Search Results

Abuja, Nigeria. January 27th, 2015 – An election poll commissioned by BusinessDay Media and conducted by NOIPolls Limited in November 2014 revealed that more than half (57%) of the Nigerian adult population believe political campaigns are not focusing on current issues in the country; this perception cuts across all regions, although residents of North-West zone maintained a different perspective as the majority in this region believe the campaigns of politicians are focused on addressing the present issues. In line with this, a significant proportion (48%) of Nigerians stated politicians should focus on addressing security in their campaigns to make meaningful impact. This stance was mostly maintained by residents of the North-East (70%)and North-West (62%) given the current state of insecurity in these regions. Job Creation and Education were also considered as priority for focus among other areas. More findings revealed that addressing the afore-mentioned issues would greatly influence the voting decisions of most Nigerians in the 2015 elections as reported by majority of the respondents (64%) surveyed. Furthermore, a view of the pressing issues in Nigeria demonstrates Education (67%) as the most pressing national issue that needs to be tackled, followed by Electricity (39%), Infrastructure (38%), and Water (34%), among others; even though Nigerians believe current campaigns should focus on security. These were some of the key findings from the election poll. Brief Background Elections in Nigeria generally witness the adoption of several competitive strategies by political parties and candidates to solicit the support and followership of citizens; one of which is through political campaigns. Political campaigns enable candidates better know how to allocate their resources and develop better insight into how the electorate makes their voting decisions. They are organised efforts by a political party or candidate for public office to attract the support of voters in an election.[1] Since Nigerian voters are increasingly becoming less tied to a particular party, ahead of the February 2015 general elections political candidate have heightened their campaigns with political messages in order to manage the media and to maximize the number of votes. Against this background NOIPolls on behalf of BusinessDay conducted a poll to gauge the perception of Nigerians on the current campaigns of politicians, pressing issues that need to be addressed by politicians and the impact of addressing these issues on the voting decisions of Nigerians. Key Findings With the aim of the assessing the eagerness of Nigerians to voting in the 2015 elections, respondents were asked:Are you looking forward to voting in the 2015 general elections? Findings revealed that 83% of the respondents affirmed positively, disclosing that they are looking forward to voting in the general elections in 2015. More males (87%) expressed optimism to the 2015 general elections than females (78%). Analysis by geo-political zones revealed that the North-West (89%) and South-East (87%) regions accounted for the largest proportions of Nigerians who expressed optimism for voting in the 2015 general elections when compared to other regions, although a majority of residents in all the geo-political zones expressed optimism in voting in the 2015 general elections, with a minimum 76%(North Central). Also, respondents aged 46-60 and 18-21 years showed more optimism for voting in the 2015 elections than other age-groups. [1] Olujide, J.O. Gbadeyan, R.A. 2011. “Nigerian Electorates’ Perception of Political Advertising and Election Campaign” Journal of Social Sciences 27(3): 179-185. Analysis by geo-political zones revealed that the North-West (89%) and South-East (87%) regions accounted for the largest proportions of Nigerians who expressed optimism for voting in the 2015 general elections when compared to other regions, although a majority of residents in all the geo-political zones expressed optimism in voting in the 2015 general elections, with a minimum 76% (North Central). Also, respondents aged 46-60 and 18-21 years showed more optimism for voting in the 2015 elections than other age-groups. To assess the perceptions of Nigerians on the political campaigns of political candidates, respondents were asked:In your opinion, do you think the campaigns of politicians are currently focused on addressing the present issues in Nigeria? Results revealed that majority of adult Nigerians (57%) believe political campaigns are not focusing on current issues in the country. this stance was maintained by the majority across almost all geo-political zones except for the North-West zone where the majority believe that the campaigns of politicians are focused on addressing the present issues. Also, adult Nigerians (69%) aged 61 and above accounted for the highest proportion of respondents who indicated that recent political campaigns do not address current issues in Nigeria. Subsequently, respondents were asked: In your opinion, what are the most pressing national issues politicians should focus on addressing? This question was a multiple response question meaning respondents were allowed to select more than one option. A larger proportion of respondents (67%) indicated Education as the most pressing national issue politicians should focus on tackling. This was followed by Electricity (39%), Infrastructures (38%), Water (34%), and Health (26%) among others. Further analysis revealed that the North-East and North-West regions had the largest proportion of residents, who indicated education as the most pressing national issue politicians should focus on with 82% and 81%respectively. A larger proportion of males (69%) than females (65%) and across all adult age groups acknowledged that education is the most pressing national issue politicians should address. Additionally, respondents were asked: which of the issues identified in the previous question were mostly addressed by past elected officials? This was a single response question, allowing respondents select the most addressed option considered in the previous question. According to results, security was selected as the most addressed national issue by past elected officials, according to 28% of respondents. This was followed by Education, Electricity, Infrastructure Development and Job Creation at 15%, 14%, 13% and 9%, respectively. With the aim of gauging the perceptions of Nigerians on issues campaigns should focus on (based on the issues stated above), respondents were asked: Which of these issues do you think politicians should mostly focus on addressing in their campaigns towards the 2015 election? This was a single response question, meaning respondents were only allowed to select one option. Findings revealed that although Nigerians identified Education as the most pressing national issue as seen in a previous chart, however, a significant proportion (48%) of Nigerians believe politicians should focus on addressing security in their campaigns; to make meaningful impact. This is followed by Job Creation (13%), Education (8%) and Electricity (8%). It is worthy to mention that, most residents of the North-East (70%) and North-West (62%) regions revealed politicians should address security challenges in their campaigns. The proportion of residents who consider this priority was larger in the North than in the South. Alternatively, a significant proportion of Southern residents consider job creation as an issue politicians need to address in their campaigns, than their Northern counterparts. Finally respondents who indicated an option in the previous question were asked: To what extent would addressing the issue in campaigns influence your voting decision for a political candidate? Most surveyed respondents (64%) revealed that addressing these issues would influence their voting decision to a great extent; this stance was maintained by the majority across all regions, gender and age groups. In addition, while 23% mentioned that addressing relevant issues in campaigns would influence their voting decisions to some extent, 13% of respondents indicated that this would influence their decisions to no extent at all. According to an age group analysis, the respondents aged 60 years and above represented the highest proportion (20%) of respondents who revealed that addressing the most pressing issue in political campaigns would not influence their voting decision. In conclusion, findings from the poll revealed that a majority of adult Nigerians (57%) believe the campaigns by politicians do NOT focus on addressing present issues in Nigeria. In line with this, a significant proportion of respondents (48%) indicated politicians should address security in their campaigns. This was followed by Job Creation (13%), Education (8%), and Electricity (8%). Poll results also revealed that most respondents indicated that addressing pressing issues in political campaigns would influence their voting decision. However 13%mentioned it would NOT influence their decision at all. An assessment of the pressing issues in Nigeria revealed that education is considered the most pressing national issue by 67% of Nigerians. This is followed by Electricity (39%), Infrastructure (38%), Water (34%) and Health (26%) among others. Survey Methods The opinion poll was commissioned by BusinessDay Media and conducted by NOIPolls in November 2014. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,500 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 2.5%. NOIPolls Limited, No. 1 for credible country-specific polling services in West Africa in a technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), conducts periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited and authorised for release by BusinessDay Media on the NOIPolls media platform to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. BusinessDay, established in 2001, is a daily business newspaper based in Lagos, Nigeria. It is the only Nigerian newspaper with a bureau in Accra, Ghana. BusinessDay Media Ltd is the leading medium for up-to-date news and insightful analysis of business, policy and the economy in Nigeria, a critical decision-making tool for investors and managers. It provides unbiased news and informed analysis on politics, governance, social and economic trends. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com

Abuja, Nigeria. March 5th, 2015– Latest governance poll results released by NOIPolls have revealed that the President’s approval rating for February 2015 stood at 63 percent. This represents an 8-points increase from January 2015 and a 12-points increase from January 2014. On the contrary, 28 percent of Nigerians disapproved of the president’s job performance with majority of Nigerians in this section representing the North-East zone (55 percent), while 9 percent remained neutral as they neither approved nor disapproved of his performance. Furthermore, the President achieved an average (3) rating in terms of his performance in Economy, Health, Education, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy. In Agriculture & Food security he recorded a score above average (4), whereas; he performed very poorly in Job creation, Power and Security. More findings revealed that the larger share (46 percent) of Nigerians surveyed reported that power supply to their household worsened over the past one month and this represents an 11-points decline when compared to February 2015 result. In addition, 22 percent of Nigerians saw no difference at all in power supply, while 32 percent affirmed that they saw an improvement in power supply to their households within the past one month. These are some of the key findings from the Governance Snap Poll conducted in the week of February 23rd2015. These results represent the second in the 2015 monthly series of governance polls conducted by NOIPolls to gauge the opinions and perceptions of Nigerians regardingthe approval rating of the President, the performance of the President on key elements of his transformation agenda, and thestate of power supply in the country. Respondents to the poll were asked three specific questions. The first sought to assess the opinion of Nigerians on the performance of President Goodluck Jonathan over the past 1 month. Respondents were asked: Do you approve or disapprove of the job performance of President Jonathan in the past 1 month?The survey findings revealed that the President’s job performance in the past one month increased by 8-points as approved by 68 percent (26 percent+37 percent) of adult Nigerians interviewed. On the contrary, 28 percent disapproved of the President’s job performance while, 9 percent remained neutral as they neither approved nor disapprove. More analysis on the President’s performance by geo-political zones indicated that the South-East zone (90 percent) and South-South zone (82 percent) had the highest percentage of respondents who approved of the President’s job performance. On the other hand, the North-East zone (55 percent) and North-West zone (42 percent) had the largest proportion of respondents who disapproved of the President’s job performance, whereas, the North-Central zone (13 percent) and the South-West zone (13 percent) accounted for the largest proportion of Nigerians who remained neutral. Trend analysis by geo-political zones revealed a general increase in the President’s approval rating across all zones in February 2015 from January 2015; hence, resulting in the overall increase in his job performance rating. The increase per zone is as follows; North-Central (10-points), North-East (5-points), North-West (10-points), South-East (6-points), South-South (1-point), and South-West (14-points). Further trend analysis of the President’s approval rating indicates a significant 8-points increase in February from January 2015. This rating represents a 12-points increase when compared to February 2014. To gauge the performance of the President on pertinent elements of his transformation agenda, respondents were asked: On a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 is very poor and 5 is excellent, how would you rate the performance of the President Jonathan in the following areas? (1) Job Creation (2) Power (3) Economy (4) Health (5) Education (6) Agriculture & Food Security (7) Transportation (8) Foreign policy & Diplomacy and (9) Security. The outcome shows that the President achieved an average (3) rating in terms of his performance in Economy, Health, Education, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy. In Agriculture & Food security he recorded a score above average (4), whereas he performed very poorly in Job creation, Power and Security. Comparing current results with January 2015 revealed that the President’s performance rating on Economy, Education, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy maintained an average ranking of 3. Job Creation, Power and security also maintained a poor rating, while Health and Agriculture & Food Security experienced a 2-points and 1-point increase respectively. Finally, to find out the state of power supply to Nigerian households over the past month, respondents were asked: How would you describe power supply in your area in the last 1 month? Findings revealed that the larger proportion (46 percent) of Nigerians reported that power supply to their household worsened over the past one month. While 22 percent indicated that there is no difference at all, 32 percent saw an improvement in power supply to their households within the past one month. Analysis by geo-political zone revealed that the North-East (42 percent) and South-East zones (42 percent) accounted for the larger proportion of Nigerians who experienced an improvement in power supply, whereas, the South-South (53 percent) and South-West zones (53 percent) accounted for the larger proportion of Nigerians who reported a poor state of power supply to their households over the past month. Monthly trend evaluation revealed an 11-points decrease in power supply in February 2015. This result represents an 8-point decline from February 2014. In conclusion, the governance poll result revealed that 63 percent of Nigerians approved of the President’s job performance for February 2015 whereas, 28 percent disapproved of the President’s job performance while, 9 percent remained neutral as they neither approved nor disapproved. Also, the President achieved an average (3) rating in terms of his performance in Economy, Health, Education, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy. He recorded a score above average (4) in Agriculture & Food security whereas he performed very poorly in Job creation, Power and Security. Finally, majority (46 percent) of Nigerians surveyed reported power supply to their household worsened over the past one month. 32 percent claimed they saw an improvement within the past one month, while 22 percent stated there is no difference at all in power supply to their households. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in the week of February 23rd 2015. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95 percent confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3 percent. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa, works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA). We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com

Abuja, Nigeria. February 25th, 2014 – The recently released Election Poll results by NOIPolls Limited has revealed that majority of adult Nigerians claim to be registered voters (75%). Also, of the 25% yet-to-register, the vast majority (92%) plan to register in time for the 2015 elections. The results further revealed that majority of registered voters (88%) are eagerly looking forward to voting in the 2015 elections; while citing the need “to exercise their right to vote as Nigerians” (40%) and “to vote for the right/good leader” (31%) as the top reasons. On the other hand, of the 12% of registered voters who do not look forward to voting, the most cited reasons include the suspicion that “their vote will not count” (36%), they “Don’t have the time” (22%), and they “Don’t Trust the Elections” (21%). These are the key findings from the Countdown to the 2015 Election Poll conducted in the week of February 17th 2014. Brief Background In January 2014, Mrs. Augusta Ogakwu; the Secretary of the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) announced that the Presidential and National Assembly elections will hold on February 14, 2015; while the State Assembly and Governorship elections are scheduled for February 28, 2015. Mixed reactions have trailed the election timetable; some Nigerians applauded INEC for the timely release of the schedule for the elections while others have questioned the decision to hold the presidential and National Assembly polls before the governorship and state assembly elections. They argued that holding the presidential poll first would have a bandwagon effect on the subsequent elections[1]. As Nigeria prepares towards the 2015 polls, INEC Chairman; Attahiru Jega has painted an optimistic picture of the 2015 elections saying the lessons of the 2011 elections had been learnt and new processes are now in place to make the coming elections “much better than anything in the past.” Questions that are currently swirling around and being debated in the polity include” Has the PDP been weakened irrevocably? Can the APC hold itself together? Will Jonathan win if he runs again?”[2] Against this background, NOIPolls conducted its Countdown to the 2015 Elections poll to seek the views of Nigerians regarding the 2015 general elections. This is the second in the series of election polls conducted by NOIPolls (the first one was conducted in April 2013) and the first in the series of bi-monthly polls that will be conducted as Nigeria countdowns to the actual elections in 2015. Respondents to the poll were asked five specific questions. In order to gauge the proportion of registered voters, respondents were asked: Presently, are you a registered voter? Overall, the majority (75%) responded positively, claiming they are currently registered voters; while25% of Nigerians responded negatively. Further analysis by geo-political zones, indicates that the South-East zone (83%) has the highest proportion of registered voters, while the North-West zone and the South-South zone (both 28%) have the highest proportion of those that are not yet registered. In addition, the age-group that has the highest percentage (89%) of registered voter is 46-60 years. [1] The Sun Newspapers [2] Premium Times Respondents who are not registered (25% of the total) were further asked: If No, do you plan to register in time for the 2015 elections? Responses to this question revealed that the overwhelming majority of those not registered; 92% plan to register in time for the 2015elections, while only 8% are not interested in registering at all. When current findings are compared with results from the previous poll conducted in 2013, there is a significant 16-point increase in the proportion of Nigerians who are yet to register, but indicate they have plans to register in time for the 2015 elections. The third question sought to gauge the level of enthusiasm among registered voters. Registered respondents (75% of the total) were asked: Are you looking forward to voting in the 2015 elections? Overall, the majority of registered voters (88%) indicated they are looking forward to voting in the 2015 elections; while 12% of the respondents claim they are not looking forward to voting in 2015 elections. Findings based on geo-political zones show that the South-East zone (93%) had the highest proportion of respondents who are looking forward to voting in the 2015 elections. This is followed by the North-Central zone with 92% and the North-West zone with 89%. Furthermore, when these findings are compared with the previous poll conducted in 2013, there was a slight 2-point decline in the proportion of Nigerians who look forward to voting in the 2015 elections. Subsequently, in order to gain insights into factors stimulating the keenness to vote, Nigerians who are looking forward to voting in the 2015 elections (88% of registered voters) were further asked: If yes, why are you looking forward to voting in the 2015 elections? Bearing in mind that this was an open-ended question, the findings revealed that the majority (40%) are looking forward to voting in the 2015 elections because they want “toexercise their right to vote as Nigerians”, while 31% are stimulated by the need “to vote for the right/good leader”. Furthermore, 10% are looking forward to the elections in order “to vote for a change of government”, while another 7% mentioned “for transformation / better Nigeria. Analysis based on geo-political zones revealed that the South-West zone (47%) has the highest proportion of Nigerians who are stimulated by the need “to exercise their right to vote as Nigerians”, while the South-East zone (41%) accounts for the largest proportion of respondents that look forward to 2015 elections in order “to vote for the right/good leader”. Also, the South-South zone (30%) has the highest proportion of respondents that indicated “to vote for a change of government” Furthermore, trend analysis of the findings obtained from the previous poll revealed a significant 10-point decline in the proportion of respondents who are motivated by the need to vote for the right/good leader; it was 41% in 2013. Furthermore, there was a slim 2-pointincrease in the proportion of Nigerians that want to vote in order to exercise their right to vote as Nigerians in 2014. Finally, in similar way respondents who indicated they are not looking forward to voting in the 2015 elections (12% of registered voters) were asked: If no, why are you not looking forward to voting in the 2015 elections? Results indicate the majority (36%) are of the opinion that “their vote does not count”, this is followed by 22% who say “they don’t have time” and 21% who say they have “no trust in elections”. In addition, 14% claim there are demotivated towards voting in the 2015 elections due to “insecurity” and 5% are of the opinion that the “Nigerian system is bad”. Gauging the responses from the geo-political zone standpoint reveals that the North-Eastzone has the highest (87%) proportion of respondents who think “their vote does not count” while the North-West zone has the highest proportion of respondents who claim “they don’t have time” (45%) and also indicated “insecurity” (45%) as a demotivating factor to voting. In addition, the South-West zone (41%) accounts for the highest proportion of respondents who have “no trust in elections”. When these current findings are compared with the results obtained in 2013, there was an 8-point decline in the proportion of respondents that indicate their “vote does not count” even though it remains the popular opinion among respondents that are not looking forward to voting. In conclusion, findings from the election poll reveals the majority of Nigerians are registered voters (75%) and of this proportion, the overwhelming majority; 88% are looking forward to voting in the 2015 general elections. More findings also reveals that the overwhelming majority;92% out of 25% who are not yet registered plan to register in time for the 2015 elections. Furthermore, in 2014 there was a significant 16-point increase in the proportion of Nigerians who are yet to register but indicated they plan to register in time for the elections. In addition, the vast majority of registered voters are looking forward to voting in the 2015 elections (88%). The most popular reason (40%) given by those that are looking forward to voting is “to exercise their right to vote as Nigerians”, while the most popular reason by those who do not look forward to voting (36%) is that “their vote will not count”. Finally, as the 2015 elections draw closer, it’s clear that voter apathy will be a major deterrent since the majority of Nigerians are currently highly enthusiastic about voting in the upcoming 2015 polls. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in February 17th to 19th 2014. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No. 1 for country-specific polling services in West Africa, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com

Abuja, Nigeria. December 8, 2010 – As the tempo of political activities continues to surge in the run-up to the 2011 nationwide presidential and legislative elections, a significant proportion of Nigerians have expressed their preference for a strong opposition which can provide healthy competition for the dominant Peoples Democratic Party (PDP). This was one of the key findings from the December 2010 edition of the NOI Snap Poll, the leading non-partisan survey of political and socio-economic trends in Nigeria. In the survey, 61% or three out five of those polled indicated their support for opposition political parties to unite in order to provide a more effective opposition. However it also significant that more than one in three of those who answered questions said they are opposed to any such moves. The poll also revealed that a healthy proportion of Nigerians – three out of four respondents or 75% of respondents – are aware of the number of political parties (62) in the country. Survey Methods Respondents for the snap poll were randomly selected from a database of phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 and above, compiled by NOI Polls. 1,012 people took part in the telephone interviews from the 15th to 17th of November, 2010. For a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points. The margin of error reflects the influence of data weighting. In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.

Abuja, Nigeria. August 26th, 2014 – Latest Election poll results released by NOIPolls Limited have revealed that 55% of adult Nigerians surveyed are of the opinion that the emergency rule imposed on three states in the North-East region should be lifted during the 2015 elections. This stance was mainly advocated by by a high majority (72%) of repondents from the North-East zone (which has states including Borno, Yobe and Adamawa under emergency rule); however, the slight majority across all the Southern regions feel the emergency rule should still prevail. Findings also revealed that the majority (40%) of respondents interviewed believe it will be “somewhat safe” for INEC to conduct elections in states under the emergency rule. Further assessment on the anticipated level of security during the 2015 elections revealed that Nigerians (68%) expect noting less than a“very secure” vicinity during this period, however a fair proportion of respondents from the North-East zone (22%) anticipate an insecure vicinity during the 2015 election. Moreover, the majority of adult Nigerians (79%) have faith in the ability of the Nigerian security agencies to preserve law and order during the 2015 elections. These were some of the key findings from the Countdown to the 2015 Election Poll conducted in the week of August 18th 2014. Brief Background As preparations heat up ahead of the 2015 general elections, insecurity prior to and during the election period continues to be a critical issue of debate. Governor Babatunde Fashola of Lagos State recently stated during a courtesy visit by the students from the Royal College of Defence Studies, United Kingdom, that the level of insecurity in the nation is a threat to free, fair and credible elections and this may impede the ability and the desire of Nigerians to make a selection in the 2015 general elections.[1] In line with this the Federal Government reaffirmed its commitment to overcoming the current security challenges facing the nation before the 2015 general elections.[2] Still in the bid to tackle the current security challenges facing the nation, the Acting Inspector-General of Police, Mr. Suleiman Abba, recently assured Nigerians at the decoration of eight newly promoted officers, that the police would lead other agencies in ensuring a peaceful conduct of 2015 elections. This highlights the need for more proactive methods to combat insecurity in Nigeria to ensure the long term safety and security of the masses and nation, as well as to prevent fraud and violence especially during the 2015 general elections.[3] Against this background, NOIPolls conducted its Countdown to the 2015 Election poll to seek the views of Nigerians regarding security issues during the 2015 general elections. This is the fifth in the series of election polls conducted by NOIPolls (the first one was conducted in April 2013) and the fourth in the series of bi-monthly polls that will be conducted as Nigeria counts down to the elections in 2015. Key Findings Respondents to the poll were asked five specific questions. In order to guage the expectations of Nigerians on the degree of safety in their vicinity during the 2015 elections, respondents were asked: How secure do you expect your locality to be during the 2015 general election? Findings revealed that 68% of the respondents expect their neighborhoods to be“very secure” during the 2015 general elections. This is followed by 24% of the respondents who expect it to be “somewhat secure”. Also, 7% expect their locality to be insecure, while 1%indicated their vicinity will not be secure at all during the 2015 general election. Geo-political zone analysis shows that the South-East zone has the highest proportion of respondents (80%) who expect their area to be “very secure” while the North-East zone accounted for the highest proportion of respondents who expect it to be “somewhat secure” and “not secure” with 33% and 22% respectively. 81% of the respondents aged 61 years and above expect their locality to be “very secure” during the 2015 general elections. [1]http://www.vanguardngr.com/2014/06/insecurity-threat-2015-polls-fashola/#sthash.8GCmHxCd.dpuf [2]http://www.dailytimes.com.ng/article/security-challenges-will-be-over-2015-elections-omeri [3]http://www.informationng.com/2014/08/police-will-lead-other-agencies-to-ensure-2015-poll-says-acting-ig.html To assess the views of Nigerians concerning the state of emergency in the North-East region, respondents were asked: Do you think the emergency rule existing in some Northern states should be lifted during the February 2015 elections? 55% of adult Nigerians indicated that the emergency rule should be lifted during the 2015 elections while 45%indicated that it should not be lifted. The slight majority across all the Southern regions think the emergency rule imposed in some North-Eastern states should be maintained even during the election period. The reverse is the case for the Northern regions where majority think the emergency rule should be lifted during the elections, except for the North-Central zone where there was a tie as to whether the emergency rule should be lifted or not. It is pertinent to note that respondents from the North-East region (which currently have some states under emergency rule due to terrorist activities) feel strongly that the emergency rule should be lifted during the 2015 general election as indicated by a clear majority (72%). A higher proportion of respondents aged 61 years (76%) and above think the emergency rule should be lifted, while there was an equal split in the stance of respondents aged between 18 – 21 years as 50% each think the emergency rule should and should not be lifted. Subsequently respondents were asked: In your opinion, how safe would it be for INEC to conduct elections in states under emergency rule? Majority (40%) of the respondents interviewed believe it would be “somewhat safe” for INEC to conduct elections in states under the emergency rule. 27% of the respondents believe it would be “very safe”; another 27%believe it would not be safe, while 6% of the respondents believe it would not be safe at all. Rating according to geo-political zone indicates that the North-East zone has the highest (37%)percentage of respondents who are of the opinion that it would be “very safe” for INEC to conduct elections in states under emergency rule. The North-West zone has the highest (48%)proportion of respondents who stated it would be “somewhat safe”, the South-South zone has the highest (39%) ratio of respondents who think it will not be safe, while the South-West zone accounted for the largest proportion of respondents (10%) who stated it will not be safe at all to conduct elections in states under emergency rule. Finally respondents were asked: How confident are you in the ability of the Nigerian security agencies in maintaining law and order during the 2015 elections? Findings revealed that the majority of Nigerians (79%: 37%+42%) are confident in the ability of the security agencies to maintain law and order during the 2015 elections. On the contrary, 21% of the respondents surveyed reported that they are not confident that the security agencies can maintain law and order during the 2015 elections. Findings from the geo-political zones revealed that the South-East zone has the greatest number of respondents (85%) who are confident in the ability of the Nigerian security agencies to maintain law and order during 2015 election, while the North-West zone has the highest proportion of respondents (27%) who are doubtful in the ability of the security agencies to maintain law and order during the 2015 election. Likewise, respondents aged 61 years and above (91%) are more confident in the ability of the Nigerian security agencies to preserve law and order during the 2015 election. In conclusion, the recent poll results have revealed that 68% of the respondents expect their neighborhoods to be very secure during the 2015 general elections with the South-East zone accounting for the highest proportion (80%) of this group. More findings revealed that 55% of adult Nigerians think the emergency rule imposed in some Northern states should be lifted during the 2015 elections. This stance was mostly influenced by respondents from the North-East region (which currently have some states under emergency rule due to terrorists activities) who feel strongly that the emergency rule should be lifted during the 2015 general election as indicated by a clear majority (72%). Furthermore, majority (40%) of the respondents interviewed believe it would be “somewhat safe” for INEC to conduct elections in states under the emergency rule and the majority (79%: 37%+42%) are confident in the ability of the security agencies to maintain law and order during the 2015 elections. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in the week of August 18th to 22nd 2014. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com

Abuja, Nigeria. June 4th, 2015– Latest governance poll results released by NOIPolls for the month of May 2015 revealed that 42 percent of Nigerians surveyed approved of President Jonathan’s job performance. This rating represents the last rating for Goodluck Jonathan as President of the Federal Republic of Nigeria and also the lowest (the same as April 2013) since NOIPolls started its monthly approval rating in January 2013. It also shows a further 7-points decline revealing a constant drop in his performance rating since February 2015. The general decline in the approval rating of the president is seen across 5 geo-political zones with the North-West zone accounting for the greatest decline by 18-points when compared to April 2015. This substantial decline in the President’s approval rating could be as result of the high expectations of Nigerians of the incoming government administration and the changes that will accompany it. This decline may also have been as a result of the recorded fuel scarcity and nationwide strike by major petroleum marketers which peaked in the month of May 2015. Further findings disclosed that Nigerians recognize the performance of the President in Health, Education, Agriculture & Food Security, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy; which all received an average rating (3) in the month of May 2015. Conversely, his performance in Job Creation, Power, Economy and Security was given a rating of 1 which signifies a poor performance. An evaluation of the state of power in Nigeria revealed that power supply to Nigerian households worsened over the past one month as reported by 65 percent of respondents that were surveyed. This represents the worst power rating since NOIPolls commenced its power rating in January 2013; even as the Ministry of power confirmed that Nigeria’s power generation hit an “all-time low”; as power generation crashes to 1,327MW in May 2015.[1] The Ministry of Power also reported that most key power plants in the country were all shut down at some point within this period as a result of pipeline vandalism; while also pointing out the additional effect of the strike action by The Petroleum and Natural Gas Senior Staff Association of Nigeria, PENGASSAN, and the Nigeria Union of Petroleum and Natural Gas Workers, NUPENG, branch of the Nigerian Petroleum Development Corporation, NPDC, within the period in view.[2] In addition, only 17 percent of the respondents acknowledged an improvement in power supply in May 2015.These are some of the key findings from the Governance Snap Poll conducted in the week of May 25th 2015. These results represent the fifth in the 2015 monthly series of governance polls (and the last approval rating of President Goodluck Jonathan) conducted by NOIPolls to gauge the opinions and perceptions of Nigerians regardingthe approval rating of the President, the performance of the President on key elements of his transformation agenda, and thestate of power supply in the country. Respondents to the poll were asked three specific questions. The first sought to assess the opinion of Nigerians on the performance of President Goodluck Jonathan over the past 1 month. Respondents were asked: Do you approve or disapprove of the job performance of President Jonathan in the past 1 month?The outcome revealed that a total of 42 percent of Nigerians surveyed approved of President Jonathan’s job performance in May 2015. On the other hand, a total of 41 percent of the respondents disapproved of his job performance in May 2015, whereas 17 percent of the respondents were neutral as they neither approved nor disapproved of the president’s job performance. An assessment of the President’s job performance by geo-political zone revealed that the South-East zone (70 percent) accounted for the largest proportion of respondents who approved of the President’s job performance and this mostly impacted the overall rating of President Jonathan. The North-West zone (58 percent) accounted for the greater fraction of respondents who disapproved of the president’s job performance. In addition, the North-East zone accounted for the largest proportion of respondents who were neutral with 22 percent. A three-month trend evaluation (March to May 2015) of the President’s performance by geo-political zone was characterized by continuous decline in the approval rating of the president across 5 geo-political zones hence, an overall decline in his overall approval rating within this period. Also, the North-West zone had the highest decline by 18-points in the approval rating of the President when compared to March 2015. This substantial decline in the President’s approval rating could be as result of the high expectation of Nigerians of the new government and the changes that will accompany it. This decline may also have been as a result of the fuel scarcity and strike by major petroleum marketers that peaked in the month of May 2015. Further monthly trend evaluation of the President’s approval rating depicts a significant 7-points decline when compared to April 2015. The President’s rating has illustrated a continuous decrease since February 2015 and it is also observed that the President’s rating from this current poll is 2-points below that of May 2013. The average performance rating for President Goodluck Jonathan over a 29 months period is recorded at 53.3 percent and this current rating is 11.3-points below the average. To gauge the performance of the president on pertinent elements of his transformation agenda, respondents were asked: On a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 is very poor and 5 is excellent, how would you rate the performance of President Jonathan in the following areas? (1) Job Creation (2) Power (3) Economy (4) Health (5) Education (6) Agriculture & Food Security (7) Transportation (8) Foreign Policy & Diplomacy and (9) Security. The result shows that Nigerians recognize the performance of the President in Health, Education, Agriculture & Food Security, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy as it was rated average (3) in the month of May 2015. On the contrary, his performance in Job Creation, Power, Economy and Security was given a rating of 1 which signifies a poor performance. Trend analysis revealed that the President’s performance rating on Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy has maintained an average ranking (3) since January 2014. However, the President’s performance rating on Job Creation, Power and Security has remained very poor (1) since January 2015. Finally, to find out the state of power supply to Nigerian households over the past month, respondents were asked: How would you describe power supply in your area in the last 1 month? Power supply to Nigerian households worsened over the past one month as reported by 65 percent of respondents surveyed, thereby representing the worst power rating since NOIPolls commenced its power rating in January 2013. On the contrary, only 17 percent of respondents acknowledged experiencing an improvement in power supply while 18 percent stated that there is no difference at all in power supply in May 2015. An assessment of the state of power by geo-political zone revealed that the South-East zone (29 percent) accounted for the largest proportion of respondents who experienced improved power supply, while the South-South zone (34 percent) accounted for the largest proportion of Nigerians who reported there was no difference at all. The North-West zone (73 percent) accounted for the greater share of respondents who claimed that power supply worsened within the last one month. Monthly trend analysis shows a further decline of 3-points in power supply in May 2015. This result also represents a huge 25-points decline when compared to May 2014. This current result is the lowest power rating over 29 months. The average power rating over a 29 months period is recorded at 35.9 percent and this current rating is 18.9-points below the average. In conclusion, about 4 in 10 (42 percent) Nigerians surveyed approved of the President’s performance, 41 percent disapproved of his performance, while 17 percent of the respondents remained neutral, as they neither approved nor disapproved of his performance. Furthermore, Nigerians acknowledged the performance of the President in Health, Education, Agriculture & Food Security, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy with an average (3) rating in the month of May 2015. However, his performance in Job Creation, Power, Economy and Security was given a rating of 1, signifying a poor performance. Finally, power supply to Nigerian households worsened over the past one month as described by 65 percent of adult Nigerians surveyed. This represents the worst power rating recorded by NOIPolls since commencing power supply rating in January 2013. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in the week of May 25th 2015. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa, works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA). We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1] http://www.premiumtimesng.com/news/headlines/183687-nigerias-energy-crisis-worsens-only-5-of-23-power-plants-functional-nerc.html [2] http://www.vanguardngr.com/2015/05/pengassan-nupeng-on-strike-over-rights-to-oil-leases/

Abuja, Nigeria. October 21st, 2014 – The latest Countdown to the 2015 Elections Poll conducted by NOIPolls looked at the viability of potential candidates for the Presidency in the 2015 elections. Candidate viability is based on two key factors: a) Familiarity: This measures how well known the potential candidate is to the general public. b) Net Favourability Position: This measures the overall public perception/opinion of the candidate and must be positive. The candidate viability of each potential candidate was measured by cross analysing their familiarity with their net public perception (Positive opinions minus Negative opinions). Key top line results revealed the following three potential candidates are considered to be the most viable: President Jonathan has the best overall familiarity rating at 99% and net positive favourability at +25, Governor Babatunde Fashola of Lagos comes in second with a familiarity of 94% and net favourability of +8. He also comes tops among other potential APC candidates and Governor Rochas Okorocha of Imo State comes in third with a familiarity rating of 88% and net favourability of 0. The results also indicated that an effective Public Relations plan is needed to push borderline candidates to positive net favourability positions to enhance their candidate viability. These potential candidates are former military Head of State; Retired Major General Muhammed Buhari, survey results show that though he is well known (96%) he suffers a setback with a slightly negative favourability rating (-2). Others are Governor Adams Oshiomole of Edo with slightly negative favourability of (-5) in spite of his high familiarity (92%)and, Governor Rabiu Kwankwaso of Kano State (-7) with a familiarity of 85%. These represent some of the key results for the fifth poll in the ‘Countdown to 2015 Elections’ by NOIPolls Limited. Brief Background In the build-up to the 2015 elections, the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) has adopted President Goodluck Jonathan as its sole consensus candidate for the Presidency though the President has not formally declared his intent at present[1]. In addition, several notable APC candidates such as Alhaji Atiku Abubakar and Retired Major General Muhammed Buhari have declared their intent to run for Presidency while there are on-going moves within the party to broker a compromise[2] in the build up towards the party’s primaries scheduled for December 2nd, 2014. As political parties conduct primaries to select their candidates for the various levels of government for the 2015 elections, it is important to select viable candidates that have the best potential to subsequently win. The viability of a candidate during an election is mostly based on two (2) factors; 1) Voters must be familiar with the candidate and; 2) Have an overall positive impression of the candidate. Candidates might become better known during their campaigns but those who are better known prior to campaigns clearly do not have to work as hard as candidates who are not well known. Conversely, some candidates may be well known but not well liked by the public; they might find it harder to improve their image during a campaign compared to those that are not well known. NOIPolls conducted its latest Countdown to the 2015 Elections Poll with a focus on potential candidates in the 2015 Presidential Elections; the candidate viability of each potential candidate was measured by cross analysing their familiarity among members of the general public with their net positive perception. TheCountdown to the 2015 Elections Polls are conducted bi-Monthly by NOIPolls and the current result release is 5th in the 2014 series. Results on Candidate Viability For this survey, Seventeen (17) candidates were used and belong to the various political parties. The figure below shows the viability of the 17 candidates in a 4 X 4 matrix that shows the net favourability i.e. the net of positive and negative opinions about them versus their familiarity. The four quadrants are interpreted as follows: 1. The top right quadrant: Candidates that fall in this quadrant have a positive net favourability which implies they are well liked. In addition, they are also high in terms of familiarity and therefore well known. These are the most viable candidates for the election 2. The top left quadrant: Candidates in this quadrant have a positive net favourability but are not well known. They are only known by a few people but those few have very high opinions of them. 3. The bottom left quadrant: Candidates that fall in this quadrant are not well known and have a negativenet favourability implying a negative public perception. Their key challenge is to improve their visibility and public opinion so they can be considered viable candidates 4. The bottom right quadrant: Candidates that fall here are high in terms of familiarity indicating they are well known. However, they also have a negative net favourability showing the public has a net negative opinion about them. For these candidates, the key is to work on their public perception through a strong and effective reputation management team. [1] Jonathan thanks PDP for adopting him Presidential candidate – Premium Times, September 21st 2014 [2] APC moves to broker compromise on Presidential Primary – This Day Newspaper, 7th October 2014 President Goodluck Jonathan of the PDP currently has the best candidate viability among all potential candidates for the 2015 Presidential Elections because of his high familiarity score (99%) and high net favourability (+25). Furthermore, Governor Babatunde Fashola of Lagos State currently has the best candidate viability among potential APC candidates for the 2015 Presidential elections due to his high familiarity score(94%) and positive net favorability (+8). The only other candidate that falls in the right upper quadrant with the two aforementioned is Governor Rochas Okorocha of Imo State and similarly of the APC with a familiarity score of 88% and net favourability of 0. Another potential APC flag bearer is former military Head of State; Retired Major General Muhammed Buhari. Survey results show that though he is well known (96%) he has a slightly negative favourability rating (-2). Other APC members with slightly negative favourability in spite of their high familiarity include Governor Adams Oshiomole of Edo State (-5) and Governor Rabiu Kwankwaso of Kano State (-7). Their slightly negative rating simply implies that a slightly larger proportion of Nigerians have a negative impression about these candidates compared to those that have a positive impression. To become viable candidates, the key is to address this by improving their public image before the elections and address potentially negative notions about their candidacy that might be influencing Nigerians’ perception about them. Strategic planning and a well-orchestrated public relations campaign should be sufficient to move these candidates into net positive favourability among Nigerians. Potential candidates that have the lowest favourability rating while being highly popular are Vice President Namadi Sambo of the PDP with a net favourability rating of -34 and former Vice President Alhaji Atiku Abubakar of the APC with a net rating of -30. This very negative rating for the current Vice President Sambo needs to improve to compliment the President’s net positive favourability rating. Results also indicate that Alhaji Atiku Abubakar is as popular as President Goodluck Jonathan (98% familiarity versus 99% familiarity)however suffers a setback of a net negative favourability of -30 as a result of a poor public perception. The candidate with the least familiarity score is Sam Nda-Isaiah of the APC (51%). However, it’s interesting to note that though the proportion of those that have a positive opinion of him is the lowest (8%) among all these potential candidates Sam Nda-Isaiah also has the lowest proportion of people that have a negative opinion about him (31%) therefore he does not have the lowest net favorability score overall. In addition, some of the candidates at the bottom of the table have previously contested for the Presidency under different parties. These candidates such as Dele Momodu, Patrick Utomi and Chris Okotie have a high percentage of people that do not have an opinion of them i.e. they neither had a positive or negative opinion about them even though they were familiar with them. The net favorability and familiarity scores of the potential candidates are shown in the table below: Conclusion The net favourability of potential candidates is determined by the public’s positive and negative opinions about that candidate; therefore a positive rating shows a larger proportion have a positive opinion than those with a negative opinion. Among all potential candidates only 2 candidates had positive net favourability scores; President Goodluck Jonathan of the PDP (+25) and Governor Babatunde Fashola of the APC (+8). In addition, Governor Rochas Okorocha also of the APC had a net score of 0 indicating an equal proportion had positive and negative views about him. The other candidates had negative net favourability scores and need to improve their public image and expel negative notions about their candidacy. A summary of the top three viable candidates disaggregated by geo-political zones is given as follows: To obtain the full report with charts and tables for all 17 candidates further disaggregated by geo-political zones, please click here. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted from 13th to 14th October 2014. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com

Abuja, Nigeria. April 28th, 2015 – Latest snap poll results released by NOIPolls Limited revealed that the larger proportion of Nigerian voters (39 percent: 29+10) believe the April 11th elections were poorly conducted compared to the March 28th elections. This perception may have been stimulated by the reports of violence, manipulations, allegations of massive rigging and falsification of results which led to cancellations, hence, inconclusive polls in some states in the South-East region (Imo and Abia states) and Taraba state in North-East region, during the gubernatorial and state house of assembly elections.[1] Nevertheless, the vast majority of voters reported that the April 11th gubernatorial/state elections were free and fair. This was regardless of gender, age and geo-political zones; though the South-East zone accounted for the highest proportion of voters (22 percent) who claimed the elections were not free and fair. Additionally, a higher proportion of Nigerians (79 percent) who voted in the April 11th elections, rated security as good in their various localities during the elections. Furthermore, findings revealed that almost all the respondents (92 percent) who voted in the gubernatorial/state house of assembly election also voted in the presidential/senatorial election; and of this proportion, majority (56 percent: 22+34) reported that the functionality of the card reader was better in the April 11th elections than the March 28th elections. Similarly 53 percent (21+32) of voters considered the punctuality of INEC staff to be better than the March 28th general elections and this also applies to the expertise of INEC staff, as the larger proportion (54 percent: 20+34) of the respondents reported it to be better than the March 28th elections. Finally, while poll results suggests improvement and rectification of lapses experienced during the March 28th elections; (as suggested by voters in a post presidential election poll conducted by NOIPolls) where majority of the voters suggested that INEC should improve on the card readers) overall, voters gave a poor rating on the general conduct of the April 11th elections in comparison to the March 28th elections. These are the key findings from the April 11th Gubernatorial and State House of Assembly Post Elections poll conducted in the week of April 20th 2015. Brief Background About 6, 050 candidates contested the gubernatorial and the state house of assembly elections which held 11th April, 2015 across 29 states in Nigeria, according to the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC). Out of the 6,050 contestants, 760 candidates contested for the governorship positions while 5,290 candidates contested for the State House of Assembly positions. The Governorship election did not hold in Edo, Anambra, Ondo, Ekiti, Bayelsa, Osun and the Federal Capital Territory (FCT), Abuja, according to INEC.[2] The March 28, 2015 presidential and National Assembly elections were greeted with some challenges such as the late arrival of electoral materials and INEC staff at some polling units, as well as the malfunctioning of the Smart Card Readers (SCR) in some polling units. The commission showed its readiness to resolve those technical glitches, prevent and reduce all the election risks to the barest minimum with a zero tolerance for electoral offenders. Against this background, NOIPolls conducted a -gubernatorial and the state house of assembly post-election poll to gauge the satisfaction of voters on the general conduct of the elections, as well as security within their localities during the period. The poll also sought to compare critical attributes of the just concluded gubernatorial and the State House of Assembly elections with the Presidential and National Assembly elections. Survey Findings Respondents to the poll were asked six specific questions; the first question served as a screening question where respondents were asked if they voted in the April 11th 2015. Respondents who voted in the April 11th 2015 elections were allowed to continue the survey while respondents who did not vote had their interviews terminated at this point. It is worth noting that more interviews were terminated during the course of this survey when compared to the general elections of March 28. This could be as a result of the fact that 29 out of 36 states participated in the gubernatorial/state house of assembly elections. Subsequently, respondents who voted were further asked: In your opinion, do you think that the 2015 April 11th gubernatorial / state house of assembly elections were free and fair? The larger proportion of voters (89 percent) reported that the elections were free and fair. It is also worthy to note that some international observers such as ECOWAS, EU, UN and UNHCR also shared the same view with Nigerians on the transparency of the elections. While 11 percent claimed the elections were not free and fair; this is mostly true for the South-East zone (22 percent). These results in comparison to the post general election poll conducted by NOIPolls in the week of March 30th 2015 revealed that more voters (94 percent) declared the general election as free and fair compared with the gubernatorial / state house of assembly elections.[3] Respondents were also asked: How would you generally rate security in your locality during the April 11th gubernatorial/state house of assembly elections? Responses to this question revealed that a higher proportion of Nigerians (79 percent) who voted in the April 11th elections rated security in their various localities as good during the elections. This corresponds with the NOIPolls post presidential election poll which revealed that 81 percent of Nigerians were satisfied with the state of security in their locality during the presidential election. On the contrary, 10 percent of the voters gave a poor rating, while 11 percent asserted that the state of security was fair. Respondents who voted in the April 11th elections were further asked: Did you vote in the 2015 March 28th presidential elections? The outcome indicates that almost all the respondents (92 percent) who voted in the gubernatorial/state house of assembly election also voted in the presidential/senatorial election; only 8 percent did not vote. Furthermore, respondents who voted in both elections (92 percent of the total) were asked: How would you compare the 2015 April 11th gubernatorial/state house of assembly elections to the 2015 March 28th presidential elections? The findings revealed that most Nigerians (39: 29+10 percent) are of the opinion that the April 11th elections were poorly conducted when compared to the March 28th elections. This is closely followed by respondents (34 percent) who think that both elections were practically the same in all aspects. On the other hand, 27 (8+19) percent believe that the April 11th elections were better than the March 28th elections. Analysis by gender revealed that voters between the age-groups 26 – 35 and 46 – 60 years accounted for the largest proportion of respondents (41 percent each) who reported that the April 11th election were poorly conducted when compared to the presidential elections. Inversely, respondents who reported that the April 11th elections were much better than the March 28th elections were mostly aged between 18 – 25 years (38 percent). In addition, voters who indicated that both elections were the same were mostly aged 61 years and above (69 percent). Finally, respondents who voted in both elections (92 percent of the total) were asked: Compared to March 28th presidential elections, how would you rate the following during the April 11th gubernatorial/state house of assembly elections: a) functionality of card reader, b) punctuality of INEC Officials, c) expertise of INEC staff? Responses revealed that majority (56 percent: 22+34) of the respondents who voted in both elections reported that the functionality of the card reader was better in the April 11th elections than the March 28th elections; where 34 percent believe it was much better and 22 percent who believe it was excellent in the April 11th compared with March 28th. This is followed by 31 percent who believe it was the same in both elections. This therefore suggests an improvement in this attribute with rectification of lapses experienced during the March 28th elections; as suggested by voters in a post presidential election poll conducted by NOIPOlls; where majority of the voters suggested that INEC should improve on the card reader during the April 11th election. With regards to the punctuality of INEC officials during the April 11th election, the majority 53 percent (21+32) believe it was better than March 28th election, followed by 36 percent who reported it was the same as the March 28th election. Similarly, the majority of voters (54 percent: 20+34) reported that the expertise of INEC staff during the April 11th election was better than the March 28th, followed by 37 percent who reported there was no difference in this attribute from the March 28th elections. These findings therefore suggest improvement in all three attributes from the March 28th presidential election. In conclusion, the poll revealed that almost 8 in 10 Nigerians described the April 11th elections as free and fair. Also, a large proportion of voters (79 percent) rated security in their various localities as good during the April 11th elections. Furthermore, almost all the respondents (92 percent) who voted in the gubernatorial/state house of assembly election also voted in the presidential/senatorial election; and of this proportion, the majority (39 (29+10) percent) are of the view that the April 11th elections were poorly conducted when compared with the March 28th elections. Finally, the larger share of respondents (34 percent) observed that the April 11th elections were much better than the March 28th elections in terms of the functionality of the card reader. Likewise, most Nigerians 53 percent (21+32) who voted in the April 11th elections considered the punctuality of INEC staff to be better in the April 11th elections than in the March 28th general elections and this also applies to the expertise of INEC staff as the largest proportion (54 percent: 20+34) of the respondents reported it to be better than the March 28th elections. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in the week of 20th April 2015. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa, works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA). We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1] http://www.news24.com.ng/Elections/News/INEC-declares-Imo-governorship-election-inconclusive-20150413 [2] http://inecnigeria.org/ [3] http://www.noi-polls.com/root/index.php?pid=314&ptid=1&parentid=12

In the countdown to 2011 general elections, both President Goodluck Jonathan and the INEC chairman – Professor Attahiru Jega have assured Nigerians that the polls will be credible and that the people’s vote will count. In continuation of its electoral surveys, NOI Polls asked Nigerians what they think about some of the candidates’ bids to for the presidency. Respondents were asked the question ‘Do you think that the 2011 general elections will be free and fair?’. 74% replied in the affirmative, 12% said ‘NO’ and 14% answered ‘Don’t Know’. Nigerians’ Views on Selected 2011 Presidential Aspirants In the run up to the 2011 presidential elections, several prominent Nigerians have formally declared their intention to run for the highest office in the land. In continuation of its electoral surveys, NOI Polls asked Nigerians what they think about some of the candidates’ bids to for the presidency. Ibrahim Babangida While nearly all of those quizzed (97%) are aware that Ibrahim Babangida has declared his intention to run for the 2011 presidential elections, only 27% think he should run for office. When asked why they think he should run for office, 76% of those who think he should run said that it is within his rights as a Nigerian, 9% said that he is a good man and 8% said that they believe he is competent enough to be president. Of the 69% who think he should not run, 19% cited his reputation as being poor, 19% said that they dislike him, 17% said that he is corrupt and another 17% said that they want a new generation of leaders. Atiku Abubakar Awareness of Atiku Abubakar’s presidential aspirations is also high at 90%, however only 27% of respondents think that he should run while 70% believe he shouldn’t run for president. The highest proportion of those who believe that he should run (87%) say that it his right to do so. On the other hand, the highest proportion (21%) of those who think Atiku should not run maintain this stance based on their view that he is corrupt. 19% do not like him, 18% think he has a bad reputation while another 18% think he cannot provide the positive changes needed in Nigeria. Nuhu Ribadu 86% of respondents are aware of Ribadu’s intention to run for the 2011 presidential elections. Just over half of Nigerians (55%) think that he should run, while 41% think he shouldn’t run. 54% of those who think Ribadu should run for president say it is his right while 13% justify his candidacy citing that he is a good man. 10% of those supporting Ribadu’s decision to run do so as a result of their view that he represents a new generation of Nigerian leaders. The majority of those who think that Ribadu should not run (59%) cite his inexperience as their reason, while 13% generally dislike him. Survey Results This survey shows that Nigerians’ awareness of the presidential candidates in the forthcoming elections is generally high. The poll also highlights the opinions held by Nigerians about different candidates. Finally, the poll underscores the fact that Nigerians are generally optimistic about the 2011 general elections. Survey Methods Respondents for the snap poll were randomly selected from a database of phone owning Nigerians aged 15 and above, compiled by NOI Polls. 1,008 people took part in the telephone interviews from the 20th to 23rd of September, 2010. For a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points. The margin of error reflects the influence of data weighting. In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.

June 4, 2012. Exactly a year ago, on May 29th 2011, Dr Goodluck Ebele Azikiwe Jonathan took the oath of office as the President and Commander-in-Chief of the Federal Republic of Nigeria. In his inaugural speech, President Jonathan declared, “The leadership we have pledged is decidedly transformative. The transformation will be achieved in all the critical sectors, by harnessing the creative energies of our people. We must grow the economy, create jobs, and generate enduring happiness for our people. I have great confidence in the ability of Nigerians to transform this country.” One year later, the approval and performance of the President and his administration have been attended with mixed reactions. On one hand, there are supporters who believe President Jonathan is a good man and has good intentions for the country, but lacks the ability and will to follow through with his policies and plans. There are others who suggest that one of his major achievements as a leader has been his ability to successfully broker and maintain peace in the Niger Delta region – based on the amnesty deal initiated by his predecessor. On the other hand, there are also sceptics who believe the President’s leadership so far has been abysmal; criticising his government’s purported lacklustre approach at responding to the country’s security challenges, particularly the Boko Haram insurgency, which has led to the untimely death of hundreds of innocent Nigerians, as well as citing his alleged lack of true commitment at tackling the country’s corruption burden. Against this background, NOI Polls Limited, an Abuja based opinion research and knowledge management organisation, recently conducted a snap poll to gauge the opinions of Nigerians regarding the performance of the President Jonathan and his administration, and his approval rating, after 1 year in office. Methodology The opinion poll was conducted between May 23rd and 25th, 2012. It involved 1,033 nationwide telephone interviews of randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, and representing the six geopolitical zones in the country. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a plus or minus 5% margin of error, of what they would have been if the entire population had been surveyed. The margin of error reflects the influence of data weighting and question wording, while practical difficulties in conducting surveys may introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls. The questionnaire was designed in English and the survey was conducted in English, Hausa, Yoruba, Ibo, and Pidgin, to ensure coverage of relevant geographical and demographic groups. Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS) software was used for data entry and analysis. Descriptive statistics, mainly frequencies and percentage distribution, charts (pie and bar) and cross tabulations were used in data analysis. Demographic Distribution of Respondents From the total sample size of 2000 respondents, 1033 completed telephone interviews were conducted. From the completed interviews, 64% of the respondents were males and 36%, females. Furthermore, majority of the respondents (48% and 38%) were within the age categories of 36-44 and 27-35 respectively, while 8%, 5% and 1% were within the categories of 18-26, 45-60 and 61+ years respectively. In addition, majority (19%) of respondents were professional workers while 17% classified themselves as government workers/civil servants. An equal proportion (15%) classified themselves as business men/women and artisans, while 9% and 8% were students and Youth Corpers respectively. 7% of the respondents were unemployed while 6% were self-employed/traders. Table I. Demographic Distribution of the Sample Variable Response Frequency Percentage % Gender Male Female 664 368 64 36 Age Category 18 – 26 27 – 35 36 – 44 45 – 60 61 and Above 79 388 498 55 6 8 38 48 5 1 Occupation Govt. Worker/Civil Servant Professional Worker Business Man/Woman Farmer/Agric. Worker Artisan Unemployed Student Religious Leader/Missionary Youth Corper Self Employed/Trader Others 171 193 158 23 152 76 92 8 83 57 15 17 19 15 2 15 7 9 1 8 6 1 Findings Opinion about the performance of the present administration Respondents were asked their opinions about the performance of the present administration since its inauguration on May 29th 2011 to date. Majority of the entire respondents (37%) rated the administration’s performance as average, while 31% said they had performed well. 17% said they had performed poorly, while 10% said they had performed very well. Only 5% said the present administration has performed very poor. Furthermore, in comparing within gender, the survey revealed that majority of both male (40%) and female (36%) respondents rate the performance of the administration as average; while 30% and 31% of male and female respondents, respectively, said the administration had performed well. In comparing within age category, majority of respondents between the ages of 18-26 (37%) and 27-35 (34%) said administration had performed well, while 41% and 49% of respondents between the age category of 36-44 and 45-60 respectively, rated the performance as average. Overall, the poll result shows that a higher proportion of Nigerians rated the administration’s performance more positively (41%), than those that rated the administration negatively (22%). Table II. Performance Rating of the Present Administration Category Responses Performed Very Well Performed Well Performed Averagely Performed Poorly Performed Very Poorly By Gender Male 10% 31% 36% 18% 5% Female 10% 30% 40% 17% 3% By Age Category 18-26 13% 37% 34% 15% 1% 27-35 12% 34% 32% 19% 3% 36-44 8% 28% 41% 17% 6% 45-60 5% 27% 49% 15% 4% 61+ 50% 0% 50% 0% 0% Total 10% 31% 37% 17% 5% Approval of the Performance of President Goodluck Jonathan Apart from rating the performance of the administration, respondents were also asked whether or not they approve the performance of President Goodluck Jonathan since his official swearing in a year ago, on May 29th2011. Interestingly, more than 5 in 10 Nigerians (54%) said they approve of the President’s performance, while about 2 in 10 Nigerians (20%) disapproved his performance. An equal proportion (11%) said they strongly approve and neither approve nor disapprove of his performance. Only 4% of the respondents said they strongly disapprove. In addition, when analysed by gender and age category, the poll results clearly affirmed that the majority of both male and female respondents and across all the age categories approve the performance of President Goodluck Jonathan. On average, more than 6 in 10 Nigerians (65%) say they approve and strongly approve his performance; while about 2 in 10 Nigerians (24%) say they disapprove and strongly disapprove his performance. It is important to note that this current 65% approval represents a 14% decline from the previous 79% approval, which the President was rated in 2010 (while serving as Acting President), as presented in NOI’s 4th National Poll (Nov. 2010). Table III. Approval of President Goodluck Jonathan since May 29th 2011 Category Responses Strongly Approve Approve Neither Approve nor Disapprove Disapprove Strongly Disapprove By Gender Male 11% 54% 11% 20% 4% Female 11% 55% 12% 19% 3% By Age Category 18-26 14% 52% 14% 16% 4% 27-35 12% 52% 13% 20% 3% 36-44 9% 56% 9% 21% 5% 45-60 11% 53% 16% 20% 0% 61+ 17% 33% 0% 33% 17% Total 11% 54% 11% 20% 4% Rating the Performance of President Goodluck Jonathan on a 10-point Scale In other to throw more light on the level of approval or disapproval of the president’s performance, respondents were further asked to score the performance of President Goodluck Jonathan on a 10-point scale. Interestingly, majority of the respondents (23%) scored the president’s performance a 5/10 mark, while 14%, 13% and 12% scored his performance 4/10, 6/10 and 7/10 respectively. Also, 9%, 8% and 7% scored him, 8/10, 1/10 and 3/10 respectively. The least proportion was 4% of respondents who scored his performance 9/10. On average, almost 5 in 10 Nigerians (48%) scored the president’s performance, since May 29th 2011, between 5 and 7 on a 10-point scale. The Most Important Issue the Administration Should Address in the Next 3 Years Lastly, respondents were asked to comment on the most important issue(s) that President Goodluck Jonathan’s administration needs to address within the next 3 years. An overwhelming majority (37%) were of the opinion that the administration needs to address the security challenges facing the country. This is followed by the need to resolve the massive unemployment situation (20%), improving electricity supply (12%) and education (8%). An equal but small proportion of respondents (3%) suggested the eradication of corruption and the boosting of agriculture; while only 2% mentioned the need to strengthen the economy, address food crisis, reduce poverty, enhance good governance and improved transportation. It would be recalled that in the NOI’s 4th National Poll, released in November 2010, the four most important issues that Nigerians wanted the government to address at the time were – Electricity (19%), Job Creation (12%), Corruption (10%), and Education (10%). However, the recent poll has shown that the current insecurity challenges (37%) facing the country, particularly the Boko Haram menace, has taken the spotlight of issues that Nigerians critically want President Goodluck Jonathan’s administration to address; although it is still followed by job creation, electricity and education. Conclusion and Policy Recommendations In conclusion, the results from this poll have shown that while President Jonathan’s administration is mainly considered to have performed averagely, the President on his own still enjoys some level of positive approval from Nigerians (65%) in terms of his performance. Although this approval rating marks a decline from the 79% positive approval he enjoyed in 2010 (while serving as Acting President). The analysis also revealed that while this rating cuts across gender and age categories; almost 5 in 10 Nigerians (48%) scored the President performance between five and seven on a 10-point scale. In addition, Security, Job creation, Electricity Supply and Education featured as the most important policy priority of Nigerians at the moment. Consequently, several important policy recommendations emerged from this special Democracy Day Poll. Firstly, President Goodluck Jonathan should realise that although his administration is currently ranked average and Nigerians approve of his performance; notwithstanding, his approval rating is on the decline. Therefore he needs to double his efforts and focus on critical areas that would have far-reaching implications on the lives of Nigerians; else his current approval rating may continue to experience further decline. Secondly, the administration urgently needs to tackle the security challenges facing the country, particularly the Boko Haram menace. It would be recalled that an August 2011 Snap Poll conducted by NOI Polls suggested the combination of effective force and dialogue as a means of tackling the Boko Haram menace. There also needs to be adequate investment in modern infrastructure and intelligence equipment for policing, as well as effective training and retraining of security personnel at all levels. Thirdly, the administration needs to focus its policy on stimulating a more friendly business environment, in order to attract both local and foreign investors, who would in turn create jobs for the teeming mass of unemployed youths. The need for this is highlighted by the increasing rate of crime, militancy, and youth restiveness that has previously been linked to the level of unemployment in the country. Although the YouWinscheme for encouraging budding entrepreneurs is quite laudable; nonetheless, the high rate of unemployment in the country makes the scheme appear like “a drop in the ocean” to resolving the unemployment challenge. Therefore, sectors such as agriculture, manufacturing and the creative industry (Nollywood and Music) ought to be promoted with the right policies and funding, because of their enormous potentials for wealth generation and job creation. In addition the administration needs to further strengthen its commitment towards improving the provision of electricity supply in the country. For instance, 12 to 18 hours availability of electricity supply would impact positively on the economy and significantly assist in job creation. Also, it is important for the administration to show more commitment to the fight against corruption; not just in words, but also in action; by ensuring that cases of corruption are followed through to their logical conclusion, and those found guilty are made to squarely face the wrath of the law, commensurate to their offences.

Abuja, Nigeria. April 23, 2013 –Latest weekly poll results released by NOI Polls have revealed that about 9 in 10 registered voters in Nigeria (90%) have indicated readiness to vote in the 2015 elections. The results further revealed that most Nigerians view the forthcoming elections as an opportunity to elect a good leader and to exercise their voting right; while those who expressed unwillingness to vote attribute it to the perception that their vote will not count. These were a few of the key findings from the Countdown to the 2015 elections poll conducted in the week of April 15th2013. This month of April officially marks 2 years to the 2015 elections. As Nigeria prepares for the next general elections in 2015, there have been lots of political activities gradually building up to 2015. These include debates in the political sphere on who should or should not fly the presidential flag for the ruling political party in the next presidential elections and media reports on the merger of 3 major opposition parties to form the All Progressives Congress (APC), with a view to wrestle power from the ruling PDP. Previous elections in Nigeria have been characterised with high levels of voter apathy, which has been blamed on election fraud and violence amongst other reasons. Against this background, NOI Polls has conducted this latest poll as the first in the “Countdown to the 2015 elections” series. We will officially start the Elections Polls (Countdown to 2015) in collaboration with Gallup in Q4 2013. The poll asked people five specific questions to respondents. The first question sought to establish the expectations of Nigerians about the 2015 elections. Respondents were asked: Are you looking forward to the 2015 elections? Nationwide results show that the overwhelming majority (91%) answered affirmatively indicating they are indeed looking forward to the 2015 elections while 9% responded negatively. Analyzing results in more detail highlights some interesting facts. In general, more male respondents are looking forward to the elections when compared to female respondents. Also, the South-West has the highest proportion of respondents (13%) who indicated that they are not looking forward to the elections; while the South-East has the highest proportion of respondents (97%) looking forward to the 2015 elections. Respondents were subsequently asked: Are you presently a registered voter? Overall, the majority of respondents and by a considerable margin (84%) indicated that they are presently registered voters, while 16% answered “No”. This result indicating a high proportion of registered voters corroborates the findings of an election poll conducted by NOI Polls in April 2011, where 94% of voters confirmed that they had registered to vote in the 2011 elections. It is pertinent to note, again, that more male than female respondents are registered voters, highlighting the political consciousness of males versus their female counterparts. Also looking across geo-political zones, the results show that the North-West has the highest percentage of people that are not currently registered (21%) followed by the South-West (18%) and North-Central (17%). Conversely, the South-East has the highest proportion of registered voters (89%), followed by the South-South (88%) and North-East (86%). In furtherance, respondents who are not presently registered voters (16% of the total) were asked a follow-up question: Do you plan to register in time for the 2015 elections?Interestingly, the majority (76%) responded affirmatively, confirming that they plan to register before the elections, while 24% responded negatively. When responses are analysed in more detail, the South-South geo-political zone has the highest percentage (32%) of respondents who indicated that they do not have plans to register before the elections, followed by the North-West (28%) and South-East (25%) In a similar pattern as with previous questions, the results show that, in general, females are less likely to vote when compared to males. Also, the South-West has the highest proportion of respondents (16%) who stated that they would not vote in the election, followed by the North-West and North-Central (both with 10%). Furthermore, the North-East geo-political zone (97%) has the highest proportion of respondents who have indicated willingness to vote in the 2015 elections; followed by the South-East zone (95%). Finally, all respondents were asked for the reason why they would vote versus the reason why they would not vote. Firstly, respondents that indicated their willingness to vote were asked the following: Why would you vote in the 2015? The main reason why respondents would vote in the 2015 elections is “To elect a good leader” (42%), followed by “To exercise my right to vote” (38%). Other reasons include: “To vote for a change of government (8%), “To vote for my candidate” (7%) and “To vote for good governance”. Interestingly, the result of a similar poll conducted in April 2011 shows that 98% of respondents registered to exercise their right to vote. When results are analysed in more detail, significant discrepancies can be observed. More female than male respondents mentioned that they want “To elect a good leader”. Also, the North-Central geo-political zone (56%) has the largest proportion of respondents that mentioned “To elect a good leader”, while the North-East has the highest proportion of respondents who stated – “To exercise my right to vote”. The North-Central also has the highest proportion of respondents (14%) who want “To vote for a change of government”. Next respondents that stated their unwillingness to vote were asked the following: Why wouldn’t you vote in the 2015 elections? Overall, the majority (45%) said they were not willing to vote because they perceive “My vote does not count”. Other reasons mentioned for not voting are: “Politicians promise and fail” (16%), “No change in governance” (11%), “There still is corruption in government” (8%), “Lack of credible electioneering system” (9%) and “I may not be available”. More male than female respondents think “My vote does not count” while the North Central has the highest proportion of respondents (67%) who share the same view. In conclusion, these poll results indicate that the majority of Nigerians who are of voting age are looking forward to the 2015 elections, and have also expressed readiness to vote. These current results corroborate the findings of a similar poll conducted by NOI Polls in April 2011, where 94% of Nigerians expressed readiness to vote in the 2011 elections. However, from the results of this current poll, the main reasons why people want to vote are because they want to elect a good leader and exercise their right to vote. Conversely, the main reason mentioned by respondents who indicated unwilling to vote is that they do not think their votes would count. It is curious to note that while the South-East geo-political zone has the highest proportion of respondents who are looking forward to the 2015 elections (97%) and are presently registered (89%); the South-West zone, which is often considered the most politically aware region of the country, has the highest proportion of respondents that are unwilling to vote (16%) and are not looking forward to the elections (13%). These results support recent findings from a survey initiated by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Friedrich–Ebert-Stiftung, a German non-governmental organisation, where the main reason respondents gave for not voting is that they believe that votes do not count in Nigeria. As the country prepares for the 2015 elections, INEC, the media and the Federal government have a collective responsibility to help give Nigerians a positive perception about the 2015 elections. Information NOI Polls would like to inform our audience that we are currently building a network of panelists and political analysts who may be interested in participating in our open-house sessions to provide much needed political insights and commentary on our poll results. If you are interested, kindly send your contacts to editor@noi-polls.com. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted from April 15th to 16th 2013. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,001 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 4%. NOI Polls Limited is Nigeria’s leading opinion polling and research organisation, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOI Polls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOI Polls be acknowledged as author whenever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOI Polls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOI Polls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOI Polls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com

Abuja, Nigeria. December 8, 2010 – Findings from the NOI Snap Poll for November show that the Nigerian public thinks very highly of the judicial arm of government. 81% of respondents in the survey responded in the affirmative when asked if they have confidence in the judiciary. The finding is coming in the wake of recent tribunal rulings in several states, which either replaced sitting governors with opposition candidates or ordered fresh elections. Survey Methods Respondents for the snap poll were randomly selected from a database of phone-owning Nigerians aged 15 and above, compiled by NOI Polls. 1,012 people took part in the telephone interviews from the 15th to 17th of November 2010. For a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points. The margin of error reflects the influence of data weighting. In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.