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  • Severe Traffic Gridlock and Heightened Crime Rate Pose Major Source of Concern for Lagosians

    Abuja, Nigeria. October 27th, 2015 – A recent collaborative poll between BusinessDay Media and NOIPolls Limited has revealed that severe traffic gridlock and heightened crime rate have now become the major sources of concern to the residents of Nigeria’s commercial city of Lagos, since Governor Akinwunmi Ambode assumed office in May 2015. Specifically, Lagosians have identified these issues to include the Severe traffic gridlock across the metropolis (26 percent), Bad Roads (22 percent), Poor Power Supply (14 percent), and Heightened insecurity (8 percent), with an upsurge in the activities of armed robbers, area boys, touts, pick-pockets and petty criminals; as issues affecting their daily lives and raising serious concerns. Consequently, some Lagosians who participated in the poll identified the following areas for the Governor to focus his attention over the next six months: Improving road networks (36 percent), Creating job opportunities (12 percent), Improving power supply (12 percent), Improving traffic control & management (10 percent), and Improving state security (eradicating touts & area boys) (8 percent) amongst others. An evaluation of the performance of Governor Ambode revealed that a larger proportion of almost 4 in 10 Lagosians (38 percent) were indifferent about his performance owning to the issues identified above. On the other hand, 36 percent of the respondents expressed their satisfaction over his performance, while 26 percent expressed outright dissatisfaction. Furthermore, 6 in 10 Lagosians rated the Governor ‘poorly’ in terms of ‘Road infrastructure’ (60 percent), with further poor ratings in ‘Economic situation’ (58 percent), ‘Traffic management’ (54 percent), ‘Education’ (42 percent) and the ‘security of lives and properties’ (41 percent). Finally, it is worth noting that while almost 4 in 10 Lagosians are currently indifferent about the governor’s performance, this perception could swing in or against his favour, depending on how well Governor Ambode moves to manage the state and address these critical issues; particularly the severe traffic gridlock across the metropolis and the heightened crime rate, which has witnessed the re-emergence of area boys, armed robbers, petty criminals & traffic lawlessness. These were some key findings from the Lagos State Governance poll conducted in the week of 19th October 2015. Brief Background Lagos is a state in the south western part of Nigeria. It endures all the turbulence of a 21st century metropolitan city ranging from alarming bank robbery incidents, recent collapse of residential buildings, traffic holdups, petrol tanker fire explosions, increase of robbery instances in traffic congestion as well as reports of the creeping return of area boys and other sundry hoodlums to Oshodi and other parts of the state, poorly maintained roads and environmental issues among others. Because its major sea ports, plays host to numerous industries and financial institutions, it is currently the economic stronghold of Nigeria. The population of Lagos state is about 21.9 million with a growth rate of 3.2 percent, therefore, the population of the state has been recorded to be growing at a massive 600,000 per year with a population density of 4, 913 persons per square kilometer.[1] Nonetheless, Lagos is experiencing rapid urbanization and needs urgent attention; especially in the task of providing befitting infrastructure for its rising population. October 27th 2015 marked the first 152 days of Governor Akinwunmi Ambode in office. He had mentioned his desire to run a transparent and an all-inclusive government at his inaugural speech and that his style of governance would be different from what was observed in the past.[2] Lagos state residents are expecting a clear strategic imperative to meet the socio-economic challenges associated with a mega metropolis from Governor Ambode. It is clear that former governor, Babatunde Raji Fashola, has set a standard through his accomplishments in the state; therefore, the minimum expected from Ambode is to meet those standards if not improve them.[3] In measuring government’s performance, the public always considers the role of service ministries as very vital. Ambode has just inaugurated his 37 cabinet members to man such ministries, and they bear the responsibility of developing plans and strategies to make Lagos state internationally competitive and conducive for its dwellers and viable for legitimate businesses.[4] Against this background, NOIPolls on behalf of BusinessDay Media conducted a Lagos state governance poll to gauge the opinion and perception of Lagos state residents on the performance of the governor, as well their expectations from his administration in the next 6 months. Survey Findings Respondents to the poll were asked four specific questions. To assess the perception of Lagos residents on the overall performance of Governor Ambode, respondents were asked: How satisfied are you with the performance of Mr. Akinwunmi Ambode since his inauguration as Governor of Lagos state in May 2015? Findings revealed that a higher proportion (38 percent) of Lagos residents have remained indifferent about the performance of Governor Ambode as they are neither satisfied nor dissatisfied with his performances so far. Nonetheless, 36 percent of Lagos state residents have disclosed their satisfaction over the performance of Governor Ambode, whereas 26 percent expressed their dissatisfaction over his performance so far. Further analysis on the senatorial districts indicates that residents from Lagos-East accounted for the largest proportion of respondents who are satisfied (39 percent) and those who registered as neutral (39 percent) about his performance so far. It’s worthy to note that the governor hails from the senatorial district of Epe LGA, and this may have influenced their perception of the governor’s performance. On the other hand, residents from Lagos-Central have the highest number of respondents who indicated they were not satisfied with the Governor’s performance so far. Secondly, respondents were asked: On a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 is very poor and 5 is very good, how would you rate the performance of Governor Ambode in terms of the following? Apart from his general performance, the larger proportion of Lagos state residents asserted that Governor Ambode has performed ‘poorly’ in terms of ‘road infrastructure’ (60 percent), ‘economic situation’ (58 percent), ‘traffic management’ (54 percent), ‘education’ (42 percent) and the ‘security of lives and properties’ (41 percent).  Notwithstanding, the slight majority (36 percent) think that the Governor has performed well in terms of ‘environmental sanitation’. Furthermore, according to responses from this question Governor Ambode performed poorly in terms of education as rated by majority of Lagos state residents, despite his commitment towards addressing the issue of quality of education in the state. It could be recalled that the Governor has approved the recruitment of no fewer than 1,300 teachers into all public primary schools across the state, payment of the annual bursary awards for students in higher institution of learning across the country and the payment of local scholarship and subsequent payments to students studying in various tertiary institutions across the country.[5] Subsequently, to establish the individual challenges that directly affect an individual in Lagos state, respondents were asked: In your opinion, what is the greatest issue that directly affects you as a resident of Lagos state recently? A larger proportion (26 percent) of Lagos state residents interviewed have lamented over the ‘worsening traffic gridlock’ in the city as one of the main issues that directly affect them and most of the respondents in this category are residents of Lagos-Central senatorial district (36 percent). Other issues on the list that directly affect the residents are ‘bad roads’ (22 percent), ‘poor power supply’ (14 percent) and ‘increased insecurity’ (8 percent) amongst other issues. Finally, to explore the expectation of Lagos state residents in the next 6 months, respondents were asked: Which areas would you want Governor Ambode to focus on in the next 6 months? The survey revealed that majority of Lagos state residents want the Governor to focus his attention on ‘improving road networks’ (36 percent) within the next 6 months. This is no surprise as a majority of roads in Lagos state are in poor conditions, thus leading to traffic congestion, delay in travel time, vehicular wear and tear, and accidents which also contributes to delays in the movement of goods and people across the state. Lack of adequate road infrastructure could also be a disincentive to both local and foreign investors in Lagos state. Also, constraints to productivity at the city level as a result of poor road network could reduce the productivity of firms and households thereby affecting the aggregate productivity of the economy.[6] Other areas in which the residents of Lagos state expect the Governor to focus on in the next 6 month include ‘Creation of job opportunities’ (12 percent), ‘improving power supply’ (12 percent) and ‘improving traffic control & management ’ (10 percent) amongst other areas. In conclusion, only 36 percent of Lagos state residents expressed their satisfaction over the performance of Governor Ambode, although a larger proportion (38 percent) of the residents remained neutral on the assessment of his performance in various areas. More findings revealed that Governor Ambode was rated ‘poorly’ in terms of ‘road infrastructure’ (60 percent); moreover residents of Lagos state indicated ‘worsening traffic gridlock’ in the city as one of the main issues that directly affected them. Furthermore, a larger proportion (36 percent) of Lagos residents have emphasised they want Mr. Akinwunmi Ambode to focus his attention on ‘Improving road networks’ within the next 6 months among other prime areas. Survey Methods The opinion poll was conducted in week of 19th October 2015. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,500 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 2.5%. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa. We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com. About BusinessDay Media BusinessDay, established in 2001, is a daily business newspaper based in Lagos, Nigeria. It is the only Nigerian newspaper with a bureau in Accra, Ghana. BusinessDay Media Ltd is the leading medium for up-to-date news and insightful analysis of business, policy and the economy in Nigeria, a critical decision-making tool for investors and managers. It provides unbiased news and informed analysis on politics, governance, social and economic trends. Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited and authorised for release by BusinessDay Media on the NOIPolls media platform to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1] http://www.lagosstate.gov.ng/pagelinks.php?p=6 [2] http://www.ngrguardiannews.com/2015/09/governor-akinwumi-ambodes-100-days-in-office/ [3] http://www.vanguardngr.com/2015/02/babatunde-raji-fashola-success-tackling-challenges-head-2/ [4] http://www.punchng.com/politics/ambode-swears-in-commissioners-sas-demands-optimum-performance/ [5] http://thenationonlineng.net/ambodes-100-days-the-shape-of-things-to-come/ [6] https://globaljournals.org/GJHSS_Volume11/2-Economic-Valuation-of-Poor-Road-Infrastructure-Lagos.pdf

  • Fuel, power, policy and credit biggest challenges to manufacturing, survey finds

    Abuja, Nigeria. 23rd August, 2016 – Latest Manufacturing sector survey conducted by NOIPolls in collaboration with CSEA (Centre for the Study of the Economies of Africa) has revealed that Unavailability of Petrol and Diesel, Poor Power Supply, Policy inconsistency, and Limited Access to Credit are cited as major challenges facing the Manufacturing sector in Nigeria. Majority of the manufacturers surveyed stated that, compared to one year ago, the availability of Petrol/Diesel (80 percent), Power supply (73 percent), Policy inconsistency (55 percent), and Access to Credit (49 percent) have worsened. In addition, about 78 percent of companies revealed they have been negatively affected by the disparity in foreign exchange rates (in the official and parallel markets). This cuts across the different company-size categories as large 83 percent, Medium 76 percent, and Small 78 percent indicated this negative impact of forex. This finding is particularly poignant as 52 percent of sampled companies disclosed that they are highly dependent on imported inputs in their production, and only 25 percent indicated that the export market was highly important to their turnover. Furthermore, a majority of sampled firms (60 percent) decried the lack of support within their current business environment; with at least 90 percent of the firms not operating up to their optimum installed capacity, and 45 percent operating below 60 percent of installed capacity. However, Nigerian Manufacturers are upbeat and have a positive outlook on the economy over the next one year, with 76 percent expecting economic conditions to improve. In summary, due to the chronic challenges of infrastructure and inputs, the Nigerian manufacturing sector is yet to transit from a demand-driven regime to a supply-driven regime that is essential for long-run growth. In the present demand-driven regime, population growth estimated at 3.2 percent per year is expected to strengthen local demand and stimulate growth, most notably in the necessities subsectors – food and textiles. The contraction of these two sectors during the period reviewed presents an ominous sign that needs to be carefully analysed and clearly understood. Responses to the poll show that the manufacturing sector remains dependent on the international market, buying inputs many times more than it supplies products to foreign markets. These are some of the key findings from the Manufacturing Sector Survey conducted in May 2016. Background Manufacturing, the business of large-scale industrial production, is central to economic growth and poverty reduction in both historical and contemporary contexts. As the base of the most essential value addition processes, the strength and quality of manufacturing is the most important determinant of economic competitiveness. As the essential secondary or “transformative” sector, a shift[1] of the economy from primary sector (base of activities related to harvesting raw materials such as agriculture and mining) toward the secondary or industrial sector is associated with development of value or processing chains, which results in rising productivity and reduction of labor share in the primary sector. There are two elements in this shift. One, manufacturing growth drives productivity in agriculture and mining as farmers and miners reallocate resources to supply raw materials needed in industry.[2] Two, education and technical skills increase in order to provide the workforce needed in the factories.[3] In effect, this shift raises aggregate level of skills in the economy and aggregate income level which in turn drives a shift in consumption toward manufactured goods.[4] Manufacturing also drives the emergence and growth of the tertiary sector by inducing demand for (and supply of) technical skills, workforce and workplace services including health and safety, as well as distribution of manufactured goods. Public infrastructure development to support industries and private investments further spur the growth of the services sector. Many of the skills required in the services sector would already have been developed during the industrial stage of the economy. The manufacturing sector has historically been a very small fraction of the Nigerian economy. The share of manufacturing in the economy hovered around an average of 6.7 percent for the first three decades after independence (1960-1989), fell to 5.1 percent and further to 4.0 percent during the 1990s and 2000s respectively. A shift in policy emphasis toward agricultural productivity, value chain development and foreign direct investment in agriculture and manufacturing beginning in 2010 contributed to a doubling of manufacturing share to 8.4 percent during 2010-2015. However, the manufacturing sector’s growth momentum of 2010-2014 was lost in 2015 despite continuous local demand growth. The sector reversed from 14.7 percent growth in 2014 to 1.5 percent contraction in 2015, while its contribution to GDP growth reversed from 21.8 percent in 2014 to -5.2 percent in 2015. In light of the above, NOIPolls and CSEA (Centre for the Study of Economies of Africa) conducted this manufacturing sector survey to provide a snapshot of the industry and elicit views of manufacturers across the country on their businesses and the environment. Survey Findings Among the companies sampled, about 60 percent consider the current business environment unsupportive, with only 31 percent stating that the environment is supportive. Interestingly, the geographical breakdown shows that while companies in the North East (93 percent), North West (73 percent) and South East (68 percent) find the business environment unsupportive; only companies in the South West (65 percent) seem to suggest that the business environment is somewhat supportive. Overall, one a scale of 1 to 5, the average score for the business environment is 2.6 points, which is about average. Assessment of current business situation is overall not impressive, as at least 45 percent of manufacturing companies stating that their current business environment is bad and 12 percent stating that it is neither good nor bad. Only 43 percent of companies stated that their situations as good or very good, ranging from a lowest rate of 18 percent in the North-Central to the highest rate of 78 percent in the South-West. Large companies are the most likely to rate their situations this way (49 percent). Companies in the South-East are most dependent on imported raw materials (80 percent), while those in the North-West are least dependent on them (25 percent). In the case of output, companies in South-East are most dependent on exports for turnover with 40 percent reporting high or very high importance of foreign markets, while manufacturing companies in the South-South are least dependent at 8 percent. In relation to foreign exchange movements and black market premium, a very high proportion (78 percent) of all sampled companies experience adverse effects ranging from 96 percent in the South-East to 74 percent in the North-West. Local demand for manufactured goods is ranked as the most important factor that helped manufacturing companies remain profitable in the last year of operation, with a score of 70 percent. Next to local demand comes expansion of distribution networks helping companies to reach growing markets, and cheap inputs, both of which are ranked in second place with scores of 50 percent. Innovation and new technology are in fourth and fifth place respectively with scores of 38 percent and 37 percent. There are no significant differences in the rankings by geographical zone. The challenges facing manufacturing in Nigeria are enormous, ranging from intense foreign competition from low-priced imports, domestic competition from more technically efficient and less technically efficient producers of fake goods, foreign sourcing of raw materials, corruption in government, policy instability, and enormous infrastructure gap. Cumulative efforts of government in these areas are expected to help improve the business environment and lessen the challenges faced by businesses in these areas. However, many of the challenges became worse during the year under review for responding[5] sampled companies. Overall, petrol/diesel and power supply worsened over the last year for 80 percent and 73 percent respectively of the companies. Policy inconsistencies are still reported by a majority (55 percent) of companies as having worsened, while 49 percent of them reported access to credit to have become harder. Also, 50 percent of the companies that use the ports for imports or exports report the conditions have remained the same as last year. Lastly, businesses exist to provide solutions to challenges and create new products and services. It is not unreasonable to expect businesses to find solutions to challenges they face in their operations. In addition to their own efforts, there could also be improvements in public sector provision of public goods that may ease the constraints affecting business. Among the sampled companies, 49 percent report developing their own innovations as key to easing the challenges, 31 percent report private market solutions, and 20 percent report improvements in public service delivery. In all, these developments are reported to be most notable in the North Central zone: with 76 percent indicating solving the challenges through their own innovation, 60 percent through alternative private markets, and 48 percent through public sector improvements. One great finding from the survey though, is that Nigerian manufacturers are upbeat and positive about the future, with about 76 percent expecting the economy to improve over the next 1 year. On a scale of 1 to 5, this expectation index scored 3.8 points, which is rated as very good. Conclusion It is evident that the Nigerian manufacturing sector is yet to transform to a supply-driven regime that is essential for long-run growth. The dependence of manufacturing companies, especially the large ones, on importation remains a serious challenge to performance of the sector. Currency devaluations during the last year raised the cost of production and thus contributed to contraction of the sector. Further devaluation which seems inevitable will contribute to recession of manufacturing in Nigeria. While this may pose a challenge, it also presents an opportunity to develop innovations and find alternative solutions to the challenge. Finally, the attention of all stakeholders – government, industry and development partners – need to centre on how to address the challenges of importation of manufacturing materials, the rising costs of energy inputs, and policy inconsistency. On the part of government, the following actions which are not limited to implementing an input import substitution program, creating strategic FX window for manufacturing, reforming public finance institutions to improve access to credit, implementing modular refineries and implementing sound industrial policy should be highly considered to foster better growth in the future. In the same vain, manufacturers should deem it necessary to develop capacity for innovation and evaluate product value chains whereas, development partners could do more to support manufacturing in Nigeria by supporting long-term funding of the manufacturing sector and supporting the business environment reforms. Survey Methods A mini-manufacturing sector survey was conducted in May 2016 by NOIPolls and the Center for the Study of the Economies of Africa (CSEA) to provide a snapshot of the industry and elicit views of manufacturers across the country on the business environment, company performance and operational challenges, and experience with labour and financial markets. Target respondents were Manufacturers, Owners, Managers, Directors, C-Level Officers, and decision makers within the manufacturing companies. The Sample A total of 205 manufacturing companies were polled from all geopolitical zones of the country. The composition of the sample is as follows: Zone: 29 companies are from North-Central, 37 from North-East, 44 from North-West, 25 from South-East, 24 from South-South and 46 from South-West. Size: 98 small companies (10-49 employees), 69 medium companies (50-199 employees) and 38 large companies (200 or more employees). Turnover: 19.1 percent make turnover below N1 million, 29.4 percent make turnover of N1-10 million, 24.2 percent make turnover of N11-50 million, 6.7 percent make turnover of N51-100 million, 7.2 percent make turnover of N101-500 million, 9.8 percent make turnover of N501 million-1 billion, and 3.6 percent make turnover above N1 billion. Ownership: 40.5 percent of the companies are Private Limited Companies, 32.2 percent are Sole Proprietorships, 10.7 percent are Family-Owned, 8.3 percent are Partnerships and 5.9 percent are Public Limited Companies. Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1] A shift toward a sector is meant to describe domination of aggregate economic activities by the sector, measured by both output and employment. [2] This reference includes time (cutting back on leisure and sleep to work for more hours on the farm) and material resources (moving limited resources away from other crops toward those in high demand). [3] Farmers will increasingly send their children to school to learn the new skills in high demand rather than retain them in learning-by-doing on the farm. [4] Even farmers will be selling wood products to paper factories and buying stoves for cooking. [5] Some of the sampled companies responded “not applicable” to the questions about the challenges. The rates reported here for each item reweighs the responses conditional on its applicability.

  • 2019 Polls Countdown: Low electorate awareness of most parties

    Abuja, Nigeria. February 5th, 2019 – A recent public opinion poll conducted by NOIPolls has revealed that apart from the two most popular political parties in Nigeria – the All Progressive Congress (APC) and People’s Democratic Party (PDP), majority of Nigerians are not aware of most registered political parties in the country. This indicates a low level of awareness creation on the part of the political parties even as respondents showed some level of awareness on about 26 of the 91 registered political parties. In line with this, the All Progressive Grand Alliance (APGA) came top of the mind for majority of the respondents interviewed with 32 percent awareness rating, followed by Social Democratic Party (SDP) with 17 percent. Every election year is characterized by different electioneering activities by several participating political parties. The D-Day of the 2019 general elections is less than 24 days and as expected, activities have geared up especially by the political parties carrying out rallies across the country. According to the INEC chairman, Professor Mahmood Yakubu, a total of 73 of Nigeria’s 91 political parties are participating in this year’s general elections having candidates in different political positions across the 36 states and FCT. These parties have submitted details of their candidates to the electoral commission, INEC, before the October 2018 deadline[1]. It is a few weeks to the general elections and anecdotal evidence reveal the worry of Political analysts that the intensity of electioneering by political parties and candidates have been low as compared to the 2015 general elections[2]. In the light of the above background, NOIPolls conducted a fact finding survey to ascertain the level of awareness of Nigerians concerning the registered political parties participating in the 2019 general elections apart from the two most popular parties – PDP and APC. Respondents were asked to mention at least 5 of the political parties they are aware of and the poll revealed that APGA (30 percent) topped the list of political parties most Nigerians are aware of. Other parties include Social Democratic Party (17 percent), Labor Party (8 percent) and People’s Redemption Party (7 percent) amongst others. It is worthy to note that while The All Nigeria Peoples’ Party (ANPP) technically no longer exists, a few Nigerians still mentioned it as a top of the mind party they are aware of. In conclusion, it is overwhelmingly surprising that of the 91 registered political parties and 73 participating parties, a vast majority of Nigerians are aware of about 26 of them. This indicates low level of awareness creation amongst political parties apart from PDP and APC. Therefore, there is need for these political parties to embark on an awareness creation campaign by organizing town hall meetings, rallies and even appearing on live shows on radio and television across the country. Even after the elections have come and gone, it is still important for these political parties to remain relevant in the polity as this will indirectly increase the electorate’s awareness of their parties respectively. Survey Methods The Poll was conducted in the week commencing January 7th, 2019. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 4.65%. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa. We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com [1] https://www.premiumtimesng.com/news/headlines/298347-73-parties-to-take-part-in-2019-elections-inec.html [2] https://www.vanguardngr.com/2019/01/2019-elections-why-theres-lull-in-political-campaigns-analysts/

  • #NigeriaDecides: In countdown To 2019 Election, Nigerians urge INEC To Work Without Bias

    Abuja, Nigeria. February 12th, 2019 – Specifically in 4 days’ time, over 84 million eligible voters in Nigerians will head to the 119,973 polling units spread across all the six geo-political zones in the country to vote for their preferred presidential and National Assembly candidates respectively. It is therefore the responsibility of INEC and other stakeholders like; the judiciary, the Nigerian police and all security agencies, foreign election observers and commissions and the media etc. to ensure that no Nigerian is disenfranchised and that the election is free, fair, transparent and a template for all upcoming elections, not only in Nigeria but in Africa. As the February 16th 2019 general elections is only a few days away, NOIPolls presents findings from its past poll on countdown to election poll which was conducted in 2014 during the build-up to the 2015 general elections. Findings from the poll are considered to be highly relevant to the  2019 elections. The poll highlighted the views of Nigerians regarding the single most important procedure that should be put in place to ensure a free and fair election. Findings from the poll revealed that a larger proportion of Nigerians (26 percent) stated that INEC should do the right thing without bias; this was closely followed by 22 percent who suggested that adequate security should be put in place. Furthermore, while 14 percent proposed that INEC should be absolutely independent, 8 percent advocated for adequate provision of electoral materials across all the polling units in the country amongst other mentions. The active participation of all stakeholders in the process to ensure a free and fair election remains one of the most critical issues in the entire election process. In line with this, some INEC Electoral Commissioners have assured Nigerians that necessary mechanisms are being put in place to ensure a free and fair election. Furthermore, with the recent release of the elections timetable, Professor Mahmood Yakubu pointed out that INEC is mindful of its own operational effectiveness and best practices towards ensuring a free and fair election. Analysis on geo-political zones revealed that the North-West zone (37 percent) accounted for the largest proportion of Nigerians who said that INEC should do the right thing without bias, while the South-South zone (25 percent) has the highest share of respondents who suggested that adequate security should be put in place. Also, the South-East zone (21 percent) has the highest proportion of respondents that said “INEC should be absolutely independent”. In conclusion, with the 2019 general election commencing in 3 days, it is advised that INEC consolidates the successes recorded in the 2015 general elections with the introduction of new innovations such as the Electronic Voter Register (EVR) and Electronic Voter Authentication (EVA). The 2019 general elections will be the sixth since 1999, when Nigeria returned to civilian rule. If well administered in terms of fulfilling the most basic democratic requirements of elections, the election will further strengthen Nigeria’s prospects for democratic rule and national development. Finally, within the remaining 3 days, INEC should in conjunction with the National Orientation Agency (NOA), the Media, Non-governmental Organizations (NGOs) and Community Associations improve on voter education with particular focus on vote casting to reduce the number of rejected ballots that may occur. Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com Political

  • NOIPolls Governorship Pre-Election Poll March 2019

    Abuja, Nigeria. March 8th, 2019 – Ahead of the March 9th 2019 governorship election, NOIPolls conducted pre-election polls in some selected states including; Gombe, Imo, Lagos, Plateau and Zamfara States; to gauge public sentiments for their preferred governorship candidates. The poll was conducted between 4th and 8th March 2019. 1,000 randomly selected respondents were polled from each state, all residents of the five states, were interviewed via telephone. All three senatorial districts of each state were represented in the poll. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 4.65%. Below are charts showing the findings from the poll in all five states. It is worthy to note that the results for Zamfara state revealed support for three different APC candidates. This may be due to the issues and discrepancies that arouse from the party primary election. Also, in all the charts below, the category of ‘Refused’ represents respondents who refused to disclose their preferred candidates. Analysis for Gombe State Pre-Election Poll Analysis for Imo State Pre-Election Poll Analysis for Lagos State Pre-Election Poll Analysis for Plateau State Pre-Election Poll Analysis for Zamfara Pre-Election Poll Disclaimer This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published. NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking. Press Contact The Editor Email: editor@noi-polls.com

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