points of Q1, 2018, indicating a 0.2-point difference. This slight increase corroborates the report by the Federal Government of Nigeria that Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2018 and over the medium term witnessed an upward trend. This win, according to the Ministry of Budget and National Planning was achieved as a result of series of short term interventions aimed at reflating the economy. Economist and stakeholders in the ministry have also attributed the country’s growth acceleration to improved oil prices, revenue, production, and the recently introduced foreign exchange measures that contributed to better foreign exchange availability.[1] On the contrary, the Personal Security Index saw the highest decline of 1.1-point to stand at 63.5-points in Q2, 2018 from 64.6-points obtained in Q1, 2018. The reason for the drop in the Personal Security Index may not be far from the series of security breaches across the length and breadth of the country which require urgent and stringent steps to contain them. These are the key highlights from the Q2, 2018 Personal Well-Being Index survey. In February 2014, NOIPolls Limited introduced its portfolio of indices; the NOIPolls Personal Well-Being Index (PWBI), the NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) and the NOIPolls Eagle 30 Business Confidence Index (EBCI). The NOIPolls Personal Well-Being Index measures factors impacting on the lives of everyday Nigerians; thereby producing a complete view of the individual’s personal well-being. The NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index provides consumer assessments of the economic situation and their intentions and expectations for the future. The NOIPolls Eagle 30 Business Confidence Index measures business leaders’ perceptions and expectations about the Nigerian business environment using the top 30 companies in the country. Nigerian businesses, financial and government agencies largely depend on the perceptions and micro assessment of consumers’ expectation in making decisions. At best, they draw conclusions on the business environment based on information from their immediate surroundings, while the minorities conduct surveys that are time and money consuming. However, the introduction of these indices provides indicators that will ensure stakeholders can detect and respond to changes in consumer behaviour, the economy, and the business environment in Nigeria. This report presents the Q2, 2018 results for the NOIPolls Personal Well Being Index (PWBI). THE NOIPOLLS PERSONAL WELL-BEING INDEX (PWBI) Findings from the Q2, 2018 report revealed a slight upward trend in the PWBI to stand at 65.2-points. It is worthy to note that the Religion Index, which measures people’s satisfaction with their personal religion, has always been a major influencing factor in the overall PWBI.  Additionally, a breakdown of the seven key indicators that make up the PWBI showed that Nigerians were mostly satisfied in terms of Religion (90.3-points), Social Interaction (79.3-points), Physical Health (76.6-points) and Personal Security (63.5-points). All those indices are above average. Also, the findings indicated that Nigerians were rather neutral in terms of their Achievement in Life (53.1-points) and Standard of Living (51.8-points) indices while some Nigerians were not satisfied with their personal economic situation (42-points) index, which happens to be the lowest ranked among the indices. These seven (7) key indicators that comprise of the PWBI are highlighted in the chart below; Personal Standard of Living Index – 51.8 The Personal Standard of Living Index decreased by 0.2-point in Q2, 2018 from the 52-points obtained in Q1, 2018 to stand at 51.8-points and is indicative of a slight negative trend in the satisfaction of Nigerians in their Personal Standard of Living in Q2, 2018. Personal Health index – 76.6 This index also decreased with 0.2-point to stand at 76.6-points in Q2, 2018 in comparison with 76.8-points obtained in Q1, 2018. Personal Achievement Index – 53.1 This index increased marginally by 0.8-point to stand at 53.1-points, indicating a neutral stance in the level of satisfaction in the personal achievements of Nigerians in Q2, 2018. Personal Security Index – 63.5 The personal security index decreased from 64.6-points in Q1, 2018 to 63.5-points in Q2, 2018 representing the highest decrease of 1.1-points. Personal Social Interaction Index – 79.3 This index experienced an increase of 0.9-point to stand at 79.3-points in Q2, 2018. This shows that Nigerians still have a high level of social interactions amongst themselves. This is even most compelling in a multi-ethnic and multi-cultural society like Nigeria. Personal Religion Index – 90.3 The Personal Religion Index has always been the highest index amongst the indexes, which is suggestive of how religious the citizens are. The Personal Religion Index increased by 1.2-points to stand at 90.3-points in Q2, 2018 from 89.1-points obtained in Q1, 2018. Economic Index – 42.0 The Economic Index also witnessed a minimal increase of 0.2-point to stand at 42-points in Q2, 2018 from 41.8-points of Q1, 2018. This index has consistently been the lowest ranked index over the years and this implies that much is still needed to reinvigorate the economy of the nation. TREND ANALYSIS A study of the trend analysis of the results obtained from the Q2, 2018 PWBI showed that four out of all the seven key indicators that constitute the PWBI increased while the remaining three indices experienced a decline. Furthermore, the quarter-on-quarter analysis showed that the NOIPolls PWBI experienced a minimal increase of 0.4-point to stand 65.2-points in Q2, 2018 when compared to 64.8-points of Q1, 2018. Finally, results obtained from the NOIPolls PWBI for Q2, 2018 revealed that there was a nominal increase of 0.4-point in the Personal Wellbeing of Nigerians but majority are yet to be satisfied with their Economic Situation, as the index stood at 42-points and still remained the lowest ranked index amongst the seven factors that made up the NOIPolls PWBI. Although, the Economic Index increased marginally, it has consistently ranked below average. Also, the Religion and Social Indexes witnessed an increase of 1.2-points and 0.9-point respectively, therefore, wellbeing may be best thought of as a self-motivated process, evolving from the way in which people interrelate with the world around them. Previous studies suggest that there is a very high tendency for people to become successful in life, build a strong bond or cohesive relationships and contribute to a stronger community when they are happier, leading to a healthier society (economy). Also, improved indicators of the personal wellbeing (Personal Standard of Living, Personal Health, Personal Achievements in Life, Personal Security, Personal Social Interaction, Personal Religion and Economic Situation) can have a range of benefits for the communities in which we live, thereby, strengthening our economy. Hence, there should be concerted efforts to bring wellbeing into policy-making in Nigeria. The Ministries, Departments and Agencies that form the Nigerian government should be required to provide reports on how their policies will improve wellbeing, as one of the key aims of government is to promote a good life: a life which has meaning and in which people feel happy. Survey Methods The Personal Well Being Index Poll was conducted in Quarter 2, 2018. The PWBI involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa. We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com and you can download our mobile app NOIPolls on your smartphone. Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1] http://dailypost.ng/2018/06/01/buhari-govt-gives-update-nigerias-2018-economic-outlook/

  • Quarter 2, 2018; The NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index at 67-points.

    Abuja, Nigeria. July 24th, 2018 – The NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) report released by NOIPolls for Q2, 2018 has revealed a 1.4-points increase in the CCI to stand at 67-points in Q2, 2018 from 65.6-points in Q1, 2018. This signifies that the tendency of Nigerian households to spend slightly increased in Q2, 2018. The NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index measures how optimistic or pessimistic consumers are regarding their present and future economic prospects. This slight increase in the NOIPolls CCI corroborates findings from the Consumer Expectation Survey (CES) conducted by the Central Bank of Nigeria and Trading Economics, which revealed that Consumer Confidence in Nigeria increased in the second quarter of 2018.[1] Furthermore, the two variables that make up the CCI; the Present Situation Index (PSI) and the Expectation Index (EI) both experienced an increase. The PSI increased by 4.2-points from the results obtained in Q1, 2018 to stand at 43.2 -points in Q2, 2018. Similarly, the EI increased by 4.9-points to stand at 84.8-points. These are the key highlights from the Q2, 2018 Portfolio of Indices Press Release. In February 2014, NOIPolls Limited introduced its portfolio of indices; the NOIPolls Personal Well-Being Index (PWBI), the NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) and the NOIPolls Eagle 30 Business Confidence Index (EBCI). The NOIPolls Personal Well-Being Index measures factors impacting on the lives of everyday Nigerians; thereby producing a complete view of the individual’s personal well-being. The NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index provides consumer assessments of the economic situation and their intentions and expectations for the future. The NOIPolls Eagle 30 Business Confidence Index measures business leaders’ perceptions and expectations about the Nigerian business environment using the top 30 companies in the country. Nigerian businesses, financial and government agencies largely depend on their perceptions and micro assessment of consumers’ expectation in making decisions. At best, they draw conclusion on the business environment based on information from their immediate surroundings while the minorities conduct surveys that are time and money consuming. However, the introduction of these indices provides indicators that will ensure stakeholders can detect and respond to changes in consumer behaviour, the economy, and the business environment in Nigeria. This report presents the Q2, 2018 results for the NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index (CCI). THE NOIPOLLS CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX (CCI) The NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) in Q2, 2018 experienced an increase of 1.4-points to stand at 67-points. This is instructive that citizen’s tendencies to spend in Q2, 2018 increased slightly, and may have had a direct impact on the flow of some business activities within that period. The figure below shows the two variables that make up the NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index; the Present Situation Index (PSI) and the Expectation Index (EI). The Present Situation Index (PSI) which measures the current perception of consumers regarding their propensity to spend stood at 43.2-points in Q2. Also, the Expectation Index is based on consumers’ perceptions of their future (3 months) and it stood at 84.8-points in Q2, 2018. There are 7 variables that comprise the PSI and EI and each of these variables indicated positive increase except for the Expected Country’s Economic Situation, Expected Employment Condition and Expected prices of goods and services indices which all experienced a decrease. These are highlighted below; Current Economic Situation Index – 44.1 The Current Economic Situation Index experienced the highest increase of 4.9-points to stand at 44.1-points compared to the result obtained in Q1, 2018 (39.2-points). Expectation of the Country’s Economic Situation Index – 93.7 This index decreased by 0.2-point to stand at 93.7 in Q2 2018, signifying that consumers are hopeful that the country’s economic situation will improve. Current Employment Condition Index – 58.5 The Current Employment Situation   index increased by 4.8-point to stand at 58.5 in Q2, 2018. Expected Employment Condition Index – 97.6 This Index decreased by 0.4-point to stand at 97.6-points in Q2, 2018. Current Prices of Goods and Services Index – 27.0 The Current Prices of Goods and Services Index experienced an increase of 3-points in Q2, 2018. Expectation of Prices of Goods and Services Index – 81.1 The Expectation of Prices of Goods and Services Index decreased by 0.2-points to stand at 81.1-points in Q2, 2018. Expected Total Family Income Index – 66.7 The Expected Total Family Income Index increased by 1.8-points to stand at 66.7-points in Q2, 2018. TREND ANALYSIS Trend analysis revealed that the CCI, PSI and the EI all increased when compared with results obtained in Q1, 2018. In conclusion, the NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index increased by 1.4-points in Q2, 2018 to stand at 67-points when compared to Q1, 2018. The CCI helps in measuring the degree of optimism consumers have about the economy and their personal finances. It is important to note that the CCI is an opinion poll therefore, consumers may overreact or underreact to certain aspects of the economy, and their opinions will reflect this. Therefore, investors and stock market analysts are advised to monitor the Consumer Confidence Index closely so as to know when to buy stocks if the consumer confidence index rises, as indicated in this data. Finally, investors should be cautious as the stock market can move dramatically on the day the Index is published especially if there is a lot of uncertainty about the economy. Survey Methods The Consumer Confidence Index Poll was conducted in Quarter 2, 2018. The CCI involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa. We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1] https://tradingeconomics.com/nigeria/consumer-confidence?continent=g20

  • 2nd Ekiti Guber Pre-Election Poll (9th-12th July, 2018): Eleka in strong 25 points lead over Fayemi

    Abuja, Nigeria. July 12th, 2018 – Ahead of the July 14th 2018 governorship election in Ekiti State, a new public opinion poll by NOIPolls has again tipped Professor Kolapo Olusola (Eleka), candidate of the People Democratic Party (PDP) to win the governorship race over Dr. John Kayode Fayemi (JKF), candidate of the All Progressives Congress (APC). This 2nd poll conducted in the first four days of the election week (9th – 12th July, 2018) reveals that Professor Olusola now leads Dr. Fayemi by a significant 25 percentage point; up from 8 percentage point lead revealed in the 1st pre-election poll conducted between 18th and 23rd June, 2018. For the poll, 1,000 randomly selected telephone-owning adult respondents were interviewed across Ekiti state via telephone: Professor Olusola, fondly known as Eleka polled 57 percent; Dr. Fayemi (JKF) polled 32 percent; and Otunba Segun Adewale of ADP, fondly called Oshaprapra (2 percent). Interestingly, the poll also revealed that while 98 percent of respondents claimed to have their PVCs, 91 percent were absolutely certain they would come out and vote for the gubernatorial candidate of their choice on 14th July 2018. About NOIPolls & the Poll Methodology NOIPolls is Nigeria’s premier public opinion polling institution, which conducts periodic opinion polls, surveys and studies on socio-economic and political of diverse issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com. The poll was conducted between July 9th and 12th 2018. It involved telephone interviews of a representative random state-wide sample in Ekiti State. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning residents of the state aged 18 years and above, representing the three senatorial districts of the state, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. Of the 1,000 completed interviews, 51 percent were male and 49 percent female respondents. Samples for the poll were selected randomly for the senatorial districts in representation of the state’s population – Ekiti Central (41 percent), Ekiti South (33 percent), and Ekiti North (26 percent); with interviews representatively conducted in all the 13 LGAs of the state. Also, 39 percent of respondents were aged between 18 and 35 years; 54 percent between 36 and 60 years; and 7 percent above 61 years. In terms of employment status of respondents, top 5 respondents are: Self-employed traders (31 percent), Civil servants (22 percent), Unemployed young people (9 percent), Business men/women (9 percent) and Students (8 percent). Signed Dr. Bell Ihua CEO NOIPolls 12-July-2018

  • New Poll: Spend Abacha Loot on Jobs, Power and Healthcare

    Abuja, Nigeria. July 10th, 2018 – In a new public opinion poll conducted by NOIPolls, Nigerians have urged the President, Muhammadu Buhari to spend the recently recovered $322 million Abacha loot on job creation, improving electricity supply, boosting healthcare and building new roads. These were the top four recommendations proffered by Nigerians in the poll which sought the opinions of Nigerians on the awareness of the recently recovered Abacha loot and what the funds received should be spent on. Interestingly, the proposed plan of the federal government to share the recovered funds to the poorest of the poor in the society came 5th on the line of suggestions, thereby indicating that Nigerians consider Jobs, Electricity and Healthcare as top priorities calling for urgent attention. Following the news of the recently repatriated $322 million from the Government of Switzerland and plans by the Federal Government of Nigeria to expend the funds on its Conditional Cash Transfer (CCT) Social Investment Programme target poor and vulnerable citizens; there have been mixed reactions in the media and social space. In this regard, NOIPolls, the nation’s barometer conducted a poll to feel the pulse of Nigerians on the issue. The poll was conducted between the 2nd and 6th of July 2018, with 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians interviewed across the country; and representing the 6 geo-political zones. Firstly, the poll sought to assess the level of awareness of Nigerians on the recently recovered $322 Million, fondly referred to as Abacha Loot. It was found that 8 in 10 Nigerians (80 percent) said they are aware of the recently recovered Abacha Loot, leaving only 20 percent who are unaware. Interestingly, the data revealed that more Men (84 percent) than Women (75 percent), and respondents above 36 years of age (82 percent) said they are aware of the recovered loot; while respondents in the North-East (89 percent) and South-West (85 percent) geopolitical zones seem to be more aware of the news of the recovered loot. The second key question sought the opinion of Nigerians on how the repatriated Abacha Loot should be spent. From the results of the poll, about a third (30 percent) of Nigerians interviewed were of the opinion that the government of President Muhammadu Buhari should use the funds to create employment opportunities in the country. This is not surprising, given the current youth bulge experienced in the country and the level of unemployment, particularly amongst young people aged between 18 and 35 years. This was followed by 20 percent who suggested that government should expend the recovered funds on improving the power supply in the country; while another 20 percent suggest that government should build hospitals and improve healthcare in the country. These are also linked to job creation and enhancing human capital development in the country, as it has been argued that when the people have access to electricity, they would be able to create their own jobs; and when the people have good healthcare it would improve their life expectancy, and ultimately their capacity to contribute to developing the country. In addition, 15 percent were of the opinion that part of the recovered funds should be channeled to building new roads and rail links across the country; with 10 percent suggesting that the funds be shared amongst the poorest Nigerians. It is instructive to note that the proposal of the Federal Government to share the recovered funds to poor Nigerians came 5th on the list of what Nigerians consider top priorities to be handled by the government. Further analysis from the data revealed varoius priorities across the six geo-political zones on how the funds should be spent. For instance, Nigerians residing in the South-West (30 percent), South-South (30 percent) and South-East (30 percent) regions want the Federal Government to create employment opportunities with the recovered funds. This is not surprising given the population density and unemployment rate in these regions. Similarly, respondents in the South-East (27 percent) and South-West (24 percent) clamour for improved power supply. Again, these are regions that hold the industrial base of the country, and would require stable power supply to drive the country’s industrial capacity. In the same vein, those residing in the North-West zone (25 percent) would like the funds to be used to build hospitals and improve healthcare; while those in the North-East (15 percent) want the funds to be invested in agriculture given the land mass and agricultural resources available in the region. The third key question sought the opinions of Nigerians on what needs to be done to prevent further outrageous looting of public funds in Nigeria. Interestingly, the findings demonstrate the level of anger expressed by Nigerians, particularly on the issue of corruption and the need to totally prevent recurrence of looting. A third of the respondents recommended life imprisonment for offenders (30 percent); followed by 25 percent who were of the opinion that death penalty be introduced and 20 percent who said offenders should be punished severely amongst other measures. In conclusion, this new poll has clearly revealed what Nigerians consider their topmost priorities and how they believe the government should spend the recovered Abacha Loot. In their opinion, government should spend the recovered funds in this order: (1) promoting job creation, (2) improving electricity supply, (3) enhancing healthcare access and universal healthcare coverage for all Nigerians, and (4) improving the state of Nigerian roads and rail infrastrcuture, and (5) sharing some money to the poorest of the poor Nigerians, amongst others. According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the country’s unemployment rate rose from 14.2 percent to 18.8 percent in 2017, indicating an increase of additional 1.2 million in Nigeria’s unemployed labour population.[1] Unemployment remains a crucial issue facing the country, and the message from this poll is crystal clear. There’s need for government to: direct significant amount of funds to development projects with the capacity to create large number of jobs for the teeming unemployed youths (such as the revamping of Ajaokuta Steel); work towards improving the enabling environment to enhance increased productivity within the private sector; and support programmes aimed at promoting entrepreneurship development amongst young Nigerians. For instance, funds ought to be directed to social investment programmes such as the Government Enterprise Empowerment Programme (GEEP) and YouWin which does not only support young entrepreneurs to start their businesses, but also gives them the opportunity to become employers of labour. Finally, a significant proportion of Nigerians have advocated for life imprisonment and death sentence for looters of public funds amongst other punitive measures. It is therefore imperative that the Federal Government needs to step up its fight against corruption, and work towards plugging all the loopholes to avoid recurrence of diversion of public funds into private accounts. About NOIPolls & the Poll Methodology NOIPolls is Nigeria’s premier public opinion polling institution, which conducts periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com. The poll was conducted between July 2nd and July 6th, 2018. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. Of the 1,000 completed interviews, 51 percent were male and 49 percent female respondents. Samples for the poll were selected randomly for the 36 states and the FCT in representation of geo-political zone’s population – North-Central (15 percent), North-East (14 percent), North-West (24 percent), South-East (12 percent), South-South (15 percent) and South-West (20 percent). Also, 43 percent of respondents were aged between 18 and 35 years; 53 percent between 36 and 60 years; and 4 percent above 61 years. In terms of employment status of respondents, top 6 respondents are: Self-employed traders (32 percent), Civil servants (20 percent), Unemployed young people (9 percent), Artisans (9 percent), Students (8 percent) Professional workers (8 percent). [1] https://www.vanguardngr.com/2017/12/nigerias-unemployment-rate-rises-14-2-18-8/

  • Emigration of Medical Doctors Still a Major Issue in Nigeria

    Abuja July 3rd, 2018: NOIPolls conducted a survey in 2017 to highlight the issue of doctors’ migrating  en mass for various reasons. Recent figures show that Nigerian doctors are still emigrating in droves to the West especially the United Kingdom as they employ at least 12 new doctors a week[1]. This continuous migration has further worsened the physician-patient ratio in Nigeria from 1:4,000 to 1:5,000, contrary to the World Health Organisation’s (WHO) recommended 1:600.[2] Thus, prompting this press release by   NOIPolls to resound the alarm on this continued menace as a low doctor to patient ratio worsens medical outcomes leading to unnecessary fatalities, avoidable deaths, longer wait times, more frequent medical errors and a general deterioration in the health of Nigeria’s population.[3] The survey conducted by NOIPolls in partnership with Nigeria Health Watch in May 2017, revealed that about 8 out of every 10 (88 percent) medical doctors in Nigeria were currently seeking work opportunities abroad, and this finding cut across junior, mid and senior level doctors in both public and private medical institutions such as house officers, corps members, medical and senior medical officer, residents, registrars, consultants and medical directors. Interestingly, the United Kingdom and the United States are the top destinations where Nigerian medical doctors sought work opportunities. Consequently, at the time of the survey, many Nigerian doctors were currently registered to write foreign medical exams such as PLAB for the UK (30 percent), USMLE for the United States (30 percent), MCCE for Canada (15 percent), AMC for Australia (15 percent) and DHA for Dubai (10 percent) amongst others. Further findings revealed that the reasons for the continuous brain drain in the health sector include challenges such as high taxes and deduction from salary (98 percent), low work satisfaction (92 percent), poor salaries and emoluments (91 percent) and the huge knowledge gap that exists in the medical practice abroad (47 percent) amongst others. These were some of the key findings from the survey and we hope these findings would help stimulate conversations amongst stakeholders in the country’s health sector and trigger much needed reforms to redesign of a health system that is responsive to the healthcare needs of the nation. This survey also seeks to sound an alarm of a looming brain drain in the country’s health sector if nothing is done urgently to curb this rising trend of emigration of healthcare practitioners – physicians, nurses, pharmacist, and laboratory scientists amongst others. To download the full report, kindly visit our website: www.noi-polls.com Brief Background Nigeria has about 72,000 medical doctors registered with the Medical and Dental Council of Nigeria, with only approximately 35,000 practicing in Nigeria. The emigration of the Nigerian healthcare workforce, particularly medical doctors has been a lingering problem in the country. In a bid to measure the scope of this trend, NOIPolls in partnership with Nigeria Health Watch conducted a survey on medical doctors to assess the prevalence with which medical doctors pursue work opportunities abroad and probable reasons why. The findings are critical to the ability of the health system to retain adequate skilled personnel to cope with Nigeria’s growing population. The survey was targeted at Nigerian medical doctors, and it involved a mixed methodology approach employing quantitative and qualitative methods. For the quantitative method, an online survey using a standardized, well-structured questionnaire was employed; and a semi-structured interview guide was utilized for the qualitative approach. The various cadres of doctors were captured in both the quantitative and qualitative methods. Respondents to the online survey were not limited by geographical location, although the in-depth interviews were conducted with medical doctors in the Federal Capital Territory (FCT). Nigeria’s National Population Commission (NPC) has projected current population to be about 182 million at a 3.5% growth rate from the 2006 census. This means we need about 303,333 medical doctors now, and at least 10,605 new doctors annually to join the workforce. Only at this level can we expect good quality patient care that is not compromised by errors occasioned by fatigued and overworked medical doctors. The Survey found that 88 percent of medical doctors interviewed said they were currently considering work opportunities abroad; and this particular finding cuts across the junior, mid-level and senior level doctors in both public and private medical institutions. Interestingly, the United Kingdom and the United States are the top destinations where Nigerian medical doctors sought work opportunities. Prevalent reasons for emigrating included; better facilities and work environment, higher remuneration, career progression & professional advancement, and better quality of life. Majority of survey respondents (87%) believe government is unconcerned with mitigating the challenges facing medical doctors in Nigeria. In addition, 26 in-depth interviews (IDIs) were conducted as part of the qualitative approach to gather insightful information on the challenges and underlying factors causing doctors to seek work opportunities abroad. Respondents to the in-depth interviews were medical doctors. At least 10 out of the 26 doctors interviewed mentioned Low work satisfaction as the foremost reason doctors pursued work opportunities abroad. Many even placed low work satisfaction above poor remuneration, which was the second most prevalent reason cited for making doctors seek work opportunities abroad in the in-depth interviews conducted. Work opportunities came in third with at least 4 in 26 respondents citing work opportunity as the most prevalent reason, because doctors who are unable to secure a good job to cater for themselves and the family will be forced to source for better opportunities. In a bid to understand the scope of emigrating doctors, the frequency, and the underlying factors, NOIPolls in partnership with Nigeria Health Watch conducted this survey on medical doctors to feel the pulse of these professionals. The findings are revealing and we hope with this report to catalyze the dialogue and an action plan that would design a health system that is responsive and meets the needs of both the Nigerian physicians and patients. The survey was conducted between the 1st and the 15th of May, 2017 to provide a snapshot of the prevalence of Nigerian medical doctors who are seeking work opportunities abroad. In total, 705 doctors completed the online survey the majority of whom were in Nigeria, but some of them reside outside Nigeria. Respondents to the survey cut across house officers, National Youth Service Corps members, medical officers, senior registrars, consultants, medical directors, etc. METHODOLOGY The survey was targeted at Nigerian medical doctors, and it involved a mixed methodology approach employing quantitative and qualitative methods. For the quantitative method, an online survey using a standardized, well-structured questionnaire was employed; and a semi-structured interview guide was utilized for the qualitative approach. The various cadres of doctors were captured in both the quantitative and qualitative methods. Respondents to the online survey were not limited by geographical location, although the in-depth interviews were conducted with medical doctors in the Federal Capital Territory (FCT). Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1] https://www.icirnigeria.org/at-least-12-nigerian-doctors-employed-in-the-uk-every-week-report-reveals/ [2] https://guardian.ng/features/health-sector-dips-as-more-nigerian-doctors-move-abroad/ [3] https://guardian.ng/features/health-sector-dips-as-more-nigerian-doctors-move-abroad/

  • Ekiti Guber Pre-Election Poll: Eleka in early lead over Fayemi

    Abuja, Nigeria. June 26th, 2018 – Ahead of the forthcoming Ekiti State Gubernatorial elections slated for July 14th 2018, a new public opinion poll conducted by NOIPolls has pitched Professor Kolapo Olusola, candidate of the People Democratic Party (PDP) in an early 8-point lead over Dr. John Kayode Fayemi, candidate of the All Progressives Congress (APC). The poll was conducted between 18th and 23rd June 2018 and it sought to assess the preparedness of voters towards the forthcoming Governorship election in Ekiti state. From the results of 1,000 randomly selected respondents, all resident in Ekiti state, and interviewed via telephone: Professor Olusola, fondly known as Eleka polled 34 percent; Dr. Fayemi (JKF) polled 26 percent; Otunba Segun Adewale of ADP, fondly called Oshaprapra (7 percent); and Reverend Tunde Afe of ANRP (6 percent). In addition, there were some candidates who altogether polled 4 percent, such as: Akinloye Ayegbusi (SDP), David Ayodele Adesua (ADC), Ebenezer Femi Ogunsakin (PPN), Dr. Sikiru Lawal (LP), Sunday Balogun (MPN), Mrs, Ilesanmi Anike Margaret (AP), Temitope Amuda (KP), Tosin Ajibade (ID) and Agboola Olaniyi (AD) amongst others. Interestingly, the poll also revealed that while 93 percent of respondents claimed to have obtained their Permanent Voters Card (PVC), 83 percent were absolutely certain they would come out and vote for the gubernatorial candidate of their choice on 14th July 2018. However, in spite of this level of optimism and preparedness, 23 percent of respondents remain either undecided or simply refused to divulge their choice of candidate. The poll further indicated that while Professor Olusola appeared to enjoy significant support across the three senatorial districts of the state, Ekiti Central (39 percent), Ekiti South (36 percent) and Ekiti North (30 percent); Dr. Fayemi’s support base was observed mainly in Ekiti South (28 percent) and Ekiti North (27 percent) senatorial districts. Similarly, the poll highlighted Eleka’s support amongst youths aged between 18 and 35 years (39 percent) and the working-class of ages 36 to 60 years (34 percent); compared to JKF’s whose support averaged 26 percent across all age categories. Interestingly, the poll also revealed a strong female support for Eleka (37 percent), compared to JKF with significant support from male respondents (28 percent). In conclusion, although Eleka currently leads the race with a significant 8-point margin, we opine that the election remains a keenly contested race between the two leading candidates (Prof. Olusola and Dr. Fayemi) for two main reasons: 1.) There remains a very significant proportion of voters (23 percent) who remain either undecided or seek confidentiality as to their choice of candidate; and 2.) For political watchers, the election of 14th July 2018 appears to be more of a contest between the incumbent Governor, Dr. Ayodele Fayose and the former Governor, Dr. Kayode Fayemi; and not necessarily between Eleka and JKF. About NOIPolls & the Poll Methodology NOIPolls is Nigeria’s premier public opinion polling institution, which conducts periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com. The poll was conducted between June 18th and 23rd 2018. It involved telephone interviews of a random state-wide sample in Ekiti State. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning residents of the state aged 18 years and above, representing the three senatorial districts of the state, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. Of the 1,000 completed interviews, 52 percent were male and 48 percent female respondents. Samples for the poll were selected randomly for the senatorial districts in representation of the state’s population – Ekiti Central (39 percent), Ekiti South (34 percent), and Ekiti North (27 percent). Also, 35 percent of respondents were aged between 18 and 35 years; 57 percent between 36 and 60 years; and 8 percent above 61 years. In terms of employment status of respondents, top 5 respondents are: Self-employed traders (32 percent), Civil servants (21 percent), Artisans (10 percent), Unemployed young people (7 percent), and Students (7 percent). Signed 25-Jun-2018 Dr. Bell Ihua CEO NOIPolls

  • Mixed reactions trail President Buhari’s declaration of June 12 as new Democracy Day

    Abuja, Nigeria. June 19th, 2018 – A new public opinion poll by NOIPolls has highlighted mixed reactions trailing President Buhari’s recent declaration of June 12th as Nigeria’s new Democracy Day. The latest poll of 1,000 respondents nationwide, which was conducted in the week commencing 11th June 2018, revealed that fifty-six percent of Nigerians (56 percent) say they are in support of the President’s declaration; while 44 percent say they are not in support of the declaration. This came on the heels of the finding that almost 8 out of 10 respondents (79 percent) interviewed said they were aware of the recent declaration by President Buhari to commemorate June 12 as Nigeria’s new Democracy Day. Interestingly, the findings highlighted a number of socio-demographic differences. The data showed that while the North-East (75 percent), South-West (69 percent) and North-West (60 percent) geo-political zones constituted the zones with the highest level of support for the President’s declaration; the South-East (70 percent) and South-South (61 percent) regions constituted the bulk of respondents that are not in support of the declaration. Similarly, while respondents between the ages of 18 and 60 years (average of 56 percent) were more in support of the declaration; senior citizens above 60 years (53 percent) did not seem particularly in support. The poll further probed respondents to better appreciate the reasons behind the mixed level of support towards the declaration, and the responses throw more light on the issue. On the part of 56 percent of respondents in support of the declaration, half of them were of the opinion that Late Chief MKO Abiola, the presumed winner of the June 12th 1993 election, deserves the honour (50 percent).  This was followed by 20 percent who affirmed their support for the declaration because they believe the June 12th 1993 election was the freest and fairest election Nigeria has ever had, since independence in 1960. In addition, 16 percent were of the opinion that President Buhari’s declaration was done in response to the yearnings and request of Nigerians; and 14 percent perceived the declaration as a progressive decision taken by the administration of President Buhari. On the other hand, amongst 44 percent of respondents who are NOT in support of the June 12 declaration by President Buhari, the majority (40 percent) were of the opinion that the declaration was not done in good faith; but is a mere political game targeted at gaining support for 2019 elections. This was followed by 35 percent of such respondents who thought that Nigerians are already used to having May 29 as Democracy Day and there was no need for a new date. In addition, 15 percent stated that President Buhari’s government should focus on more important issues facing the country, such as insecurity, poor infrastructure and the harsh impact of the economy on Nigerians. Finally, 10 percent of respondents stated that the president did not follow due process in declaring June 12 as the new Democracy Day in Nigeria. They argued that he should have sent the decision to the National Assembly for their ratification. In conclusion, the poll has highlighted mixed reactions trailing the declaration of June 12th as the new Democracy Day by President Buhari. On one hand, some social commentators and pundits have termed the action a political masterstroke and progressive action; while on the contrary, others have passed it off as a mere political strategy to boost support for 2019 elections. Nevertheless, this latest poll clearly shows that at least 56 percent of Nigerians applaud and commend the decision by President Muhammadu Buhari to recognise the significance of June 12th 1993 and honour the memory of Late Chief MKO Abiola, the presumed winner of the election. Survey Method The poll was conducted in the week commencing June 11th, 2018. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, is the No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa. We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com or download our mobile app NOIPolls on your smartphone. Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. For more information, please visit our website www.noi-polls.com and you can also download our mobile app NOIPolls on your smart phone. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com

  • Child Labour; A Call for the Strict Enforcement of the 2003 Child Rights Act in Nigeria

    Abuja, Nigeria. June 12th, 2018 – The World Day Against Child Labour (WDACL) was inaugurated in 2002 by the International Labour Organization (ILO) and is celebrated annually on the 12th of June, it focuses attention on the global extent of child labour and the action and efforts needed to eliminate it. The Day aims to protect children by promoting international standards on child labour, raising awareness on this important issue and advocating for the basic right of education for all children. According to ILO’s data, hundreds of millions of children throughout the world are involved in work that deprives them of receiving adequate education, health, leisure and basic freedoms. Of these children, more than half are exposed to the worst forms of child labour which include working in hazardous environments, slavery    and other forms of forced labour, illicit activities such as drug trafficking and prostitution, as well as involvement in armed conflict.[1] It is therefore pertinent that governments, employers and workers in organizations, civil society, as well as millions of people from around the world synergize on policies and reforms to eliminate this plight of child labourers and take care action on what can be done to help them. According to the United Nation’s data, about 218 million children between 5 and 17 years are in employment globally. Among them, 152 million are victims of child labour and almost half of these child labour victims (72.1 million) are found in Africa.[2] Although, they are laws prohibiting child labour in Nigeria such as Child Rights Act 2003 and the Trafficking in Persons (Prohibition) Enforcement and Administration Act 2003, Nigeria is still caught up in the issue of Child Labour as it is still on the increase due to a lack of enforcement of the law. For instance, research findings contained in the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) data indicates that about 50.8 percent of Nigerian children between 5 and 17 years are involved in one form of child labour or the other.[3] This figure is worrisome as the effect of child labour does not only affect the child, it affects the society in general. In view of the World Day Against Child Labour, NOIPolls presents findings from a previous poll on Child Labour which assessed the opinions of Nigerians regarding its prevalence, the extent of its effects and the possible solutions to reduce it to the barest minimum. The poll which was conducted in 2016 revealed that the larger proportion of Nigerians confirmed that they have personally seen children engaged in physical labour or jobs in their locality. Most respondents (70 percent) cited street hawking as the job most children engage in and a majority of respondents (45 percent) blamed it on poverty. The poll also revealed that majority (41 percent) of the respondents advocated for free education as part of the suggestions for eliminating the issue of Child Labour in Nigeria. The chart below showed that residents from the North-West accounted for the highest percentage of Nigerians (78 percent) who have personally seen children engaged in physical labour or jobs in their locality. Also, analysis on age-group revealed that respondents aged between 18 and 35 years had the largest representation of Nigerians who acknowledged that they have personally seen children engaged in physical labour or job in their locality. The high level of diverse and tedious jobs that children execute in dangerous circumstances is particularly worrying. Findings from this poll showed that these jobs children are usually seen working include street hawking, domestic work, street begging and cargo loading. Others work as bus conductors or construction workers, family business or farming and mason, while a meagre number work as auto mechanics and unskilled labourers. According to the International Labour Organization, the number of working children under the age of 14 in Nigeria is estimated at 15 million.[4] Child labour is closely connected with poverty (45 percent) and other types of marginalization as revealed by respondents. Research shows that child labour often increases during an economic downturn, as parents remove their children from school to supplement family income.[5] Traditionally, children have worked with their families, but today children are forced to work for their own and their families’ survival. The money earned by child family members have become a significant part of the families’ income. Furthermore, the survey also revealed that free education topped the list   of suggestions given by majority (41 percent) of the respondents surveyed and residents from the North-East zone (51 percent) accounted for the largest proportion of Nigerians who advocated for free education. Also, 20 percent of the respondents mentioned job creation and the South-South zone had the highest percentage (25 percent) of respondents in this category. In addition, 11 percent was of the opinion that parents should be enlightened on birth control measures to curtail number of children born without adequate and proper care. In conclusion, as Nigerians join the world today in commemorating World Day Against Child Labour, it is pertinent for government and other stakeholders to address issues pertaining to child labour. Protecting and ensuring child education is a compulsory step towards tackling child labour as advocated by majority of respondents surveyed, along with measures to reduce poverty and promote social and economic development. Government and other stakeholders must synergize to enact policies that adopt a progressive approach with focus on rehabilitation of children working in hazardous occupations. Additionally, government need to enforce strict enforcement of Nigerian laws on child labour as well as development programmes to address its root causes of child labour such as poverty. Finally, it is important to ensure that children around the world, especially in a developing country like Nigeria, get the benefit of free and quality education, which would shape them into productive individuals for a better society. Children’s rights cannot be fulfilled and protected unless the Governments and international organisations look behind the broad averages of development statistics and address the urban poverty and inequality that characterize the lives of so many children. Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. For more information, please visit our website www.noi-polls.com and you can also download our mobile app NOIPolls on your smart phone. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1] https://leadership.ng/2017/06/13/editorial-world-day-child-labour/ [2]http://www.un.org/en/events/childlabourday/background.shtml [3]https://www.vanguardngr.com/2018/02/50-nigerian-children-engage-child-labour-nbs/ [4] https://www.unicef.org/nigeria/children_1935.html [5]http://www.unesco.org/new/en/education/themes/leading-the-international-agenda/education-for-all/single-view/news/world_day_against_child_labour_12_june

  • 2019 Presidential Election; Nigerians Preferred Middle-Aged Presidential Candidates

    Abuja, Nigeria. June 5th, 2018 – Following confirmed reports that President Muhammadu Buhari has signed the “Not Too Young To Run” Bill into law on May 31st 2018, NOIPolls presents findings from a past poll conducted in partnership with Business Day Media in June 2017 which highlighted the perceptions of Nigerians on age preference in the 2019 Presidential election. The “Not Too Young To Run” Bill sought to alter some sections of the 1999 Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria (as amended), reducing the age qualification for the office of the President from 40 years to 35 years and other public offices such as the office of the Governor, the Senate and House of Representative. The results revealed that almost half of those interviewed (48 percent) expressed their preference for middle-aged presidential candidates as 64 percent of Nigerians disclosed that they would prefer to vote for a presidential candidate between the ages of 40 and 50 years in the 2019 Presidential election. Reacting to this, the CEO NOIPolls, Dr. Bell Ihua, commended the President for signing the bill into law, stating that it is a positive move in strengthening the country’s nascent democracy and further encouraged those in authority to continue to listen to the voice of the people. Interestingly, respondents aged between 18 to 35 years had the larger share of Nigerians (49 percent) who would prefer a middle-aged presidential candidate, while respondents aged between 18 – 35 years accounted for the largest proportion (37 percent) who wanted young people to run. Those aged 60 years and above (24 percent) preferred an elderly presidential candidate. Perceptions on maximum age preferred for presidential candidates for the 2019 election revealed that majority of the respondents (64 percent) stated that they preferred candidates between the ages of 40 and 50 years, categorized as middle-age. Despite the huge support for middle-aged presidential candidates in 2019 election, most Nigerians disclosed that financial constraints (40 percent) would prevent young professionals from vying for elective public offices such as governorship and presidential positions. In conclusion, the passing of the “Not Too Young To Run” into law is in line with the demands of the people as our results have clearly revealed that most Nigerians prefer young (35 percent) to middle-aged (48 percent) presidential candidates in the 2019 presidential elections. It is pertinent for political parties in the country to adjust their constitutions and guidelines to ensure youth inclusiveness and candidate age selection limits. Finally, most Nigerians identified financial constraints as the main factor that could prevent young professional from vying for elective positions in 2019 election, highlighting the need for political parties to ensure that costs of nomination forms are reviewed downwards for all positions to ensure massive incursion of young people into the political terrain from 2019 onwards. Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com

  • Diversity and Cultural Heritage; Great Potentials for Stimulating Economic Growth in Nigeria

    Abuja, Nigeria. May 22nd, 2018 – Following the resolution adopted in December 2013 by the United Nations General Assembly, recognizing the role of culture as a driver and enabler of sustainable development, the World Day for Cultural Diversity for Dialogue and Development was inaugurated and is celebrated annually on the 21st of May. Diversity is a valuable resource for attaining development goals, including fighting poverty and promoting gender equality, quality education and human rights, and must be fully integrated it into the global strategies for sustainable development.[1] Nigeria is blessed with diverse cultures and heritage and these affect the way Nigerians dress and socialize. The different ethnic groups have peculiar cultural enclaves which shape their dress patterns and this has been passed on from generations. This is mostly noticeable on Fridays and Sundays; also during ceremonies and festivities where most Nigerians appear on different indigenous designs of apparels and attires.  The love and acceptance of cultural diversity, if properly harnessed especially through the fashion and creative industry, can become a viable means of stimulating the economy; mainly through manufacturing and local demand. Also, as part of measures to uplift the nation’s culture and promote “Made-in-Nigeria textile products”. “The Federal Executive Council (FEC), in February, 2017, approved the adoption of Mondays and Wednesdays of every week as Made-in-Nigeria Dress Days.[2] In view of the World Day for Cultural Diversity for Dialogue and Development, NOIPolls presents findings from a previous poll which assessed the opinions of Nigerians regarding the Made-in-Nigeria Dress days. Overall, the poll revealed that Nigerians love to showcase their native attires as a whopping majority (95 percent) of respondents said they wear attires and outfits made-in-Nigeria. Also the poll revealed that Nigerians are open to support native attire dress days in order to promote the Nigerian cultural heritage and national identity (33 percent); boost the economy (17 percent) by increasing patronage of locally made clothes (16 percent) amongst reasons.  In line with this, The United Nations Creative Economy Report 2013, co-published by UNESCO and the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), confirmed that the creative economy is one of the most rapidly growing sectors in the world. Figures show that world trade in creative goods and services totaled a record $624 billion in 2011 and that it more than doubled from 2002 to 2011.[3] In other to ascertain the level of patronage of Made-in-Nigeria clothes, respondents to the survey were asked if they wear Made-in-Nigeria dresses. The survey result revealed that majority of Nigerians (95 percent) wear Made-in-Nigeria clothes and this is reflective of their love for culture and tradition. Analysis by geopolitical zone further revealed that South-West (98 percent) and South-East (97 percent) accounted for the zones with the highest percentage of those who wear Made-in-Nigeria. The current pattern of dressing for white collar workers in Nigerian is mainly Western (suits, jackets and formal wears), Fridays which are dress down days, see a majority of people wearing their traditional attires woven in various patterns, colors and materials celebrating their heritage. Acculturation has led Nigeria to depend largely on exports thus funding external economies, but with this new dress-days policy which the people support as shown in the chart below with 83 percent, the country’s home-grown textile industry can be revamped thus boosting the economy and providing employment. Upon further probing, it was revealed that the major reasons for supporting this policy to implement these dress- days were ‘‘it promotes our cultural heritage and national identity’’ (33 percent), ‘‘it will boost our economy’’ (17 percent) and ‘‘it will increase the patronage of locally made clothes’’ (16 percent) amongst other reasons. In conclusion, the results from this poll showed that a whopping majority (95 percent) of respondents said they wear attires and outfits made-in-Nigeria as it is a reflection of their heritage, culture and tradition as Nigerians.[4] Also majority of (83 percent) of Nigerians are open to the introduction of native attire dress days and the top reasons were; “it promotes our cultural heritage and national identity” (33 percent), “it will boost the economy” (17 percent), “it will increase the patronage of locally made clothes” (16 percent) amongst reasons.  While the Federal Executive Council FEC introduced Made-in-Nigeria Dress Days” as part of measures to uplift the nation’s culture and promote “Made-in-Nigeria textile products”, there is  need for an assessment on the adoption, implementation and impact of this measure across Nigeria in order to achieve its full aim. Finally, given the acceptance and love of Nigerians for cultural diversity especially through their support and promotion of “Made in Nigeria dress days”; the World Day for Cultural Diversity for Dialogue and Development which was commemorated on the 21st of May calls for a deeper look into ways of harnessing the potentials of the fashion and creative industry. Nigeria is currently suffering a high unemployment rate of over 18[5] percent with estimates of over 7 million jobs lost in the last year alone[6]. Embracing its heritage and diversity by investing in home-grown industries like the food, text-tile, creative arts, manufacturing and entertainment will go a long way in drastically reducing unemployment and poverty rates, stimulate the economy and bring it to a healthy vibrancy and also foster peace and development. Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1]http://www.unesco.org/new/en/unesco/events/prizes-and-celebrations/celebrations/international-days/world-day-for-cultural-diversity-for-dialogue-and-development/ [2] http://dailypost.ng/2017/04/09/buhari-declares-mondays-wednesdays-made-nigeria-dress-day/ [3]http://www.unesco.org/new/en/unesco/events/prizes-and-celebrations/celebrations/international-days/world-day-for-cultural-diversity-for-dialogue-and-development/ [4] http://www.noi-polls.com/root/index.php?pid=434&ptid=1&parentid=14 [5] https://www.vanguardngr.com/2017/12/nigerias-unemployment-rate-rises-14-2-18-8 [6] https://www.channelstv.com/2017/12/22/7-9-million-nigerians-became-unemployed-21months-nbs/

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