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Bayelsa Guber Pre-election Poll: Douye in early lead over Sylva

Abuja, Nigeria. November 9th, 2023 – Ahead of the forthcoming Bayelsa State Gubernatorial elections slated for November 11th, 2023, a new public opinion poll conducted by NOIPolls has pitched the current governor of the state, His Excellency Governor Diri Douye, candidate of the People Democratic Party (PDP) to win the governorship race over Timipre Marlin Sylva, candidate of the All-Progressives Congress (APC). This pre-election poll result reveals a substantial 33 percent point gap between the two candidates.


When asked who respondents will be voting for in the upcoming November 11th, 2023, governorship elections in Bayelsa State, Douye led the list of candidates with 43 percent, while Sylva had 10 percent. However, 15 percent of those polled are undecided as to their choice of candidate while 32 percent refused to disclose their choice candidates.


Chart showing the Bayelsa elections voting
Bayelsa Guber Pre-election Infographics

Furthermore, the poll showed that 82 percent of the eligible voters in the state are registered to vote in the coming election, and 98 percent of this proportion disclosed that they have their permanent voters’ card (PVC); with 8 in 10 (80 percent) certain that they will cast their vote on the 11th of November 2023.


In conclusion, this poll has clearly favored Douye of the PDP as a preferred candidate in the November 11th governorship election given his substantial 33 percent point lead over Sylva of the APC.



About NOIPolls & the Poll Methodology


NOIPolls is Nigeria’s premier public opinion polling institution, which conducts periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com.


The poll was conducted in the week commencing November 6th, 2023. It involved telephone interviews of a random state-wide sample in Bayelsa State. 500 randomly selected phone-owning residents of the state aged 18 years and above, representing the three senatorial districts of the state, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise - within a range of plus or minus 4.65%. Of the 500 completed interviews, 50 percent were male and 50 percent female respondents. Samples for the poll were selected randomly for the senatorial districts in representation of the state’s population – Bayelsa North-West (26 percent), Bayelsa Central-East (28 percent), and Bayelsa South-Central (46 percent). Also, 20 percent of respondents were aged between 18 and 35 years; 72 percent between 36 and 60 years; and 8 percent above 61 years. In terms of employment status of respondents, top 6 respondents are: Self-employed/Petty traders (32 percent), Civil servants (26 percent), Businessmen/women (11 percent), Professional workers (7 percent), Unemployed (4 percent) and Farming/Fishing/Agric workers (4 percent).


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