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  • Q3 2013 Petroleum Pump Price Poll Report

    Abuja, Nigeria. October 14th, 2013 – The Third Quarter (Q3) results for the Petrol Pump Price Monitoring Polls conducted by NOIPolls Limited reveals there was a drastic 30 point decline in the proportion of Nigerians that purchase petrol above the official pump price of N97 (52% in Q2 and 22% in Q3). The poll further indicates that the majority of Nigerians in Q3 (40%) purchase petrol for both their cars and generators versus Q2 where the majority (44%) purchased for their generators . These form part of the findings of the polls for Quarter 3, 2013. In January 2012, the Petroleum Products Pricing Regulatroy Agency (PPPRA) along with government announced an increase in the price of petrol from N65 to N141 as a result of the removal of subsidy for the reason that over a trillion naira was spent in 2011 on subsidy. After days of protest by Nigerians led by organised labour and civil societies who were unhappy about the perceived hardship this action would cause Nigerians and the lack of notice by the government to carry out such plans, the government as a stop-gap measure partially removed subsidy, thereby bringing the official pump price of petrol to N97. Subsidy has been defined as money given by the state or public body to keep down cost of commodities. Some people see it as a form of protectionism or trade barrier because domestic goods are made affordable artificially. Within the Nigerian petroleum pricing context, subsidy would then mean selling petrol below the cost of production or importation. In the course of and following the 2012 subsidy protest and partial removal of subsidy by government, many debates arose with erroneous and innaccurate information passed across as the truth, indicating a need for a dependable measure of public opinion on issues surrounding public policies. This led NOI Polls in January 2013 to initiate the Petrol Pump Price Monitoring Poll Project. This result release is the third quarterly release in the series. (see Q1 and Q2 results here) The purpose of the poll is to monitor and analyse the current price and uses of petrol in Nigeria, as well as to measure the perception of Nigerians towards the petrol price differences at various points of sale. Key Findings Over 4,500 respondents have been interviewed across nine months (January-September) and the respondents are asked the same ten questions for each monthly poll, but only five of these will be reveiwed in this report. For full details of the findings please e-mail: editor@noi-polls.com. In order to determine the main petrol distributors that Nigerians patronize and analyze the purchase trends, respondents to the poll were asked: Where do you mainly buy petrol from? The responses indicate that in the 3rd quarter of 2013, 70% of Nigerians bought petrol from major marketer filling stations. This is followed by 26% of Nigerians who bought from independent marketer filling stations and 5% who bought from hawkers. Analysis of the results by geo-political zones shows that the South-West has the highest percentage of people(80%) purchasing petrol from major marketer filling stations. The South-East zone has the highest percentage purchasing from independent marketer filling stations with 45%, while the North-East zone has the highest percentage of people purchasing from the hawkers with 15%. Figure 1 illustrates these findings. Figure 1: Main point of petrol purchase (Q3, 2013) When Q3 results are compared with Q2, current results show a sharp 15% increase in the proportion of people that mainly buy from major marketer filling stations when compared to Q2 results and a corresponding 12%decrease in the proportion that buy from Independents. Averages across the 9 month period indicate the following for 2013: 62% of Nigerians purchase petrol from major marketer filling stations, 31% purchase from independents while an average of 7% purchase from hawkers. Figure 2: Main point of petrol purchase (Q1, Q2 &Q3 2013) In order to estimate the average cost of petrol in Nigeria as well as measure the percentage of Nigerians who buy above the official pump price, the respondents to the poll were asked: How much do you normally buy petrol? Results show that the 78% of Nigerians purchased petrol at the official price of N97 in Q3. This shows a drastic improvement in the availability of petrol compared to Q1 and Q2. Further analysis by geo-political zones shows that the South-West, North-Central and South-South zones have the highest amount of respondents who bought petrol at N97 with 84% and 82% for both of the other zones respectively. Figure 3: Price per litre of petrol (Q3, 2013) Furthermore, the price paid per litre of petrol was cross-tabulated by point of purchase; this is presented as Figure 4 below. Results show that the majority of major marketer filling stations (87%) sell at the official price ofN97. Meanwhile, the majority of Independent marketer filling stations (26%) also sell at the official pump price and the majority of petrol hawkers (53%) sell above N130. Figure 4: Price per litre of petrol by point of purchase (Q3, 2013) When Q3 results are compared with Q1 and Q2; there was a drastic 30 point increase in the proportion of respondents that purchase petrol at the official pump price and corresponding decline in the proportion that purchase above the official pump prices. Figure 5: Price per litre of petrol (Q1, Q2 &Q3 2013) In order to acertain the main uses of petrol in Nigeria, the respondents to the poll were asked: What do you normally use petrol for? Similar to the Q2 survey, the result for Q3 reveals that on an average, the majority (40%) use petrol for both their car and generator. This is followed by the use of petrol for cars with 21% and Generator with 20%. Figure 6: Uses of Petrol (quarter 1, 2013) When comparing quarterly results, Q3 was the peak when the majority bought petrol for both their cars and generators while Q2 was the peak of when the majority bought for their generators only. Averages across the nine month period indicate the following averages in 2013: 29% of Nigerians use petrol both for their cars and generators, 25% use petrol for only their cars while 33% (the majority) use petrol for their generators only. Figure 7: Use of petrol (Q1, Q2 & Q3 2013) In order to measure the perception of Nigerians towards the causes of price differences of petrol at the points of sale, the respondents to the poll were asked: What do you think is responsible for the difference in the pump price of petrol across filling stations? The results show that majority (48%) of the respondents blamed the disparity in petrol price on the lack of monitoring of the petrol stations by governments. Furthermore, 27% of the respondents were of the opinion that the petrol stations are hoarding petrol and exploiting the public, while 25% felt that it is because the cost of importing petrol is not the same for all marketers. Analysis by geo-political zones shows that the South-West and South-East zones (51% and 50% respectively) have the highest proportion of respondents who blamed the government for not monitoring the filling stations, while the North-Central zone (39%) accounts for the highest proportion of respondents that feel the petrol stations are exploiting people. The North-East has the highest proportion of respondents (39%) that blame the price disparity on the varying cost of importation of petrol. Figure 8: Responsibility for price disparity (Q3, 2013) A comparison of the three quarters shows that Q2 had the peak of when the majority of respondents thought it was the government’s responsibility. There was a sharp 12 point drop in Q3 and an increase in the proportion of respondents with other views such as “The cost of importing petrol is not the same for all marketers” and “The filling stations are exploiting the public by hoarding fuel”. Averages across the 9 month period indicate the following for 2013: About 56% of Nigerians blame price differences at points of purchase on lack of government monitoring, 21% of Nigerians blame hoarding by filling stations and 20% of Nigerians blame the varying prices of importation. Figure 9: Responsibility for price disparity (Q1, Q2 & Q3 2013) The findings of this poll indicate that in Q3, the Nigerian Government has made clear and strategic interventions in the supply of petrol thereby making it more readily available for Nigerians. This is evident in the drastic 30 point drop in the percentage of people that buy above the official pump price. Q3 is the only quarter of the year 2013 where the majority of Nigerians have claimed to buy at the official pump price; the majority in Q1 and Q2 purchased at prices above the official pump price. The poll result also shows that Nigerians mainly use petrol for their cars and generators Furthermore it reveals that the majority of Nigerians question the effectiveness of bodies set aside to monitor and regulate petrol prices. Survey Methods These are findings on a Poll conducted between July and September 2013 by NOIPolls Limited. A sample of 1,510 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerian adults, aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed by telephone using randomly generated numbers. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage and measurement error, however with a sample of this size there is 95 percent confidence that the results obtained are statistically accurate (giving a range of plus or minus 3percent). NOIPolls Limited is the No.1 for country-specific polling services in West Africa. We work in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Correspondent Email: thenewsroom@noi-polls.com

  • President’s Approval Rating Declines By 8-Points In September To 49%

    Abuja, Nigeria. October 8th, 2013 – Governance poll results released by NOIPolls Limited for the month of September have revealed that almost half of Nigerians (49%) approve of the President’s performance over the past month. This rating represents an 8-point decline in the President’s approval rating fromAugust (57%) to September (49%). More findings showed that majority (50%) are of the opinion that the present administration performed averagely. In addition, there is a 5-point increase in those who have seen improvements in their power supply for the month of September (from 36% in August to 41% in September). These were the key findings from the Governance Snap Poll conducted in the week of September 23rd 2013. The result presented is the ninth of the monthly series of governance polls conducted by NOIPolls to gauge the opinions and perceptions of Nigerians regarding three crucial elements – the approval rating of the president, the performance of the current administration, and the situation of power supply in the country. Respondents to the poll were asked three specific questions. One, with the aim of gauging the job approval rating of President Goodluck Jonathan over the past month (September)respondents were asked: Do you approve or disapprove of the performance of President Jonathan in the past 1 month? results revealed that overall, majority 49% (42% +7%) are in support of the President’s performance over the past month, with 42% approving and 7% strongly approving of the performance of the President. Relatively, 24% (19%+5%) of respondents disapproved of the President’s performance, with 19% disapproving and 5%strongly disapproving, while, 27% of the respondents were neutral in rating his performance. These figures represent a significant 8-point decrease in the President’s approval rating from August (57%) to September (49%), and a 5-point increase in the proportion that disapproved of the president’s performance from August (19%) to September (24%). Analyses by geo-political zones reveal that the South East with 74% (61%+13%) down from76% in the month of August, has the highest proportion of respondents that approve of the President’s performance. This is followed by the South South with 61% (55%+6%) down from66% in the month of August. In addition, the South West with 42% (38%+4%) up from 23%,  has the highest proportion of respondents that disapprove of the President’s performance while theNorth West with 42% up from 32%, has highest number of neutrals. Evaluating the President’s rating in a nine months series show that the highest approval ratings of the President’s performance were obtained in August (57%), February (54%) and July (53%). Similarly the lowest approval ratings received by the President were in the months of May (44%), June (44%) andApril (42%). Subsequently, with the aim of assessing the performance of the current administration respondents were asked:How would you rate the performance of this current administration in the past 1 month?  Findings reveal that half of Nigerians (50%) believe that the current administration has performed averagely well, others,23% (20%+3%) affirmed they performed well, while 27% (21%+6%) say they performed poorly. An assessment of the current administration’s performance by the geo-political zones reveal that the North Central (61%) and North West (59%) zones have the highest proportion of respondents that rate the performance of the current administration as average; while the South West has the highest proportion of respondents (47%: 38%+9%) that rate the performance of the current administration poorly. Trending the performance of the current administration over a nine month period, the analysis below reveal that the job approval rating of the current administration (executive cabinet- governors and ministers) ministers experienced a surge in February (24%) but declined consecutively till April (16%). A second surge of approval was witnessed in July (28%) and peaked in August (35%). After which we have observed a 12-point decline in the month of September (23%). Lastly, in order to gauge the quality of power supply in Nigeria within the past month, respondents were asked:How would you describe power in your area in the past 1 month? Reactions to this question revealed that the general situation of power improved over the past month as majority 41% (33%+8%) of Nigerians experienced an improvement in their power supply. From these figures, we see a 5-point increase in the proportion of Nigerians that experienced an improvement in the power situation from August (36%) to September (41%). Further analysis by geo-political zones reveal that the power situation has improved in the South South (49%: 41%+8%) and the South East (47%: 7%+40%) but has remained poor/gone worse in the South West (54%: 32%+22%) North West (53%: 44%+9%), these figures are relatively the same when compared to results in August 2013. Evaluating the situation of Power across Nigeria in nine months depicts a general fluctuation in the improvement experienced by Nigerians. January, February and September recorded the best power ratings so far with 47%,44% and 41% respectively while March, April and June with 31%, 31% and 32% respectivelyrecorded the lowest ratings. In conclusion, the results from the current poll have shown that almost half of Nigerians (49%: 42%+7%) are in support of the Presidents performance over the past month. This figures represent a significant 8-point decrease in the President’s approval rating from August (57%) to September (49%). More findings showed that majority (50%) are of the opinion that the present administration performed averagely. In addition, the month of September saw a general improvement in the situation of power as the proportion of Nigerians that experienced improvement increased by 5-points from August (36%) to September (41%). Although, the power situation in Nigeria saw a general improvement from August to September however the approval rating of the president experienced an 8-Points decline. This suggests that several other factors apart from power and the current on-going reforms may have affected the way Nigerians perceive the performance of the President. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted on August 26th to 28th 2013. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,017 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com

  • Business Leaders’ Perception Survey

    Abuja, Nigeria. September 24th, 2013 – A 3-year trended result from the Business Leaders Perception Survey (BLPS) conducted by NOIPolls in 2009, 2010 and 2012 has revealed that the most critical factors limiting Nigerian businesses are power, security, corruption and access to finance. In addition, other factors identified from the studies include roads, water, multiple taxes and smuggling, that also make doing business difficult in Nigeria. These are the key findings from the Business Leaders Perception Survey (BLPS) conducted by NOIPolls in collaboration with the DFID Nigeria Programme – Enhancing Nigerian Advocacy for a Better Business Environment (ENABLE). According to the World Bank “Doing Business Report” 2013, Nigeria ranks 131st on the list of 185 countries in terms of ease of doing business. The report explains the ranking of economies on the basis of how easy it is to undertake business activities, from 1 – 183. A high ranking on the ease of doing business index means the regulatory environment is more conducive to start and operate a local business. This index averages the country’s percentile rankings on 10 topics, made up of a variety of indicators, giving equal weight to each topic. The rankings for all economies are then benchmarked to the previous year1. The indicators used in ranking the economies include: ease of starting a business, dealing with permits, getting electricity, registering property, getting credit, paying taxes and protecting investors amongst others. The Nigerian business environment has been associated with several factors limiting business operations and hindering the ability of businesses to thrive compared to their counterparts in other business environments. While it is common knowledge that improvements in the enabling environment can lead to higher investments, wealth generation, job creation and ultimately poverty reduction; however, improving the business environment is not always an easy endeavour. It requires cooperation and dialogue between the public and private sector. To make the biggest impact, government and the organised private sector need to work together in order to understand and prioritise the factors limiting business success in the economy. In view of this, NOIPolls in collaboration with DFID/ENABLE has been conducting a series of Business Leaders Perception Survey over the past few years in order to gauge the perceptions of Nigerian business leaders on the business environment with the aim of understanding the factors that are important to the success of business and those that make business difficult in the country. In order to explore the factors that affect the business environment and make business difficult, respondents were asked to indicate the factors that make doing business “very difficult”, “somewhat difficult”, “had room for improvement” or “was not a problem at all”. These were then scored as follows: 1 – not a problem; 2 – could be improved; 3 – makes doing business somewhat difficult; and 4 – makes doing business very difficult. Findings (figure 1) revealed that the major factor that makes business difficult in Nigeria is Power. This was consistent for all three years, however, the level of difficulty that power imposed on business decreased from 3.7 in 2009 to 3.4 in 2010 and increased to 3.5 in 2012. Corruption which was another factor that was identified for imposing difficulty on businesses continued to rise as the years progressed. The level of difficulty it imposed on business increased greatly from 1.1 in 2009 to 2.6 in 2010 and to 3.2 in 2012. 1 www.punchng.com Figure 1: Factors that make business difficult (2009, 2010, and 2012) Furthermore security and access to finance are other factors that make business difficult as identified by the respondents. While security increased from 2.4 in 2009 to 2.6 in 2010 and 3.2 in 2012, access to finance also increased from 2.5 in 2009 to 2.7 in 2010 to 3.1 in 2012. Road was another factor that was identified as factor that impose difficulty in business. The level of difficulty it imposed in business decreased in 2009 from 2.8 to 2.6 in 2010 and increased to 3.1 in 2012. Generally all the factors identified experienced varying level of deterioration from 2009 to 2012. Subsequently respondents were asked to rank the identified factors that make business difficult in order of priority (Figure 2). Ranking the factors that make business difficult in Nigeria revealed that power which topped the chart as the major factor that causes difficulty in 2009 and 2010 was ranked third in 2012. Road which was ranked second in 2009 became of less importance in the preceding years as it was ranked sixth in 2010 and 2012 . In addition corruption which was ranked third in 2009 became second in 2010 and became of priority in 2012 as it topped the chart. In addition, finance which was perceived to impose less difficulty in 2009 rose to third place in 2012. All factors with the same colour code on the graph were ranked equally in the respective years the survey was conducted. Figure 2: Factors that make business difficult (2009, 2010, and 2012) Furthermore security and access to finance are other factors that make business difficult as identified by the respondents. While security increased from 2.4 in 2009 to 2.6 in 2010 and 3.2 in 2012, access to finance also increased from 2.5 in 2009 to 2.7 in 2010 to 3.1 in 2012. Road was another factor that was identified as factor that impose difficulty in business. The level of difficulty it imposed in business decreased in 2009 from 2.8 to 2.6 in 2010 and increased to 3.1 in 2012. Generally all the factors identified experienced varying level of deterioration from 2009 to 2012. Subsequently respondents were asked to rank the identified factors that make business difficult in order of priority (Figure 2). Ranking the factors that make business difficult in Nigeria revealed that power which topped the chart as the major factor that causes difficulty in 2009 and 2010 was ranked third in 2012. Road which was ranked second in 2009 became of less importance in the preceding years as it was ranked sixth in 2010 and 2012 . In addition corruption which was ranked third in 2009 became second in 2010 and became of priority in 2012 as it topped the chart. In addition, finance which was perceived to impose less difficulty in 2009 rose to third place in 2012. All factors with the same colour code on the graph were ranked equally in the respective years the survey was conducted. Survey Methods The fieldwork and analysis for this study were undertaken in 2009, 2010 and 2012. The sample consisted of senior to mid-level executives in Nigerian businesses; cutting across Micro, Small, Medium and Large organisations. The sample population comprised 1000 businesses covering various sectors of the economy and locations. For more information on these surveys, send an email to enquiries@noi-polls.com. NOIPolls is the No. 1 for country-specific polling services in the West African region, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com

  • More Than 6 in 10 Nigerians (64%) Do Not Have Pension Plans

    Abuja, Nigeria. September 10th, 2013 – Latest weekly poll results released by NOIPolls has revealed thatmore than 6 in 10 Nigerians (64%) do not have pension plans, indicating a potentially huge untapped pensions market in Nigeria. Also more than half of the Nigerians who currently have pension plans (54% of 36%) are subscribed to the contributory pension schemes for public organisations. It was further revealed that majority of Nigerianswho have pension plans (73% of 36%) are satisfied with their current Pension Fund Administrators (PFAs); while those who claimed not to be satisfied (27% of 36%) attributed the lack of satisfaction to the non-receipt of updates on their pension accounts. Similarly, for those who do not have any pension plans, the major reasons cited are: “I am a student” (22%), “I don’t have a job” (21%) and “I don’t know much about pensions” (13%). These are the key findings from the Pension Snap Pollconducted in the week of September 2nd, 2013. The Pension Reform Act 2004 enacted by the National Assembly of the Federal Republic of Nigeria Establishes a contributory pension scheme for employees in public and private sectors. The scheme is fully funded, privately managed with a third party in custody of the funds and assets and based on individual accounts. It ensures that everyone who has worked receives his/her retirement benefits as and when due whether in the private or public sector. With the contributory scheme, an employee and employer makes monthly contributions of a minimum of 7.5% each of the monthly emoluments of the employee towards the retirement benefits of the employee. However in some cases, an employer can make all the contributions on behalf of the employee. The old pension schemes in Nigeria were not fully funded and this caused great problems in the management of retirement funds. The implementation of the contributory pension scheme introduced by the Pension Reform Act 2004 has addressed such problems to a certain extent; nevertheless it is not enough for Nigerians to be totally dependent on the scheme. In view of this, Personal pension, which is not common in Nigeria, is an area that can be explored to augment the contributory pension. Individuals regardless of their employment status could choose to save or invest money in order to make provisions for them at retirement.[1] In view of these, NOIPolls conducted its latest poll on Pension to explore the current state of Pension in Nigeria, in terms of the proportion of Nigerians that have pension plans, the type of pension plans people subscribe to and the level of satisfaction with Pension Fund Administrators. Respondents to the poll were asked five specific questions. Firstly, in order to ascertain the proportion of Nigerians that have pension plans, respondents were asked: Currently, do you have a pension plan?Findings from this question revealed that overall Majority (64%) of Nigerians do not have a pension plan, while36% indicated they have pension plans. Analysis based on geo-political zone showed that the South-East and the North-West zones had the highest proportion of Nigerians without pension plans with 68% and 67% respectively; and the South-West zone (41%) accounted for the highest proportion of respondents that have pension plans. [1] www.pencom.gov.ng Secondly, in order to gauge the type of pension plans Nigerians have, respondents that indicted they have pension plans (36% of the total) were asked: What type of pension scheme do you have? Overall, more than half of Nigerians who currently have pension plans (54% of 36%) are subscribed to the contributory pension scheme for public organisations. While 35% have the contributory pension scheme for private organisations, it also emerged true that 11% obtain their own personal pension an independently. From the geo-political zone standpoint, the South-East (76%) and the North-Central (73%) zones accounted for the highest proportion of respondents that indicated public organisation pension scheme. Also the South-South (52%) and the South-West (50%) zones had the highest proportion of respondents that indicated Private pension scheme, while the North-East (42%) zone had the highest number of people who have personal pension plans. Thirdly, in order to measure the level of satisfaction derived from the services of pension fund administrators, respondents who currently have pension plans were asked: Are you currently satisfied with your current pension fund administrator? Overall, majority of Nigerians (73% of 36%) who have pension plans are satisfied with their current Pension Fund Administrators. Comparatively, 27% indicated lack of satisfaction for their pension fund administrators. Gauging the satisfaction according to geo-political zones revealed that the South-West zone with 83% (which also had a high proportion of respondents with the private organisations contributory pension) accounted for the highest proportion of respondents that are satisfied with their Pension Fund Administrators. In addition, the North-West zone (54%) had the highest number of respondents that are not satisfied with their current Pension Fund Administrator. Subsequently, respondents that indicated a lack of satisfaction for their Pension Fund Administrator (27%) were further asked: Why are you not satisfied with your current fund administrator? Findings revealed that the major reason for lack of satisfaction with the Pension Fund Administrator as indicated by (53%) is “No update on my account”. This is followed by “Don’t pay money as and when due” indicated by 23%. Other reasons identified with lack of satisfaction include “Poor customer service” indicated by 11%, “I don’t feel my money is secured with the PFA” indicated by 8% and “No remittance of money” indicated by5%. Further analysis based on geo-political zones showed that while the North-West zone (84%)had the highest proportion of respondents that indicated “No update on my account”, theSouth-South zone (49%) had the highest number of respondents that indicated “Don’t pay money as and when due”. Finally in order to explore the reasons why most Nigerians don’t have Pension, respondents that indicated they did not have pension plans in a previous question (64%) were asked: Why don’t you have pension plan? Findings revealed that the major reasons cited by respondents for not having pension plans include “I am a student” indicated by 22%, ”I don’t have a job” indicated by 21%, “I don’t know much about pension” indicated by 13% and “I am not interested” indicated by 12%. Other reasons cited include “I am self-employed” indicated by 9%, “I don’t have money’ specified by 7%, “I don’t need it for now” specified by 5%, “it is meant for civil servants”. Reasons that came at the bottom of the chart include “I work in a private firm” indicated by 3%, “I don’t trust the Pension Fund Administrators” indicated by 2%and “I will in the future” indicated by 1%. In conclusion, the poll revealed that 6 in 10 Nigerians (64%) do not have pension plans and more than half of Nigerians who currently have pension plans (54% of 36%) are subscribed to the contributory pension scheme for public organisations. Findings also revealed that majority of Nigerians who have pension plans (73% of 36%) are satisfied with their current Pension Fund Administrators. Furthermore, the major reason for lack of satisfaction with the Pension Fund Administrator as indicated by majority (53%) is “No update on my account”. Findings revealed that the major reasons cited for not having a pension plan include “I am a student” indicated by 22%, ”I don’t have a job” by 21%. Finally, this poll has shown that there’s potentially a huge pension market for PFAs to harness in Nigeria. Therefore, they need to device new strategies and design new pensions products to harness this untapped market. Also, there’s need for increased enlightenment and education on the merits and benefits of pensions to individuals and the economy, particularly in terms of mobilising funds for investment. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted from September 2nd to 4th 2013. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1018 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited is theNo.1 for country-specific polling services in West Africa. We work in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgement as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com

  • President’s Job Approval Rating Reaches Peak of 57% in August 2013

    Abuja, Nigeria. September 3rd, 2013 – Latest monthly governance poll result released by NOIPolls Limited has revealed that almost 6 in 10 (57%) Nigerians approve of President Goodluck Jonathan’s job performance in the month of August 2013. This current score depicts a 4-Point increase in the job approval rating of the President from July (53%) to August (57%)and also marks the highest approval rating the President has scored since January 2013. Furthermore, same as in July, the results indicated that 42% of Nigerians rated the performance of the current administration as average. However, there was a slight decline (2-point) in the proportion of Nigerians (36%) that had experienced some improvements in the power supply in August. Despite this slight decline, the President’s approval rating continued to soar, particularly in the South-East (76%), North Central (70%) and South-South (66%) regions. These were the key findings from the Governance Snap Poll conducted in the week of August 26th 2013. The results presented are the eighth in the monthly series of governance polls conducted by NOI Polls to gauge the opinions and perceptions of Nigerians regarding three crucial elements – the approval rating of the president, the performance of the current administration, and the situation of power supply in the country. Respondents to the poll were asked three specific questions. Firstly, in order to gauge the approval rating of President Goodluck Jonathan over the past 1 month (August) respondents were asked: Do you approve or disapprove of the performance of President Jonathan in the past 1 month?: The result from this question revealed that, overall, almost 6 in 10 Nigerians surveyed (57%: 14%+43%) approve of the President’s job performance over the past month, where 14% strongly approve and 43% approve. These figures clearly depict a 4-point increase in the proportion of Nigerians that approve of the President’s performance from July(53%) to August (57%); and emerged as the best rating so far in eight months. Comparatively, a total of 19% of respondents indicated disapproval of the President’s performance, with 15% indicating they disapprove and 4%strongly disapprove, while, 24% of the respondents remained neutral in rating his performance as they neither approve nor disapprove. Assessing the President’s performance across geo-political zones showed that the South-East zone with 76% (22%+54%) had the highest proportion of respondents that approved of the President’s performance in the past one month up from 72% in July. This is followed by the North-Central zone with 70% (26%+44%) up from 56% in July and the South-South zone with 66% (12%+54%) up from 62% in July. The highest proportion of respondents that disapproved of the President’s performance were from the North-West zone with 31% (28%+3%) down from 40% in July, followed by the North-East zone with 26% (14%+12%) down from 31% in July. The largest number of respondents that were neutral towards the president’s performance was from the South-West zone with 33% up from 26% in July. In addition, more female(60%) than male (54%) respondents approve of the President’s job performance. A general assessment of the president’s rating in an eight months series showed that the approval rating of the President’s performance initially experienced an increase from January (50%) to February (54%), and then experienced a continuous decline from February to April (42%). Afterwards, it increased in May (44%) and was stable in June and has experienced a continuous increase in three months from June (44%) to August (57%);the highest rating so far in 2013. Secondly, in order to measure the performance of the current administration respondents were asked: How would you rate the performance of this current administration in the past 1 month? Overall, the majority (42%) are of the opinion that the current administration has performed averagely. In addition, while a total of 35% indicated they performed well, where 8% said they’ve performed very well and 27% said they’ve performed well; 23% rated their performance as poor, with 4% percent saying they’ve performed very poorly and 19% saying they’ve performed poorly. Furthermore, similar to the President’s approval rating, the 35% positive rating of the administration marks a 7-point increase from the 28% in July 2013. Gauging these results across geo-political zones further revealed that the South-South zone had the highest proportion of respondents (54%) that rated the performance of the current administration as average. In addition, while the South-East zone records the highest number of respondents (49%) that rated the performance of the current administration positively, the North-East (34%) accounted for the highest number of respondents that rated their performance negatively. Again, an assessment of the performance of the current administration in eight months revealed that the job approval rating of the current administration experienced an increase from January (22%) to February (24%)and then declined in two months consecutively till April (16%). From the month of May (21%) it again experienced a continuous increase till August (35%), which represents the highest figures in eight months. Lastly, in order to evaluate the general situation of power in Nigeria within the past month, respondents were asked: How would you describe power in your area in the past 1 month? Findings revealed that overall,36% (5%+31%) of Nigerians experienced an improvement in the power situation over the past month, where5% experienced very much improvement and 31% experienced little improvement.  In addition, (27%) of the respondents were of the opinion that “it remains bad”, 21% indicated that “there’s no difference at all”, while16% of the respondents stated that the power situation “is very bad and has gone worse”. Analysis based on geo-political zones showed that, majority of the respondents that experienced an improvement in the power situation in August were from the South-South zone (53%). The North-Central zones with 29%represents the highest number of respondents that say “there’s no difference at all” in the power situation over the past month. In addition, the North-East zone accounted for the highest proportion of respondents (42%)that indicated power supply in their area “remains bad” while the South-West zone (26%) accounted for the most number of respondents that say “it’s very bad has gone worse”. An overview of the power situation in eight months depicts a 2-points decline in the proportion of respondents that experienced improvement in the power situation in their area compared to July’s 38% score. Findings also revealed that January and February recorded the best power ratings with 47% and 44% respectively, while March & April (31% each) recorded the lowest proportion of respondents that experienced an improvement. In conclusion, findings from the current poll have revealed that the President’s performance rating reached its peak in eight months at 57%. This figure depicts a 4-Point increase in the approval rating of the President’s performance from July (53%) to August (57%). Also, 42% of respondents were of the opinion that the administration performed averagely. Interestingly, there was a 2-points decline in the proportion of Nigerians that had experienced improvements in power supply for the month of August (36%) compared to July (38%).However, despite the decline, the President’s job approval rating still soared; suggesting that beyond power supply, the President’s performance on other critical areas of the economy & polity may be responsible for his continued positive ratings. Perhaps media reports around heightened security & reported death of Abubakar Shekau, the strides in railway transportation & commencement of rail haulage from Lagos to Kano, as well as the formal opening of the Akanu Ibiam International Airport & the maiden flight of Ethiopian Airlines, which will serve as a major economic booster, may have endeared respondents; particularly in the South-East region where the President had the highest job approval rating of 76%. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted on August 26th to 28th 2013. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,004 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited is Nigeria’s leading opinion polling and research organisation, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com

  • Poor Enlightenment Hinders Insurance Penetration Among the General Public

    Abuja, Nigeria. August 27th, 2013 – Latest weekly poll results released by NOIPolls has revealed that almost 9 in 10 Nigerians (86%) do not have any form of insurance cover. The results have also indicated thatVehicle/Car insurance (63%) is the most commonly purchased insurance cover, and Insurance companies (42%) and agents (41%) are the key channels of insurance purchase. Furthermore, the major causes of the low market penetration and poor insurance culture are low awareness and poor enlightenment on the benefits of insurance (40%). The poll also reveals huge potentials for insurance companies and practitioners to design new products to target Nigeria’s bulging youth population. These are the key findings from the Retail Insurance Snap Poll conducted in the week of August 19th, 2013. According to a recent media report, the insurance culture in Nigeria can best be described as almost non-existent. Despite the fact that the Nigerian environment has a high and increasing level of risk, less than 2% of Insurable risks are covered by insurance.[1] Previous studies have shown that low awareness and lack of knowledge about insurance products characterize people’s opinions about the insurance sector. Apart from these, negative perceptions of Nigerians towards insurance have generally inhibited the growth of the sector. For instance many are of the opinion that insurance companies are more concerned in collecting premiums, than in settling claims thus affecting the general confidence in the insurance companies. There are also cultural and religious factors associated with the slow growth of the insurance sector. Anecdotal evidences suggest that the demand for insurance cover in Nigeria may be affected by various cultural and religious beliefs in the country in a way that it affects people’s perceptions on risk aversion. For instance, some religions have created a strong disapproval to life insurance, declaring that dependence on life insurance brings about a distrust of God‘s protecting care.[2] In view of these, NOIPolls conducted its latest poll on Retail Insurance to explore the insurance culture in Nigeria in terms of the level of patronage and the reasons surrounding poor insurance culture in Nigeria. Respondents were asked four specific questions. Firstly, in order to measure the proportion of Nigerians that have insurance, respondents were asked: At present, do you have any form of insurance cover in your name? Overall, the majority of Nigerians (86%) do not have any form of insurance cover; thus indicating low insurance penetration in the country and poor insurance culture amongst Nigerians. Analysis across geo-political zones, reveal that the South-West zone (34%) had the highest number of Nigerians that have insurance, while the North-East (96%) and North-West (81%)zones both accounted for the highest proportion that indicated they have no insurance of any form. Analysis based on age group showed that the highest proportion of insured Nigerians are within the age category of 45-54 years (34%); followed by people within the 55-65 years age group with 26%, and 65+ group with 22%. On the other hand, there’s very low insurance penetration for youths within the ages of 18-21 (0%) and 22-34 (4%); signalling huge market potentials for insurance companies and practitioners who can design products to target this market segment. [1] www.vanguard.com [2] http://www.nigerianorientnews.com/?p=2932 Secondly, in order to gain insight to the forms of insurance cover Nigerians have, respondents that indicated they have insurance cover (14% of the total), were asked: What type of insurance cover do you have in your name? The findings reveal that the most common form of insurance cover that Nigerians buy is Vehicle/Car insurance as specified by majority (63%). This is followed by Life assurance (20%), Property (17%) and Health (16%). Looking across geo-political zones, findings further reveal that while the South-East zone accounted for the highest proportion of Nigerians that have Vehicle/Car insurance cover (78%), the South-West has the highest proportion of respondents with Life assurance (37%). Furthermore, the North-Central zone (33%) had the highest number of respondents that indicated Property as the form of insurance they currently have. Further analysis based on age showed that all the respondents aged 55 years and above (100%) claimed to have Vehicle/Car insurance and 50% of respondents within the age category of 65 years and above had life assurance. Thirdly, in order to explore the channels through which Nigerians purchase their insurance covers, respondents that have insurance covers (14% of the total) were further asked: Where do you buy your insurance from? Responses showed that the slight majority of Nigerians purchase insurance covers directly from insurance companies (42%), closely followed by insurance agents (41%). Also, 11% indicated that they purchase insurance fromBanks. Furthermore, while more male (50%) than female (31%) respondents purchased their insurance covers through insurance companies, more female (53%) than male (35%) respondents purchase insurance covers from agents. From the geo-political standpoint, all respondents from the North-West zone that have insurance covers indicated insurance company as their channel of purchase, while the North-Central zone (78%) accounted for the highest proportion of respondents that buy insurance covers from insurance agents. Finally, respondents that had previously indicated they do not have insurance cover (86% of the total) were asked: Why don’t you have any form of insurance cover? Responses show that the majority (40%) mentioned “I am not aware/Lack of enlightenment about insurance” and its benefits as the main reason why they do not have any form of insurance cover. This is followed by 26% who indicated “it is not necessary; No need for it; No interest in it” and 14% who claimed “it is expensive; I cannot afford it”. In addition 9% stated “I do not trust insurance companies; they are not genuine”, 6% indicated “I do not believe in it; it is against my culture/religion”. It is imperative to note that only 9% stated that they do not trust insurance companies, compared to some decades ago when insurance practitioners were considered fraudulent for use of hidden clauses and non-payment of claims. These findings show that while the image and reputation of insurance companies and practitioners may have improved over the years, the low awareness and poor enlightenment on the benefits of insurance is perceived to be the main factor responsible for the general low patronage. Further analysis based on geo-political zones show that the North-West zone (58%) had the highest number of people that indicated lack of awareness and poor enlightenment as reasons for not having insurance covers. This is followed by the North-East zone with 53%. Also, the South-South and South-West zones with 33% each accounted for the highest proportion of respondents that claimed “it is not necessary; No need for it; No interest in it” In conclusion, the results and findings from this poll have revealed that majority of Nigerians (86%) do not have any form of insurance cover, confirming low market penetration and poor insurance culture in Nigeria. Results have also revealed that vehicle/car insurance (63%) is the most commonly purchased insurance cover; compared to a much smaller 20% that have life assurance. Insurance companies (42%) and agents (41%) are the major channels of insurance purchase. Furthermore, the major causes of the poor insurance culture that emerged from the poll are low awareness and poor enlightenment about insurance (40%). Overall, there must be renewed attempts to promote the insurance industry and communicate the benefits of essential Insurance products such as life, accident, burglary and health to the general public. Finally, these findings indicate huge market potentials for insurance companies and practitioners who will be able to invest more in advertising and media campaigns to clearly inform the public on the benefits of insurance; and would be willing to design suitable retail insurance products to meet the needs of the underserved population. In particular, specific products targeted at youths between 18 to 34 years may hold the strongest potential, since they currently have an average insurance penetration of 2%. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted on August 19th to 21st 2013. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1018 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOI Polls Limited is Nigeria’s leading opinion polling and research organisation, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOI Polls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOI Polls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOI Polls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOI Polls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOI Polls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com

  • President’s Approval Rating at 53% in July; Second Best Rating in Seven Months

    Abuja, Nigeria.  August 6th, 2013 – Latest governance poll results released by NOI Polls Limited for the month of July 2013 has revealed that the President’s approval rating increased by 9-points (53%) after remaining constant at 44% in May and June 2013. In addition, the results reveal a slight improvement in the situation of power supply as more Nigerians experienced an improvement (38%) in July, compared to June(32%), thus creating a positive effect on the approval rating of the President. The current results further affirm previous findings by NOI Polls that suggests a link between the perception of power supply and the approval rating of the president. Further analysis reveals that while about 38% of Nigerians claimed to have experienced improvement in power supply, four geo-political regions accounted for the highest proportion of respondents – North-Central (51%), North-East (47%), South-East (41%) and South-South (40%). Similarly, three out of the four regions also accounted for the highest ratings of the President’s 53% approval in July – North-Central(56%), South-East (73%), and South-South (62%). These are few of the key findings from the governance snap poll conducted in the week of July 22nd 2013. The results presented are the 7th in the monthly series of governance polls conducted by NOI Polls to gauge the opinions and perceptions of Nigerians regarding three critical elements – the approval rating of the president, the performance of the current administration, and the situation of power supply in the country. As in previous months, respondents to the poll were asked three specific questions. Firstly, in order to measure the approval evaluation of President Goodluck Jonathan over the past 1 month (July) respondents were asked:Do you approve or disapprove of the performance of President Jonathan in the past 1 month:Response to this question revealed some interesting findings (Figure 1). Overall the majority (53%: 10%+43%)approve of the President’s performance, where 10% strongly approve and 43% approve of his performance. This finding shows a considerably 9-point increase from the previous month’s (June) 44% approval rating. The proportion of respondents that rated the president’s performance negatively in July came to a total of 25%(compared to 26% in June), with 21% disapproving and 4% strongly disapproving of his performance in the past one month. In addition, 22% of the respondents remained neutral in rating his performance as they neither approve nor disapprove (compared to 30% in June). Gauging the President’s performance across geo-political zones further revealed that the South-East zone with73% (58%+15%) accounted for the highest proportion of respondents that rated the President’s performance positively in the past one month. This was followed by the South-South zone with 62% (49%+13%) and theNorth-Central zone with 56% (41%+15%). The lowest proportion of respondents (38%) that approved of the President performance for the month of July came from the North-East zone. Majority of the respondents that disapproved of the President’s performance were from the North-West zone with 40% (34%+6%), followed by the North-East zone with 31%. The highest number of respondents that were neutral towards the president’s performance were from the North-East zone with 31%. Furthermore, the proportion of respondents that approved of the President’s performance experienced an average increase of 9-points across all the geo-political zones from June to July; however, the South-East zone recorded the highest increase of  21% from June (52%) to July (73%). Figure 1 Further comparison between the President’s performance in July and the six month trended average (illustrated in Figure 2) showed, on the one hand, that the president’s approval rating experienced a 6-point increase in the month of July (53%) compared to the average score from the previous six months (47%: Jan to Jun). On the other hand,his disapproval experienced a 3-point decline in July (25%) compared to the average score from the previous six months (28%). Also, there was a 3-point decline in the number of respondents that were neutral in July (22%) compared to the six months average of 25%. Figure 2 Secondly, in order to ascertain the performance of the current administration respondents were asked: How would you rate the performance of this current administration in the past 1 month? Overall, the majority (42%) are of the opinion that the current administration has performed averagely. This finding depicts a 5-point decline from June (47%). In addition, a total of 28% are of the opinion that the administration has performed well, also marking a 5-point increase from June 2013 (23%). However, 30% rated their performance as poor (same as in June). An evaluation of the current administration’s performance based on geo-political zones showed that the North-East zone had the highest proportion of respondents (54%) that rated the performance of the current administration as average. While the South-East zone accounted for the highest number of respondents (45%)that rated the current administration positively, the North-West (46%) recorded the highest number of respondents that rated their performance negatively. Figure 3 Figure 4 which portrays comparisons of the performance assessment of the current administration in July with average figures obtained from the previous six months, showed some variations in the ratings. Respondents that indicated the current administration performed well increased by 6-points in July (28%: 4%+24%) against the six month average (22%: 3%+19%) and by 5% from June (23%) to July. Similarly, respondents that rated the performance of the current administration as average declined by 5-points from June (47%) to July (42%),and by 8-points when compared with six months average of 50%. Furthermore, the proportion of respondents that were of the opinion that the current administration performed poorly increased by 2-points in July (30%: 24%+6%) compared with average from previous six months (28%: 22%+6%) and remained the same as in June. Figure 4 Thirdly, in order to evaluate the general situation of power in Nigeria within the past month, respondents were asked: How would you describe power in your area in the past 1 month? In response to this, the overall majority (30%) indicated that the power situation in their area has improved a little, this is followed by respondents  (22%) that were of the opinion that “there’s no difference at all”, and those that indicated “it remains bad” (22%). In addition, while 18% of the respondents stated that the power situation “remains very bad and has gone worse”, 8% affirmed that it has improved very much (Figure 5). The results indicate that a total of 38% (30% + 8%) of respondents affirmed that they have experienced slight improvements in power supply in the month of July, compared to the previous month (June: 32%). From a regional standpoint, majority of the respondents (40%) that experienced a little improvement in the month of July were from the North-Central zone (51%), followed by the North-East (47%), South-East (41%) and the South-South (40%) zones. In addition, the North-West zone accounted for the highest proportion of respondents (36%) that indicated power supply in their area “remains bad” and also accounted for the most number of respondents (25%) that say “it’s very bad has gone worse”. Figure 5 Moving further, Figure 6 compares the current July results with the average of the previous six months, and reveals that the proportion of Nigerians that experienced very much improvement increased by 3-points in July compared to the average obtained from January to June. Those that experienced a little improvement had a 1-point decline in July (30%) compared to the average of the previous six months (31%). The proportion of respondents that did not experience any difference in the power situation in July (22%) was at par with the average obtained from the previous six months. Furthermore, there was a 1-point decrease each in July in the proportion of respondents that indicated power remains bad (22%) and the proportion that say power supply it’s very bad, it has gone worse (18%) compared to the average of previous six months recorded at 23% and 19%respectively. Figure 6 In conclusion, findings from the current poll have shown that about 5 in 10 Nigerians (53%) approve of the job performance of President Goodluck Jonathan, and this rating marks a 9-point increase from the month of June(44%). This current July rating of 53% ranks as the second best rating in seven months, behind February(54%). The results also revealed that although majority think the present administration performed averagely, however the proportion of Nigerians that think they performed well increased by 6-points from June (23%)  to July (28%) and by 6% in comparison to the average obtained from the previous six months (22%).  Furthermore, the current results reveal slight improvements in the power situation (38%), compare to the previous month (June: 32%). This further affirms previous findings by NOI Polls suggesting a link between the perception of power supply and the approval rating of the president. Consequently, it is clear that one way the President can improve his approval rating is to ensure his power sector reform is sustained and that power supply is improved across the country. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted on July 26th to 30th 2013. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,004 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOI Polls Limited is Nigeria’s leading opinion polling and research organisation, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOI Polls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOI Polls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOI Polls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOI Polls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOI Polls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com

  • 47 Percent of Nigerians Experienced Poor Power Supply in 2nd Quarter of 2013

    Abuja, Nigeria. July 23, 2013 –The series of Power Sector Polls conducted by NOI Polls Limited in the second quarter of 2013 has revealed that an average of 47% of Nigerian adults said that electricity supply was poor or went from bad to worse. The results also indicate that about 8 in 10 of those interviewed (81%) generate their own power supply through alternative sources to compensate for irregular power supply; while a combined average of 69% have experienced increase in their spending on alternative power supply compared to a year ago. These are some of the key findings from the power sector polls for the 2nd quarter (Q2) of 2013. The Electric Power Sector Reform Act (EPSRA), passed in 2005, initiated the unbundling of government’s power plants under the Nigerian Electricity Power Authority (NEPA). They were formed into business units and regulated by the Nigerian Electricity Regulation Commission (NERC) thus paving the way for public-private partnership and consequently the privatization of the power sector. The privatization process is still underway and is intended to revive the power sector and invariably the Nigerian economy, as homes and industries alike will receive adequate and consistent quality of power supply. In order to ascertain the perceptions of Nigerians regarding the power sector reforms, the hours of power supply received daily and expenditure on alternative sources of power compared to a year ago, NOI Polls introduced thePower Sector Polls Project in April 2013 to monitor these trends and will release quarterly reports on findings of the polls. This result release marks the first in the series. Key Findings Over 3000 phone owning Nigerian adults aged 18 years and above were interviewed across this three month period (April-June) and some of their responses to the poll will be analysed in this report. In order to measure the level of power supply to households, respondents were asked: How would you describe power supply in your area in the past 1 month? : A combined average of 47% said power supply had either remained bad (25%) or had worsened (22%); compared with about 33% who said they witnessed some slight improvement, and 20% who experienced no difference in the past month. Nonetheless, it is worth pointing that the poll results indicate a 1-point increase between April and June (April: 31, June: 32) of respondents who saw some improvement, a 5-point drop in respondents who said it remains bad (April: 27, June: 22) and a 3-point increase in those who said it remained the same (April: 18, June: 21). The polls have indicated a link between power supply and the president’s approval rating; as it was observed that in the months where respondents perceived that power improved, the president’s rating seemed to increase and vice versa. The month of May had the best power supply of the three months. Figure 1 illustrates the three month trend. Figure 1: Perception of power supply in the past month The next question sought to measure the typical number of hours of continuous power supply experienced in the household on a daily basis: On the average, how many hours of continuous power supply does your household experience daily? Averages across three months show that between April and June 42% of respondents claimed to experience about 1-4 hours of power supply on a typical day. There marks a 4-point decline in the proportion of respondents who received 1-4 hours of continuous power between April and June (April: 45%, June: 41%); a 7-point increase in respondents who received 15-19 hours of power (April: 3%, June 10%); and also a 2-point increase in respondents who received 10-14 hours of power (April: 9%, June: 11%). However, corroborating the findings above, the month of May appeared to have had the highest level of power supply with 10% of respondents saying they received 15-19 hours of power supply, which dropped by 4-points in June. Also, 25% said they received 5-9 hours of power supply, which also dropped by 3-points in June. Equally in May, 9% of respondents (the lowest for the 3 months) claimed to have received no power at all. Therefore it can be concluded that power supply slightly dipped between May and June. Figure 2 shows this trend analysis. Figure 2: Hours of power supply received Moving forward, in order to ascertain the proportion of Nigerians that use alternative sources of power supply, respondents were asked: Do you use any alternate source of electricity supply such as generators or inverters? Findings show that between April and June an average of 81% of Nigerian adults (8 in 10 Nigerian adults) use other sources of electricity apart from the power supplied to households by PHCN. These ties in with the petrol pump price monitoring polls conducted by NOI Polls that revealed that Nigerians mainly use petrol for their generators. The findings indicate that in May, there was a 5-point drop in the number of Nigerians that used alternative sources of power supply. However, when analyzed across the 3 months, there was actually a 3 point increase. The proportion of Nigerians that used alternative sources experienced a 5-point decline between April (82%) and May (77%) and an 8-point increase between May and June (85%). This shows that because power was relatively better in May, less people needed to use alternatives to generate power. Figure 3 illustrates this finding. Figure 3: Use of alternate sources of electricity In order to gauge the spending trend of Nigerians on alternative power sources, respondents were asked: How would you describe the amount you currently spend on alternative power compared to a year ago? Averages over the three month period show that 46% of Nigerians, forming the majority, experienced a drastic increase in their spending on alternative sources compared to a year ago.This is followed by 23% that experienced a slight increase, and 15% that indicated a slight decrease in their spending. While 12% of the respondents did not experience any change at all in their spending, an average of 3% claimed that their spending on alternative sources of power decreased drastically in comparison to the previous year. In essence, a combined average of 69% experienced some form of increase in their spending on alternative sources of power sources. A comparison of the findings of the three months shows the following: a 10 point increase in respondents who saw a drastic increase between April and June (April: 42%, June: 52%) and a 24 point drop in respondents who saw a slight increase in spending between April and June (April 31%, June: 17%). The findings show that May had the highest percentage with 14% of respondents across the three months whose spending remained the same, tying into the previous findings that reveal that May had improved power across the three months. Figure 4 shows the three month trend of the responses on spending. Figure 4: Cost of alternative power supply compared to a year ago To ascertain the level of awareness of respondents on the reformation of the power sector by the Nigerian government, respondents were asked: Are you aware that the Federal Government is making efforts to reform the power sector? The findings show that an average of 64% of Nigerian adults are aware of the power sector reforms, while 36% of Nigerians are unaware. The month of June with 75% had the highest level of awareness. The high percentage of Nigerians who are unaware of the reforms signifies an insufficiency in the level of publicity of the power sector reforms. Figure 5 illustrates the findings. Figure 5: Awareness of the power sector reforms Finally in order to gain further insight into the perception of Nigerians regarding the on-going power sector reforms, respondents were asked: How do you feel about these on-going power reforms? Responses reveal that an average of about 53% of Nigerian adults are hopeful about the reforms and they form the majority. Tying into the earlier mentioned finding of power supply being better in May, the findings indicate that in May, the highest percentage (64%) of Nigerians were hopeful, showing a link between power supply and faith in the government. On the flipside, a combined average of about 17% of Nigerians dissatisfied with the power sector reforms so far; while an average of 20% are indifferent, and can sway either way, depending on the success of the reform efforts and whether it translates into steady power supply or not. Figure 6: Perception of the reforms Results from the power sector polls show that in the second quarter of 2013, power supply was highest in May and a majority of Nigerians have experienced a drastic increase in cost of alternative power supply compared to a year ago. The polls further indicate that Nigerians are somewhat hopeful that the on-going reform in the power sector will succeed and translate to steady power supply. In subsequent months and by the end of the year, there will be more information on the trend of power supply in Nigeria and also perceptions on the power sector reforms. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted between April and June 2013. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample of over 3,000 phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOI Polls Limited is Nigeria’s leading opinion polling and research organization, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organization (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOI Polls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOI Polls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOI Polls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOI Polls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOI Polls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com

  • About 5 in 10 Nigerians bought petrol above N97 per litre in 2nd Quarter of 2013

    Abuja, Nigeria. July 16, 2013 – The second quarter results for the Petrol Pump Price Monitoring Pollsconducted by NOI Polls Limited  reveals that between April and June 2013 an average of 52 percent adult Nigerians (about 45.2 million Nigerian adults) are still buying petrol above the official pump price of N97 per litre. This marks a 5-point decline from an average of 57 percent in Q1 2013. The poll further indicates that 6 in 10 Nigerians (60%) blame the differences in petrol price on lack of government monitoring of petrol sales. These form part of the findings of the polls for Quarter 2 (Q2), 2013. In January 2012, the Petroleum Products Pricing Regulatroy Agency (PPPRA) along with government announced an increase in the price of petrol from N65 to N141 as a result of the removal of subsidy for the reason that over a trillion naira was spent in 2011 on subsidy. After days of protest by Nigerians led by organised labour and civil societies who were unhappy about the perceived hardship this action would cause  Nigerians and the lack of notice by the government to carry out such plans, the government as a stop-gap measure partially removed subsidy, thereby bringing the official pump price of petrol to N97. In the course of and following the 2012 subsidy protest and partial removal of subsidy by government, many debates arose with erroneous and innaccurate information passed across as the truth, indicating a need for a dependable measure of public opinion on issues surrounding public policies. This led NOI Polls in January 2013 to initiate the Petrol Pump Price Monitoring Project. This result release is the second quarterly release in the series. View Q1 results here. The purpose of the poll is to monitor and analyse the current pump price and uses of petrol in Nigeria, as well as to measure the perception of Nigerians towards the petrol price differences at various points of sale. Key Findings Over 3000 respondents have been interviewed across six months (January-June) and the respondents are asked ten questions for each monthly poll, but only five of these have been reveiwed in this report. For full details of the findings please e-mail: editor@noi-polls.com. In order to determine the main petrol distributers that Nigerians patronize and analyze their purchase trends, respondents to the poll were asked: Where do you mainly buy petrol from? The responses indicate that in Q2 of 2013, 55% of Nigerians bought petrol from major marketer filling stations. This is followed by 34% of Nigerians who bought from independent marketer filling stations then 11% who bought from hawkers. The North-Central and South-West zones have the highest percentage of Nigerians purchasing petrol from major marketer filling stations with 64% and 62% respectively. The South-East zone has the highest percentage of people purchasing from independent marketer filling stations with 46 percent, while the North-East zone has the highest percentage of people purchasing from hawkers with 28%.  Figure 1 illustrates these findings. Figure 1: Main point of petrol purchase (Q2, 2013) A comparison of Q1 and Q2 findings indicates a 6-point drop in the percentage of purchases from major marketer filling stations and a 7-point increase in the purchase from hawkers. The increase in purchase from hawkers may be as a result of security issues in the North-East region (as is evident in a previous NOI Security Poll) because distribution of petrol in that region may have reduced and invariably put the product in the black market. Averages across a six month period indicate the following for 2013: 58% of Nigerians purchase petrol from major marketer filling stations, 34% purchase from independents while an average of 8% purchase from hawkers. Figure 2 shows the findings for 2013. Figure 2: Main point of petrol purchase (Q1 and 2 2013) In order to estimate the average cost of petrol in Nigeria as well as measure the percentage of Nigerians who buy above the official pump price, the respondents to the poll were asked: How much do you normally buy petrol?  Responses indicate that 48% of Nigerians between April and June, bought petrol at N97  the official pump price, while 52% bought in varying percentages above the pump price. The South-West zone with 68% makes up the highest proportion of respondents who bought at N97, while theNorth-East with 72% (at  varying percentages bought at different prices) makes up the highest proportion of respondents who bought petrol above N97, it also makes up the highest proportion of repondents who bought petrol above N130 with 16%. This ties in with the previous explanation about the security issues and shows that those buying from hawkers invariably pay more for petrol.  See figure 3 below. Figure 3: Price per litre of petrol (Q2, 2013) A comparison between Q1 and 2 findings shows a 5-point increase in the percentage of Nigerians who paid N97 to purchase petrol. Averages across a six month period also indicates that an average of about 55 percent of Nigerians are buying petrol above the official pump price in 2013. Figure 4 shows an analysis of the price of petrol for 2013. Figure 4: Price per litre of petrol (Q1 and Q2 2013) In order to acertain the main uses of petrol in Nigeria, the respondents to the poll were asked: What do you normally use petrol for? Responses indicate that like quarter one of 2013, Nigerians still mainly use petrol for generators (an average of 73%). This is followed by use of petrol for cars by 51% and then use for motorcylces and machinery by 16% and 4% respectively. Figure 5 illustrates the different uses of petrol in descending order along with averages for April-June 2013. Figure 5: Uses of Petrol (Q1, 2013) A comparison of Q1 and Q2 of 2013 results shows an 8-point increase in the use of petrol for generators (Q1: 67 percent, Q2: 73 percent) and an 8-point drop in the use of petrol for cars (Q1: 59 percent, Q2: 51%). This indicates that the power supply in the second quarter may have deteriorated, leading to more people using generators. Averages across a six month period indicate the following averages in 2013: 70% of Nigerians use petrol for generators, 55% for cars, 15% for motorcycles and 4% for machinery. Figure 6 shows the main uses of petrol in 2013. Figure 6: Use of petrol (Q1 and Q2 2013) In order to measure the perception of Nigerians towards the causes of price differences of petrol at the points of sale, the respondents to the poll were asked: What do you think is responsible for the difference in the pump price of petrol across filling stations? Between April and June, 70% of Nigerians were of the opinion that the main reason for price differences is the fact that the government is not monitoring the filling stations, this is followed by 25% who blamed it on hoarding by petrol stations and the final 16% were of the opinion that price differences is caused by the differences in price of petrol importation. The North-East zone makes up the highest proportion of respondents (with 73%) who blamed the price differences on lack of government monitoring and this is the same zone that experienced high prices of petrol and buy from hawkers, so their responses tie in with previous results. The North-West zone makes up the highest percentage of respondents who blame price disparities on hoarding (with 33 percent). Figure 7 shows a breakdown of Nigerian’s responses according to geo-political zones. Figure 7: Responsibility for price disparity (quarter 1, 2013) A comparison of Q1 and 2 findings shows a 1-point increase in the percentage of people who blamed lack of government monitoring. There is a 7-point increase in Q2 of respondents who blamed hoarding, and an 8-point increase of Nigerians who blamed the varying prices of petrol importation. This indicates that between Q1 and 2, some Nigerians shifted from blaming the cost of importation to blaming petrol station hoarding for price disparties and this in turn means that regulation and monitoring of petrol stations is being questioned by Nigerians. Averages across a six month period indicate the following for 2013: About 60% of Nigerians blame price differences at points of purchase on lack of government monitoring, 21% blame hoarding by filling stations and 20% blame the varying prices of importation. Figure 8 illustrates the causes that Nigerians attribute to pump price differences in 2013. Figure 8: Responsibility for price disparity (Q1 and Q2 2013) The findings of this poll make it clear that Nigerians are still buying petrol above the pump price and blame the differences in pump prices mainly on lack of monitoring of petrol pump prices. The poll result also shows that Nigerians mainly use petrol for generators. Furthermore it leads to the question of whether the fuel subsidy policy is working and whether the price of petrol should be regulated or allowed to be controlled by market forces. Probably, after another quarter of polling or at the end of the year (Q4), a clearer picture may emerge to answer these questions. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted between January and June 2013. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample of over 3000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOI Polls Limited is Nigeria’s leading opinion polling and research organisation, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOI Polls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOI Polls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOI Polls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOI Polls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOI Polls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com

  • Nigerian Australian

    Excerpts of news mention on Wikipedia Newspaper: .Read more below: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nigerian_Australian#cite_note-5

  • President’s Approval Rating Remains Constant at 44% for the Month of June 2013

    Abuja, Nigeria. July 2nd, 2013 – Governance poll results released by NOI Polls Limited for the month of June have revealed that slightly more than 4 in 10 Nigerians (44%) approve the performance of President Goodluck Jonathan for the month of June 2013. This rating has remained constant when compared to last month’s ratings. The results also indicate that 47% of Nigerians rate the performance of the current administration as average. These were the two key findings from the poll conducted in the week of June 24th 2013. The results presented are the sixth in the monthly series of governance polls conducted by NOI Polls to gauge the opinions and perceptions of Nigerians regarding three crucial elements – the approval rating of the president, the performance of the current administration, and the situation of power supply in the country. Averages over a six month period show the following statistics; an average of 47% of Nigerians approve of the president’s job performance over the six month period, however GEJ’s approval ratings have declined by 6 points over this period (Jan: 50%, Jun:44%). His approval ratings have been most affected in the months where power supply have been perceived as bad, showing a correlation between how Nigerians perceive his performance and their power supply. His ratings peaked in February at 54% when Nigeria won the African Cup of Nations and dipped at an all-time low to 42% in April, a month where 51% of Nigerians reported their power situation as bad. Respondents to the poll were asked three specific questions. The first question sought to gauge the approval rating of President Goodluck Jonathan over the past 1 month: Do you approve or disapprove of the performance of the president in the past 1 month? Overall, a total of 44% of the respondents (37% + 7%) approve the performance of the president; while a total of 26% (23% +3%) disapprove of his performance. The majority (37%) stated that they approve of the President’s performance, while 7% said they strongly approve, followed by 30% who were neutral saying they neither approved nor disapproved. Also, 23% of the respondents polled said they disapprove and 3% said they strongly disapproved. What is clearly interesting is the second largest group (30%) who are undecided about his performance and are sitting on the fence. This group is steadily increasing over the last 6 months with May reporting the highest (31%). When results are analysed by geo-political zone, some important disparities emerge. The approval rating of the President is highest in the South-South zone (60% in total) and South-East zone (52% in total). It is lowest in the North-East zone (29% in total); the South-West and North-East zones also have the highest proportion of respondents that disapprove of the President’s job performance with 35% and 34% respectively. It is also pertinent to point out the North-East and North-West zones have the highest proportion (37% each) of Nigerians who are neutral and neither approve or disapprove of the Presidents job performance. Averages over a six month period show the following statistics; an average of 47% of Nigerians approve of the president’s job performance over the six month period, however GEJ’s approval ratings have declined by 6 points over the six month period (Jan: 50%, Jun:44%). His approval ratings have been most affected in the months where power supply have been perceived as bad, showing a correlation between how Nigerians perceive his performance and their power supply. His ratings peaked in February at 54% when Nigeria won the African Cup of Nations and dipped at an all-time low to 42% in April, a month where 51% of Nigerians reported power as not improved. An average of 25% is currently neutral and sitting on the fence, an interest group for early converting as the race to the 2015 elections start while an average of 28% disapprove of the President’s job performance over the six month period. Please see figure below for six month trend for GEJ’s Job approval ratings. The second question sought to gauge the opinions of Nigerians regarding the performance of the entire administration – the ministers at the federal level, and the governors and their respective cabinets at the state levels. Respondents were asked: How would you rate the performance of this current administration in the last month? In response, overall the majority (47%) said the administration has “performed averagely”, followed by 23% who are of the opinion that “they have performed poorly”. In addition, 19% said “they have performed well”, while 7% said “they have performed very poorly”, and 4% said “they have performed very well. Once again, results analysed in more detail show some interesting highlights. The South-South zone has the highest proportion of respondents that think the current administration has performed well (34% in total). The North-East zone has the highest proportion of respondents that think the administration has performed poorly (36% in total). Averages over a six month period show the following statistics; an average of 50% of Nigerians rate the administration average over the six month period, this has remained constant over this period (Jan: 52%, Jun:47%). An average of 22% rates them poorly whilst the remaining 28% is shared between performing well, very well and very poor. An observation of all governance polls conducted show that the approval ratings for the administration (Executive cabinets, Ministers, Governors) do not vary largely from the President’s approval ratings (50% Vs 47%). Please see figure below for the six month trend for the administration’s approval ratings. Finally, the third question sought to establish the state of power supply in the country. Therefore, respondents were asked: How would you describe power supply in your area where you live in the last 1 month? Current results show that the slight majority (26%) stated that their power supply “has improved a little” and this is closely followed by 25% who claim “it is very bad and has gone worse”. Furthermore, 22% of Nigerians said “it remains bad” while 21% stated that “there’s no difference at all”. A meagre 6% of the respondents were of the opinion that power supply “has improved very much”. Overall 47% perceive their power supply as bad, 32% perceive their supply as improved and 21% has seen no difference at all. Looking across the geo-political zones, there are a few differences that are worth noting. The North-Central zone (41% in total) has the highest proportion of respondents that think that power supply has improved followed by the South-South zone (39% in total). The majority in the North-West zone (26%) claim that there has been no difference at all in their power supply. The North-East zone (57% in total) and South-West (56% in total) had the highest proportion of respondents that claim power supply remains bad in June and also that it is very bad and has gone worse. A comparison with results from the poll conducted in May 2013 shows a considerable change in the power supply situation in Nigeria. In June, more people claimed their power supply was bad or had worsened; 44% in May compared to 47% in June. Also, the proportion of respondents whose power supply had improved slightly or very much decreased in June (32%) compared to 35% in May. The percentage of respondents who observed no difference in their power supply stayed the same from May to June. Averages over a six month period show the following statistics; an average of 42% of Nigerians have not seen an improvement in their power supply over the six month period, 37% have seen an improvement whilst 21% have seen no difference at all in their power supply. An observation highlights a decline beginning in March and moving downwards to June with April peaking at 51% Please see figure below for six month trend on power supply. In conclusion, the results from this current poll have revealed that the majority of Nigerians approve of the job performance of President Goodluck Jonathan in the month of June 2013. His approval rating did not change from May to June 2013. Also in June, slightly less Nigerians think the current administration is performing well compared to May. Finally, More Nigerians have generally observed a worsened situation in power supply to their households in June compared to May 2013. Please visit our NOI Polls Monthly Figures to see ratings according to Gender, Occupation and Age. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted on June 26th to 28th 2013. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,008 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOI Polls Limited is Nigeria’s leading opinion polling and research organisation, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOI Polls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOI Polls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOI Polls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOI Polls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOI Polls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com

  • About 9 in 10 Nigerians Support The Proposed Anti-Same-Sex Marriage Bill

    Abuja, Nigeria. June 11 2013 – Latest weekly poll results released by NOI Polls Limited has revealed that about 9 in 10 Nigerians (92%) support the proposed ‘Anti Same-Sex Marriage Bill’ and the reasons for this support mostly revolve around morality and religion. To further buttress their support, most Nigerians are of the opinion that the proposed bill is not an infringement on the human rights of the Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual & Transgender (LGBT) community because homosexuality is not in our culture as Nigerians. These are two of the key findings from the recent Fundamental Human Rights Poll conducted in the week of June 3rd 2013. On May 30th 2013, the House of Representatives passed the ‘Anti Same Sex Marriage Bill’ that makes same-sex unions in Nigerian a criminal offense punishable by a maximum sentence of 14 years in prison. The bill passed unanimously by the House also criminalizes public displays of affection by same-gender partners. It bill also states that “any person who registers, operates or participates in gay clubs, societies and organizations directly or indirectly, makes a public show of a same-sex amorous relationship commits an offence and shall be liable to a term of 10 years imprisonment.” Under existing Nigerian federal law, sodomy is punishable by jail, but this bill legislates for a much broader crackdown on homosexuals and lesbians, who already live largely in an underground existence[1]. The present law in Nigeria already declares gay marriages invalid but the new law takes it a step further by criminalizing it. According to Rashidi Williams, the director of Nigeria’s Queer Alliance rights group “It (the bill) takes away the fundamental rights accorded to Nigerians under the constitution. This is really, really not a pressing national issue.” Against this background, NOI Polls conducted its latest poll on Fundamental Human Rights in order to explore the views of Nigerians regarding homosexuality and level of ratification on the latest law on same sex unions. It is our expectation that the results from this poll will contribute to the on-going discussion, and particularly highlight the perceptions of Nigerians regarding rights of the LGBT community in Nigeria. Respondents to the poll were asked five specific questions. Firstly, in order to ascertain the level of awareness of the new proposed law to make same-sex marriage punishable by imprisonment, respondents were asked: Are you aware of the recent legislative vote by the House of Representative banning same sex marriages in Nigeria? Overall, the majority (69%) of the respondents are aware of the recent legislative vote banning same sex marriage. The level of awareness is quite high considering the fact that the bill was passed in the last week of May and the poll was conducted in the first week of June.  When the level of awareness is analyzed from geo-political zones standpoint, the North-central, North East and South-South have the highest level of awareness with 75%, 73%and 72% respectively. Comparatively 31% of respondents claimed they are not aware of the legislative vote by the House of Representatives banning ‘same-sex marriage’ in Nigeria. [1] Reuters News : Nigeria Bill Banning Same-Sex Marriage Awaits President’s Assent In order to determine the level of ratification of the proposed law respondents were subsequently asked the following question: To what extent do you support or oppose the new ‘ Anti Same Sex Bill’ recently passed by the House of Representatives? In reaction to this, overall the majority of respondents 92% (69%+23%) support the ‘Anti Same-Sex Bill’, where 69% strongly support and 23% support the bill.  Furthermore, 5% (4%+1%) oppose the bill while 3% are neutral since they neither support nor oppose the bill. In addition, when the results were analysed according to geo-political zones, the North-central zone accounts for the highest proportion of respondents (76%) that strongly support the proposed law, this is followed by the North-West (74%) and the South-East with 70%. Overall, respondents across the geo-political regions support the new bill. A common argument in support of the legislation is that “Homosexuality is not part of our culture”, this assertion was also made by the Senate President, Mr. David Mark when the Upper House passed the bill. The third question sought to determine the opinion of Nigerians regarding this claim: To what extent do you agree or disagree with the claim that homosexuality is not part of the culture of Nigerians?  The results show that the overall majority of the respondents (85%) strongly agree with the claim that Homosexuality is not part of the culture of Nigerians. Also 15% agree that homosexuality is not part of the culture of Nigerians. Therefore, on the average, none of the respondents surveyed disagree with the claim that homosexuality is not a part of the Nigerian culture. Interestingly, while the North-East zone accounts for respondents in full agreement with the assertion, support still cuts across all other geo-political regions. Furthermore respondents were asked: In your opinion, is this proposed law an infringement on the human rights of Lesbians, Gay, Bi-Sexual and Transgender community? In reactions to this question, overall the majority of respondents (83%) are of the opinion that the proposed law is not an infringement on the human rights of the Lesbians, Gay, Bi-Sexual and Transgender (LGBT) community.  Furthermore, 13 % are not really sure if the proposed law is an infringement on their human rights and only 4% think that the law is actually an infringement on their human rights. Analysis across the geo-political zones show that the North-West has the highest amount of respondents (93%) that say that the Anti-Same-Sex bill is not an infringement; this is followed by the North-Central with 87% and the South-East with 86%. Furthermore, the North-East zone had the highest proportion of respondents (27%) that are not sure that the bill is an infringement on the human rights of the Gay community. In addition the North-Central has the highest proportion of respondents (6%) that are of the opinion that the new bill is an infringement of the human rights of the LGBT community. Finally in order to generate a more in-depth understanding of the responses gotten from the previous question respondents were asked: Why do you think it is an infringement/not an infringement on the human rights of Lesbians, Gay, Bi-Sexual and Transgender community? From the view point of respondents that think that the Anti-Same-Sex marriage bill is an infringement on the human rights of the gay community (4% of the total). The reason given by the majority (78%) is that the proposed law ‘deprives pleasure, freedom and right’ from people in the LGBT community.  The other reason given by 22% is that ‘though it is an infringement, but the government has to protect the country’. From the view point of respondents that indicated the bill is not an infringement on the human rights of the Gay community (83% of the total); the majority (60%) are of the opinion that the bill is not an infringement because “The act is not good, sinful, evil and no religion supports it”. This is followed by 16% of respondents who stated that”The act is forbidden by our Culture, Tradition and Constitution”. Furthermore, 12% said “The act is an Abomination, Abnormal, Immoral, Demonic and Inhuman”, another 8% said “The act (homosexuality) has no Human Rights, as it is Illegal and Unlawful” while 5% said “the Government are doing the right thing with the proposed law” thus they do not see it as an infringement on the human rights of the Gay community. In conclusion, the results from this current poll have revealed that Nigerians generally support the proposed ‘Anti Same Sex Marriage’ bill and mostly agree that homosexuality is not a part of the Nigerian culture. Also, the majority do not think that the proposed bill is an infringement on the human rights for the people in the LGBT community. However, examining the reasons given for stating that it is not an infringement in more detail reveals that they are mostly moral and religious arguments since they make assertions like homosexuality is ‘sinful, evil, immoral, an abomination’ etc.  Also, a minority believe that even though it is an infringement, it is still in best interest of the country for the government to pass these laws to protect the country. Read more on the history and legal implications of this bill from our newsroom correspondence here. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted on June 4th to 6th 2013. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,004 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOI Polls Limited is Nigeria’s leading opinion polling and research organisation, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOI Polls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOI Polls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOI Polls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOI Polls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOI Polls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com

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